NASDAQ-100 ($NDX) Index Forecast: Down 1.0% Today

What is NASDAQ-100?

The NDX index monitors the performance of the top 100 non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq Stock Market. Today, there was a strong bearish movement in the market.

Why is NASDAQ-100 going down?

NDX index is down 1.0% on Oct 15, 2025 17:16

• The bearish movement in the NDX index could be linked to the continuing economic effects of previous tariffs, with concerns that AI investment might be masking the true extent of the impact on the economy.
• The Federal Reserve's significant reduction in Treasury holdings via quantitative tightening may have raised worries about long-term market stability, contributing to the bearish mood in the market.
• President Trump's recent threat of trade retaliation against China, particularly focusing on soybean imports, likely increased market volatility and added to the bearish movement in the NDX index.
• The announcement of additional 100% tariffs on Chinese imports by President Trump might have heightened market concerns, resulting in significant declines in stocks and cryptocurrencies, including those tracked by the NDX index.

NDX Price Chart

NDX Technical Analysis

NDX News

Trump's Tariffs 'Papered Over By AI' Are Quietly Hurting Economy: 'We've Only Seen Half Of...'

Experts warn that AI investment is masking significant economic damage from Trump-era tariffs, with small businesses particularly vulnerable and only half of the tariffs' potential negative impact currently felt.

https://www.benzinga.com/markets/economic-data/25/10/48220411/trumps-tariffs-papered-over-by-ai-are-quietly-hurting-economy-weve-only-seen-half-of

Forget China, Federal Reserve Is Biggest Seller Of US Debt—By $1.5 Trillion, Even As Foreign Holdings Remain Stable

The Federal Reserve has significantly reduced its Treasury holdings by $1.5 trillion since May 2022 through quantitative tightening, creating potential long-term market stability concerns and a structural demand gap for government debt.

https://www.benzinga.com/markets/economic-data/25/10/48217711/forget-china-federal-reserve-is-biggest-seller-of-us-debt-by-1-5-trillion-even-as-foreign-h

Trump Hits China Again—Markets Stumble Into The Close, Soybean Stocks Soar

President Trump threatened potential trade retaliation against China for not buying U.S. soybeans, causing market volatility and significant gains in agricultural stocks.

https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/movers/25/10/48213457/trump-hits-china-again-markets-stumble-into-the-close-soybean-stocks-soar

Here's How Much You Should Aim to Invest Every Year if You Want to Retire Comfortably

Investors should aim to build a retirement portfolio of around $1.26 million, with annual investment amounts varying based on years until retirement and expected investment returns. Choosing growth-focused ETFs like Invesco QQQ Trust can help achieve above-average market returns.

https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/10/12/heres-how-much-you-should-aim-to-invest-every-year/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Trump Puts Additional 100% Tariffs On China: Crypto, Stocks Drop

President Trump announced 100% tariffs on Chinese imports starting November 1st, 2025, in response to China's planned export controls on critical materials. The announcement caused significant market volatility, with stocks and cryptocurrencies experiencing sharp declines.

https://www.benzinga.com/news/politics/25/10/48162671/trump-puts-additional-100-tariffs-on-china-crypto-stocks-drop

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NASDAQ-100 Price History

18.08.2025 - NDX Index was up 0.4%

• The NDX had a substantial bullish movement attributed to the recent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
• Tech stocks, which are prominent in the NDX, saw a surge following the rate cut announcement and hints of potential future easing by Fed Chair Powell.
• Previous trends indicating significant returns during a Fed easing period likely bolstered investor confidence in tech stocks within the NDX.
• President Trump's advocacy for a significant rate reduction, along with strategic moves by institutional investors before the Federal Reserve meeting, could have contributed to the positive market sentiment driving the bullish movement in the NDX today.

08.09.2025 - NDX Index was down 0.1%

• Comments challenging the impact of tariffs on inflation may have caused uncertainty in the market, leading to a bearish sentiment as investors reevaluate the potential economic implications.
• An optimistic outlook on the U.S. economy and the mention of AI investments and a dovish Federal Reserve could have provided some support, but the overall sentiment from other sources may have outweighed this positive outlook.
• The ADP Employment report showing job losses, especially in small and medium businesses, along with recession concerns raised by economists, likely contributed to the bearish movement as investors become more cautious about the economic outlook.
• The ongoing government shutdown could also be adding to the negative sentiment, creating further uncertainty and impacting market confidence, leading to the bearish movement in the NDX index.

10.09.2025 - NDX Index was down 0.6%

• The bearish movement in the NDX today can be attributed to the cooling labor market as indicated by job losses in September and rising unemployment claims. This has led to market expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in October, causing investors to react negatively.
• Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran's comments downplaying the impact of tariffs on inflation may have added to the bearish sentiment, as it suggests a potential divergence in views on the state of the economy and monetary policy.
• Despite the government shutdown and economic uncertainties, Tom Lee's optimism about the U.S. economy and the "most hated V-shaped rally" may not have been enough to offset the prevailing concerns in the market, contributing to the downward movement in the NDX.

24.08.2025 - NDX Index was down 1.2%

• Comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on stock valuations and the comparison to the dot-com crash era likely added to investor worries and selling pressure on tech stocks, leading to a decline in the NDX.
• Despite Tom Lee's response to Powell's remarks offering some comfort to investors, overall market sentiment remained cautious, contributing to the downward trend in the NDX.
• The Federal Reserve's decision to lower interest rates and hint at potential future easing measures, particularly in light of weakening labor market conditions, may have initially uplifted tech stocks. However, concerns over market valuation prevailed, leading to the NDX's bearish performance.

07.09.2025 - NDX Index was down 0.2%

• The bearish movement in the NDX index today could be attributed to:
• Concerns over a potential recession as indicated by the ADP Employment report showing job losses, leading to investor sentiment turning cautious.
• The Warren Buffett Indicator hitting high levels, signaling market overvaluation, which might have prompted profit-taking and selling pressure.
• Despite Tom Lee's optimism, the ongoing government shutdown and recession fears could have overshadowed the positive outlook, causing a sell-off in tech stocks.

15.09.2025 - NDX Index was down 1.0%

• The bearish movement in the NDX index could be linked to the continuing economic effects of previous tariffs, with concerns that AI investment might be masking the true extent of the impact on the economy.
• The Federal Reserve's significant reduction in Treasury holdings via quantitative tightening may have raised worries about long-term market stability, contributing to the bearish mood in the market.
• President Trump's recent threat of trade retaliation against China, particularly focusing on soybean imports, likely increased market volatility and added to the bearish movement in the NDX index.
• The announcement of additional 100% tariffs on Chinese imports by President Trump might have heightened market concerns, resulting in significant declines in stocks and cryptocurrencies, including those tracked by the NDX index.

03.09.2025 - NDX Index was down 0.5%

• The bearish movement in the NDX index today can be attributed to:
• The unexpected job losses reported in the ADP Employment report, particularly driven by small and medium businesses, raising concerns about economic slowdown and potential recession.
• The Warren Buffett Indicator signaling market overvaluation, leading to investor caution and profit-taking in tech stocks.
• Despite futures climbing and gold soaring, the looming government shutdown and potential 'data blackout' could be creating uncertainty and impacting investor sentiment in the tech-heavy NDX index.

17.08.2025 - NDX Index was down 0.1%

• The bearish movement in the NDX index today can be attributed to:
• Expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve, as signaled by the high probability of a 25 basis points cut. This anticipation might have raised concerns about the overall economic outlook.
• Institutional investors adopting a cautious stance ahead of the FOMC meeting, focusing on defensive stocks. This cautious positioning could have contributed to the selling pressure on tech stocks within the Nasdaq-100.
• Debate around inflation rates and the potential impact on interest rate decisions could have added uncertainty to the market, leading to a bearish sentiment among investors.

01.09.2025 - NDX Index was down 0.7%

• The bearish movement in the NDX index today could be attributed to profit-taking after a period of strong growth in technology and AI-driven companies.
• Investors may be reacting to concerns raised by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell about the valuation of the stock market, leading to a sell-off in tech-heavy indices like NDX.
• The potential government shutdown and the resulting 'data blackout' mentioned by economists could be adding to the uncertainty in the market, prompting investors to move away from riskier assets like tech stocks, thus contributing to the bearish movement in the NDX index today.

22.07.2025 - NDX Index was up 1.0%

• The bullish movement in the NDX index today could be attributed to the strong performance of tech stocks, with companies like Apple, Amazon, and Microsoft driving the index higher.
• The hawkish stance of Federal Reserve officials, as revealed in the minutes, indicating a focus on inflation and potential price pressures, might have reassured investors about the overall economic outlook, leading to increased confidence in tech stocks.
• Calls for Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to resign by economist Mohamed El-Erian could have added some uncertainty to the market, but the lack of immediate action on interest rates or policy changes might have provided stability for investors in tech companies.
• The outperformance of Bitcoin compared to traditional index funds like Vanguard 500 and Invesco QQQ could have also influenced investor sentiment towards tech stocks, as they seek higher returns in a volatile market environment.

01.09.2025 - NDX Index was up 0.2%

• The indicator surpassing 217% suggests potential market overvaluation, but the excitement around AI and mega-cap stocks may have fueled investor optimism, contributing to the bullish movement of the NDX.
• The focus on growth ETFs that capitalize on the AI trend aligns with the market movement, as investors seek exposure to technology and AI-driven companies, potentially driving up the index.
• Despite concerns about a government shutdown, investors brushed off the looming threat, leading to a rise in stock market futures. This resilience in the face of uncertainty could have further boosted the bullish sentiment in the market, including the NDX index.

29.07.2025 - NDX Index was down 0.8%

• The bearish movement in the NDX index today could be attributed to profit-taking after a period of strong performance, especially in high-growth tech stocks like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple.
• Investors might be reacting to the significant risks associated with the heavy concentration of technology stocks in the Invesco QQQ Trust, which tracks the Nasdaq-100 index, leading to a sell-off.
• Concerns about political interference in the Federal Reserve, as highlighted by Senator Elizabeth Warren's criticism of President Trump's dismissal of Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, could be adding to market uncertainty and contributing to the bearish sentiment.
• In a volatile market environment with the S&P 500 at all-time highs driven by tech stocks, investors may be seeking safer bets like the Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF, which offers a more conservative investment approach with lower valuation and attractive dividend yield, potentially diverting funds away from high-growth tech stocks and impacting the NDX index negatively.