Automatic Data Processing Inc. ($ADP) Stock Forecast: Down 5.5% Today

What is Automatic Data Processing Inc.?

Automatic Data Processing Inc. (NASDAQ: ADP) is a leading provider of human resources management software and services, helping businesses streamline their HR processes. Today, ADP experienced a significant bearish movement in the stock market.

Why is Automatic Data Processing Inc. going down?

ADP stock is down 5.5% on Oct 29, 2025 17:41

• Despite surpassing profit and sales goals in the fiscal first quarter, ADP's stock witnessed a 5% decline, potentially influenced by several factors:
• Market expectations for higher revenues or growth figures may have led to a post-earnings sell-off.
• A rise in short interest as a percentage of float suggests a growing bearish sentiment among investors, contributing to the stock's downward pressure.
• The positive performance of major indexes after the FOMC meeting could have prompted profit-taking or portfolio rebalancing activities, negatively affecting ADP's stock.
• Investors might be reassessing ADP's future growth prospects post the positive earnings surprise, prompting portfolio adjustments and impacting the stock price negatively.

ADP Price Chart

ADP Technical Analysis

ADP News

ADP Beats Profit And Sales Goals, So Why Is The Stock Down 5%? - Automatic Data Processing ( NASDAQ:ADP )

Automatic Data Processing Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:ADP ) stock slid on Wednesday after it reported fiscal first-quarter results. The company reported quarterly revenues of $5.18 billion, beating the analyst consensus estimate of $5.14 billion. Revenues increased 7% year-over-year.

https://www.benzinga.com/markets/earnings/25/10/48496159/adp-beats-profit-and-sales-goals-so-why-is-the-stock-down-5

Automatic Data Processing ( ADP ) Q1 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates

ADP (ADP) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +2.05% and +0.95%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2025. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2779842/automatic-data-processing-adp-q1-earnings-and-revenues-top-estimates

Fed's FOMC Meeting in Focus

Pre-markets are keeping the pedal mostly to the metal this morning, with most of the major market indexes higher again following record closing highs Monday afternoon. The Dow is +220 points, the S&P 500 is +7 and the Nasdaq +41. Only the small-cap Russell 2000 is lower at this hour, by -7 points.

https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2779215/feds-fomc-meeting-in-focus

Is Automatic Data Processing Inc Gaining or Losing Market Support? - Automatic Data Processing ( NASDAQ:ADP )

Automatic Data Processing Inc's ( NYSE:ADP ) short interest as a percent of float has risen 35.23% since its last report. According to exchange reported data, there are now 8.63 million shares sold short, which is 2.38% of all regular shares that are available for trading.

https://www.benzinga.com/insights/short-sellers/25/10/48413615/is-automatic-data-processing-inc-gaining-or-losing-market-support

Seeking Clues to ADP ( ADP ) Q1 Earnings? A Peek Into Wall Street Projections for Key Metrics

Looking beyond Wall Street's top-and-bottom-line estimate forecasts for ADP (ADP), delve into some of its key metrics to gain a deeper insight into the company's potential performance for the quarter ended September 2025.

https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2776238/seeking-clues-to-adp-adp-q1-earnings-a-peek-into-wall-street-projections-for-key-metrics

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Automatic Data Processing Inc. Price History

28.09.2025 - ADP Stock was up 0.6%

• A rise in short interest as a percent of float might have initiated a short squeeze, resulting in a spike in the stock price.
• Investor sentiment could be positive regarding ADP's Q1 earnings, with analysts forecasting favorable key metrics.
• The confluence of short interest trends and promising key metric projections likely bolstered investor confidence and supported today's bullish run in ADP's stock.

30.00.2025 - ADP Stock was down 2.2%

• Despite beating earnings and revenue estimates in the second quarter, ADP experienced a bearish movement.
• The market may have reacted negatively due to concerns about future growth prospects or profit-taking by investors after a period of outperformance.
• The strong performance over the past 10 years may have raised expectations, leading to a sell-off when the results did not meet heightened investor expectations.
• Investors might be focusing on other factors such as guidance, market conditions, or macroeconomic trends that could be impacting ADP's stock price negatively.

10.05.2024 - ADP Stock was down 2.5%

• ADP stock experienced a bearish movement after private employers added 152,000 jobs in May, falling below both Wall Street predictions and the revised figure for April.
• Investors reacted negatively to the weaker-than-expected job creation data, leading to a sell-off in ADP shares.
• The market sentiment was further impacted by the softer economic data, with investors buying stocks on lower yields as bonds rapidly moved up, indicating a cautious approach towards economic recovery.
• The upcoming release of the jobs report on Friday will be closely watched to assess the overall health of the job market and its potential impact on ADP's stock performance.

09.05.2025 - ADP Stock was down 1.7%

• ADP saw a significant decline in its stock value following disappointing private payrolls data, which showed a creation of only +37K new jobs in the private sector, below market expectations.
• Concerns about the economic recovery were raised as this was the second consecutive month of weak job growth, driving investors to sell ADP shares.
• The company's challenges in the current economic climate were underscored by the lackluster job numbers, contributing to the downward trend in its stock price.
• Investors are likely keeping a close watch on ADP's future performance and its ability to navigate through economic uncertainties to gauge its long-term growth outlook.

26.05.2024 - ADP Stock was down 3.5%

• Today's bearish movement in ADP's stock can be attributed to the following factors:
• Despite its historical outperformance, analysts' bearish sentiment towards ADP's stock may have influenced investor confidence and triggered selling pressure.
• Highlighting ADP's underperformance compared to other dividend aristocrat stocks could have raised concerns among investors about the company's future growth prospects.
• Investors may be reallocating their portfolios based on the negative outlook for ADP, leading to a significant sell-off and contributing to the bearish trend in the stock price.
• The overall market sentiment and broader economic conditions may have also played a role in the downward movement of ADP's stock today.

02.03.2024 - ADP Stock was up 0.2%

• The bullish movement in ADP's stock today could be linked to positive market sentiment towards dividend stocks aiming for upside potential, with investors increasingly interested in assets offering growth and income.
• Mention of dividend stocks with growth attributes may have influenced investors to consider ADP for investment due to its robust financial position, consistent dividend payments, and future growth possibilities.
• Investors might have favored ADP because of its sustainable free cash flow, which plays a crucial role in increasing dividends over time.
• The focus on valuation metrics such as the price to earnings ratio (P/E) and payout ratio in discussions may have boosted investor confidence in ADP's potential for capital appreciation.

30.08.2025 - ADP Stock was down 0.6%

• The stock's bearish movement could be attributed to the surge in implied volatility for ADP stock options, indicating increased uncertainty and potential downside risk perceived by investors.
• Despite outperforming the market over the past 20 years with a solid average annual return, the current market conditions and options activity may have influenced the negative sentiment towards ADP today.
• Investors closely monitoring the options market movements for ADP suggest that there may be concerns or speculations impacting the stock price, leading to the bearish trend observed.

11.02.2025 - ADP Stock was down 4.1%

• ADP stock experienced a strong bearish movement today.
• The news about the lowest employment growth since July 2024 may have negatively impacted investor confidence in ADP.
• Investors might be concerned about the implications of slower employment growth on ADP's business performance, leading to the bearish market movement.
• The long-term outperformance of ADP in the market over the past 20 years might not have been enough to offset the short-term concerns about employment growth, contributing to the downward trend in the stock price.

29.09.2025 - ADP Stock was down 5.0%

• Strong Q1 earnings and revenues were reported by ADP, surpassing estimates and generally sparking a bullish sentiment. However, the stock saw a bearish movement, hinting at potential additional influencing factors.
• Market uncertainty stemming from the Fed's FOMC meeting may have prompted investors to retreat from riskier assets like stocks, including those of ADP.
• The uptick in short interest in ADP indicates that certain investors may be taking a bearish stance on the stock, potentially playing a role in the downward movement.
• Positive projections for ADP's key metrics notwithstanding, broader economic factors and market dynamics could have overshadowed the company's performance, contributing to the prevailing bearish trend.

29.09.2025 - ADP Stock was down 5.5%

• Despite surpassing profit and sales goals in the fiscal first quarter, ADP's stock witnessed a 5% decline, potentially influenced by several factors:
• Market expectations for higher revenues or growth figures may have led to a post-earnings sell-off.
• A rise in short interest as a percentage of float suggests a growing bearish sentiment among investors, contributing to the stock's downward pressure.
• The positive performance of major indexes after the FOMC meeting could have prompted profit-taking or portfolio rebalancing activities, negatively affecting ADP's stock.
• Investors might be reassessing ADP's future growth prospects post the positive earnings surprise, prompting portfolio adjustments and impacting the stock price negatively.

30.06.2025 - ADP Stock was up 1.1%

• ADP's stock experienced a strong bullish movement today following the release of its Q4 earnings.
• The company surpassed expectations with $5.13B in revenue and $2.26 EPS, driven by strong performance in Employer Services and PEO segments.
• ADP's positive forecast for FY26, with revenue expected to reach up to $21.8B and EPS as high as $11, boosted investor confidence.
• Investor optimism was supported by ADP's solid financial performance and optimistic future outlook, resulting in the rise in the stock price.

04.03.2025 - ADP Stock was down 5.6%

• Despite a slight spike in the current market session, the stock of ADP had a bearish movement.
• The focus on human capital management stocks, particularly those offering payroll services, being relatively unaffected by tariffs, might have led investors to reassess ADP's position in the market.
• The overall market volatility could have influenced the bearish movement in ADP's stock price today.
• Investors may be reevaluating the growth prospects of ADP amidst the changing market conditions and the potential impact on human capital management companies.