BP p.l.c. ($BP) Stock Forecast: Up 5.4% Today

What is BP p.l.c.?

BP is a multinational oil and gas company undergoing a strategic transformation towards cleaner energy solutions. Today, the stock experienced a bearish movement following the release of its fourth-quarter earnings report and the suspension of its share buyback program.

Why is BP p.l.c. going up?

BP stock is up 5.4% on Feb 11, 2026 15:26

• The wider replacement cost loss in Q4 despite meeting underlying profit estimates may have disappointed investors, leading to a drop in the stock price.
• The decision to suspend the share buyback program to focus on strengthening the balance sheet reflects BP's commitment to financial stability but may have raised concerns about future growth prospects.
• The potential sale of the Gelsenkirchen refinery and increasing shareholder activism around capital expenditure discipline could be contributing factors to the bearish market movement.
• Investors evaluating BP's shift towards cleaner energy solutions and its long-term value proposition may be closely monitoring the company's strategic decisions amidst evolving market dynamics.

BP Price Chart

BP Technical Analysis

BP News

BP Stock Drops After Earnings, Buyback End. It’s Paying for Past Decisions.

BP PLC shares dropped after the company released its fourth-quarter earnings report, which included the suspension of share buybacks. Interim CEO Carol Howle stated the company is working to build a "simpler, stronger and more valuable BP for the future." This move reflects BP's efforts to strengthen its balance sheet.

https://www.barrons.com/articles/bp-price-earnings-stock-cd4ff47a?gaa_at=eafs&gaa_n=AWEtsqfcELt0NEJCkBSupCDXVInOLCMpw78AL0zoZODT2JgpINJNW3nrK0kU&gaa_ts=698ba5d1&gaa_sig=OemYIoa0muO30G3thn1RXig3WRPYKnc2kf4EyyDVzicMpsTH7Xthk5v78d5eRTj70oi1OMysYGbZ2JG01xcWJg%3D%3D

BP Q4 RC Loss Widens, Underlying RC Profit Meets Street; Suspends Share Buyback; Stock Down

BP reported a wider replacement cost (RC) loss in Q4 2025 despite higher sales, though underlying RC profit met market estimates. The company's board decided to suspend its share buyback program to prioritize strengthening its balance sheet, leading to an immediate drop in stock price. BP also provided its outlook for Q1 and full fiscal year 2026, including divestment expectations.

https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/bp-q4-rc-loss-widens-underlying-rc-profit-meets-street-suspends-share-buyback-stock-down

BP's Gelsenkirchen refinery attracts buyer's interest from Klesch, Politico reports

BP is reportedly in discussions to sell its German Gelsenkirchen oil refinery site to investment firm Klesch Group, according to Politico. This potential sale is part of BP's broader asset divestment strategy, which was announced about a year ago, targeting a sales agreement for the Gelsenkirchen business in 2025. Klesch Group, which already owns two other refineries in Germany and Denmark, declined to comment, and BP did not immediately respond to inquiries.

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/bps-gelsenkirchen-refinery-attracts-buyers-interest-klesch-politico-reports-2026-02-09/

BP Stock Today: February 9 – Activists Press Capex Shift Before Results

Shareholder activism is intensifying around BP (BP) ahead of its full-year results on February 10, with activists pushing for tighter upstream capital expenditure discipline and clearer long-term value. Analysts are focusing on BP's guidance regarding capital allocation, buybacks, and low-carbon returns, especially as softer crude prices are expected to lead to weaker profits. Australian investors should also consider currency exposure and dividend reliability when monitoring the results.

https://meyka.com/blog/bp-stock-today-february-9-activists-press-capex-shift-before-results-0902/

The Truth About BP p.l.c.: Is This Old-School Oil Giant Suddenly a Must?Watch Stock?

BP p.l.c. is undergoing a significant transformation from a traditional oil company to a cleaner energy player, attracting attention from investors seeking long-term value and dividends. The article evaluates BP's current market position, performance, and strategy in comparison to rivals like Shell, highlighting its potential as a cash-generating business during the energy transition. It advises that while BP is not a high-growth "meme stock," it offers a compelling option for those tolerant of market volatility and focused on income and gradual adaptation in the energy sector.

https://www.ad-hoc-news.de/boerse/news/ueberblick/the-truth-about-bp-p-l-c-is-this-old-school-oil-giant-suddenly-a/68565024

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BP p.l.c. Price History

02.00.2026 - BP Stock was up 0.9%

• BP experienced a strong bullish movement today after announcing the sale of a 65% stake in its Castrol lubricants business to Stonepeak for $10.1 billion.
• The sale is part of BP's strategy to accelerate debt reduction, with the company set to receive approximately $6 billion in net proceeds from the deal.
• This move is in line with BP's broader divestment program aimed at simplifying its portfolio, strengthening its balance sheet, and focusing on more profitable businesses, which has positively impacted investor sentiment and led to the bullish market movement for the stock.

10.01.2026 - BP Stock was down 6.1%

• The company reported a wider replacement cost loss in Q4 2025, affecting market sentiment negatively.
• Suspending the share buyback program to focus on fortifying the balance sheet influenced the stock price downwards.
• There are discussions about a potential sale of BP's Gelsenkirchen refinery to Klesch Group, in line with the company's asset divestment strategy.
• Shareholder activism and calls for stricter capital expenditure control indicate increasing demands for BP to showcase enduring value and sustainable growth in a tough market environment.

04.05.2025 - BP Stock was down 2.0%

• The recent decrease in BP's stock price might be related to investors taking profits following a recent uptrend.
• Noteworthy achievements like forming stronger connections in Azerbaijan, progressing in carbon storage endeavors in the UK, and achieving successful gas production in Trinidad were overshadowed by potential concerns in the sector or prevailing market conditions.
• Investors could be exhibiting caution towards the future prospects of traditional oil and gas companies like BP, given the increasing emphasis on sustainable energy sources and the shift towards a carbon-neutral economy.
• Market fluctuations could also reflect geopolitical dynamics, global oil price movements, or specific operational challenges encountered by BP.

25.05.2025 - BP Stock was up 8.7%

• BP's recent upward movement may be linked to a significant achievement in its Gimi FLNG project at the GTA project, resulting in heightened LNG production.
• The positive developments for BP stand out compared to a strategic announcement from another major player, potentially leading investors to favor BP's current performance over future projections from the competitor.
• A significant oil investment by Chevron in the Gulf of America could have also positively influenced the overall market sentiment in the industry, benefiting companies operating in a similar capacity to BP.

05.00.2026 - BP Stock was down 0.7%

• The recent bearish movement in BP's stock is possibly linked to uncertainty surrounding the company's leadership transition. An upcoming CEO change and the current CEO's departure could be unsettling investors about the company's future direction.
• While BP aims to improve shareholder value through buybacks and dividends, factors like the energy shift and industry politics may be influencing the stock's decline.
• Analysts' cautiously optimistic view on BP recognizes its robust cash flow but highlights the importance of effectively implementing energy transition strategies to manage risks in the evolving energy landscape.

04.03.2025 - BP Stock was down 8.9%

• The bearish movement in BP's stock price could be attributed to activist hedge fund Elliott Management pressuring the company for changes, including the search for a new Chair. This uncertainty and potential shakeup in leadership may have spooked investors, leading to a sell-off.
• Despite positive developments such as the kick-off of gas production in the Caribbean and securing offshore gas licenses in Israel, the overall market sentiment may have been overshadowed by the internal challenges and pressure from activist investors.
• The drop in ExxonMobil's shares could have also contributed to the bearish trend in BP's stock, reflecting broader concerns in the oil and gas sector.
• Investors might be cautious about BP's future direction amidst the push for changes and the need to navigate a volatile business environment.

09.03.2025 - BP Stock was down 7.1%

• The halt of the clean jet fuel project at the Castellon refinery in Spain possibly affected investor sentiment negatively, hinting at a slowdown in BP's low-carbon spending plans.
• The initiation of gas production at the Cypre project in the Caribbean couldn't counterbalance the bearish trend, indicating investors' current focus on the company's setbacks over future prospects.
• Pressure from activist hedge fund Elliott Management for changes within BP, such as seeking a new Chair, likely introduced uncertainty and contributed to the bearish market movement.
• Reports of ExxonMobil's shares showing a drop in volume might have also impacted BP's stock negatively, reflecting a broader trend of volatility and uncertainty in the oil and gas sector.

10.03.2025 - BP Stock was up 6.0%

• The bullish movement in BP's stock can be attributed to the positive sentiment in the oil and gas sector following recent developments related to trade policies. This decision has eased trade concerns and boosted confidence in global demand and export stability.
• The market response to the halt of BP's clean jet fuel project in Spain and the positive news of the company's successful gas production kick-off in the Caribbean suggests a favorable outlook for BP's stock.
• Reports of BP searching for a new Chair have led to some uncertainty, but investors seem optimistic about potential changes in the company's leadership, which could be driving the bullish movement in the stock.

22.03.2025 - BP Stock was up 5.2%

• The bullish movement in BP's stock today is linked to the successful shipment of its first LNG cargo from the Greater Tortue Ahmeyim Phase 1 project, underscoring progress in production milestones and expansion strategy.
• Unveiling oil reserves in the Far South Prospect within the Gulf of America, in partnership with CVX, may have contributed to the positive market sentiment, signaling growth prospects for BP in the area.
• These recent events demonstrate BP's dedication to enhancing its operations and pursuing new opportunities, potentially elevating investor confidence and propelling the stock's rise.

26.05.2025 - BP Stock was down 6.3%

• The bearish movement in BP's stock price today could be attributed to the squashing of takeover rumors by a competitor. The confirmation that the competitor has not made an offer or held talks with BP, along with the ban on bids unless invited by BP or a competing offer emerges, may have disappointed investors hoping for a potential acquisition.
• The information about a rival company's long-term strategy to boost earnings and thrive in volatile markets could have also impacted BP's stock negatively, as it highlights a competitor's proactive approach in the energy sector.
• Additionally, the milestone achieved by BP's GTA project with the Gimi FLNG reaching a certain milestone may not have been sufficient to counterbalance the overall market sentiment influenced by the takeover rumors and a competitor's strategic initiatives.

11.01.2026 - BP Stock was up 5.4%

• The wider replacement cost loss in Q4 despite meeting underlying profit estimates may have disappointed investors, leading to a drop in the stock price.
• The decision to suspend the share buyback program to focus on strengthening the balance sheet reflects BP's commitment to financial stability but may have raised concerns about future growth prospects.
• The potential sale of the Gelsenkirchen refinery and increasing shareholder activism around capital expenditure discipline could be contributing factors to the bearish market movement.
• Investors evaluating BP's shift towards cleaner energy solutions and its long-term value proposition may be closely monitoring the company's strategic decisions amidst evolving market dynamics.

04.03.2025 - BP Stock was down 9.4%

• BP's initiation of the search for a new Chair, driven by pressure from activist hedge fund Elliott Management, could have instilled uncertainty and negative sentiment among investors.
• Even with recent achievements like acquiring Israeli offshore gas licenses and advancing the Ginger gas project in Trinidad, market response seems dampened by concerns from Elliott Management.
• Speculation surrounding leadership alterations and activist engagement may have sparked doubts about the firm's strategic path and plans, prompting the bearish stock movement.
• Investors may be wary of the potential impact of these proposed changes on BP's activities and financial performance, contributing to the stock's downward trajectory.