Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. ($CMG) Stock Forecast: Down 13.5% Today

What is Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.?

Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE: CMG) is a popular fast-casual restaurant chain known for its Mexican-inspired menu. The company has been focusing on digital sales and expanding its restaurant footprint with innovations like Chipotlanes.

Why is Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. going down?

CMG stock is down 13.5% on Jul 24, 2025 16:06

• Chipotle Mexican Grill experienced a 4% decline in comparable restaurant sales during the second quarter, leading to a bearish movement in the stock.
• Despite surpassing earnings per share estimates and witnessing growth in new units and digital sales, the company's revenue did not meet expectations.
• The reduction in 2025 sales projections and a tepid demand outlook influenced the market's negative response to Chipotle's Q2 performance.
• The decrease in transactions and overall sales performance outweighed the positive effects of opening new restaurants, including Chipotlanes, which have been bolstering sales and margin expansion.

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CMG News

Chipotle Mexican Grill Q2 Sales Decline, June-July Boost Keeps Analysts Bullish - Chipotle Mexican Grill ( NYSE:CMG )

Chipotle Mexican Grill reported Q2 SSS decline of 4% and in-line earnings. The company lowered its 2025 SSS guidance from LSDs to flat. Tim Melvin's system has spotted 10X winners like NVIDIA and Matador-see his next 6 picks and the options strategies to multiply gains at a free July 23 event.

https://www.benzinga.com/news/restaurants/25/07/46606785/chipotle-mexican-grill-q2-sales-decline-june-july-boost-keeps-analysts-bullish

Chipotle Stock Is Trading Lower Thursday: What's Going On? - Chipotle Mexican Grill ( NYSE:CMG )

Chipotle's comparable restaurant sales decline 4% in the second quarter as transactions drop nearly 5%. The company opens 61 new restaurants, including 47 Chipotlanes, which continue to support sales and margin growth.

https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/movers/25/07/46604714/chipotle-stock-is-trading-lower-thursday-whats-going-on

Chipotle Q2 Earnings Top, Revenues Lag Estimates, Stock Down

CMG beats Q2 EPS estimates as new units and digital sales boost revenues. However, comps fall and outlook dims on weak demand.

https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2612413/chipotle-q2-earnings-top-revenues-lag-estimates-stock-down

Chipotle Falls About 9% After Hours Following Q2 Results - Bank of Montreal ( NYSE:BMO ) , Chipotle Mexican Grill ( NYSE:CMG )

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. CMG experienced a 9.81% drop during after-hours trading on Wednesday. What Happened: After Chipotle's second-quarter earnings report was released on Wednesday, the stock price of the fast-casual restaurant chain plummeted by 9.81% to $47.60.

https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/07/46593358/chipotle-falls-about-9-after-hours-following-q2-results

Chipotle Q2 Misses on Revenue, Cuts 2025 Sales Outlook, Shares Drop - Chipotle Mexican Grill ( NYSE:CMG )

Chipotle reports second-quarter revenue of $3.06 billion, missing analyst estimates of $3.11 billion. Chipotle reports adjusted earnings of 33 cents per share, in line with analyst estimates. A new wave of value and momentum stocks could be setting up for major moves-and Tim Melvin will name ...

https://www.benzinga.com/markets/earnings/25/07/46588301/chipotle-q2-earnings-revenue-miss-eps-in-line-2025-comparable-sales-now-expected-to-be-about-fla

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Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. Price History

24.06.2025 - CMG Stock was down 12.2%

• CMG saw a notable 9.81% decrease in after-hours trading subsequent to its Q2 earnings announcement. The earnings report revealed a revenue shortfall and a reduction in the projected sales for 2025.
• The unsatisfactory earnings and revised sales outlook likely influenced the downward trend in CMG's stock value.
• Concerns may have arisen among investors regarding CMG's capacity to foster growth amidst escalating expenses and heightened competition in the fast-casual dining sector.
• The market response indicates that both analysts and investors had anticipated better Q2 results from CMG, leading to the abrupt decline in the stock price.

24.06.2025 - CMG Stock was down 13.5%

• Chipotle Mexican Grill experienced a 4% decline in comparable restaurant sales during the second quarter, leading to a bearish movement in the stock.
• Despite surpassing earnings per share estimates and witnessing growth in new units and digital sales, the company's revenue did not meet expectations.
• The reduction in 2025 sales projections and a tepid demand outlook influenced the market's negative response to Chipotle's Q2 performance.
• The decrease in transactions and overall sales performance outweighed the positive effects of opening new restaurants, including Chipotlanes, which have been bolstering sales and margin expansion.

07.02.2025 - CMG Stock was down 7.8%

• Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) has been a strong performer over the past decade, outperforming the market with an average annual return of 13.79%.
• The stock is down 6.8% since the last earnings report, which may have contributed to the bearish movement today.
• Despite a recent gain in the most recent trading session, Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) still lags behind the overall market performance.
• The comparison between Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) and Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) in terms of value may have also influenced investor sentiment towards CMG today.

25.03.2025 - CMG Stock was up 5.1%

• First-quarter earnings were reported, reflecting a mixed performance.
• While exceeding earnings projections, the company's revenues were lower than anticipated, with a drop in comparable sales attributed to reduced transactions and a consumer spending slowdown.
• The stock's movement was also influenced by plans for expansion into Mexico and market volatility.
• Investors are keeping a close watch on consumer-facing companies like Chipotle for insights into future performance.

04.05.2025 - CMG Stock was up 5.0%

• Despite an unusual bearish options activity, CMG's stock demonstrated a strong bullish movement, indicating resilience against market expectations.
• The slight decrease in stock price amid overall market growth suggests that investors may be emphasizing CMG's long-term growth potential and fundamental strength.
• The performance difference with Domino's Pizza (DPZ), which has declined post its recent earnings report, may have indirectly impacted investor perception towards CMG, prompting a shift in focus towards the more promising choice in the fast-casual dining sector.

10.03.2025 - CMG Stock was up 6.1%

• Chipotle's bullish movement today could be attributed to CEO Scott Boatwright's announcement that the company will not increase menu prices due to tariffs, which may have reassured investors and customers alike.
• Despite a slight dip in the broader market, Chipotle's strong stance on maintaining prices could have instilled confidence in investors, leading to the bullish movement in the stock.
• Boatwright's commitment to not passing on additional costs to consumers might have been perceived positively by the market, reflecting in the stock's upward trajectory.

26.01.2025 - CMG Stock was up 5.9%

• Chipotle's release of the animated short film "Unfolded" featuring a cover by Halsey and the announcement of a $2 million donation to support sustainable agriculture likely boosted investor confidence in the company's commitment to ethical sourcing practices.
• The emphasis on advancing the future of farming through educational programs at leading universities aligns with Chipotle's brand identity and could attract socially conscious consumers, potentially driving up demand for the stock.
• This positive news may have contributed to the bullish movement in Chipotle's stock price as investors view the company's initiatives as not only socially responsible but also potentially profitable in the long run.

23.03.2025 - CMG Stock was up 5.0%

• Expansion plans into Mexico were announced, marking Chipotle's first venture into this international market.
• Price targets for Chipotle have been revised lower by analysts due to concerns about guidance and potential tariff impacts.
• A partnership with Alsea to launch restaurants in Mexico by early 2026 is viewed as a driver for Latin American expansion.
• Despite market uncertainties, Chipotle's strategic initiatives and expansion strategies appear to have positively influenced investor sentiment, resulting in the uptick in the stock price.

09.03.2025 - CMG Stock was up 10.1%

• Despite dipping more than the broader market, Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) managed to exceed market returns, showcasing its resilience and potential strength in the market.
• The bullish movement in CMG's stock price could be attributed to positive news such as exceeding market returns, indicating strong performance and investor confidence in the company's growth prospects.
• Investors may be optimistic about Chipotle's ability to navigate challenges and capitalize on opportunities, leading to increased buying interest and driving the stock price higher.
• Overall, the bullish movement in CMG's stock suggests that investors are optimistic about the company's future outlook and potential for growth in the fast-casual dining industry.

07.02.2025 - CMG Stock was down 5.1%

• Chipotle (CMG) saw a downturn in its stock price today despite the broader market performance.
• Concerns related to increased food costs, particularly from tariffs impacting items like avocados from Mexico, may have influenced the stock's movement.
• Comparisons drawn between Chipotle and Cheesecake Factory that discuss company valuation and growth potential could have affected investor sentiment.
• While Chipotle's strategy of not passing on tariff-related costs to customers is noteworthy, there may be investor apprehension about the potential long-term implications on the company's profitability.

04.03.2025 - CMG Stock was down 5.3%

• Despite positive sentiment from deep-pocketed investors in the options market, Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) experienced a strong bearish movement today.
• The discrepancy between the market sentiment and the stock performance could be attributed to broader market conditions or specific company-related factors not widely reported.
• Investors may need to reassess their positions and consider potential risks or uncertainties impacting CMG's stock price, despite the optimistic outlook from options market analysis.

09.04.2025 - CMG Stock was down 5.0%

• A comparison between BJ's Restaurants (BJRI) and CMG might have raised concerns among investors about CMG's valuation and growth potential, leading to a sell-off.
• Investors may have favored BJRI over CMG due to perceived better value, causing a shift in capital from CMG to BJRI.
• Challenges or weaknesses specific to CMG could have been highlighted, prompting investors to reevaluate their positions and sell off CMG shares.
• Any unfavorable metrics or forecasts mentioned in the comparison may have contributed to the bearish movement in CMG's stock price.