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Super Micro Computer Inc ($SMCI) Stock Forecast: Down 18.2% Today

Morpher AI identified a bearish signal. The stock price may continue to fall based on the momentum of the negative news.

What is Super Micro Computer Inc?

Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) is a technology company specializing in server solutions and data storage. Today, the stock experienced a strong bearish movement in the market.

Why is Super Micro Computer Inc going down?

SMCI stock is down 18.2% on Aug 6, 2025 19:46

  • SMCI's fourth-quarter earnings fell below expectations, with revenues also failing to meet analyst predictions, resulting in a bearish market trend.
  • A mix of less profitable hyperscale and GPU rack shipments contributed to the company's earnings decline, further impacting the stock's performance.
  • Following the disappointing financial results, SMCI reduced its FY26 sales forecast, worsening investor sentiment towards the company.
  • The stock faced significant selling pressure today due to the combination of underwhelming earnings, reduced revenue, and lowered sales guidance, leading to the observed bearish movement in the market.

SMCI Price Chart

SMCI Technical Analysis

SMCI News

Super Micro Computer Q4 Earnings Miss Estimates, Revenues Rise Y/Y

SMCI's fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results reflect an unfavorable product mix, like low margin hyperscale and GPU rack shipments contracting the bottom line.

https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2673847/super-micro-computer-q4-earnings-miss-estimates-revenues-rise-yy

0 Missing News Article Image Super Micro Computer Q4 Earnings Miss Estimates, Revenues Rise Y/Y

Super Micro Stock Is Facing Heavy Selling Pressure Today: What's Fueling The Sell-Off? - Super Micro Computer ( NASDAQ:SMCI )

Super Micro reports fiscal fourth-quarter revenue of $5.76 billion, missing analyst estimates of $5.88 billion. Super Micro reports fourth-quarter adjusted earnings of 41 cents per share, missing estimates of 44 cents per share. The next correction is closer than you think.

https://www.benzinga.com/markets/earnings/25/08/46908306/super-micro-stock-is-facing-heavy-selling-pressure-today-whats-fueling-the-sell-off

1 News Article Image Super Micro Stock Is Facing Heavy Selling Pressure Today: What's Fueling The Sell-Off? - Super Micro Computer  ( NASDAQ:SMCI )

Super Micro Computer Posts Downbeat Q4 Results, Joins Personalis, Snap And Other Big Stocks Moving Lower In Wednesday's Pre-Market Session - Day One Biopharmaceutical ( NASDAQ:DAWN ) , Digital Turbine ( NASDAQ:APPS )

U.S. stock futures were higher this morning, with the Dow futures gaining around 100 points on Wednesday. Shares of Super Micro Computer, Inc. SMCI fell sharply in pre-market trading after the company reported worse-than-expected fourth-quarter financial results and cut its FY26 sales guidance.

https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/movers/25/08/46895726/super-micro-computer-posts-downbeat-q4-results-joins-personalis-snap-and-other-big-stocks-mo

2 News Article Image Super Micro Computer Posts Downbeat Q4 Results, Joins Personalis, Snap And Other Big Stocks Moving Lower In Wednesday's Pre-Market Session - Day One Biopharmaceutical  ( NASDAQ:DAWN ) , Digital Turbine  ( NASDAQ:APPS )

Super Micro Computer Q4 Earnings Highlights: Shares Fall On Double Miss, Lower Guidance - Super Micro Computer ( NASDAQ:SMCI )

Super Micro reported fourth-quarter net sales of $5.76 billion, up from $4.6 billion in the third quarter. The company missed Street estimates for both revenue and earnings per share. The market's back, and these 3 income stocks are thriving. See them here→ Super Micro Computer Inc.

https://www.benzinga.com/markets/earnings/25/08/46872363/super-micro-computer-q4-earnings-highlights-shares-fall-on-double-miss-lower-guidance

3 News Article Image Super Micro Computer Q4 Earnings Highlights: Shares Fall On Double Miss, Lower Guidance - Super Micro Computer  ( NASDAQ:SMCI )

Super Micro Computer Likely To Report Lower Q4 Earnings; These Most Accurate Analysts Revise Forecasts Ahead Of Earnings Call - Super Micro Computer ( NASDAQ:SMCI )

Super Micro Computer, Inc. SMCI will release earnings results for the fourth quarter, after the closing bell on Tuesday, Aug. 5. Analysts expect the San Jose, California-based company to report quarterly earnings at 44 cents per share, down from 62 cents per share in the year-ago period.

https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-stock-ratings/price-target/25/08/46862679/super-micro-computer-likely-to-report-lower-q4-earnings-these-most-accurate-an

4 News Article Image Super Micro Computer Likely To Report Lower Q4 Earnings; These Most Accurate Analysts Revise Forecasts Ahead Of Earnings Call - Super Micro Computer  ( NASDAQ:SMCI )

Super Micro Computer Inc Price History

25.05.2025 - SMCI Stock was up 5.6%

  • SMCI stock surged by 5.3% during the trading day.
  • The company is optimistic about its new DCBBS technology, aiming to revolutionize data centers with liquid-cooled, rack-scale AI systems.
  • Despite encountering margin pressures and fierce competition in the AI-server market, SMCI has shown a 34.1% year-to-date climb.
  • The recent rise in stock price is potentially influenced by investor confidence in the future growth opportunities of SMCI's innovative data center solutions.

25.05.2025 - SMCI Stock was up 6.0%

  • SMCI stock demonstrated strength today, closing at $45.32 with a +1.91% increase.
  • Notwithstanding recent hurdles including raising $2B via convertible notes and a 6% drop in shares, the stock has climbed 34.1% YTD.
  • The favorable momentum may be linked to investor optimism regarding AI infrastructure, amid margin pressures and intense competition in the AI-server sector.
  • Market trends indicate that investors are prioritizing SMCI's long-term growth potential over short-term challenges like margin pressures and competition.

22.06.2025 - SMCI Stock was down 5.7%

  • SMCI stock surged significantly in the past 3 months but faced a strong bearish movement today.
  • The partnership with Digi Power X and Nvidia to launch AI infrastructure seemed promising, indicating potential growth opportunities.
  • However, concerns about rising costs, competition, and margin pressure likely contributed to investors' bearish sentiment today.
  • The market may be reacting to the red flags raised in terms of the company's financial outlook despite recent positive developments.

13.05.2025 - SMCI Stock was down 5.1%

  • Despite active trading of bullish options, Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) experienced a bearish trend in its stock price today.
  • The recent collaboration with Nvidia to enhance AI server solutions in Europe was expected to benefit the company in the long term; however, short-term market sentiment seemed to overshadow this development.
  • Divergent signals from the options market, exhibiting bullish positions, and the actual stock performance today imply that external market conditions or broader industry dynamics may have influenced the downward movement.
  • Investor reactions to macroeconomic factors or industry-specific updates may have contributed to the decline in SMCI's stock price, notwithstanding positive advancements in its strategic partnerships.

15.06.2025 - SMCI Stock was up 5.1%

  • SMCI stock showed strong bullish movement recently.
  • Competition in the liquid cooling sector between SMCI and VRT is intensifying, with SMCI's earnings trajectory looking more promising.
  • Vertiv's stock increase due to a rise in backlogs might bode well for SMCI, as the growing demand for AI infrastructure and new industry orders could benefit companies in this space like SMCI.
  • Today's market activity around SMCI seems to be influenced by the optimistic forecast for AI-driven liquid cooling solutions and the potential growth in this sector.

01.07.2025 - SMCI Stock was down 9.8%

  • The bearish movement in SMCI stock today could be linked to profit-taking by investors following a significant 97% increase in 2025.
  • Despite expectations of positive fourth-quarter fiscal results related to direct liquid cooling and server offerings, investors may have opted to sell their holdings to lock in profits.
  • Options trading activity and bullish positions taken by high-profile investors could have increased volatility in the stock, contributing to the bearish trend as individual traders responded to market sentiment.
  • Comparisons of SMCI to NVIDIA and discussions about its valuation may have influenced investor confidence, leading some to reassess their positions and play a part in the bearish movement.

08.06.2025 - SMCI Stock was up 5.0%

  • The stock settled at $47.11, showing a -2.99% change from its previous close. Despite this dip, it managed to have a bullish day overall.
  • New export controls requiring licenses for AI chip shipments to Malaysia and Thailand could potentially impact Super Micro Computer's business positively, leading to increased investor confidence.
  • Super Micro Computer's price target was raised from $40 to $47 by Mizuho, indicating a positive outlook on the stock despite maintaining a Neutral rating. This adjustment might have contributed to the bullish movement.
  • Super Micro Computer has a history of outperforming the market over the past 15 years, showcasing its strong performance and potential for growth, which could have further fueled the bullish sentiment today.

16.05.2025 - SMCI Stock was up 5.2%

  • Despite some bearish options activity, Super Micro Computer's stock price significantly increased.
  • SMCI's upward momentum was not impacted by the market's decline.
  • A partnership with Nvidia to improve AI server solutions in Europe could have boosted the positive sentiment and stock price.
  • Noteworthy investors' bullish positions in the options market may have further driven the stock's upward movement.

06.07.2025 - SMCI Stock was down 21.7%

  • The company reported fourth-quarter revenue of $5.76 billion, missing analyst estimates, and adjusted earnings of 41 cents per share, also below expectations, leading to heavy selling pressure on the stock.
  • Lower-than-expected financial results and reduced FY26 sales guidance contributed to the sharp decline in SMCI shares.
  • Analysts had already anticipated lower earnings for the fourth quarter, which further added to the negative sentiment surrounding the stock.
  • The overall market trend was positive with U.S. stock futures higher, but Super Micro Computer's disappointing performance stood out, causing the stock to decline more than the market average.

06.07.2025 - SMCI Stock was down 18.2%

  • SMCI's fourth-quarter earnings fell below expectations, with revenues also failing to meet analyst predictions, resulting in a bearish market trend.
  • A mix of less profitable hyperscale and GPU rack shipments contributed to the company's earnings decline, further impacting the stock's performance.
  • Following the disappointing financial results, SMCI reduced its FY26 sales forecast, worsening investor sentiment towards the company.
  • The stock faced significant selling pressure today due to the combination of underwhelming earnings, reduced revenue, and lowered sales guidance, leading to the observed bearish movement in the market.

06.07.2025 - SMCI Stock was down 19.9%

  • SMCI reported worse-than-expected fourth-quarter financial results and lowered its FY26 sales guidance, leading to a sharp decline in its stock price.
  • The company missed Street estimates for both revenue and earnings per share, causing investor confidence to waver.
  • Analysts had predicted lower Q4 earnings for SMCI, and the actual results seem to have fallen short of even those reduced expectations.
  • The negative market sentiment towards SMCI was further exacerbated by the broader market trend, with other big stocks like Personalis and Snap also moving lower, adding to the downward pressure on SMCI's stock price.

28.06.2025 - SMCI Stock was up 5.1%

  • SMCI's stock had a positive change of +1.59%, indicating strong investor interest.
  • The decline in chip and AI-related companies could offer a chance for investors seeking value and momentum stocks.
  • Speculation about significant market shifts may have boosted investor confidence and influenced the positive movement in SMCI's stock.
  • The uptrend in SMCI's stock could be attributed to both its individual performance and market trends impacting similar companies in the industry.
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Disclaimer
Morpher is not liable for the content of the AI investment insights. Like most GPT-powered tools, these summaries may contain AI hallucinations and inaccurate information. Morpher is not presenting you with any investment advice. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. These summaries do not constitute investment advice.