Automatic Data Processing Inc. ($ADP) Stock Forecast: Down 5.0% Today

What is Automatic Data Processing Inc.?

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) operates in the human capital management sector and offers services such as payroll and HR software. Recently, there was a significant downward trend in ADP's stock performance.

Why is Automatic Data Processing Inc. going down?

ADP stock is down 5.0% on Feb 27, 2026 14:48

• ADP's stock plummeted to a daily low due to pricing pressures, marking a notable 33.81% decrease over the last year, contrasting with the S&P 500's positive performance.
• Despite impressive quarterly results and strong financial metrics like a high ROCE and low debt-to-EBITDA ratio, TD Asset Management Inc. trimmed its position in ADP by 1.5% in the third quarter, potentially influencing the bearish trend.
• Differing opinions from analysts and an overall "Hold" rating, along with a target price of $290.00, introduced uncertainty and hindered a bullish trend for ADP's stock.
• The market's watchful stance towards growth companies, including Paycom Software Inc., facing inquiries about stability and competitiveness, likely impacted sentiment and played a role in ADP's downward movement.

ADP Price Chart

ADP Technical Analysis

ADP News

Can AI help workers improve human skills?

Naomi Lariviere of ADP explains how AI can help workers develop human skills by automating repetitive tasks, freeing up time for creativity, empathy, and collaboration. She suggests that thoughtfully designed AI can enhance the work experience, making it simpler and more intuitive, and allowing individuals to focus on higher-value work. This evolution aims to create a healthier, rather than just faster, modern workplace.

https://mediacenter.adp.com/can-ai-help-workers-improve-human-skills

Automatic Data Processing Stock Hits Day Low Amid Price Pressure at $203.26

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) stock has dropped significantly, reaching an intraday low of $203.26 and experiencing a 33.81% decline over the past year, contrasting sharply with the S&P 500's gains. Despite these price pressures, the company exhibits strong management efficiency with a high ROCE of 74.89% and a low debt-to-EBITDA ratio, indicating a solid financial foundation. Institutional investor confidence remains robust, with holdings at 84.21%.

https://www.marketsmojo.com/news/stocks-in-action/automatic-data-processing-stock-hits-day-low-amid-price-pressure-at-20326-3856066

TD Asset Management Inc Sells 11,336 Shares of Automatic Data Processing, Inc. $ADP

TD Asset Management Inc. reduced its stake in Automatic Data Processing (ADP) by 1.5% in the third quarter, selling 11,336 shares. Despite this, ADP reported strong quarterly results, beating EPS and revenue estimates, and announced a $6.0 billion share buyback and a quarterly dividend of $1.70. Analysts have mixed views, leading to a consensus "Hold" rating with an average price target of $290.00.

https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/filing-td-asset-management-inc-sells-11336-shares-of-automatic-data-processing-inc-adp-2026-02-25/

Paycom Stock: Quiet Rebound, Big Question For Growth Investors

Paycom Software Inc. is undergoing a quiet rebound after a growth scare, raising questions for investors about its long-term stability and competitive positioning. The article discusses Paycom's shift from a hyper-growth SaaS company to a "prove-it execution" stage, facing scrutiny over revenue stabilization, margin leverage, and competition. It highlights key metrics and investor considerations, including its profitability and the challenges of re-establishing trust in a market increasingly cautious about valuations.

https://www.ad-hoc-news.de/boerse/ueberblick/paycom-stock-quiet-rebound-big-question-for-growth-investors/68609816

Paycom Stock: Quiet Rebound, Big Question For Growth Investors

Paycom Software Inc. is undergoing a quiet rebound after a growth outlook shock, prompting investors to question if its recovery signals a true turnaround or a temporary bounce. The article analyzes Paycom as a profitable SaaS company dependent on US mid-market employment, HR tech contract stickiness, and management's ability to prove the growth reset was a one-time event. It delves into the risks and opportunities, the competitive landscape, and key fundamental questions for US investors.

https://www.ad-hoc-news.de/boerse/news/ueberblick/paycom-stock-quiet-rebound-big-question-for-growth-investors/68609816

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Automatic Data Processing Inc. Price History

28.09.2025 - ADP Stock was up 0.6%

• A rise in short interest as a percent of float might have initiated a short squeeze, resulting in a spike in the stock price.
• Investor sentiment could be positive regarding ADP's Q1 earnings, with analysts forecasting favorable key metrics.
• The confluence of short interest trends and promising key metric projections likely bolstered investor confidence and supported today's bullish run in ADP's stock.

09.05.2025 - ADP Stock was down 1.7%

• ADP saw a significant decline in its stock value following disappointing private payrolls data, which showed a creation of only +37K new jobs in the private sector, below market expectations.
• Concerns about the economic recovery were raised as this was the second consecutive month of weak job growth, driving investors to sell ADP shares.
• The company's challenges in the current economic climate were underscored by the lackluster job numbers, contributing to the downward trend in its stock price.
• Investors are likely keeping a close watch on ADP's future performance and its ability to navigate through economic uncertainties to gauge its long-term growth outlook.

03.01.2026 - ADP Stock was down 5.0%

• ADP's stock saw a notable decline of 4.10%, hitting a low point during the day, even though it surpassed earnings projections and raised its annual revenue forecast.
• Analysts' forecasts suggesting an optimistic future for ADP present a contrasting view to the negative stock movement seen today.
• Jim Cramer's expressed concerns about AI's impact on payroll processing firms and a wider slowdown in the job market might have played a part in the market's pessimistic response to ADP.
• Disparities in segment performance, with strong showings in the Employer Services division but weaker results in the PEO segment, may have also contributed to the cautious sentiment surrounding ADP.

28.00.2026 - ADP Stock was down 1.6%

• Despite strong Q2 earnings and revenue growth, ADP's stock faced a bearish movement.
• Adjustment of ADP's price target from $272 to $262 by Wells Fargo may have contributed to the stock's downward pressure.
• A slight revenue miss compared to analysts' forecasts and prevailing market sentiment could have influenced the bearish movement.
• Investor caution regarding insider selling activity and the company's standing in the Altman Z-Score "grey area" may have led to profit-taking and a stock price decline.

26.01.2026 - ADP Stock was up 6.0%

• ADP stock had a bullish run today, reaching a day high despite recent price pressures.
• The company's emphasis on using AI to improve workers' human skills may have boosted investor sentiment.
• ADP's effective management and strong financial base likely played a role in the bullish trend.
• ADP's stability and growth potential compared to Paycom's growth concerns and Digital Realty's AI-related services expansion may have increased its appeal to investors.

30.08.2025 - ADP Stock was down 0.6%

• The stock's bearish movement could be attributed to the surge in implied volatility for ADP stock options, indicating increased uncertainty and potential downside risk perceived by investors.
• Despite outperforming the market over the past 20 years with a solid average annual return, the current market conditions and options activity may have influenced the negative sentiment towards ADP today.
• Investors closely monitoring the options market movements for ADP suggest that there may be concerns or speculations impacting the stock price, leading to the bearish trend observed.

27.01.2026 - ADP Stock was down 5.0%

• ADP's stock plummeted to a daily low due to pricing pressures, marking a notable 33.81% decrease over the last year, contrasting with the S&P 500's positive performance.
• Despite impressive quarterly results and strong financial metrics like a high ROCE and low debt-to-EBITDA ratio, TD Asset Management Inc. trimmed its position in ADP by 1.5% in the third quarter, potentially influencing the bearish trend.
• Differing opinions from analysts and an overall "Hold" rating, along with a target price of $290.00, introduced uncertainty and hindered a bullish trend for ADP's stock.
• The market's watchful stance towards growth companies, including Paycom Software Inc., facing inquiries about stability and competitiveness, likely impacted sentiment and played a role in ADP's downward movement.

11.02.2025 - ADP Stock was down 4.1%

• ADP stock experienced a strong bearish movement today.
• The news about the lowest employment growth since July 2024 may have negatively impacted investor confidence in ADP.
• Investors might be concerned about the implications of slower employment growth on ADP's business performance, leading to the bearish market movement.
• The long-term outperformance of ADP in the market over the past 20 years might not have been enough to offset the short-term concerns about employment growth, contributing to the downward trend in the stock price.

29.09.2025 - ADP Stock was down 5.0%

• Strong Q1 earnings and revenues were reported by ADP, surpassing estimates and generally sparking a bullish sentiment. However, the stock saw a bearish movement, hinting at potential additional influencing factors.
• Market uncertainty stemming from the Fed's FOMC meeting may have prompted investors to retreat from riskier assets like stocks, including those of ADP.
• The uptick in short interest in ADP indicates that certain investors may be taking a bearish stance on the stock, potentially playing a role in the downward movement.
• Positive projections for ADP's key metrics notwithstanding, broader economic factors and market dynamics could have overshadowed the company's performance, contributing to the prevailing bearish trend.

29.09.2025 - ADP Stock was down 5.5%

• Despite surpassing profit and sales goals in the fiscal first quarter, ADP's stock witnessed a 5% decline, potentially influenced by several factors:
• Market expectations for higher revenues or growth figures may have led to a post-earnings sell-off.
• A rise in short interest as a percentage of float suggests a growing bearish sentiment among investors, contributing to the stock's downward pressure.
• The positive performance of major indexes after the FOMC meeting could have prompted profit-taking or portfolio rebalancing activities, negatively affecting ADP's stock.
• Investors might be reassessing ADP's future growth prospects post the positive earnings surprise, prompting portfolio adjustments and impacting the stock price negatively.

30.06.2025 - ADP Stock was up 1.1%

• ADP's stock experienced a strong bullish movement today following the release of its Q4 earnings.
• The company surpassed expectations with $5.13B in revenue and $2.26 EPS, driven by strong performance in Employer Services and PEO segments.
• ADP's positive forecast for FY26, with revenue expected to reach up to $21.8B and EPS as high as $11, boosted investor confidence.
• Investor optimism was supported by ADP's solid financial performance and optimistic future outlook, resulting in the rise in the stock price.

04.03.2025 - ADP Stock was down 5.6%

• Despite a slight spike in the current market session, the stock of ADP had a bearish movement.
• The focus on human capital management stocks, particularly those offering payroll services, being relatively unaffected by tariffs, might have led investors to reassess ADP's position in the market.
• The overall market volatility could have influenced the bearish movement in ADP's stock price today.
• Investors may be reevaluating the growth prospects of ADP amidst the changing market conditions and the potential impact on human capital management companies.