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United Parcel Service Inc. ($UPS) Stock Forecast: Down 10.6% Today

Morpher AI identified a bearish signal. The stock price may continue to fall based on the momentum of the negative news.

What is United Parcel Service Inc.?

United Parcel Service (UPS) operates as a global package delivery company specializing in logistics and supply chain management, with its stock listed on the NYSE under the ticker symbol UPS.

Why is United Parcel Service Inc. going down?

UPS stock is down 10.6% on Jul 29, 2025 19:46

  • Today, UPS stock displayed a significant bearish trend following the company's Q2 earnings results.
  • Factors such as an earnings miss and the absence of guidance for 2025 revenue or operating profit were key contributors to the prevailing negative market sentiment.
  • Concerns were further amplified by reduced domestic volumes impacting EPS and a track record of falling short of revenue estimates in previous quarters.
  • The downward movement of UPS stock likely reflects the bearish sentiment of notable investors regarding UPS options.

UPS Price Chart

UPS Technical Analysis

UPS News

UPS Shares Move South After Q2 Earnings Miss Estimates

United Parcel Service stock declines after second-quarter 2025 earnings miss estimates and lack of 2025 revenue or operating profit guidance.

https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2634770/ups-shares-move-south-after-q2-earnings-miss-estimates

0 Missing News Article Image UPS Shares Move South After Q2 Earnings Miss Estimates

Why Is UPS Stock Falling On Tuesday? - United Parcel Service ( NYSE:UPS )

UPS Q2 revenue topped expectations, but EPS missed by two cents amid lower domestic volumes. The company withdrew full-year guidance due to macro uncertainty, but reaffirmed $3.5B in cost-saving targets. Get special access to three exclusive "Top 10 Stocks" power lists today, updated daily.

https://www.benzinga.com/markets/earnings/25/07/46687002/ups-volume-takes-a-hit-on-tariff-induced-weakness-withholds-annual-outlook

1 News Article Image Why Is UPS Stock Falling On Tuesday? - United Parcel Service  ( NYSE:UPS )

United Parcel Service ( UPS ) Q2 Earnings Lag Estimates

UPS (UPS) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of -0.64% and +1.77%, respectively, for the quarter ended June 2025. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2632914/united-parcel-service-ups-q2-earnings-lag-estimates

2 Missing News Article Image United Parcel Service  ( UPS )  Q2 Earnings Lag Estimates

UPS Q2 Preview: Stock Slumps Into Tough Earnings Trend - United Parcel Service ( NYSE:UPS )

UPS has missed revenue estimates from analysts in 9 of the last 10 quarters. Analysts and investors are looking for continued momentum from the company's recent first-quarter results that beat analyst estimates. Get special access to three exclusive "Top 10 Stocks" power lists today, updated daily.

https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/previews/25/07/46667230/ups-q2-preview-stock-down-in-10-of-last-12-reports

3 News Article Image UPS Q2 Preview: Stock Slumps Into Tough Earnings Trend - United Parcel Service  ( NYSE:UPS )

Market Whales and Their Recent Bets on UPS Options - United Parcel Service ( NYSE:UPS )

Whales with a lot of money to spend have taken a noticeably bearish stance on United Parcel Service. Looking at options history for United Parcel Service UPS we detected 16 trades. If we consider the specifics of each trade, it is accurate to state that 12% of the investors opened trades with ...

https://www.benzinga.com/insights/options/25/07/46638494/market-whales-and-their-recent-bets-on-ups-options

4 News Article Image Market Whales and Their Recent Bets on UPS Options - United Parcel Service  ( NYSE:UPS )

United Parcel Service Inc. Price History

29.06.2025 - UPS Stock was down 10.4%

  • UPS stock experienced a bearish movement today due to:
  • Missing EPS estimates by two cents in Q2 earnings, despite revenue topping expectations.
  • Continuously missing revenue estimates in the past 10 quarters, signaling a concerning trend for investors.
  • Market whales taking a bearish stance on UPS options, indicating negative sentiment towards the stock.
  • The company's decision to withdraw full-year guidance due to macro uncertainty may have added to investor concerns and contributed to the downward pressure on the stock price.
  • Investors and analysts are closely monitoring UPS's performance and cost-saving targets to assess its ability to navigate challenges and drive future growth amidst a competitive market landscape.

29.06.2025 - UPS Stock was down 10.6%

  • Today, UPS stock displayed a significant bearish trend following the company's Q2 earnings results.
  • Factors such as an earnings miss and the absence of guidance for 2025 revenue or operating profit were key contributors to the prevailing negative market sentiment.
  • Concerns were further amplified by reduced domestic volumes impacting EPS and a track record of falling short of revenue estimates in previous quarters.
  • The downward movement of UPS stock likely reflects the bearish sentiment of notable investors regarding UPS options.

29.06.2025 - UPS Stock was down 7.3%

  • Q2 earnings from UPS were below expectations, signaling potential challenges ahead.
  • Historical patterns of revenue misses have raised worries among investors, likely influencing the bearish trend.
  • Major investors showing bearishness in UPS options imply doubts about the company's future.
  • Analyst sentiment, exemplified by Jim Cramer's remarks, indicates skepticism towards UPS's fundamentals, weighing on the stock's performance.

30.00.2025 - UPS Stock was down 14.2%

  • Today's bearish movement in UPS stock can be attributed to a combination of factors:
  • Weak guidance and plans to slash Amazon deliveries by more than half have raised concerns among investors about the company's future profitability.
  • Despite beating earnings expectations in Q4, the lackluster revenue view for 2025 has dampened investor sentiment.
  • The bearish stance taken by institutional investors or high-net-worth individuals, as indicated by publicly available options history, may have added selling pressure on the stock.
  • Overall market sentiment, with other big stocks like Microsoft moving lower in the pre-market session, could have contributed to the downward pressure on UPS shares.

30.00.2025 - UPS Stock was down 16.4%

  • UPS shares saw a 17% decrease following weak guidance and a decision to reduce Amazon deliveries by more than half, suggesting a shift away from less profitable contracts.
  • Investors with substantial capital exhibited a bearish outlook, evident from available options history, adding to the negative momentum on UPS stock.
  • Despite surpassing EPS estimates, UPS fell short of fourth-quarter revenue projections, leading to a significant drop in stock value before the market opened.
  • Concerns arose among investors and led to a sharp decline in the stock price after UPS announced a major restructuring plan involving volume cuts, network adjustments, and a $1 billion efficiency initiative.

30.00.2025 - UPS Stock was down 15.9%

  • UPS stock fell sharply in today's trading session after missing fourth-quarter revenue expectations, despite beating EPS estimates. This discrepancy between revenue and earnings likely raised concerns among investors, leading to the bearish movement.
  • The announcement of a major restructuring by UPS, including volume cuts and network changes, might have raised uncertainties about the company's future growth prospects, contributing to the negative market sentiment.
  • The news of Georgia Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene purchasing UPS stock could have added some positive momentum, but it was overshadowed by the broader market reaction to UPS's financial performance and restructuring plans.

03.03.2025 - UPS Stock was down 9.0%

  • UPS experienced a bearish movement despite positive news such as beating the stock market upswing and gaining slightly in the latest trading session.
  • The unusual options activity showing a higher percentage of bullish traders might have initially indicated a positive sentiment, but the actual market movement contradicted this.
  • The comparison with its competitor FDX (FedEx) and concerns about low shipment volumes, cost-cutting efforts, and tariff issues in the industry could have contributed to the bearish trend.
  • The discrepancy between the bullish stance of financial giants and whales and the actual market performance suggests that external factors or market sentiment might have influenced UPS's bearish movement today.

03.03.2025 - UPS Stock was down 6.2%

  • Today, UPS experienced a strong bearish movement in the stock market, despite some positive news surrounding the company:
  • There was active trading of options indicating optimism, but the market moved in the opposite direction.
  • UPS launched a service to improve import fee transparency, which was seen as a positive step. However, factors beyond this may have led to the stock decline.
  • The disparity between positive bets from major financial players and the market performance suggests external influences on the stock.
  • Although UPS had favorable developments and investor interest, today's stock decline could be due to broader market conditions, profit-taking, or concerns about the company's future performance.

25.02.2025 - UPS Stock was down 3.0%

  • The bearish movement in UPS could be attributed to the bearish stance taken by investors in the options market, as indicated by the publicly available options history. This suggests a lack of confidence or negative sentiment towards the stock.
  • Despite the bearish market movement, Wall Street analysts seem to hold an overly optimistic view on UPS, recommending it to be added to investors' portfolios. This conflicting sentiment between investors and analysts may have added to the volatility and downward pressure on the stock.
  • The divergence in opinions between investors and analysts could be causing uncertainty and hesitation among traders, leading to increased selling pressure on UPS shares.

09.03.2025 - UPS Stock was up 6.1%

  • Recent expansion of UPS's ground portfolio and delivery options is likely to have bolstered investor confidence in the company's growth prospects.
  • The introduction of two new ground shipping services and an expansion in export services in the Kyushu region present positive developments that could potentially boost UPS's revenue.
  • Comparisons with rival parcel delivery company FDX may have also influenced the bullish sentiment, positioning UPS as a strong industry player with promising growth opportunities.

09.03.2025 - UPS Stock was down 5.2%

  • There was a downward movement in UPS stock despite positive updates on its delivery expansion and international service growth.
  • Mixed opinions from brokers on investing in UPS potentially led to investor uncertainty and a subsequent sell-off.
  • Comparison with competitor FDX (FedEx) and concerns regarding shipment volumes and tariffs may have influenced the negative trend.
  • Although UPS outperformed the market in the previous session, selling pressure was observed today, possibly due to profit-taking or market-wide conditions.

10.05.2025 - UPS Stock was up 3.2%

  • UPS stock showed a +1.08% shift from the previous trading day, closing higher at $99.31, outperforming the market.
  • Investor sentiment towards UPS appeared positive today, despite previous skepticism from certain quarters.
  • The market displayed a bullish outlook on UPS, despite some observed bearish options activity.
  • Concerns regarding UPS's dividend sustainability were noted, but investor focus seemed to prioritize other growth factors within the company.
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Disclaimer
Morpher is not liable for the content of the AI investment insights. Like most GPT-powered tools, these summaries may contain AI hallucinations and inaccurate information. Morpher is not presenting you with any investment advice. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. These summaries do not constitute investment advice.