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NASDAQ-100 ($NDX) Index Forecast: Up 0.2% Today

Morpher AI identified a bullish signal. The index price may continue to rise based on the momentum of the good news.

What is NASDAQ-100?

The NDX index tracks the performance of the top 100 non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq Stock Market. It is heavily weighted towards the technology sector and is a key indicator of tech stock performance.

Why is NASDAQ-100 going up?

NDX index is up 0.2% on Dec 4, 2025 15:05

  • The bullish movement in the NDX index today can be attributed to the projected surge in the cloud computing market, which is expected to drive growth in AI-related industries.
  • The positive outlook for tech and AI stocks, as discussed the potential for significant market expansion and strong performance of ETFs like the Invesco QQQ Trust, likely contributed to investor optimism.
  • The uncertainty surrounding potential Federal Reserve actions, such as the predicted rate cut in December by some financial institutions, may have also influenced market sentiment, leading investors to favor tech stocks like those in the NDX index for potential returns amid market complexity.
  • Overall, the bullish movement in the NDX index today reflects investor confidence in the tech sector's growth prospects, particularly in cloud computing and AI-related industries, amidst broader market uncertainties and mixed signals about year-end performance.

NDX Price Chart

NDX Technical Analysis

NDX News

The Cloud Computing Market Could Surge by 218%: Buy This ETF That Holds a Big Position in Alphabet

The global cloud computing market is projected to expand by 218% from 2024 to 2030, driven by AI growth. The Invesco QQQ Trust ETF offers exposure to top cloud and AI stocks, with eight companies accounting for over half its holdings.

https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/12/03/cloud-computing-market-could-surge-by-218-buy-the/?source=iedfolrf0000001

0 News Article Image The Cloud Computing Market Could Surge by 218%: Buy This ETF That Holds a Big Position in Alphabet

Will Santa Claus Rally Fail? Wall Street Divided Amid Mounting Volatility, Bearish Options Activity

Wall Street analysts are divided on the potential for a year-end Santa Claus rally, with mixed signals about market performance. Volatility, bearish options activity, and uncertainty around potential Federal Reserve actions are creating market complexity.

https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/12/49132605/will-santa-claus-rally-fail-wall-street-divided-amid-mounting-volatility-bearish-options-activit?utm_source=benzinga_taxonomy&utm_medium=rss_feed_free&utm_content=taxonomy_rss&utm_campaign=channel

1 News Article Image Will Santa Claus Rally Fail? Wall Street Divided Amid Mounting Volatility, Bearish Options Activity

Here's How Much You'd Need to Invest in the Nasdaq-100 to Get Your Portfolio to $1 Million or More by Retirement

The article explores investment strategies for reaching $1 million by retirement using the Nasdaq-100 index, highlighting potential returns and providing a detailed investment projection table based on different growth scenarios.

https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/11/30/heres-how-much-youd-need-to-invest-in-the-nasdaq-1/?source=iedfolrf0000001

2 News Article Image Here's How Much You'd Need to Invest in the Nasdaq-100 to Get Your Portfolio to $1 Million or More by Retirement

If You'd Invested $1,000 in the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) 10 Years Ago, Here's How Much You'd Have Today

An investment of $1,000 in the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF in November 2015 would have grown to $5,334 by November 2025, driven by strong performance in tech and AI stocks.

https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/11/29/if-youd-invested-1000-in-the-invesco-qqq-trust-qqq/?source=iedfolrf0000001

3 News Article Image If You'd Invested $1,000 in the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) 10 Years Ago, Here's How Much You'd Have Today

JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs Predict Fed Will Cut Rates In December

JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs now forecast a quarter-point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December, citing recent comments from central bank officials and signals of a cooling labor market.

https://www.benzinga.com/markets/economic-data/25/11/49109974/jp-morgan-goldman-sachs-predict-fed-will-cut-rates-in-december?utm_source=benzinga_taxonomy&utm_medium=rss_feed_free&utm_content=taxonomy_rss&utm_campaign=channel

4 News Article Image JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs Predict Fed Will Cut Rates In December

NASDAQ-100 Price History

14.10.2025 - NDX Index was down 1.6%

  • The bearish movement in the NDX index today can be attributed to the significant market value decline of over $700 billion in tech stocks, fueled by skepticism around Federal Reserve rate cuts and concerns about AI infrastructure bottlenecks.
  • The tech sector's struggles due to AI infrastructure constraints and execution challenges have led to the worst November performance for the Nasdaq 100 since 2008, indicating a potential slowdown in the AI market's growth trajectory.
  • Despite the downturn, the NDX index showed resilience by testing and holding firm at key support levels, hinting at a possible market bottom and a potential bounce back in the near future.

19.10.2025 - NDX Index was up 1.5%

  • The bullish movement in the NDX index today can be attributed to the strong performance of top technology companies and AI potential, as highlighted in the outperformance of the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF over the past five years.
  • Expectations of record revenue driven by AI chip sales in Nvidia's upcoming earnings report likely contributed to the positive sentiment in the tech sector and the overall market.
  • The support for a December rate cut by Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller due to weak labor market conditions and low inflation risks might have also boosted investor confidence in the market, leading to the bullish movement in the NDX index.
  • Despite recent challenges faced by tech stocks, including a significant market value decline and AI infrastructure constraints, today's bullish movement indicates a potential rebound in the sector as investors remain optimistic about the long-term growth prospects of technology companies.

13.10.2025 - NDX Index was down 1.2%

  • The bearish movement in the NDX index today can be attributed to profit-taking after a period of strong gains.
  • Recommendations for long-term ETF investments suggest a shift in investor sentiment towards more stable and diversified assets, away from the volatility of tech stocks.
  • Garner Asset Management's significant investment in Hagerty may have diverted funds from tech stocks, contributing to the bearish movement in the NDX.
  • The Nasdaq 100's bounce from key support levels indicates underlying strength in the index, potentially leading to a reversal of today's bearish trend in the near future.

03.10.2025 - NDX Index was up 0.0%

  • The positive movement in the NDX index today is linked to the optimistic sentiment prevailing in the tech sector, propelled by strong performances from major companies such as Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon.
  • It is suggested to consider investing in index ETFs like the Invesco QQQ Trust, corresponding with the current market trend favoring tech-heavy investments that are boosting the NDX index.
  • While disagreements over interest rate cuts among members of the Federal Reserve initially caused some market hesitancy, the overall favorable outlook in the tech sector overshadowed these reservations, resulting in the bullish progression of the NDX index.
  • McElhenny Sheffield Capital Management's increased stake in the Invesco QQQ Trust signals a growing confidence in the tech sector, reinforcing the upward momentum of the NDX index.

10.09.2025 - NDX Index was down 0.6%

  • The bearish movement in the NDX today can be attributed to the cooling labor market as indicated by job losses in September and rising unemployment claims. This has led to market expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in October, causing investors to react negatively.
  • Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran's comments downplaying the impact of tariffs on inflation may have added to the bearish sentiment, as it suggests a potential divergence in views on the state of the economy and monetary policy.
  • Despite the government shutdown and economic uncertainties, Tom Lee's optimism about the U.S. economy and the "most hated V-shaped rally" may not have been enough to offset the prevailing concerns in the market, contributing to the downward movement in the NDX.

04.10.2025 - NDX Index was down 0.9%

  • The bearish movement in the NDX could be linked to the cautious approach of the Federal Reserve regarding interest rates. Market uncertainty surrounding future monetary policy can lead to investor nervousness and sell-offs.
  • Potential tariff impacts may have also contributed to the negative sentiment in the market, especially for tech companies that are heavily represented in the Nasdaq 100 Index.
  • Despite the positive outlook for tech companies, the overall market conditions and concerns about Fed's rate decisions seem to have overshadowed the growth potential of these companies in the short term.
  • The dissent within the Federal Reserve with regards to the size of interest rate cuts could have added to the market's uncertainty and volatility, leading to the bearish movement in the NDX.

03.11.2025 - NDX Index was down 0.2%

  • The downward movement in the NDX today is linked to:
  • Increasing volatility and bearish options activity, reflecting a feeling of uncertainty and caution among investors.
  • Conflicting signals regarding a year-end Santa Claus rally, resulting in market hesitancy.
  • Speculation about a Federal Reserve interest rate reduction in December, complicating the market landscape and causing unease among investors.
  • Emphasis on achieving $1 million by retirement through Nasdaq-100 investments and the impressive performance of tech and AI stocks over the past decade might have raised expectations, possibly leading to profit-taking and market corrections.

15.09.2025 - NDX Index was down 1.0%

  • The bearish movement in the NDX index could be linked to the continuing economic effects of previous tariffs, with concerns that AI investment might be masking the true extent of the impact on the economy.
  • The Federal Reserve's significant reduction in Treasury holdings via quantitative tightening may have raised worries about long-term market stability, contributing to the bearish mood in the market.
  • President Trump's recent threat of trade retaliation against China, particularly focusing on soybean imports, likely increased market volatility and added to the bearish movement in the NDX index.
  • The announcement of additional 100% tariffs on Chinese imports by President Trump might have heightened market concerns, resulting in significant declines in stocks and cryptocurrencies, including those tracked by the NDX index.

04.11.2025 - NDX Index was up 0.2%

  • The bullish movement in the NDX index today can be attributed to the projected surge in the cloud computing market, which is expected to drive growth in AI-related industries.
  • The positive outlook for tech and AI stocks, as discussed the potential for significant market expansion and strong performance of ETFs like the Invesco QQQ Trust, likely contributed to investor optimism.
  • The uncertainty surrounding potential Federal Reserve actions, such as the predicted rate cut in December by some financial institutions, may have also influenced market sentiment, leading investors to favor tech stocks like those in the NDX index for potential returns amid market complexity.
  • Overall, the bullish movement in the NDX index today reflects investor confidence in the tech sector's growth prospects, particularly in cloud computing and AI-related industries, amidst broader market uncertainties and mixed signals about year-end performance.

18.10.2025 - NDX Index was down 2.3%

  • Federal Reserve Governor Waller's support for a December rate cut due to weak labor market conditions and low inflation risks likely contributed to the bearish movement in the NDX index.
  • The massive market value decline of over $700 billion in tech stocks, driven by skepticism around rate cuts and AI infrastructure concerns, further pressured the Nasdaq 100.
  • The struggles faced by tech stocks in November, attributed to AI infrastructure constraints and execution challenges, added to the overall negative sentiment in the market.
  • The recommended ETFs for long-term investment may offer some stability in a volatile market environment, especially the S&P 500 index fund for broad market exposure amid the current uncertainties.

21.10.2025 - NDX Index was down 5.0%

  • The bearish movement in the NDX index today could be attributed to the following factors:
  • Investors may be shifting towards broader diversification and lower fees, favoring a particular ETF over another, leading to a potential sell-off in tech-heavy stocks.
  • The anticipation of a rate cut in December, as supported by a Federal Reserve Governor, might have raised concerns about weakening labor market conditions and economic stability, impacting investor sentiment.
  • An upcoming earnings report from a tech company, despite high expectations, could be causing uncertainty in the tech sector, influencing the bearish trend in the NDX index.

30.09.2025 - NDX Index was down 0.3%

  • An interest rate cut of 0.25% by the Federal Reserve caused market uncertainty, leading to a bearish trend in the NDX.
  • The comparison between the Vanguard 500 Index Fund ETF (VOO) and the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) highlighted diversification and concentration differences in technology stocks, potentially impacting investor sentiment towards tech-heavy indices like the NDX.
  • McElhenny Sheffield Capital Management's increased position in QQQ may have contributed to selling pressure on tech stocks within the NDX.
  • Amplius Wealth Advisors' sale of a significant amount of QQQ shares, despite maintaining a bullish outlook on tech, might have influenced the downward movement of the NDX.
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Disclaimer
Morpher is not liable for the content of the AI investment insights. Like most GPT-powered tools, these summaries may contain AI hallucinations and inaccurate information. Morpher is not presenting you with any investment advice. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. These summaries do not constitute investment advice.