Match Group Inc. ($MTCH) Stock Forecast: Up 6.2% Today

What is Match Group Inc.?

Match Group (NASDAQ: MTCH) is a leading online dating company that operates popular platforms such as Tinder, Hinge, and Match.com. The company has been focusing on strategic transformations to enhance user engagement and drive growth in key markets.

Why is Match Group Inc. going up?

MTCH stock is up 6.2% on Feb 4, 2026 19:44

• Match Group's stock saw a notable increase after the latest financial results were announced for Q4 CY2025, which surpassed expectations and demonstrated robust financial performance.
• Despite some concerns expressed by analysts about certain aspects of Tinder's performance, Match Group's strong revenue growth, higher ARPU, and positive outlook for future periods boosted investor confidence.
• The overall positive market sentiment towards Match Group was also fueled by the company's ongoing share repurchase program and strategic efforts to enhance user experience and expand its market presence.
• Although there were data breach incidents targeting Match Group, these did not seem to significantly impact the company's stock performance, as investors remained focused on its solid financial results and growth potential.

MTCH Price Chart

MTCH Technical Analysis

MTCH News

Match Group stock price target lowered to $38 by Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs has reduced its price target for Match Group (NASDAQ:MTCH) to $38 from its previous target, while maintaining a Buy rating. This adjustment follows Match Group's solid fourth-quarter 2025 earnings report, which exceeded expectations, but concerns persist regarding Tinder's user trends, marketing strategy, and operating margins. Despite the stock being down nearly 8% in the past week, InvestingPro analysis suggests it is undervalued, with management actively buying back shares.

https://www.investing.com/news/analyst-ratings/match-group-stock-price-target-lowered-to-38-by-goldman-sachs-93CH-4484499

Match Group's (NASDAQ:MTCH) Q4 CY2025 Sales Beat Estimates, Stock Soars

Match Group (NASDAQ:MTCH) reported stronger-than-expected Q4 CY2025 results, with revenue of $878 million beating analyst estimates and GAAP EPS of $0.83 per share significantly exceeding consensus. Despite a decline in overall payers, the dating app company saw a 7.4% year-on-year increase in average revenue per user (ARPU) and provided upbeat EBITDA guidance for Q1 CY2026, leading to a 6.7% jump in its stock price post-announcement. The company is one year into a three-phase transformation focused on user outcomes.

https://finviz.com/news/298198/match-groups-nasdaq-mtch-q4-cy2025-sales-beat-estimates-stock-soars

Match Group Announces Fourth Quarter and Full-Year Results

Match Group announced strong financial results for Q4 and full-year 2025, surpassing revenue and Adjusted EBITDA expectations. The company highlighted progress in its strategic transformation, with improved engagement on Tinder and significant growth in Hinge, particularly in European expansion markets. Match Group also declared a cash dividend increase and provided optimistic financial guidance for Q1 and full-year 2026.

https://finviz.com/news/298114/match-group-announces-fourth-quarter-and-full-year-results

What's in Store for These 4 Internet Stocks This Earnings Season?

This article previews the fourth-quarter 2025 earnings season for the Internet Software industry, focusing on four stocks: 8x8 (EGHT), Intapp (INTA), Match Group (MTCH), and Digital Turbine (APPS), all reporting on February 3rd. It discusses how evolving enterprise software adoption, subscription models, and AI integration are expected to influence results, while macroeconomic headwinds and cautious IT spending may dampen performance for some. Each company's specific growth drivers and potential challenges for the upcoming earnings report are detailed, along with their Zacks Earnings ESP and Rank.

https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/markets/stocks/MTCH/pressreleases/37362710/whats-in-store-for-these-4-internet-stocks-this-earnings-season/

Match Group, CarMax Targeted in ShinyHunters Data-Breach Spree

Match Group Inc. and CarMax Auto Superstores Inc. are facing separate lawsuits following a series of data breaches in late January, allegedly perpetrated by the ShinyHunters cybercriminal group. These incidents are part of a larger trend of social engineering attacks targeting single sign-on credentials of US companies. A proposed class action against Match was filed by David Stevens, accusing the company of failing to implement adequate data security measures.

https://news.bloomberglaw.com/class-action/match-group-carmax-targeted-in-shinyhunters-data-breach-spree

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Match Group Inc. Price History

12.01.2024 - MTCH Stock was up 5.0%

• The positive influence of Valentine's Day on market performance may have played a role in the bullish movement of Match Group.
• A shift in consumer spending habits towards more cost-effective options, like cards and chocolates, could have benefited the company, as their platforms provide a means for people to connect and potentially exchange gifts.
• Recent news about declining metaverse stocks is unrelated to Match Group and is unlikely to have significantly affected its bullish movement.
• The reduction in position by Massachusetts Financial Services Co. may have caused some short-term fluctuations in the stock, but any negative impact appears to be temporary.

04.01.2026 - MTCH Stock was up 6.2%

• Match Group's stock saw a notable increase after the latest financial results were announced for Q4 CY2025, which surpassed expectations and demonstrated robust financial performance.
• Despite some concerns expressed by analysts about certain aspects of Tinder's performance, Match Group's strong revenue growth, higher ARPU, and positive outlook for future periods boosted investor confidence.
• The overall positive market sentiment towards Match Group was also fueled by the company's ongoing share repurchase program and strategic efforts to enhance user experience and expand its market presence.
• Although there were data breach incidents targeting Match Group, these did not seem to significantly impact the company's stock performance, as investors remained focused on its solid financial results and growth potential.

06.01.2024 - MTCH Stock was down 5.3%

• Match Group stock is off roughly 80% from its all-time highs, indicating a significant decline in value.
• The Q4 2023 earnings call transcript may have revealed disappointing financial results or guidance, leading to the bearish movement.
• Match Group's uncertainty about adapting its products to comply with the EU's Digital Markets Act (DMA) could have raised concerns among investors.
• While Match Group posted strong earnings amid operational efficiency and revenue growth, this positive news may have been overshadowed by other factors contributing to the bearish market movement.

29.10.2023 - MTCH Stock was up 6.3%

• MTCH experienced a strong bullish movement today, despite recent concerns surrounding its advertising strategy on Instagram.
• The suspension of ads on Instagram by Match Group and its subsidiary Bumble was in response to ads being displayed alongside explicit and child-sexualizing content in Instagram Reels.
• This controversy may have initially caused some uncertainty among investors, but the bullish movement suggests that the market has confidence in Match Group's ability to address the issue and maintain its strong position in the online dating industry.
• Additionally, the article mentioning Hinge's strong growth and potential for future success could have contributed to the positive sentiment surrounding MTCH, as investors may see it as a promising aspect of Match Group's portfolio.

08.04.2024 - MTCH Stock was down 6.6%

• Match Group (MTCH) experienced a bearish movement today, with the stock price declining.
• The options market indicated a bullish sentiment towards Match Group, with a majority of traders showing optimism through their trades.
• Despite beating earnings per share and revenue expectations for Q1 2024, Match Group provided a disappointing revenue forecast for the quarter, leading to investor concerns.
• The stock's low valuation at just 7 times current year free cash flow may have attracted some investors, suggesting a potential turnaround opportunity.

04.03.2024 - MTCH Stock was down 5.5%

• The bearish movement in Match Group's stock today could be due to concerns about increased competition from Asian dating app start-ups with a more personalized approach to online dating, potentially challenging Match Group's market dominance.
• Discussions about Match Group as one of the three stocks to watch might have heightened investor expectations, leading to a sell-off when the stock did not meet those expectations.
• Investors could be reassessing Match Group's position in the online dating industry in light of reports that the company is facing challenges in keeping pace with changing consumer preferences, resulting in a negative sentiment towards the stock.

08.04.2024 - MTCH Stock was down 11.7%

• Match Group reported strong earnings for Q1 2024, beating both EPS and revenue estimates. Despite this positive performance, the stock experienced a bearish movement.
• The launch of Archer, a dating app for gay, bi, and queer men, garnered over half a million installs, showcasing potential growth in a specific market segment.
• The overall stock market sentiment, as indicated by warnings of a stock market crash and declining number of listed companies, may have influenced investors to shift away from social media stocks like Match Group.
• Investors might be cautious due to the increasing competition in the online dating industry and the need for Match Group to continuously innovate to maintain its market position amidst changing market dynamics.

03.01.2026 - MTCH Stock was down 5.0%

• Match Group (MTCH) experienced a strong bearish movement following news of being targeted in a data breach spree by the ShinyHunters cybercriminal group. This negative publicity likely raised concerns among investors about the company's data security measures and potential repercussions.
• Despite being highlighted as a top pick for exceeding earnings expectations in the upcoming quarter, the looming shadow of the data breach incident may have overshadowed positive market sentiment, leading to the bearish movement.
• The increased stake purchase by CEO Spencer Rascoff and the overall "Hold" rating from analysts may not have been sufficient to offset the impact of the data breach news on investor confidence, contributing to the downward trend in MTCH stock price.
• The upcoming earnings report on February 3rd will be closely watched for insights into how the data breach incident and other factors discussed in recent assessments may influence Match Group's financial performance and future outlook.

16.06.2024 - MTCH Stock was up 6.6%

• An analyst initiated coverage with a $36 price target, indicating strong support and growth potential for Match Group.
• An investment firm acquiring a stake in the company and advocating for increased profitability or potential privatization likely boosted investor confidence.
• A strategic plan for growth outlined by the investment firm and a favorable outlook from another source further bolstered expectations for Match Group's future performance, leading to a rise in the stock price.
• The shared focus among analysts and stakeholders on improving shareholder value and the company's competitive position may have contributed to the stock's positive movement today.

16.06.2024 - MTCH Stock was up 8.6%

• The announcement of a significant stake in Match Group by an activist investor has boosted investor confidence, leading to a surge in the stock price.
• A price target endorsement and positive market sentiment are contributing to the bullish movement in MTCH stock.
• A warning on another company's stock and a downgrade may have driven up demand for Match Group shares.
• The news of a new patent application by a pharmaceutical company for a weight loss treatment may have indirectly benefited companies like Match Group in today's bullish market environment.

16.06.2024 - MTCH Stock was up 7.4%

• Match Group's stock surged after an activist-investment fund disclosed a 6.6% stake in the company and presented initiatives for growth and profitability improvements.
• The focus on enhancing Tinder's performance and advocating for aggressive share buybacks by the activist-investment fund contributed to investor optimism and drove the stock price higher.
• The market reacted positively to the potential strategic changes proposed, indicating investor confidence in Match Group's future growth prospects.
• This bullish movement highlights the impact of proactive investor involvement and strategic recommendations on a company's stock performance.

08.07.2024 - MTCH Stock was down 6.0%

• Layoffs at Match Group could have sparked concerns among investors about the company's growth and innovation capabilities, resulting in a downturn in the market.
• Despite the company's strong revenue results and positive sales outlook, the news of layoffs may have prompted a negative market response, indicating potential internal hurdles.
• An increase in the stock price target based on revenue growth suggests a favorable long-term outlook for Match Group. However, the immediate impact of the layoffs may have overshadowed this positive forecast, leading to the stock's decline.