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Stanley Black & Decker Inc. ($SWK) Stock Forecast: Down 1.8% Today

Morpher AI identified a bearish signal. The stock price may continue to fall based on the momentum of the negative news.

What is Stanley Black & Decker Inc.?

SWK (Stanley Black & Decker Inc) is a company listed on the NYSE, known for its tools and solutions in various industries. The stock had a bearish movement today.

Why is Stanley Black & Decker Inc. going down?

SWK stock is down 1.8% on Feb 4, 2026 16:11

  • SWK reported mixed Q4 2025 results with an EPS beat but a revenue miss, leading to a negative market reaction and a bearish movement in the stock.
  • Despite beating EPS expectations by 10%, the decline in revenue compared to the previous year overshadowed the positive earnings performance.
  • Analysts projecting lower sales for the full year 2026 might have added to the bearish sentiment surrounding the stock.
  • The bullish thesis on SWK, emphasizing its valuation floor and strong fundamentals, contrasts with the market's reaction, suggesting a disconnect between long-term prospects and short-term performance.

SWK Price Chart

SWK Technical Analysis

SWK News

STANLEY BLACK & DECKER INC (NYSE:SWK) Reports Mixed Q4 2025 Results with EPS Beat and Revenue Miss

STANLEY BLACK & DECKER INC (NYSE:SWK) reported mixed Q4 2025 financial results, with earnings per share exceeding analyst expectations but revenue falling short. The EPS beat was attributed to effective cost management, while the revenue miss led to a negative market reaction in pre-market trading, overshadowing the profitability success. Analysts project approximately $15.76 billion in sales for the full year 2026.

https://www.chartmill.com/news/SWK/Chartmill-41062-STANLEY-BLACK-DECKER-INC-NYSESWK-Reports-Mixed-Q4-2025-Results-with-EPS-Beat-and-Revenue-Miss

0 News Article Image STANLEY BLACK & DECKER INC (NYSE:SWK) Reports Mixed Q4 2025 Results with EPS Beat and Revenue Miss

Stanley Black & Decker Q4 Earnings Report: What Investors Need to Know

Stanley Black & Decker (NYSE: SWK) released its Q4 earnings on February 4, 2026, reporting an EPS of $1.41, which beat the estimated $1.28 by 10.0%. However, revenue was down $37.00 million compared to the same period last year. The company's stock previously saw a 4.0% increase following a Q3 2025 EPS beat.

https://www.benzinga.com/insights/earnings/26/02/50364735/stanley-black-decker-q4-earnings-report-what-investors-need-to-know

1 News Article Image Stanley Black & Decker Q4 Earnings Report: What Investors Need to Know

Stanley Black & Decker Earnings Review: Q4 Summary

Stanley Black & Decker (NYSE: SWK) reported its Q4 earnings, beating estimated EPS by 10% with a reported $1.41 against an estimate of $1.28, although revenue was down from the previous year. The company's management also provided guidance for FY 2026, expecting earnings between $4.9 and $5.7 per share. This performance follows a previous quarter where the company also beat EPS estimates, leading to a 4.0% increase in share price the following day.

https://www.benzinga.com/insights/earnings/26/02/50365239/stanley-black-decker-earnings-review-q4-summary

2 News Article Image Stanley Black & Decker Earnings Review: Q4 Summary

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK): A Bull Case Theory

This article summarizes a bullish thesis on Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK), highlighting a compelling income opportunity through a derivative overlay involving selling a cash-secured put option. The thesis emphasizes the company's valuation floor, strong dividend yield, ongoing cost-reduction program, and fundamental strengths reinforced by macro trends. It concludes that the position offers a superior risk-adjusted yield compared to fixed income and equity alternatives.

https://finviz.com/news/298596/stanley-black-decker-inc-swk-a-bull-case-theory

3 News Article Image Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK): A Bull Case Theory

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK): A Bull Case Theory

This article summarizes a bullish thesis on Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) from R. Dennis’s Substack by OppCost. The thesis highlights SWK as a compelling income opportunity through a derivative overlay in the form of a cash-secured put, emphasizing safety margins including valuation, dividend yield, and cost-reduction programs. It also notes stable fundamentals, macro trends supporting cash flows, and technical support zones, positioning the stock as a superior risk-adjusted yield option despite potential tariff risks.

https://www.insidermonkey.com/blog/stanley-black-decker-inc-swk-a-bull-case-theory-2-1657559/

4 News Article Image Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK): A Bull Case Theory

Stanley Black & Decker Inc. Price History

29.09.2024 - SWK Stock was down 8.6%

  • SWK experienced a decrease in revenue in the third quarter of 2024, falling short of estimates, resulting in a negative impact on the stock.
  • Despite surpassing earnings expectations, the revenue shortfall and revised guidance for 2024 influenced investor sentiment in a pessimistic manner.
  • The underperformance in the Industrial and Tools & Outdoor segments overshadowed the success in the Engineered Fastening unit, contributing to SWK's overall market decline.
  • Investment community is now paying close attention to the company's strategies to tackle the issues within its segments in order to stimulate future growth and performance.

08.04.2025 - SWK Stock was up 5.0%

  • SWK's price target was lowered by JP Morgan due to tariffs impacting its 2025 forecast, yet the market showed a bullish movement.
  • Investor optimism may stem from the company's perceived ability to navigate tariffs' challenges effectively.
  • The bullish movement suggests a focus on short-term gains rather than long-term forecasts influenced by external factors such as tariffs.
  • The market's positive reaction could be linked to internal developments or alternative news within Stanley Black & Decker outweighing analysts' tariff concerns.

07.00.2026 - SWK Stock was up 7.2%

  • SWK's stock surged following an increased price target and positive sentiment post-divestiture, reflecting investor confidence in the company's strategic decisions.
  • Howmet Aerospace's acquisition of Consolidated Aerospace Manufacturing, backed by an investment firm, also contributed to the bullish market movement, indicating a positive outlook for the aerospace industry.
  • The overall professional tools and equipment segment reported strong Q3 revenues, further boosting investor confidence in companies like SWK.
  • The market's bullish sentiment towards SWK could be attributed to the company's improved financial outlook post-divestiture and the positive industry trends.

02.04.2025 - SWK Stock was up 5.5%

  • SWK's Q1 earnings surpassed expectations despite a sales decline, demonstrating resilience in a challenging market environment.
  • The company's reduced FY25 adjusted EPS guidance, attributed to anticipated tariff impacts, initially led to investor uncertainty.
  • Despite weaknesses in specific segments, SWK's performance was bolstered by the strength of the Engineered Fastening business, indicating potential growth areas.
  • In summary, today's positive movement in SWK can be credited to the favorable market response to the earnings beat and growth opportunities in key business segments.

10.11.2025 - SWK Stock was up 5.7%

  • SWK's bullish movement can be attributed to the positive investor sentiment surrounding the company's multi-year global cost-reduction program, which has led to significant savings and improved efficiency.
  • Despite facing challenges in certain segments, such as Tools & Outdoor and Engineered Fastening, SWK's strategic acquisitions and cost-saving initiatives have bolstered its overall outlook.
  • The stock's 4.2% increase since the last earnings report indicates that investors are optimistic about SWK's financial performance and future prospects, especially in comparison to industry peers.
  • Overall, SWK's ability to navigate through headwinds while capitalizing on growth opportunities has likely contributed to its strong bullish movement today.

24.03.2025 - SWK Stock was down 6.1%

  • SWK's market movement today may be linked to subdued expectations for its upcoming earnings.
  • References to SWK in financial broadcasts could have impacted investor sentiment, potentially influencing caution or concerns about the company's outlook.
  • Positive earnings news from Citigroup may have drawn investor attention and resources away from SWK, contributing to its bearish performance.
  • The combination of tempered earnings prospects and investor interest shifting to other companies like Citigroup likely contributed to the bearish trend in SWK's stock price.

29.06.2025 - SWK Stock was down 8.4%

  • SWK reported strong Q2 earnings that surpassed expectations, demonstrating robust financial performance.
  • Following the positive earnings, the stock saw a decline attributed to a 2% drop in revenue and margin challenges.
  • Investor sentiment turned negative in response to the decrease in revenue and concerns about margins, impacting the stock price.
  • Market confidence in the company's growth sustainability amid segment challenges might be wavering, contributing to the downward trajectory of SWK's stock.

29.06.2025 - SWK Stock was down 7.5%

  • Despite surpassing Q2 earnings estimates significantly, SWK saw a decline in market value.
  • The market's response could be attributed to a minor revenue shortfall and cautious outlook for future performance.
  • Investors may have been anticipating stronger results following optimistic pre-earnings expectations.
  • Speculatively, the market behavior reflects a common pattern where investors sell after an earnings announcement despite anticipating a positive outcome, leading to the stock price drop.

05.10.2025 - SWK Stock was up 4.9%

  • SWK exceeded Q3 earnings expectations despite stagnant sales, demonstrating notable margin improvements.
  • The company's emphasis on cost reductions and robust performance in its DEWALT division are believed to have contributed to the positive earnings results.
  • Investor confidence in SWK's capacity to overcome challenges in the DIY and industrial sectors may have driven the bullish market activity.
  • Overall, SWK's strategic initiatives and ability to surpass projections in key areas are likely the driving forces behind the optimistic investor outlook and the rise in stock value.

04.01.2026 - SWK Stock was down 1.8%

  • SWK reported mixed Q4 2025 results with an EPS beat but a revenue miss, leading to a negative market reaction and a bearish movement in the stock.
  • Despite beating EPS expectations by 10%, the decline in revenue compared to the previous year overshadowed the positive earnings performance.
  • Analysts projecting lower sales for the full year 2026 might have added to the bearish sentiment surrounding the stock.
  • The bullish thesis on SWK, emphasizing its valuation floor and strong fundamentals, contrasts with the market's reaction, suggesting a disconnect between long-term prospects and short-term performance.

22.03.2025 - SWK Stock was up 5.1%

  • Strong earnings were recently reported by a major financial institution, impacting market sentiment positively.
  • Investor confidence in Stanley Black & Decker might have been influenced by favorable market conditions.
  • The current market sentiment is optimistic as investors seek profitable opportunities amidst market volatility.
  • Positive sentiment towards SWK could be attributed to investors following trade alerts from experienced professionals.

06.00.2026 - SWK Stock was down 0.8%

  • SWK stock exhibited a bearish trend, possibly linked to the company's sale of its Consolidated Aerospace Manufacturing division to Howmet Aerospace. This transaction might have sparked investor apprehensions regarding SWK's future growth and profitability.
  • The rise in price targets for Howmet Aerospace (HWM) subsequent to its acquisition of Consolidated Aerospace Manufacturing could have prompted investors to shift their attention towards HWM, resulting in a sell-off of SWK shares.
  • Analysts' positive outlook on HWM's acquisition and upbeat forecasts for its future earnings growth may have redirected interest and investment away from SWK, contributing to the decline in SWK stock.
  • Despite an initially favorable reception of the adjusted financial model for SWK after the divestiture, which included reduced debt and enhanced earnings per share, market response to the acquisition news and its potential impact on SWK's business strategy may have overshadowed these aspects.
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Disclaimer
Morpher is not liable for the content of the AI investment insights. Like most GPT-powered tools, these summaries may contain AI hallucinations and inaccurate information. Morpher is not presenting you with any investment advice. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. These summaries do not constitute investment advice.