Dow Jones Industrial Average ($INDU) Index Forecast: Up 0.7% Today

What is Dow Jones Industrial Average?

The INDU index, also known as the Dow Jones Industrial Average, tracks 30 large, publicly-owned companies trading on the New York Stock Exchange and the NASDAQ, making it a highly watched equity index worldwide, reflective of various sectors.

Why is Dow Jones Industrial Average going up?

INDU index is up 0.7% on Feb 2, 2026 14:45

• Today's upbeat INDU index performance is influenced by:
• Past trends indicating possible short-term adjustments but favorable long-term results, boosting investor morale.
• Statements from Jerome Powell attributing inflation to Trump's tariffs, offering insight into the current economic situation.
• The U.S. money supply hitting a significant milestone, signaling general market confidence amidst short-term fluctuations.
• Peter Schiff's caution of an anticipated 'historic bear market,' steering investors towards conventional safe-haven assets like gold, potentially shifting focus away from stocks.

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INDU News

Is a 3rd Historic Stock Market Crash Imminent Under President Donald Trump? Here's What the Data Says.

While stock markets have rallied significantly during Trump's second term, historical data suggests potential challenges ahead. The S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio is at its second-highest level in 155 years, and Trump's tariff policies have historically negatively impacted corporate productivity and profits. However, the article notes that while corrections are possible, they are typically short-lived, and long-term 20-year returns have been universally positive.

https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/02/01/3rd-stock-market-crash-under-trump-what-data-says/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Wall Street Has a Federal Reserve Problem, With a Perfect Storm Brewing in 2026

The article warns of a perfect storm brewing for Wall Street in 2026 due to historic division within the Federal Reserve's FOMC, Jerome Powell's upcoming departure as Fed Chair in May 2026, and historical precedent showing that rate-easing cycles often precede bear markets. With the Fed giving conflicting signals and uncertainty around Trump's Fed nominee, 2026 is expected to be a volatile and vulnerable period for equities.

https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/02/01/wall-st-federal-reserve-problem-perfect-storm-2026/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Did Fed Chair Jerome Powell Just Throw President Donald Trump Under the Bus Concerning Inflation?

Fed Chair Jerome Powell attributed elevated inflation to President Trump's tariffs, noting that tariff-induced inflation is expected to peak in mid-2026. Historical analysis of Trump's 2018-2019 China tariffs shows they reduced productivity, employment, and profits for affected companies while increasing consumer prices. Powell's FOMC held rates steady, with future rate cuts dependent on no additional tariffs being implemented.

https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/01/31/fed-chair-jerome-powell-donald-trump-inflation/?source=iedfolrf0000001

U.S. Money Supply Just Made History in More Ways Than One -- and It's Sending an Ominous Warning to Wall Street

The U.S. stock market has reached a historic valuation milestone with the market cap-to-M2 money supply ratio hitting 306%, surpassing the dot-com bubble peak of 303%. While M2 money supply reached an all-time high of $22.411 trillion in December 2025, it hasn't kept pace with the tech-fueled rally. Historically, when this ratio exceeds 200%, significant market corrections of 20-78% have followed. However, the article notes that bull markets historically last 3.5 times longer than bear markets, suggesting long-term optimism remains justified despite near-term volatility risks.

https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/01/31/us-money-supply-history-ominous-warning-wall-st/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Peter Schiff Explains Why This Is A 'Historic Bear Market' As Gold Logs Biggest One-Day Dollar Gain Ever

Economist Peter Schiff warned of a 'historic bear market' as gold reached record highs of $5,590 per ounce, marking its biggest one-day gain against the U.S. Dollar in history. Schiff highlighted that the Dow is now worth just 9 ounces of gold, its lowest level since 2013 and nearly 80% below its 1999 peak when measured in gold. The gold rally was driven by mounting fiscal, geopolitical, and monetary concerns, along with central bank stockpiling.

https://www.benzinga.com/markets/commodities/26/01/50215829/peter-schiff-explains-why-this-is-a-historic-bear-market-as-gold-logs-biggest-one-day-dollar-?utm_source=benzinga_taxonomy&utm_medium=rss_feed_free&utm_content=taxonomy_rss&utm_campaign=channel

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Dow Jones Industrial Average Price History

13.00.2026 - INDU Index was up 0.1%

• A notable surge in the INDU index occurred today due to a rare buy signal from the century-old Dow Theory, as both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Dow Jones Transportation Average hit new highs concurrently. This signal historically foreshadows robust returns in the S&P 500, reinforcing investor optimism.
• Initial market uncertainty stemming from Janet Yellen's mention of a probe into Jerome Powell, the current Fed Chair, was allayed by Powell's defense of the Fed's autonomy and endorsement by former Fed Chairs and prominent economists, fueling the market's bullish upturn.
• Despite concerns about a potential 2026 stock market correction under Donald Trump's presidency, the prevailing positive market sentiment fueled by the Dow Theory buy signal and strong historical returns seems to have overshadowed these worries, bolstering today's bullish trend in the INDU index.

22.00.2026 - INDU Index was up 1.8%

• The bullish movement in the INDU can be attributed to President Trump's decision to withdraw threatened tariffs on eight European allies, leading to a rally across major indexes.
• The historic sell-off in Japan's bond market and rising U.S. Treasury yields may have also contributed to the positive sentiment in the U.S. stock market, as Japanese investors potentially redirect capital to the U.S.
• Despite concerns about high valuations and growing investor skepticism reflected in the record-high money market funds, the market seems to have responded positively to the news of tariff withdrawals and global market dynamics.
• President Trump's track record of delivering strong annualized returns in the stock market, coupled with ongoing geopolitical and economic factors, continues to influence market movements and investor sentiment.

31.11.2025 - INDU Index was down 0.3%

• The bearish movement in the INDU index today is linked to concerns over President Trump's global tariffs, leading to market volatility and uncertainty among investors.
• Fed Chair Jerome Powell's caution about high equity valuations, notably the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio nearing historical highs, may have contributed to the negative sentiment in the market and the sell-off in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
• Despite the recent all-time high in the S&P 500 and potential for a Santa Claus rally, caution prevails among investors due to uncertainties surrounding trade policies and valuation levels, deterring a bullish sentiment in the INDU index.

17.11.2025 - INDU Index was down 0.6%

• Investors might be selling off stocks in the Dow Jones index, including Chevron, Merck, and Coca-Cola, due to profit-taking or concerns about the overall market sentiment.
• The focus on high-dividend stocks may not be resonating with investors today, leading to a bearish movement in the index.
• The attractiveness of dividend stocks may have taken a back seat as market participants shift their focus towards other investment opportunities or risk-off sentiment.

13.10.2025 - INDU Index was down 0.8%

• The Dow Jones Industrial Average had recently broken records, reaching all-time highs.
• Investors showed optimism about the government shutdown nearing a resolution and favored traditional sectors over technology stocks.
• Despite the positive outlook and recent highs, the index faced a notable bearish movement today, possibly due to profit-taking or a shift towards risk-off assets.

29.00.2026 - INDU Index was down 0.5%

• Gold's unprecedented surge to record levels and its largest single-day jump against the U.S. Dollar ever have raised concerns related to fiscal, geopolitical, and monetary issues. This has prompted investors to seek refuge in safe-haven assets like gold, diverting their focus away from traditional stock indices such as INDU.
• Evident market signals, including a notable increase in margin debt and a high Shiller P/E ratio, are indicating caution for the S&P 500. These factors suggest potential challenges ahead for the broader stock market, which could have had a spillover effect contributing to the downward movement in the INDU index.
• The uncertainties surrounding the Federal Reserve's policy committee and the potential leadership changes at the Fed have exacerbated market uncertainty. This has amplified the prevailing bearish sentiment and exerted downward pressure on indices like INDU.

20.00.2026 - INDU Index was down 0.2%

• The Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU) is a stock market index that measures the performance of 30 large companies listed on stock exchanges in the United States. It is one of the most widely followed equity indices in the world.
• There was a significant bearish movement in the stock market today, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU) experiencing substantial losses.
• Concerns about historically high valuations, potential risks associated with an AI bubble, and increasing investor skepticism despite recent strong performance appear to be influencing market sentiment.
• Internal disagreements within the Federal Reserve, along with tensions between President Trump and Fed Chair Jerome Powell, are contributing to uncertainty and potentially impacting market stability.
• The market's negative sentiment and bearish movement in the Dow Jones Industrial Average today may be influenced by the perceived threat of hyperinflation resulting from authoritarian actions against the Federal Reserve Chair.

21.00.2026 - INDU Index was up 0.0%

• A historic sell-off in the Japanese bond market, driven by fiscal concerns and inflation worries, led to a global ripple effect that pushed U.S. Treasury yields higher, redirecting capital flows and contributing to the bullish movement in the INDU index.
• Growing skepticism among investors, evident through record-high money market funds, and concerns about historically high valuations may have also influenced the bullish market movement.
• Favorable tax policies and AI growth under President Trump's administration have contributed to strong stock market returns, despite warnings of potential headwinds like high valuations and Federal Reserve divisions. Positive market sentiment towards Trump's policies might have further boosted the INDU index.
• The lack of agreement within the Federal Reserve, with differing opinions on rate cuts and tensions with President Trump, poses a risk to market stability. Nonetheless, the positive outlook on Trump's policies and market performance likely overshadowed these concerns, propelling the bullish movement in the INDU index.

05.00.2026 - INDU Index was up 0.7%

• The bullish movement in the INDU index today can be attributed to the positive market sentiment driven by the significant rebound in stock prices towards the end of 2025 and the overall recovery in the markets.
• Despite concerns raised about potential headwinds in 2026, including Federal Reserve policies, high valuations, and historical market trends, investors seem to be focusing on the current momentum and positive economic indicators.
• The market's reaction to past tariff policies, which initially caused volatility followed by rebounds, might have instilled confidence in investors that any potential challenges in 2026 could be navigated successfully.
• Overall, the bullish movement in the INDU index today reflects a mix of optimism, resilience, and a forward-looking approach by market participants amidst the backdrop of potential uncertainties.

02.01.2026 - INDU Index was up 0.7%

• Today's upbeat INDU index performance is influenced by:
• Past trends indicating possible short-term adjustments but favorable long-term results, boosting investor morale.
• Statements from Jerome Powell attributing inflation to Trump's tariffs, offering insight into the current economic situation.
• The U.S. money supply hitting a significant milestone, signaling general market confidence amidst short-term fluctuations.
• Peter Schiff's caution of an anticipated 'historic bear market,' steering investors towards conventional safe-haven assets like gold, potentially shifting focus away from stocks.

15.00.2026 - INDU Index was up 0.7%

• The INDU index's bullish movement today can be linked to:
• Endorsement from top central bankers worldwide standing in solidarity with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, underscoring central bank independence's significance for financial stability.
• The century-old Dow Theory giving off a rare buy signal, signaling positive market sentiment and potential for robust returns.
• Despite concerns regarding threats to Fed independence and a DOJ investigation into Powell's testimony, markets maintained stability with major equity indices hitting all-time highs, reflecting investor faith in the Fed's policy trajectory.
• The surge of gold and silver to record levels during the market upheaval could also suggest a shift toward safe-haven assets, reinforcing the market's bullish trajectory.

30.11.2025 - INDU Index was down 0.7%

• Today's downturn in the INDU index is linked to Fed Chair Jerome Powell's caution regarding the elevated valuation of equity prices, particularly referencing the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio nearing historical highs.
• Powell's warning on potential market declines due to high Shiller P/E ratios surpassing 30 may have unsettled investors, prompting a market sell-off.
• Despite the recent record levels of the S&P 500 and the potential for a Santa Claus rally, investors appear to be heeding Powell's advice and making adjustments to their positions, resulting in the bearish trend seen in the INDU index today.