Capital One Financial Corporation ($COF) Stock Forecast: Down 4.5% Today

What is Capital One Financial Corporation?

Capital One Financial Corp (COF) is a diversified financial services company offering a broad array of financial products and services to consumers, small businesses, and commercial clients. The company operates through three primary business segments: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking.

Why is Capital One Financial Corporation going down?

COF stock is down 4.5% on Feb 5, 2026 15:27

• Insider selling activity by Celia Karam, President of Retail Bank, is believed to have contributed to the bearish movement in COF stock today, leading to concerns among investors about the company's future performance.
• The departure of Anywhere CEO Ryan Schneider post-merger with Compass may have created uncertainty in the market, affecting investor sentiment towards financial institutions like Capital One.
• The settlement of the court battle between USAA and Regions Bank over patent infringement has potentially influenced market dynamics, impacting investor confidence in companies entangled in legal disputes.
• Despite the positive rating and price target by Robert W. Baird analyst David George, the overall market sentiment towards COF stock today appeared to have been overshadowed by insider selling and industry-related developments.

COF Price Chart

COF Technical Analysis

COF News

Capital One’s Karam sells $460k in stock

Celia Karam, President of Retail Bank at Capital One Financial Corp, sold 2,108 shares of company stock worth $460,071 on February 2, 2026. This transaction was part of a pre-arranged trading plan. In other news, Capital One recently declared a quarterly dividend of $0.80 per share and completed a $3 billion senior notes offering, while analysts have adjusted price targets based on recent financial results and the Brex acquisition.

https://www.investing.com/news/insider-trading-news/capital-ones-karam-sells-460k-in-stock-93CH-4486482

Anywhere CEO Ryan Schneider Out After 8 Years

Ryan Schneider, CEO of Anywhere Real Estate, has departed the company after eight years, an exit that appears to be related to the recent merger with Compass. His departure, along with that of CTO Rudy Wolfs, was quietly disclosed on his LinkedIn profile. Schneider may be eligible for a severance package, and his departure comes after leading Anywhere to become a major residential brokerage, second only to Compass before their merger.

https://therealdeal.com/national/2026/02/04/anywhere-ceo-ryan-schneider-out-after-8-years/

USAA, Regions Bank end court battle over technologies for depositing checks

USAA and Regions Bank have settled their federal court dispute regarding patent infringement over mobile check deposit technologies. The settlement terms are confidential, and litigation involved claims from both sides, with USAA stating it invested heavily in its technology designed for service members. This case is part of several similar lawsuits USAA has filed against other banks concerning its patented mobile deposit system.

https://www.expressnews.com/business/article/usaa-regions-settlement-remote-deposit-technology-21332973.php

Robert W. Baird Keeps Their Buy Rating on Capital One Financial (COF)

Robert W. Baird analyst David George has maintained a Buy rating for Capital One Financial (COF), setting a price target of $270.00. George, a 5-star analyst, has an average return of 11.2% and a 65.18% success rate, focusing on the Financial sector. This rating follows Capital One's strong Q3 earnings, where the company reported a significant increase in quarterly revenue to $19.72 billion and a net profit of $3.19 billion, exceeding previous year figures.

https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/markets/stocks/COF/pressreleases/14988/robert-w-baird-keeps-their-buy-rating-on-capital-one-financial-cof/

Jones Financial Companies Lllp Increases Stake in Capital One Financial Corporation $COF

Jones Financial Companies Lllp recently increased its stake in Capital One Financial Corporation (NYSE:COF) by 17.3%, bringing its total holdings to 129,013 shares valued at $28.86 million. Other institutional investors have also adjusted their positions, and 89.84% of the stock is owned by hedge funds and institutional investors. Capital One (COF) has received a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating from analysts, with insider selling totaling over $20 million in the past three months.

https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/filing-jones-financial-companies-lllp-increases-stake-in-capital-one-financial-corporation-cof-2026-02-04/

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Capital One Financial Corporation Price History

11.11.2025 - COF Stock was up 5.5%

• The bullish movement in Capital One Financial's stock could be attributed to unusual options activity detected, indicating a mixed sentiment but with a notable bullish inclination. This activity might have sparked investor optimism and interest in the company's potential.
• The positive outlook on Capital One Financial considers it an undervalued stock with expectations of improved credit trends, a robust buyback cycle, and synergies from an acquisition, likely contributing to the bullish market movement.
• A recent report faulting other banks over debanking practices may have indirectly benefited Capital One Financial by positioning it favorably in comparison to its peers, potentially boosting investor confidence in the company's ethical practices and market positioning.

06.10.2024 - COF Stock was up 14.5%

• COF stock rose following positive market response to Trump's win in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, which raised expectations for beneficial regulatory adjustments in finance.
• The Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) and Vanguard Financials Index Fund ETF (VFH) also recorded notable increases, signaling a widespread surge in the financial sector.
• Increased optimism towards banks and financial institutions pushed COF stock up, showcasing investor faith in potential policy shifts under the new leadership.

23.03.2025 - COF Stock was up 6.6%

• Q1 earnings per share for Capital One exceeded analyst estimates, showing robust financial performance.
• Although revenue for the quarter slightly missed expectations, leading to initial market uncertainty.
• Investors are emphasizing the positive earnings surpass, fueling a bullish trend in the stock and maintaining optimism about the company's financial well-being.

15.00.2026 - COF Stock was up 5.3%

• Analysts increasing price targets for Capital One to $275 and $256 respectively based on positive consumer finance outlook likely boosted investor confidence and contributed to the bullish movement.
• A warning about a potential presidential proposal to cap credit card interest rates at 10% could have initially caused some uncertainty and volatility in the stock price, but the overall positive outlook for Q4 2025 prevailed.
• The approval of a $9.6 million class-action settlement for Capital One's 401(k) plan could have positively influenced investor sentiment, showcasing the company's commitment to resolving legal issues and benefiting plan participants.
• The decline in American Express shares following a proposed 10% cap on credit card rates might have indirectly impacted Capital One's stock positively, as investors potentially viewed Capital One as a more stable alternative in the face of regulatory risks affecting the credit card industry.

23.00.2026 - COF Stock was down 7.9%

• Capital One Financial (COF) stock experienced a bearish movement following a lower price target from Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft due to missed Q4 EPS expectations.
• Concerns over integration risks and regulatory scrutiny related to COF's recent acquisition of fintech Brex for $5.15 billion likely contributed to the negative investor sentiment.
• The overall market sentiment, influenced by geopolitical tensions, volatile tech sector due to disappointing earnings, and a potential shift in interest rate expectations before the Federal Reserve meeting, may have further impacted COF's downward trajectory.
• Despite positive analyst sentiments on other financial companies like Travelers Companies (TRV) and Ally Financial (ALLY), COF faced challenges that led to its bearish movement today.

23.00.2026 - COF Stock was down 8.0%

• COF stock exhibited a bearish trend possibly due to a reduction in its price target by Deutsche Bank. This was in light of concerns regarding missed Q4 EPS expectations, despite exceeding revenue projections.
• The proposed US credit card rate cap and fee reform, which may impact companies like Synchrony Financial, contributed to negative sentiment around COF as investors worried about potential regulatory changes affecting the industry.
• Although General Electric reported robust earnings, apprehensions about decelerating growth in vital sectors might have influenced a cautious market sentiment, indirectly impacting COF's stock performance.
• Eastern Bankshares' favorable earnings report and positive outlook contrasted with COF's decline, showcasing varied performances in the financial sector and potential company-specific influences on stock movements.

23.00.2026 - COF Stock was down 5.0%

• The bearish movement in COF stock could be attributed to concerns raised by Capital One CEO Richard Fairbank regarding the proposed capping of credit card interest rates. Fairbank's warning about a potential recession if such regulations were to be implemented might have spooked investors, leading to a sell-off of COF shares.
• The overall negative sentiment in the financial sector, particularly among credit card companies like Capital One, due to the White House's proposal of a 10% cap on credit card interest rates, could have further contributed to the bearish trend in COF stock.
• Investors might be cautious about the potential impact of these regulatory changes on COF's profitability and growth plans, as discussed the implications of the proposed interest rate caps on American Express and the broader credit card industry.

23.06.2025 - COF Stock was up 5.0%

• COF stock surged after the company reported strong Q2 earnings per share of $5.48, surpassing analyst expectations significantly.
• Despite a slight revenue miss compared to estimates, investors seemed impressed by the company's ability to deliver robust earnings.
• The market responded positively to Capital One's resilience in a challenging economic environment, signaling investor confidence in the company's financial performance and management.

05.01.2026 - COF Stock was down 4.5%

• Insider selling activity by Celia Karam, President of Retail Bank, is believed to have contributed to the bearish movement in COF stock today, leading to concerns among investors about the company's future performance.
• The departure of Anywhere CEO Ryan Schneider post-merger with Compass may have created uncertainty in the market, affecting investor sentiment towards financial institutions like Capital One.
• The settlement of the court battle between USAA and Regions Bank over patent infringement has potentially influenced market dynamics, impacting investor confidence in companies entangled in legal disputes.
• Despite the positive rating and price target by Robert W. Baird analyst David George, the overall market sentiment towards COF stock today appeared to have been overshadowed by insider selling and industry-related developments.

10.11.2025 - COF Stock was up 2.1%

• Speculations suggest that COF's market surge could be linked to positive sentiments shared by a TD Cowen analyst, Moshe Orenbuch, who reiterated a "Buy" stance with a target price of $261.00, emphasizing COF as an undervalued asset.
• Actions like Ally Financial's approval of a long-term share buyback initiative and U.S. Bancorp's announcement of a quarterly dividend indicate optimism within the financial sector, potentially fostering trust among investors in firms such as COF.
• Additionally, Chase's decision to introduce a high-end Sapphire Lounge with distinctive services might also be contributing to the current market optimism, demonstrating novelty and competitive edge in the industry.
• Although State Street Corp's divestment in Mastercard Incorporated may not directly impact COF's market rally, it could signify evolving investor inclinations in the financial domain.

06.00.2026 - COF Stock was up 0.8%

• Raised price target to $300 and maintained a "Buy" rating, signaling optimism for COF's financial future.
• Despite insider selling leading to removal from a Conviction List, analysts continue to support COF with an "Outperform" rating, highlighting potential revenue and earnings growth.
• A price target increase to $290 contributed to COF hitting a new 52-week high, reflecting investor confidence and market strength.
• COF has seen a significant 36.52% increase over the past year, backed by positive analyst evaluations, showcasing strong performance and market position amid varied signals from financial institutions.

30.08.2025 - COF Stock was down 5.8%

• The growth in short interest for COF points to a rising pessimistic sentiment among investors, potentially influencing the bearish movement.
• The increase in shares sold short indicates that some market participants are speculating on a further drop in COF's stock price.
• This pessimistic perspective may stem from worries about the company's financial performance or broader economic conditions affecting the financial sector.