Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. ($CMG) Stock Forecast: Down 5.1% Today

What is Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.?

Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) is a popular fast-casual restaurant chain known for its fresh and customizable Mexican-inspired menu. The company has been focusing on brand strength and menu innovation to drive growth in a competitive market.

Why is Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. going down?

CMG stock is down 5.1% on Feb 11, 2026 15:01

• Chipotle's stock experienced a bearish movement possibly due to concerns arising from misleading information about its pricing strategy, leading to uncertainty among investors.
• The clarification provided by Chipotle regarding the modest price increase to offset inflation may not have been sufficient to alleviate market worries, contributing to the downward trend in the stock price.
• Investors might be cautious about Chipotle's ability to maintain customer traffic amidst pricing adjustments and the need to prove that recent weaknesses are temporary rather than long-term structural issues.
• The market sentiment could also be influenced by broader economic factors such as inflation expectations and consumer spending trends impacting the restaurant industry as a whole.

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CMG News

The Top 5 Analyst Questions From Yum China's Q4 Earnings Call

Yum China Holdings Inc. (YUMC) reported strong Q4 CY2025 results, exceeding analyst expectations for revenue, EPS, and EBITDA, driven by store expansion, menu innovation, and efficient operations. CEO Joey Wat highlighted sustained same-store sales growth and investments in value offerings. The article focuses on key analyst questions regarding delivery price adjustments, same-store sales trends, Pizza Hut's growth strategies, the Gemini store rollout, and the economics of K Pro and Pizza Hut's burger strategy.

https://finviz.com/news/306823/the-top-5-analyst-questions-from-yum-chinas-q4-earnings-call

Chipotle works to correct misleading reports about pricing

Chipotle is addressing misleading information circulating online and in some news reports about its pricing strategy. The company clarified that it is not raising prices due to wealthier customers, but rather planning a modest 1% to 2% price increase to offset expected inflation. This comes after an X post misconstrued comments made on an earnings call regarding the demographic of Chipotle's customer base and future pricing adjustments.

https://www.restaurantbusinessonline.com/financing/chipotle-works-correct-misleading-reports-about-pricing

7-Eleven Answers Chicken Cravings With New $5 Deal

7-Eleven is introducing new $5 chicken offers across its Raise the Roost®, Speedy Café®, and Laredo Taco Company® restaurant concepts to cater to customers' chicken cravings with affordable, bold flavors. William Armstrong, Senior Vice President of Restaurant Operations at 7-Eleven, Inc., emphasized the company's commitment to delivering quality and delicious flavors. The new deals aim to provide multiple ways for customers to enjoy diverse chicken options at a value price point.

https://www.foodmarket.com/News/Tags/1333508/foodservice/7-Eleven-Answers-Chicken-Cravings-With-New-5-Deal

Jim Cramer Calls McDonald's "Blessed"

Jim Cramer highlighted McDonald's (NYSE: MCD) as a "blessed" stock due to its strong value proposition, despite past challenges with beef prices. He noted that falling cattle prices could further benefit the company. Cramer also suggested that new tariffs on Argentinian beef might negatively impact Texas Roadhouse, while potentially benefiting McDonald's.

https://finviz.com/news/305973/jim-cramer-calls-mcdonalds-blessed

2026: Chipotle Must Prove Traffic Weakness Is Cyclical, Not Structural

Chipotle Mexican Grill faces a crucial year in 2026 to demonstrate that its recent traffic weakness is a cyclical downturn rather than a structural issue. The company made a conscious decision in 2025 to prioritize brand strength over short-term volume by avoiding aggressive discounting, focusing instead on limited-time menu innovations and loyalty programs. Investors are advised to monitor traffic recovery as the key indicator of the company's long-term compounding story, as sustained softness could cap its valuation multiples.

https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/markets/stocks/NVDA/pressreleases/122715/2026-chipotle-must-prove-traffic-weakness-is-cyclical-not-structural/

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Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. Price History

24.06.2025 - CMG Stock was down 12.2%

• CMG saw a notable 9.81% decrease in after-hours trading subsequent to its Q2 earnings announcement. The earnings report revealed a revenue shortfall and a reduction in the projected sales for 2025.
• The unsatisfactory earnings and revised sales outlook likely influenced the downward trend in CMG's stock value.
• Concerns may have arisen among investors regarding CMG's capacity to foster growth amidst escalating expenses and heightened competition in the fast-casual dining sector.
• The market response indicates that both analysts and investors had anticipated better Q2 results from CMG, leading to the abrupt decline in the stock price.

24.06.2025 - CMG Stock was down 13.5%

• Chipotle Mexican Grill experienced a 4% decline in comparable restaurant sales during the second quarter, leading to a bearish movement in the stock.
• Despite surpassing earnings per share estimates and witnessing growth in new units and digital sales, the company's revenue did not meet expectations.
• The reduction in 2025 sales projections and a tepid demand outlook influenced the market's negative response to Chipotle's Q2 performance.
• The decrease in transactions and overall sales performance outweighed the positive effects of opening new restaurants, including Chipotlanes, which have been bolstering sales and margin expansion.

17.11.2025 - CMG Stock was up 5.0%

• Chipotle experienced a bullish movement attributed to the excitement surrounding the opening of its first location in Rome, New York, which features a drive-thru for digital orders. This expansion into a new market with convenient ordering options is considered a positive growth opportunity for the company.
• Union Bancaire Privee UBP SA increased its stock position in Chipotle during the third quarter, indicating confidence in the company's future performance. This vote of confidence from a major investor likely contributed to the positive sentiment surrounding CMG stock.
• The average "Moderate Buy" rating from analysts and the target price of $49.81 also suggest optimism about Chipotle's potential for growth and profitability, further enhancing investor interest in the stock.
• To sum up, Chipotle's strategic expansion efforts, positive investor sentiment, and analyst ratings have all contributed to the bullish movement in CMG stock.

04.05.2025 - CMG Stock was up 5.0%

• Despite an unusual bearish options activity, CMG's stock demonstrated a strong bullish movement, indicating resilience against market expectations.
• The slight decrease in stock price amid overall market growth suggests that investors may be emphasizing CMG's long-term growth potential and fundamental strength.
• The performance difference with Domino's Pizza (DPZ), which has declined post its recent earnings report, may have indirectly impacted investor perception towards CMG, prompting a shift in focus towards the more promising choice in the fast-casual dining sector.

25.10.2025 - CMG Stock was up 6.8%

• The addition of Josh Weinstein to Chipotle's board of directors has likely boosted investor confidence in the company's future growth prospects.
• Despite concerns about a traffic slide and consumer pullbacks, Chipotle's focus on menu innovation and digital enhancements seems to be resonating well with investors.
• The bearish options activity detected could be attributed to profit-taking or short-term market speculation, but the overall positive sentiment around Chipotle's strategic initiatives appears to have outweighed these concerns.
• Chipotle's ability to adapt to changing consumer preferences and economic challenges, such as student loan burdens and unemployment impacting dining habits, will be crucial in sustaining its bullish momentum in the market.

25.10.2025 - CMG Stock was up 5.2%

• Today's bullish movement in CMG stock may signify investor confidence in the company's efforts to counter declining foot traffic through menu innovation and digital initiatives. Despite economic uncertainties impacting consumer behavior, the market appears to be positively responding to Chipotle's initiatives to adapt to industry changes and trends.

30.09.2025 - CMG Stock was down 17.1%

• CMG's third-quarter earnings beat forecasts but fell short on revenues, leading to a bearish movement in the stock.
• Weak traffic and margin pressures have clouded CMG's outlook, causing analysts to slash their forecasts.
• The downward revision of full-year guidance following the earnings report contributed to a significant drop in CMG shares.
• The market reacted negatively to the missed revenue estimates in the third-quarter earnings report, leading to a 17% drop in CMG stock.

13.10.2025 - CMG Stock was up 5.0%

• Despite hitting a new 52-week low recently, CMG experienced a strong bullish movement today.
• The market movement could be attributed to potential positive news or developments within the company that have sparked investor confidence.
• Investors might be reacting to the bullish movement as an opportunity to capitalize on short-term gains, despite the recent challenges faced by the company.
• It's important to keep an eye on further developments to see if this bullish momentum is sustainable or just a temporary shift in the market sentiment.

11.01.2026 - CMG Stock was down 5.1%

• Chipotle's stock experienced a bearish movement possibly due to concerns arising from misleading information about its pricing strategy, leading to uncertainty among investors.
• The clarification provided by Chipotle regarding the modest price increase to offset inflation may not have been sufficient to alleviate market worries, contributing to the downward trend in the stock price.
• Investors might be cautious about Chipotle's ability to maintain customer traffic amidst pricing adjustments and the need to prove that recent weaknesses are temporary rather than long-term structural issues.
• The market sentiment could also be influenced by broader economic factors such as inflation expectations and consumer spending trends impacting the restaurant industry as a whole.

30.09.2025 - CMG Stock was down 19.6%

• Chipotle Mexican Grill reported downbeat sales for the third quarter, with quarterly revenue missing analyst estimates.
• Analysts slashed their forecasts for CMG after the earnings report, leading to a significant drop in the stock price.
• The downward revision of full-year guidance also contributed to the bearish sentiment surrounding Chipotle stock.
• The negative market movement could be attributed to the disappointing financial performance in Q3, raising concerns among investors about the company's growth prospects in the near term.

09.04.2025 - CMG Stock was down 5.0%

• A comparison between BJ's Restaurants (BJRI) and CMG might have raised concerns among investors about CMG's valuation and growth potential, leading to a sell-off.
• Investors may have favored BJRI over CMG due to perceived better value, causing a shift in capital from CMG to BJRI.
• Challenges or weaknesses specific to CMG could have been highlighted, prompting investors to reevaluate their positions and sell off CMG shares.
• Any unfavorable metrics or forecasts mentioned in the comparison may have contributed to the bearish movement in CMG's stock price.

03.01.2026 - CMG Stock was up 1.3%

• Chipotle's stock (CMG) experienced a notable upward trend after revealing a promotional campaign that includes $1 million in free entrée codes and new Game Day Nacho Hacks, demonstrating its dedication to quality ingredients.
• In the face of challenges like increasing expenses and growing competition, investors hold a positive outlook for Chipotle's earnings, with analysts projecting an EPS of $0.24 and an anticipated rise of 4.23% in revenue.
• Darden's strategic choice to shut down 14 Bahama Breeze establishments and convert the remaining 14 into different brands doesn't impact Chipotle's bullish momentum but underlines Darden's focus on profitability and strategic goals for its restaurant portfolio.
• Chipotle's strategic initiatives, including the launch of a new Surprise, Arizona location featuring drive-thru "Chipotlanes," illustrate the company's endeavors to boost sales and improve customer convenience, factors that may contribute to its favorable market performance.