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Dow Inc. ($DOW) Stock Forecast: Down 5.9% Today

Morpher AI identified a bearish signal. The stock price may continue to fall based on the momentum of the negative news.

What is Dow Inc.?

DOW is a multinational chemical company recognized for its production of plastics, chemicals, and agricultural products. The company is a key player in various industries due to its diverse product portfolio.

Why is Dow Inc. going down?

DOW stock is down 5.9% on Feb 20, 2026 16:35

  • The decline in DOW's stock price today is linked to lawsuits from Texas state officials and Attorney General Ken Paxton over alleged illegal dumping of plastic pellets and pollutants in Texas waterways. This legal action raises concerns about potential financial liabilities and reputational harm for DOW.
  • Negative reports on DOW's environmental practices may have caused uncertainty among investors and affected faith in the company's sustainability efforts, impacting its stock performance unfavorably.
  • The broader context of increased regulatory scrutiny on environmental matters, as seen in the specialty chemicals market's emphasis on sustainable materials and changing regulatory demands, might have heightened the market's response to DOW's legal challenges.
  • Investors in the specialty chemicals sector, such as DOW, are closely watching earnings reports and guidance from major players like Innospec Inc. to evaluate the industry's overall performance amid obstacles and a demanding operating landscape.

DOW Price Chart

DOW Technical Analysis

DOW News

Texas sues Dow, Braskem over ‘habitual’ pellet pollution

Texas state officials have filed a lawsuit against Dow and Braskem, alleging "habitual" plastic pellet pollution from their petrochemical complex located in Seadrift, Texas. The lawsuit targets the two companies over environmental concerns related to their operations. The article was published on February 18, 2026.

https://www.plasticsnews.com/public-policy/pn-texas-sues-dow-braskem-pellet-pollution/

0 News Article Image Texas sues Dow, Braskem over ‘habitual’ pellet pollution

Ken Paxton says Dow is polluting Texas waterways with plastic pellets

Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton has sued Dow and Braskem, alleging they illegally dumped plastic pellets and other pollutants into state waterways. The lawsuit, based on years of findings by the Texas Commission on Environmental Quality, seeks over $1 million in compensation for hundreds of violations since 2019. This state legal action could potentially impact a separate federal lawsuit planned by environmentalists regarding the same issue.

https://www.houstonchronicle.com/news/houston-texas/environment/article/texas-dow-chemical-plastic-waste-water-21360705.php

1 Missing News Article Image Ken Paxton says Dow is polluting Texas waterways with plastic pellets

Specialty Chemicals Market to Reach US$961.50 Billion by 2033

The global specialty chemicals market is projected to reach US$961.50 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 5.5% from 2026 to 2033, driven by increasing demand for high-performance solutions across various industries and evolving regulatory requirements. Asia-Pacific is expected to lead the market with a 40% share, fueled by rapid industrialization and manufacturing expansion. Key players like BASF SE, Dow Inc., and Evonik Industries AG are driving innovation, focusing on sustainable and high-performance materials, and optimizing their portfolios.

https://www.openpr.com/news/4395494/specialty-chemicals-market-to-reach-us-961-50-billion-by-2033

2 News Article Image Specialty Chemicals Market to Reach US$961.50 Billion by 2033

Conformal Coatings Market Primed for Strategic Growth

The Conformal Coatings market is projected to grow from USD 1,498.8 million in 2025 to USD 2,259.6 million by 2032, at a CAGR of 6.0%. This growth is attributed to strategic developments and innovations by key industry players like Altana, Chase Corp., and CHT Ltd. The market report provides a comprehensive analysis of trends, SWOT analysis, demographics, and regulatory requirements, along with segmentation by product type, application, end-user, and region.

https://www.openpr.com/news/4395511/conformal-coatings-market-primed-for-strategic-growth

3 News Article Image Conformal Coatings Market Primed for Strategic Growth

Innospec earnings on deck as specialty chemicals face headwinds

Innospec Inc. is set to report fourth-quarter 2025 results, with analysts expecting earnings of $1.24 per share and revenue of $460.87 million, despite an anticipated contraction in US chemical production volumes for 2026. Investors will closely watch segment performance, margin trajectory, and management's 2026 guidance as the specialty chemicals industry navigates a prolonged downcycle. The results will indicate whether the sector can stabilize or if its struggles will deepen into the new year.

https://m.investing.com/news/earnings/innospec-earnings-on-deck-as-specialty-chemicals-face-headwinds-93CH-4509132?ampMode=1

4 Missing News Article Image Innospec earnings on deck as specialty chemicals face headwinds

Dow Inc. Price History

22.00.2026 - DOW Stock was up 5.3%

  • Dow Inc. (DOW) stock surged by 6.88%, surpassing its industry peers and ending a recent downward trend. The factors influencing this positive movement include:
  • Market-wide optimism, reflected in the gains of the S&P 500 Index and Dow Jones Industrial Average.
  • Analysts' projected fair value of $41.01 for DOW, signaling a notable upside potential that attracted investor interest.
  • Discussions on the disparity in US stock returns possibly impacting investor sentiment, positioning DOW favorably in an uncertain market landscape.
  • The decision by Deutsche Bank to maintain a Hold rating on DOW may have offered a sense of stability to investors, bolstering the stock's upward momentum.

30.00.2026 - DOW Stock was up 5.4%

  • Dow's stock experienced a bullish trend following the release of its quarterly earnings report, outperforming expectations despite a Q4 loss and revenue shortfall.
  • Investors responded positively to Dow's cost-saving strategies and focus on AI and automation, anticipating significant cost efficiencies and operational improvements.
  • The market perceives Dow's shift towards AI and automation and the job cuts as proactive steps to navigate economic uncertainties and enhance its competitive position in the chemical sector.
  • Overall market sentiment is optimistic about Dow's potential to enhance profitability and deliver better shareholder returns through its "Transform to Outperform" program, despite initial challenges in the commodity chemical segment.

04.01.2026 - DOW Stock was up 5.1%

  • The recent bullish movement in Dow Inc. (DOW) may be linked to the market's recognition of the company's solid fundamentals, including manageable debt, high barriers to entry, and cost-effective production.
  • Analysts and investors could view DOW as a promising long-term investment opportunity, particularly within a recovering chemical sector.
  • Notwithstanding a Sell rating by BMO Capital, actions like Citi and UBS raising their price targets on DOW could have boosted confidence in the stock, fueling its bullish trend.
  • The favorable market sentiment towards DOW might also have been influenced by the general uptick in chemical shares, exemplified by Westlake's stock price surge, indicating a broader sectoral trend benefiting DOW.

21.00.2026 - DOW Stock was up 5.2%

  • The bullish movement in DOW's stock today could be attributed to:
  • Positive sentiment from institutional traders and investors in the near and mid-term.
  • Despite the weak long-term outlook, the stock might have received a boost from risk-tolerant investors seeking leveraged upside in cyclical markets.
  • The appointment of new independent directors to the Board of Trinseo PLC, a move signaling potential positive governance and strategic direction, might have also positively influenced investor confidence in the sector.
  • The overall market volatility, including the sharp declines in US stocks and the weakening of the dollar, following geopolitical tensions such as tariff threats and geopolitical events like the snap election in Japan, could have created uncertainty leading to fluctuations in DOW's stock price.
  • Investors are closely monitoring developments such as the Supreme Court ruling on tariff powers and potential European retaliation, which could impact the market sentiment and subsequently influence DOW's stock movement.

12.01.2026 - DOW Stock was down 5.1%

  • Dow Inc.'s shares saw a notable 28% increase, potentially influenced by the company's victories in the 2024 Edison Awards, highlighting its dedication to innovation and sustainability.
  • Nonetheless, the stock's current downward trend could be linked to worries regarding its modest growth forecasts, with an anticipated yearly growth rate of 1.9%, notably lower than the industry average of 8.7%.
  • Investors might be exercising caution regarding Dow's future performance due to its dwindling revenue and the industry's subdued growth prospects below the average, potentially leading to a restrained short-term stock price rise despite the recent uptick.

03.01.2026 - DOW Stock was up 8.6%

  • DOW's bullish movement could be attributed to the announcement of their "transformation programme" aimed at cutting 4,500 jobs and achieving significant operating earnings gains. This strategic initiative to simplify operations, streamline processes, and modernize customer service through AI and automation might have resonated positively with investors.
  • Despite the positive market response, the news of job cuts and restructuring could have initially caused some uncertainty, leading to a slight 2% drop in DOW's shares following the announcement. However, the long-term potential for improved profitability and competitive positioning likely outweighed these concerns.
  • The acquisition of a carbon black manufacturing facility by Cabot Corporation, a mention of DOW's job cuts in the industry news, and the company's filing for administrative convenience might have also influenced market sentiment around DOW, contributing to its overall bullish movement.
  • Investors will closely monitor DOW's execution of cost reductions, product diversification efforts, and the impact of the transformation programme on the company's financial performance and competitiveness in the market.

03.01.2026 - DOW Stock was up 5.6%

  • The stock of DOW Inc. experienced a bullish trend today, possibly driven by positive market sentiment and the company's strategic initiatives.
  • Babcock & Wilcox hitting a 52-week high and announcing key contracts and partnerships in the energy sector could have positively influenced investor confidence in related industries, including materials.
  • Despite Dow's announcement of layoffs, the market may have reacted positively to the company's focus on simplifying operations and embracing AI and automation for future growth and efficiency.
  • The acquisition of a carbon black facility by Cabot Corporation could also have contributed to the overall positive sentiment in the materials sector, potentially benefiting companies like DOW Inc.

08.00.2026 - DOW Stock was up 5.2%

  • The appointment of Andre Argenton as the new Chief Technology and Sustainability Officer signals Dow's commitment to innovation and environmental performance, which could be positively impacting investor sentiment and contributing to the bullish movement.
  • A regulatory proposal that may favor Dow by removing a previously listed compound from the hazardous air pollutants category could lead to cost reductions and enhance its environmental standing.
  • Analysts, including Mizuho, have raised Dow's price target despite maintaining a Neutral stance, indicating increasing confidence in the company's future, potentially elevating investor trust and pushing the stock price up.
  • Overall, positive trends encompassing leadership changes, regulatory advancements, and adjustments in analyst projections are likely propelling the current upward trend in Dow's stock.

20.01.2026 - DOW Stock was down 5.9%

  • The decline in DOW's stock price today is linked to lawsuits from Texas state officials and Attorney General Ken Paxton over alleged illegal dumping of plastic pellets and pollutants in Texas waterways. This legal action raises concerns about potential financial liabilities and reputational harm for DOW.
  • Negative reports on DOW's environmental practices may have caused uncertainty among investors and affected faith in the company's sustainability efforts, impacting its stock performance unfavorably.
  • The broader context of increased regulatory scrutiny on environmental matters, as seen in the specialty chemicals market's emphasis on sustainable materials and changing regulatory demands, might have heightened the market's response to DOW's legal challenges.
  • Investors in the specialty chemicals sector, such as DOW, are closely watching earnings reports and guidance from major players like Innospec Inc. to evaluate the industry's overall performance amid obstacles and a demanding operating landscape.

10.01.2026 - DOW Stock was up 5.1%

  • The surge in DOW stock price could possibly be linked to a notable figure's suggestion to adjust holdings, leading to increased investor interest and trading activity.
  • Remarks hinting at the potential re-engagement of Chinese buyers in DOW's market may have fueled expectations of market expansion and heightened demand for the company's offerings.
  • The addition of a former Dow Inc. executive, Mauro Gregorio, to the board of directors at Reworld may have enhanced market confidence in DOW, showcasing strong leadership and industry knowledge.
  • Despite the mention of AI stocks as an investment alternative, growing optimism surrounding the Oleo Chemicals Market, where Dow Inc. plays a key role, likely contributed to the company's positive growth outlook.

14.00.2026 - DOW Stock was up 5.9%

  • An upward adjustment of Dow Inc.'s price target from $23 to $27 by Citigroup, as well as revisions by other analysts, likely fueled the bullish momentum.
  • Optimistic forecasts for the Roof Insulation Market, with key players like Owens Corning and Johns Manville expected to experience rapid growth, may have bolstered investor confidence in Dow Inc.'s future prospects.
  • The appointment of a new CEO at Valtris Specialty Chemicals, who brings a strong background in the chemical industry, could have indicated stability and potential strategic advancements, positively influencing related companies such as Dow Inc.
  • Fluor Corporation's successful completion of BASF's major project in China underscores the growth opportunities in the chemicals market, potentially leading to increased demand for products from companies like Dow Inc.

14.00.2026 - DOW Stock was up 6.3%

  • A price target adjustment from $23 to $27 for Dow Inc. reflects a positive outlook on the company's performance, potentially driving investor confidence and contributing to the bullish movement.
  • The forecasted rapid growth in the Roof Insulation Market, with key players like Owens Corning and Johns Manville, could indicate increased demand for construction materials, indirectly benefiting Dow Inc. as a supplier of essential materials.
  • A comparison between Janus Henderson Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF (JMBS) and Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF (VMBS) highlights alternative investment options, potentially influencing investor behavior and capital flows in the market.
  • The appointment of a new CEO at Valtris Specialty Chemicals, with a background in the chemical industry, may signal strategic changes within the sector, impacting market sentiment and potentially benefiting related companies like Dow Inc.
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Disclaimer
Morpher is not liable for the content of the AI investment insights. Like most GPT-powered tools, these summaries may contain AI hallucinations and inaccurate information. Morpher is not presenting you with any investment advice. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. These summaries do not constitute investment advice.