Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ($ADM) Stock Forecast: Down 0.5% Today

What is Archer-Daniels-Midland Company?

Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) is a major agricultural commodities processor that operates globally. The company is known for its diverse portfolio in food ingredients, animal feed, fuel, and agricultural services.

Why is Archer-Daniels-Midland Company going down?

ADM stock is down 0.5% on Feb 3, 2026 15:45

• ADM experienced a significant bearish movement today, even after surpassing earnings per share (EPS) estimates by $0.03.
• Falling short of revenue estimates by 12.6% and a 13.7% year-on-year revenue decline likely influenced the negative market sentiment.
• Factors such as the challenging global trade environment, uncertainties in biofuel policies, and disappointing 2026 guidance may have added to the pessimistic investor sentiment.
• Despite CEO Juan Luciano's focus on resilience and cost-cutting strategies, concerns persist regarding the company's ability to effectively navigate external challenges.

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ADM Technical Analysis

ADM News

Archer-Daniels-Midland (NYSE:ADM) Misses Q4 CY2025 Revenue Estimates

Archer-Daniels-Midland (NYSE:ADM) reported Q4 CY2025 revenue of $18.56 billion, missing analyst estimates by 12.6% and representing a 13.7% year-on-year decline. Despite the revenue miss and a challenging global trade landscape, the company's non-GAAP profit per share of $0.87 beat consensus estimates by 9.2%. CEO Juan Luciano highlighted the company's resilience, progress in portfolio optimization, cost reductions, and strong cash flow generation amidst external headwinds.

https://finviz.com/news/297158/archer-daniels-midland-nyse-adm-misses-q4-cy2025-revenue-estimates

Archer Daniels Midland (NYSE:ADM) Releases Quarterly Earnings Results, Beats Estimates By $0.03 EPS

Archer Daniels Midland (NYSE: ADM) announced its quarterly earnings, reporting an EPS of $0.87, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.84 by $0.03. Despite the earnings beat, the company's revenue of $18.56 billion fell short of analyst estimates. The article also highlights recent institutional trading activity, analyst ratings, and mixed investor sentiment due to disappointing 2026 guidance and ongoing accounting concerns.

https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/archer-daniels-midland-nyseadm-releases-quarterly-earnings-results-beats-estimates-by-003-eps-2026-02-03/

Gartner Reports $1.6 Billion Revenue in Q4 2025 with 12% Growth in Research Segment

Gartner announced its Q4 2025 financial results, reporting a total revenue of $1.6 billion, marking a 10% increase from the previous year. The company's Research segment was a key driver, growing by 12% to $1.2 billion, while net income rose by 15% to $210 million. Additionally, the Conferences segment saw an 8% revenue increase, indicating a continued recovery in demand for in-person events.

https://www.geneonline.com/gartner-reports-1-6-billion-revenue-in-q4-2025-with-12-growth-in-research-segment/

Archer Daniels Profit, Revenue Fall on Biofuel Policy and Trade Uncertainty

Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) reported a decline in fourth-quarter profit and revenue, attributing the downturn to a challenging operating environment influenced by trade and biofuel policy uncertainties. The company plans to implement cost-cutting measures of up to $750 million over the next three to five years to address these challenges. For the upcoming year, ADM projects adjusted earnings per share to be between $3.60 and $4.25.

https://www.wsj.com/business/earnings/archer-daniels-profit-revenue-fall-on-biofuel-policy-and-trade-uncertainty-462da731?gaa_at=eafs&gaa_n=AWEtsqc0AKYEt0dbSvI9czS0yHY4Bg7u8Z2Fu1ruiED0ur_lkuKgy4-WIX-t&gaa_ts=6981ec7b&gaa_sig=pJkTFc1scr774EchxBN0HfrcNx5JEGhNacQjYw44o6G0usTJWLwFjNYSO4a8gaerFV3NkRZmFgwivSaH_V_Sog%3D%3D

Archer Daniels (ADM) Projects FY26 Adjusted EPS in Line with Exp

Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) has released its forecast for fiscal year 2026, projecting an adjusted EPS between $3.60 and $4.25, which aligns with analyst estimates. As a major agricultural commodities processor, ADM demonstrates solid financial health with stable revenue growth and a robust balance sheet. The company's valuation metrics suggest strong market sentiment, although its ROIC is currently below its WACC, indicating some capital utilization inefficiencies.

https://www.gurufocus.com/news/8576010/archer-daniels-adm-projects-fy26-adjusted-eps-in-line-with-expectations

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Archer-Daniels-Midland Company Price History

08.00.2026 - ADM Stock was up 5.1%

• The bullish movement in ADM stock today may be linked to a significant increase in stake by Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V., reflecting confidence in the company's long-term potential.
• Despite safety concerns at one of ADM's grain processing plants, investors may be more focused on the positive earnings report that exceeded EPS estimates for Q3.
• The high implied volatility in the options market suggests expectations of a notable price movement, possibly driven by upcoming developments or market speculation.
• In summary, while safety issues at one facility raise concerns, positive financial indicators and increased stake by a major investor could be fueling the bullish sentiment in ADM stock today.

03.01.2026 - ADM Stock was down 0.5%

• ADM experienced a significant bearish movement today, even after surpassing earnings per share (EPS) estimates by $0.03.
• Falling short of revenue estimates by 12.6% and a 13.7% year-on-year revenue decline likely influenced the negative market sentiment.
• Factors such as the challenging global trade environment, uncertainties in biofuel policies, and disappointing 2026 guidance may have added to the pessimistic investor sentiment.
• Despite CEO Juan Luciano's focus on resilience and cost-cutting strategies, concerns persist regarding the company's ability to effectively navigate external challenges.

05.10.2025 - ADM Stock was down 6.2%

• ADM stock exhibited a downward trend despite surpassing third-quarter earnings expectations, hinting at a divergence between performance and market response.
• The revised 2025 profit forecast and worries regarding margin and demand challenges in Ag Services and Oilseeds may have influenced the negative market sentiment.
• Observations from analysts on essential performance metrics and the company's expansion in the Nutrition segment might not have sufficed to counterbalance the broader market conditions affecting ADM's stock price.
• The shift in perspective from prominent Wall Street analysts to a pessimistic view on ADM might have additionally propelled the stock's bearish movement.

04.03.2025 - ADM Stock was down 7.8%

• ADM stock experienced a bearish movement of -0.83% and -0.85% in the latest trading sessions.
• The slight decline in ADM's stock price could be attributed to overall market volatility or profit-taking by investors.
• It's possible that concerns about global commodity prices or specific challenges within the food processing industry impacted ADM's stock performance.
• Investors may be closely monitoring any updates regarding ADM's supply chain disruptions or changes in consumer demand for agricultural products.

04.10.2025 - ADM Stock was up 0.8%

• ADM stock experienced a bullish movement following the company's Q3 earnings report.
• The earnings surprise of +3.37% indicates better-than-expected performance, likely boosting investor confidence.
• Despite facing challenges in Ag Services and Oilseeds due to tough market conditions, growth in the Nutrition segment may have offset these headwinds and contributed to the positive market sentiment.
• Investors seem optimistic about ADM's ability to navigate through challenges and deliver strong financial results, driving the bullish movement in the stock.

02.00.2026 - ADM Stock was up 1.6%

• ADM stock saw a bullish movement as institutional investors like Virginia Retirement Systems and Lee Johnson Capital Management increased their stakes in the company, signaling confidence in its growth prospects.
• The positive market sentiment towards ADM could be attributed to its strategic shift towards specialty ingredients, renewable fuels, and traceable supply chains, aligning with the growing consumer demand for health-conscious and sustainable products.
• The overall bullish trend in the phytonutrients and food colors markets, where ADM is a key player, further boosted investor optimism, as the company positions itself as a critical player in the global food system's infrastructure and innovation.

12.05.2025 - ADM Stock was up 1.3%

• An investigation on behalf of long-term stockholders may have boosted investor confidence, leading to increased buying activity and driving the stock price higher.
• Positive momentum in Scotts (SMG) and expectations of sector-wide gains may have influenced ADM's upward movement.
• Despite recent declines following the last earnings report, a shift in market sentiment today suggests renewed investor interest and favorable market conditions.

06.04.2025 - ADM Stock was up 0.7%

• ADM stock had a significant bullish performance recently.
• The company exceeded Q1 earnings expectations, demonstrating robust financial results.
• Despite worries about market conditions and increased expenses, ADM's better-than-expected earnings possibly enhanced investor trust.
• The favorable response from the market to ADM's earnings indicates investors' confidence in the company's capability to overcome obstacles and achieve strong outcomes.

14.09.2025 - ADM Stock was down 5.0%

• Despite advancing slightly in the recent trading session, ADM's stock experienced a strong bearish movement overall.
• Strategic moves and cost-saving initiatives by ADM may have positively impacted long-term growth prospects, but were not sufficient to offset the bearish market sentiment.
• The underperformance of ADM compared to the overall market indicates external factors or broader market conditions influencing the stock's bearish movement.
• Investors are closely monitoring ADM's future performance to assess its ability to leverage strategic initiatives amidst current market challenges and regain bullish momentum.

15.09.2025 - ADM Stock was up 7.3%

• ADM has a track record of surpassing earnings expectations, demonstrating robust operational fundamentals.
• Despite exhibiting a 1.31% rise in its stock value, ADM's focus on nutrition advancements and cost reductions seems to be bolstering investor trust.
• The company's aim to achieve cost savings ranging from $500 million to $750 million is viewed positively for enhancing ADM's profitability and operational effectiveness, influencing the positive market performance.

04.11.2025 - ADM Stock was down 2.5%

• OMERS ADMINISTRATION Corp reduced its stake in ADM by 57.4%, possibly signaling lack of confidence in the company's future performance.
• Despite beating earnings estimates and announcing a dividend, ADM received a consensus "Reduce" rating from analysts, with a lower than expected FY2025 guidance.
• Deere's weak forecast for the farm economy in 2026 might have negatively impacted ADM, as both companies operate in the agricultural sector, reflecting broader industry challenges.
• The combination of reduced institutional stake, analyst ratings, and industry outlook may have contributed to the bearish movement in ADM's stock price today.

05.07.2025 - ADM Stock was up 6.2%

• ADM experienced a strong bullish movement in its stock today, despite concerns over soft segment trends in the second quarter.
• Anticipated impacts on ADM's Q2 earnings due to weak crush margins and soft carbohydrate demand were noted.
• Despite expected challenges, market confidence in ADM's ability to navigate through headwinds led to a positive stock movement.
• Investor optimism seems to focus on ADM's long-term growth prospects and strategic initiatives to address market challenges.