NASDAQ-100 ($NDX) Index Forecast: Down 0.4% Today

What is NASDAQ-100?

The NDX index tracks the performance of the top 100 non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange, with a focus on technology and internet-related firms. Today, the NDX experienced a significant bearish movement in the market.

Why is NASDAQ-100 going down?

NDX index is down 0.4% on Dec 12, 2025 15:10

• The decision to reappoint all regional Reserve Bank presidents and first vice presidents by the Federal Reserve ahead of schedule may have created uncertainty and raised concerns about potential political interference, contributing to market jitters.
• Criticism of the Federal Reserve's plan to buy Treasury bills, likening it to quantitative easing and warning of potential inflation by an economic expert, could have spooked investors and led to a sell-off in tech-heavy indices like the NDX.
• The comparison between tech-focused ETFs QQQ and VGT, with a recommendation for QQQ due to broader tech exposure, might have influenced investors to reallocate their investments, impacting the NDX negatively.
• An analyst's optimistic outlook on potential Trump administration tax cuts, likening it to 'Reaganomics on steroids,' could have created a mixed sentiment in the market, with some investors cautious about the long-term implications on the economy and tech sector, leading to the bearish movement in the NDX.

NDX Price Chart

NDX Technical Analysis

NDX News

Federal Reserve 'Trump-Proofed' Itself As Board Announces Reappointment Of Reserve Bank Presidents, First Vice Presidents

The Federal Reserve Board unanimously reappointed all 12 regional Reserve Bank presidents and first vice presidents months ahead of their term expiration, a move seen as insulating the central bank from potential political interference.

https://www.benzinga.com/news/politics/25/12/49354021/federal-reserve-trump-proofed-itself-as-board-announces-reappointment-of-reserve-bank-presidents-fi?utm_source=benzinga_taxonomy&utm_medium=rss_feed_free&utm_content=taxonomy_rss&utm_campaign=channel

Peter Schiff Slams Federal Reserve's Plan For Buying Treasury Bills: 'QE By Any Other Name Is Still Inflation'

Economist Peter Schiff criticizes the Federal Reserve's plan to buy Treasury bills, warning it represents a return to quantitative easing and will likely cause inflation, while other analysts see the move as a potential 'soft landing' for the economy.

https://www.benzinga.com/markets/economic-data/25/12/49325718/peter-schiff-slams-federal-reserves-plan-for-buying-treasury-bills-qe-by-any-other-name-is-?utm_source=benzinga_taxonomy&utm_medium=rss_feed_free&utm_content=taxonomy_rss&utm_campaign=channel

QQQ vs. VGT: What's the Better Tech ETF Going Into 2026?

The article compares two tech-focused ETFs, Invesco QQQ and Vanguard Information Technology, recommending QQQ for broader tech exposure and better diversification heading into 2026.

https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/12/10/qqq-vs-vgt-whats-the-better-tech-etf-going-into-20/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Should You Buy the Invesco QQQ ETF With the Nasdaq Near an All-Time High? History Offers a Clear Answer.

The Invesco QQQ ETF, tracking the Nasdaq-100 index, remains an attractive investment despite being near an all-time high. The ETF offers exposure to leading tech companies and has historically delivered consistent returns, with a 10.5% compound annual return since 1999.

https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/12/10/should-buy-invesco-qqq-etf-nasdaq-all-time-high/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Cathie Wood Says Trump's New Tax Cuts Will Be Like 'Reaganomics' On Steroids

Cathie Wood predicts a significant economic boom driven by potential Trump administration tax cuts, describing the fiscal policy as 'Reaganomics on steroids' with potential to boost real disposable personal income and stimulate market recovery.

https://www.benzinga.com/markets/economic-data/25/12/49275638/cathie-wood-says-trumps-new-tax-cuts-will-be-like-reaganomics-on-steroids?utm_source=benzinga_taxonomy&utm_medium=rss_feed_free&utm_content=taxonomy_rss&utm_campaign=channel

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NASDAQ-100 Price History

14.10.2025 - NDX Index was down 1.6%

• The bearish movement in the NDX index today can be attributed to the significant market value decline of over $700 billion in tech stocks, fueled by skepticism around Federal Reserve rate cuts and concerns about AI infrastructure bottlenecks.
• The tech sector's struggles due to AI infrastructure constraints and execution challenges have led to the worst November performance for the Nasdaq 100 since 2008, indicating a potential slowdown in the AI market's growth trajectory.
• Despite the downturn, the NDX index showed resilience by testing and holding firm at key support levels, hinting at a possible market bottom and a potential bounce back in the near future.

19.10.2025 - NDX Index was up 1.5%

• The bullish movement in the NDX index today can be attributed to the strong performance of top technology companies and AI potential, as highlighted in the outperformance of the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF over the past five years.
• Expectations of record revenue driven by AI chip sales in Nvidia's upcoming earnings report likely contributed to the positive sentiment in the tech sector and the overall market.
• The support for a December rate cut by Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller due to weak labor market conditions and low inflation risks might have also boosted investor confidence in the market, leading to the bullish movement in the NDX index.
• Despite recent challenges faced by tech stocks, including a significant market value decline and AI infrastructure constraints, today's bullish movement indicates a potential rebound in the sector as investors remain optimistic about the long-term growth prospects of technology companies.

13.10.2025 - NDX Index was down 1.2%

• The bearish movement in the NDX index today can be attributed to profit-taking after a period of strong gains.
• Recommendations for long-term ETF investments suggest a shift in investor sentiment towards more stable and diversified assets, away from the volatility of tech stocks.
• Garner Asset Management's significant investment in Hagerty may have diverted funds from tech stocks, contributing to the bearish movement in the NDX.
• The Nasdaq 100's bounce from key support levels indicates underlying strength in the index, potentially leading to a reversal of today's bearish trend in the near future.

10.11.2025 - NDX Index was up 0.3%

• A strong bullish movement was seen in the NDX index today.
• Positive sentiment surrounding tech companies, potential economic growth from tax cuts, and the attractiveness of tech-focused ETFs like the Invesco QQQ have influenced this movement.
• Investor confidence in the tech-heavy NDX index has been fueled by the historical consistent returns of tech companies and optimism for market recovery.
• Despite warnings about concentration risks in certain ETFs, the overall positive outlook for tech companies, especially those in the Nasdaq-100 index, likely played a role in today's bullish movement in the NDX index.

04.10.2025 - NDX Index was down 0.9%

• The bearish movement in the NDX could be linked to the cautious approach of the Federal Reserve regarding interest rates. Market uncertainty surrounding future monetary policy can lead to investor nervousness and sell-offs.
• Potential tariff impacts may have also contributed to the negative sentiment in the market, especially for tech companies that are heavily represented in the Nasdaq 100 Index.
• Despite the positive outlook for tech companies, the overall market conditions and concerns about Fed's rate decisions seem to have overshadowed the growth potential of these companies in the short term.
• The dissent within the Federal Reserve with regards to the size of interest rate cuts could have added to the market's uncertainty and volatility, leading to the bearish movement in the NDX.

03.11.2025 - NDX Index was down 0.2%

• The downward movement in the NDX today is linked to:
• Increasing volatility and bearish options activity, reflecting a feeling of uncertainty and caution among investors.
• Conflicting signals regarding a year-end Santa Claus rally, resulting in market hesitancy.
• Speculation about a Federal Reserve interest rate reduction in December, complicating the market landscape and causing unease among investors.
• Emphasis on achieving $1 million by retirement through Nasdaq-100 investments and the impressive performance of tech and AI stocks over the past decade might have raised expectations, possibly leading to profit-taking and market corrections.

18.10.2025 - NDX Index was down 2.3%

• Federal Reserve Governor Waller's support for a December rate cut due to weak labor market conditions and low inflation risks likely contributed to the bearish movement in the NDX index.
• The massive market value decline of over $700 billion in tech stocks, driven by skepticism around rate cuts and AI infrastructure concerns, further pressured the Nasdaq 100.
• The struggles faced by tech stocks in November, attributed to AI infrastructure constraints and execution challenges, added to the overall negative sentiment in the market.
• The recommended ETFs for long-term investment may offer some stability in a volatile market environment, especially the S&P 500 index fund for broad market exposure amid the current uncertainties.

21.10.2025 - NDX Index was down 5.0%

• The bearish movement in the NDX index today could be attributed to the following factors:
• Investors may be shifting towards broader diversification and lower fees, favoring a particular ETF over another, leading to a potential sell-off in tech-heavy stocks.
• The anticipation of a rate cut in December, as supported by a Federal Reserve Governor, might have raised concerns about weakening labor market conditions and economic stability, impacting investor sentiment.
• An upcoming earnings report from a tech company, despite high expectations, could be causing uncertainty in the tech sector, influencing the bearish trend in the NDX index.

11.11.2025 - NDX Index was down 0.8%

• The bearish movement in the NDX index today could be attributed to profit-taking by investors after a prolonged period of strong performance.
• The comparison between QQQ and VGT ETFs suggests that investors may be favoring QQQ for its broader tech exposure, potentially leading to a shift in capital away from VGT and impacting the overall tech sector.
• Cathie Wood's optimistic outlook on the economy due to potential tax cuts may have created uncertainty in the market, prompting some investors to reevaluate their tech holdings.
• The warning about the risks associated with VGT due to its high concentration in a few tech stocks could have raised concerns among investors, leading to a reevaluation of their tech ETF investments.

04.11.2025 - NDX Index was up 0.2%

• The bullish movement in the NDX index today can be attributed to the projected surge in the cloud computing market, which is expected to drive growth in AI-related industries.
• The positive outlook for tech and AI stocks, as discussed the potential for significant market expansion and strong performance of ETFs like the Invesco QQQ Trust, likely contributed to investor optimism.
• The uncertainty surrounding potential Federal Reserve actions, such as the predicted rate cut in December by some financial institutions, may have also influenced market sentiment, leading investors to favor tech stocks like those in the NDX index for potential returns amid market complexity.
• Overall, the bullish movement in the NDX index today reflects investor confidence in the tech sector's growth prospects, particularly in cloud computing and AI-related industries, amidst broader market uncertainties and mixed signals about year-end performance.

12.11.2025 - NDX Index was down 0.4%

• The decision to reappoint all regional Reserve Bank presidents and first vice presidents by the Federal Reserve ahead of schedule may have created uncertainty and raised concerns about potential political interference, contributing to market jitters.
• Criticism of the Federal Reserve's plan to buy Treasury bills, likening it to quantitative easing and warning of potential inflation by an economic expert, could have spooked investors and led to a sell-off in tech-heavy indices like the NDX.
• The comparison between tech-focused ETFs QQQ and VGT, with a recommendation for QQQ due to broader tech exposure, might have influenced investors to reallocate their investments, impacting the NDX negatively.
• An analyst's optimistic outlook on potential Trump administration tax cuts, likening it to 'Reaganomics on steroids,' could have created a mixed sentiment in the market, with some investors cautious about the long-term implications on the economy and tech sector, leading to the bearish movement in the NDX.

11.11.2025 - NDX Index was down 0.5%

• Criticism towards the Federal Reserve's Treasury bills purchase plan, likening it to quantitative easing, might have sparked concerns of potential inflation, triggering a sell-off in tech stocks within the NDX index.
• A comparison between QQQ and VGT ETFs favored QQQ for better diversification, potentially influencing investors to shift positions to QQQ, impacting the NDX index's overall performance.
• Cathie Wood's positive outlook on prospective Trump administration tax cuts akin to 'Reaganomics on steroids' may have initially uplifted market sentiment but could have later led to profit-taking and a bearish trend as investors assessed the sustainability of such policies.
• A cautionary note on the Vanguard Information Technology ETF (VGT) for its high concentration risk in a few tech stocks could have prompted investors to review their tech holdings, potentially impacting the NDX index negatively.