Automatic Data Processing Inc. ($ADP) Stock Forecast: Down 2.5% Today

What is Automatic Data Processing Inc.?

ADP (Automatic Data Processing) is a leading provider of human resources management software and services, offering solutions for payroll, benefits administration, and workforce management. The company's stock, listed on the Nasdaq under the ticker symbol ADP, experienced a significant bearish movement today.

Why is Automatic Data Processing Inc. going down?

ADP stock is down 2.5% on Mar 25, 2026 14:35

• ADP's stock likely experienced a bearish movement due to the concerning findings of a survey, which revealed that only 22% of global workers feel secure in their jobs. This lack of job security sentiment could have raised investor concerns about ADP's future revenue and growth prospects.
• The data suggesting that daily AI users feel more secure in their jobs compared to non-users may have also contributed to the market's reaction, indicating potential challenges for ADP in catering to the needs of a workforce increasingly influenced by AI technologies.
• Investors may be awaiting ADP's upcoming quarterly results release on April 29 to gain further insights into the company's financial performance and strategic outlook, which could potentially impact the stock's movement in the near future.

ADP Price Chart

ADP Technical Analysis

ADP News

Paychex Reports Third Quarter Results

Paychex, Inc. (Nasdaq: PAYX) announced strong third-quarter results for fiscal year 2026, with double-digit revenue and operating income growth, and accelerated organic revenue growth. The company reported total revenue of $1.8 billion, a 20% increase, and diluted earnings per share of $1.56, up 9%. Paychex also returned over $1.5 billion to shareholders year-to-date and updated its fiscal 2026 outlook for interest on funds held for clients.

https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260324230115/en/Paychex-Reports-Third-Quarter-Results

ADP survey finds only 22% of workers feel job security

An ADP survey revealed that only 22% of global workers feel strong job security, with lower-paid and entry-level employees expressing the greatest concerns. The report also found that frequent AI users showed higher job security confidence, but daily AI users were more likely to feel less productive. ADP stock trades near its 52-week low and is considered undervalued by InvestingPro analysis.

https://www.investing.com/news/company-news/adp-survey-finds-only-22-of-workers-feel-job-security-93CH-4579794

Why AI users feel safer at work while others fear job loss

ADP Research's "Today at Work 2026, Issue 1" report reveals that only 22% of global workers are confident their job is safe from elimination, despite low unemployment. The study, based on a survey of over 39,000 workers, also highlights that daily AI users are significantly more engaged (30%) compared to non-users (14%) and feel more secure in their jobs. The findings underscore the importance of talent strategies focusing on skills development, mentorship, and clear expectations to boost employee engagement and confidence, especially in an era of rapid AI integration and multi-generational workforces.

https://www.stocktitan.net/news/ADP/adp-research-only-22-of-workers-confident-their-job-is-safe-from-xli50zko9dc2.html

Job Insecurity

This article introduces the latest issue of ADP's "Today at Work" quarterly report, which draws on ADP payroll data from over 25 million U.S. workers and extensive global surveys. The current issue focuses on critical workplace topics such as job security, the impact of AI in the workplace, unpaid working hours, and employee engagement. Readers are encouraged to download the full report to gain insights into these contemporary workforce challenges and trends.

https://www.adpresearch.com/today-at-work/issue1-2026/

ADP will post quarterly results before market opens April 29

ADP (Nasdaq: ADP) is scheduled to release its third fiscal quarter results for the period ending March 31, 2026, before the Nasdaq open on April 29, 2026. A conference call with CEO Maria Black, CFO Peter Hadley, and VP of Investor Relations Matthew Keating will follow at 8:30 a.m. ET on the same day. The results and related materials, including a slide presentation, will be made available on the Investor Relations section of adp.com, with a live webcast of the call accessible at investors.adp.com.

https://www.stocktitan.net/news/ADP/adp-to-announce-third-quarter-fiscal-2026-financial-results-on-april-vogjfhtcd501.html

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Automatic Data Processing Inc. Price History

28.09.2025 - ADP Stock was up 0.6%

• A rise in short interest as a percent of float might have initiated a short squeeze, resulting in a spike in the stock price.
• Investor sentiment could be positive regarding ADP's Q1 earnings, with analysts forecasting favorable key metrics.
• The confluence of short interest trends and promising key metric projections likely bolstered investor confidence and supported today's bullish run in ADP's stock.

09.05.2025 - ADP Stock was down 1.7%

• ADP saw a significant decline in its stock value following disappointing private payrolls data, which showed a creation of only +37K new jobs in the private sector, below market expectations.
• Concerns about the economic recovery were raised as this was the second consecutive month of weak job growth, driving investors to sell ADP shares.
• The company's challenges in the current economic climate were underscored by the lackluster job numbers, contributing to the downward trend in its stock price.
• Investors are likely keeping a close watch on ADP's future performance and its ability to navigate through economic uncertainties to gauge its long-term growth outlook.

03.01.2026 - ADP Stock was down 5.0%

• ADP's stock saw a notable decline of 4.10%, hitting a low point during the day, even though it surpassed earnings projections and raised its annual revenue forecast.
• Analysts' forecasts suggesting an optimistic future for ADP present a contrasting view to the negative stock movement seen today.
• Jim Cramer's expressed concerns about AI's impact on payroll processing firms and a wider slowdown in the job market might have played a part in the market's pessimistic response to ADP.
• Disparities in segment performance, with strong showings in the Employer Services division but weaker results in the PEO segment, may have also contributed to the cautious sentiment surrounding ADP.

28.00.2026 - ADP Stock was down 1.6%

• Despite strong Q2 earnings and revenue growth, ADP's stock faced a bearish movement.
• Adjustment of ADP's price target from $272 to $262 by Wells Fargo may have contributed to the stock's downward pressure.
• A slight revenue miss compared to analysts' forecasts and prevailing market sentiment could have influenced the bearish movement.
• Investor caution regarding insider selling activity and the company's standing in the Altman Z-Score "grey area" may have led to profit-taking and a stock price decline.

25.02.2026 - ADP Stock was down 2.5%

• ADP's stock likely experienced a bearish movement due to the concerning findings of a survey, which revealed that only 22% of global workers feel secure in their jobs. This lack of job security sentiment could have raised investor concerns about ADP's future revenue and growth prospects.
• The data suggesting that daily AI users feel more secure in their jobs compared to non-users may have also contributed to the market's reaction, indicating potential challenges for ADP in catering to the needs of a workforce increasingly influenced by AI technologies.
• Investors may be awaiting ADP's upcoming quarterly results release on April 29 to gain further insights into the company's financial performance and strategic outlook, which could potentially impact the stock's movement in the near future.

26.01.2026 - ADP Stock was up 6.0%

• ADP stock had a bullish run today, reaching a day high despite recent price pressures.
• The company's emphasis on using AI to improve workers' human skills may have boosted investor sentiment.
• ADP's effective management and strong financial base likely played a role in the bullish trend.
• ADP's stability and growth potential compared to Paycom's growth concerns and Digital Realty's AI-related services expansion may have increased its appeal to investors.

30.08.2025 - ADP Stock was down 0.6%

• The stock's bearish movement could be attributed to the surge in implied volatility for ADP stock options, indicating increased uncertainty and potential downside risk perceived by investors.
• Despite outperforming the market over the past 20 years with a solid average annual return, the current market conditions and options activity may have influenced the negative sentiment towards ADP today.
• Investors closely monitoring the options market movements for ADP suggest that there may be concerns or speculations impacting the stock price, leading to the bearish trend observed.

27.01.2026 - ADP Stock was down 5.0%

• ADP's stock plummeted to a daily low due to pricing pressures, marking a notable 33.81% decrease over the last year, contrasting with the S&P 500's positive performance.
• Despite impressive quarterly results and strong financial metrics like a high ROCE and low debt-to-EBITDA ratio, TD Asset Management Inc. trimmed its position in ADP by 1.5% in the third quarter, potentially influencing the bearish trend.
• Differing opinions from analysts and an overall "Hold" rating, along with a target price of $290.00, introduced uncertainty and hindered a bullish trend for ADP's stock.
• The market's watchful stance towards growth companies, including Paycom Software Inc., facing inquiries about stability and competitiveness, likely impacted sentiment and played a role in ADP's downward movement.

29.09.2025 - ADP Stock was down 5.0%

• Strong Q1 earnings and revenues were reported by ADP, surpassing estimates and generally sparking a bullish sentiment. However, the stock saw a bearish movement, hinting at potential additional influencing factors.
• Market uncertainty stemming from the Fed's FOMC meeting may have prompted investors to retreat from riskier assets like stocks, including those of ADP.
• The uptick in short interest in ADP indicates that certain investors may be taking a bearish stance on the stock, potentially playing a role in the downward movement.
• Positive projections for ADP's key metrics notwithstanding, broader economic factors and market dynamics could have overshadowed the company's performance, contributing to the prevailing bearish trend.

29.09.2025 - ADP Stock was down 5.5%

• Despite surpassing profit and sales goals in the fiscal first quarter, ADP's stock witnessed a 5% decline, potentially influenced by several factors:
• Market expectations for higher revenues or growth figures may have led to a post-earnings sell-off.
• A rise in short interest as a percentage of float suggests a growing bearish sentiment among investors, contributing to the stock's downward pressure.
• The positive performance of major indexes after the FOMC meeting could have prompted profit-taking or portfolio rebalancing activities, negatively affecting ADP's stock.
• Investors might be reassessing ADP's future growth prospects post the positive earnings surprise, prompting portfolio adjustments and impacting the stock price negatively.

30.06.2025 - ADP Stock was up 1.1%

• ADP's stock experienced a strong bullish movement today following the release of its Q4 earnings.
• The company surpassed expectations with $5.13B in revenue and $2.26 EPS, driven by strong performance in Employer Services and PEO segments.
• ADP's positive forecast for FY26, with revenue expected to reach up to $21.8B and EPS as high as $11, boosted investor confidence.
• Investor optimism was supported by ADP's solid financial performance and optimistic future outlook, resulting in the rise in the stock price.

04.03.2025 - ADP Stock was down 5.6%

• Despite a slight spike in the current market session, the stock of ADP had a bearish movement.
• The focus on human capital management stocks, particularly those offering payroll services, being relatively unaffected by tariffs, might have led investors to reassess ADP's position in the market.
• The overall market volatility could have influenced the bearish movement in ADP's stock price today.
• Investors may be reevaluating the growth prospects of ADP amidst the changing market conditions and the potential impact on human capital management companies.