Capital One Financial Corporation ($COF) Stock Forecast: Down 5.8% Today

What is Capital One Financial Corporation?

Capital One Financial Corp (COF) is a prominent financial services company known for its credit card, banking, and lending products. The stock experienced a significant bearish movement today.

Why is Capital One Financial Corporation going down?

COF stock is down 5.8% on Feb 27, 2026 20:41

• Capital One Financial Corp's stock declined by 6.20% on February 27, driven by factors including missing Q4 earnings expectations, significant insider and institutional selling, and negative analyst sentiment.
• Concerns over the Discover acquisition, potential regulatory changes, and an ongoing lawsuit added to the downward pressure on the stock.
• The reduction in stake by Xponance Inc. and Westpac Banking Corp, along with insider selling, contributed to the overall bearish sentiment surrounding COF.
• Despite the bearish movement, some institutional investors like Banco Santander S.A. increased their stake, indicating a mixed sentiment towards the company's future performance.

COF Price Chart

COF Technical Analysis

COF News

Capital One Financial Corp Stock Moved Down by 6.20% on Feb 27: Key Drivers Unveiled

Capital One Financial Corp (COF) saw its stock decline by 6.20% on February 27, driven by a combination of factors including a miss on Q4 2025 earnings expectations, significant insider and institutional selling, and negative analyst sentiment. Concerns over the Discover acquisition, potential regulatory changes, and an ongoing lawsuit also contributed to the downward pressure. Technical indicators like MACD suggested a sell signal for the stock.

https://www.tradingkey.com/news/stocks/261630263-market-movers-cof-20260227

Xponance Inc. Cuts Stock Holdings in Capital One Financial Corporation $COF

Xponance Inc. reduced its stake in Capital One Financial Corporation by 8.0% in the third quarter of the previous year, selling 8,215 shares. Despite this, other institutional investors like Vanguard Group Inc. and State Street Corp significantly increased their holdings. The article also details recent insider stock sales, Capital One's financial performance, and analyst ratings.

https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/filing-xponance-inc-cuts-stock-holdings-in-capital-one-financial-corporation-cof-2026-02-27/

Banco Santander S.A. Purchases 16,996 Shares of Capital One Financial Corporation $COF

Banco Santander S.A. increased its stake in Capital One Financial Corporation by 23.3% in the third quarter, acquiring an additional 16,996 shares to reach a total of 89,916 shares valued at approximately $19.11 million. Several other institutional investors also adjusted their positions in Capital One, with significant boosts from Vanguard Group Inc., State Street Corp, and Geode Capital Management LLC. Despite missing consensus EPS estimates in its last quarterly report, Capital One maintains a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating from analysts, with an average price target of $274.70.

https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/filing-banco-santander-sa-purchases-16996-shares-of-capital-one-financial-corporation-cof-2026-02-27/

Insider Sell: Mark Mouadeb Sells Shares of Capital One Financial Corp

Mark Mouadeb, President, Card at Capital One Financial Corp (COF), sold 1,509 shares of the company on February 25, 2026. This transaction follows a period where there have been no insider buys and 24 insider sells for COF in the past year. The stock is currently trading at $202.62, and with a GuruFocus Value of $144.24, it is considered significantly overvalued.

https://www.gurufocus.com/news/8659680/insider-sell-mark-mouadeb-sells-shares-of-capital-one-financial-corp

Westpac Banking Corp Reduces Position in Capital One Financial Corporation $COF

Westpac Banking Corp significantly reduced its stake in Capital One Financial Corporation by 18.8% in the third quarter, selling 8,080 shares and retaining 34,999 shares valued at $7.44 million. This reduction comes amid substantial insider selling, with over $8 million worth of shares disposed of in the past three months, and after Capital One missed its quarterly EPS estimates while announcing a $0.80 quarterly dividend. Despite institutional selling, other investors like Mitsubishi UFJ Asset Management and Intech Investment Management increased their positions.

https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/filing-westpac-banking-corp-reduces-position-in-capital-one-financial-corporation-cof-2026-02-26/

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Capital One Financial Corporation Price History

27.01.2026 - COF Stock was down 6.1%

• Institutional investors reducing their stakes in COF by 8.0% and 18.8% could have contributed to the market decline.
• Insider selling by Mark Mouadeb, President of Card at COF, and a high level of overall insider sells over the past year may have raised concerns among investors.
• Despite some institutional investors increasing their stakes, concerns regarding significant insider selling and missing quarterly EPS estimates seem to have influenced the bearish trend.
• The stock showing stability after a brief rebound suggests a fluctuating market sentiment, with investors paying attention to factors such as inflation rates, dividend payments, consumer credit health, and potential rate adjustments for future market trends.

27.01.2026 - COF Stock was down 5.8%

• Capital One Financial Corp's stock declined by 6.20% on February 27, driven by factors including missing Q4 earnings expectations, significant insider and institutional selling, and negative analyst sentiment.
• Concerns over the Discover acquisition, potential regulatory changes, and an ongoing lawsuit added to the downward pressure on the stock.
• The reduction in stake by Xponance Inc. and Westpac Banking Corp, along with insider selling, contributed to the overall bearish sentiment surrounding COF.
• Despite the bearish movement, some institutional investors like Banco Santander S.A. increased their stake, indicating a mixed sentiment towards the company's future performance.

27.01.2026 - COF Stock was down 6.1%

• Banco Santander S.A. increasing its stake in COF, along with adjustments by other institutional investors, initially displayed confidence in the company. However, subsequent insider sell-offs by Mark Mouadeb and a reduction in position by Westpac Banking Corp raised investor concerns.
• The ongoing trend of insider selling, with 24 sell-offs in the past year, coupled with the stock being viewed as significantly overvalued, likely contributed to the bearish movement as investors reacted to potential overvaluation.
• Although the stock stabilized in premarket trading after a two-day rebound, concerns about missed quarterly EPS estimates, insider selling activities, as well as anticipated impacts of rate-cut delays, kept investors cautious.
• Despite recent rebound efforts and strategic initiatives within the company, the bearish movement of COF today was likely influenced by insider selling, overvaluation concerns, and broader market speculations pertaining to inflation and dividend payouts.

23.01.2026 - COF Stock was down 6.9%

• Capital One (COF) observed a 7.7% decrease in its stock price due to disappointing Q4 earnings, increased credit-loss provisions, and uncertainties linked to the acquisition of Brex. These factors led to a pessimistic outlook among investors.
• Noteworthy insider trading revealed substantial selling activities by company executives, signaling a lack of confidence internally, potentially exacerbating the downward trend.
• The overall performance of credit card companies during the Q4 earnings season was mixed, with American Express (AXP) recording the weakest results. This industry-wide underperformance, along with lower than expected revenue figures, likely contributed to the negative sentiment surrounding Capital One.

23.01.2026 - COF Stock was down 5.0%

• Increased stake acquisitions by Trajan Wealth LLC and LaFleur & Godfrey LLC in American Express (AXP) may suggest a shift in investor sentiment towards AXP, potentially diverting funds from other financial institutions like Capital One.
• Positive signals for American Express, such as strong consumer spending and premium card demand, could have drawn investor attention away from Capital One, impacting its stock negatively.
• The legal battle between JPMorgan Chase and Donald Trump, highlighting financial institutions' handling of politically exposed individuals, may have created uncertainty in the financial sector, leading to a bearish trend for stocks like Capital One.
• The loyalty partnership between Marriott International and MGM Resorts International might have diverted investor interest towards the hospitality and travel industry, away from financial services like Capital One, contributing to the bearish movement in COF stock.

13.01.2026 - COF Stock was down 5.6%

• Capital One Financial Corp (COF) experienced a 3.35% decline in its stock price on February 12, closing at $207.20.
• The bearish movement could be attributed to conflicting analyst sentiments and fair value estimates, with GuruFocus estimating a significant downside potential despite analysts predicting a considerable upside.
• The market might have reacted negatively to the uncertainty surrounding COF's future performance, as highlighted by the mixed analyst ratings and fair value estimates.
• Investors may have been concerned about the company's ability to deliver strong financial results in the face of varying opinions from analysts and institutions, leading to the downward pressure on the stock price.

24.01.2026 - COF Stock was down 5.4%

• Concerns over private credit and AI-exposed lending contributed to Capital One's stock decline, impacting the broader financial sector.
• The company's disappointing Q4 2025 earnings, increased credit-loss provisions, and uncertainty surrounding the Brex acquisition were key factors driving the negative market sentiment.
• Insider selling by executives and mixed actions from institutional investors raised doubts about the company's future performance.
• Market attention on Capital One's credit costs improvement and integration of Discover post-acquisition influenced investor sentiment, though overshadowed by immediate negative factors.

25.01.2026 - COF Stock was up 6.0%

• The bullish movement in COF stock today could be attributed to the positive sentiment surrounding the company despite recent legal troubles faced by Capital One Bank N.A. in California.
• Trimmed positions by TD Asset Management Inc in American Express Company (AXP) and increased stock holdings by Parr Mcknight Wealth Management Group LLC in AXP might have indirectly impacted investor confidence in financial institutions like Capital One.
• The focus on credit card perks such as "return protection" offered by companies like American Express, Capital One, and Chase could have underscored the value and stability of these financial services firms, including Capital One, in the eyes of investors.
• The overall positive market outlook for financial institutions, coupled with strategic expansion moves in the U.S. banking sector, might have created a favorable industry backdrop that benefited stocks like COF.

05.01.2026 - COF Stock was down 4.5%

• Insider selling activity by Celia Karam, President of Retail Bank, is believed to have contributed to the bearish movement in COF stock today, leading to concerns among investors about the company's future performance.
• The departure of Anywhere CEO Ryan Schneider post-merger with Compass may have created uncertainty in the market, affecting investor sentiment towards financial institutions like Capital One.
• The settlement of the court battle between USAA and Regions Bank over patent infringement has potentially influenced market dynamics, impacting investor confidence in companies entangled in legal disputes.
• Despite the positive rating and price target by Robert W. Baird analyst David George, the overall market sentiment towards COF stock today appeared to have been overshadowed by insider selling and industry-related developments.

11.01.2026 - COF Stock was down 5.0%

• Capital One's stock experienced a notable decline, which could be linked to below-expectation earnings in the previous quarter.
• Changes in how credit updates are reported by Synchrony Financial may have highlighted industry credit risks, impacting investor confidence in Capital One.
• Despite positive strategic efforts and a favorable outlook shared at the UBS Financial Services Conference, market concerns about integration challenges and growth prospects for Discover could have influenced the stock price.
• A recent investment from ABC Arbitrage SA in Capital One may have contributed to selling pressure on the stock, leading to the observed bearish trend.

23.00.2026 - COF Stock was down 8.0%

• COF stock exhibited a bearish trend possibly due to a reduction in its price target by Deutsche Bank. This was in light of concerns regarding missed Q4 EPS expectations, despite exceeding revenue projections.
• The proposed US credit card rate cap and fee reform, which may impact companies like Synchrony Financial, contributed to negative sentiment around COF as investors worried about potential regulatory changes affecting the industry.
• Although General Electric reported robust earnings, apprehensions about decelerating growth in vital sectors might have influenced a cautious market sentiment, indirectly impacting COF's stock performance.
• Eastern Bankshares' favorable earnings report and positive outlook contrasted with COF's decline, showcasing varied performances in the financial sector and potential company-specific influences on stock movements.

12.01.2026 - COF Stock was down 4.1%

• The acquisition of fintech company Brex for $5.15 billion by Capital One Financial Corporation might have initially raised concerns among investors, leading to a decline in the stock price.
• Despite the acquisition, Capital One reported a surge in net interest income and improved quarterly profit in Q4, indicating potential long-term benefits but causing short-term uncertainty.
• Citigroup's incoming CFO's warning about the potential negative impacts of an interest-rate cap on credit cards could have created a ripple effect in the financial sector, affecting companies like Capital One.
• The overall market sentiment towards financial institutions and credit services today might have been cautious due to various investment shifts and strategic announcements in the sector, contributing to the bearish movement in COF stock.