NASDAQ-100 ($NDX) Index Forecast: Down 0.8% Today

What is NASDAQ-100?

The Nasdaq 100 (NDX) is a stock market index that includes 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange. It is known for its focus on technology and growth stocks.

Why is NASDAQ-100 going down?

NDX index is down 0.8% on Feb 17, 2026 15:35

• The Nasdaq 100 experienced a strong bearish movement today, potentially aligning with seasonality patterns signaling a forthcoming decline post a March peak.
• Variability in the performance of individual stocks like Roku and Expedia Group, despite surpassing earnings expectations, could have contributed to the prevailing negative market sentiment.
• Examination of leveraged ETFs as speculative instruments underscores heightened risks and market volatility, potentially amplifying the bearish movement in the Nasdaq 100 today.
• Speculations around unchanged Fed rates in March and the probable influence of the upcoming CPI data may have also played a role in the market's bearish trend.

NDX Price Chart

NDX Technical Analysis

NDX News

Stock Market Today: Dow Jones Futures Fall, Nasdaq Gains Ahead Of January CPI Print—Tri Pointe Homes, Roku, Expedia Group In Focus

U.S. stock futures showed mixed performance on Friday ahead of January CPI data. Tri Pointe Homes surged 25.79% following a strategic combination announcement with Sumitomo Forestry. Roku jumped 13.70% after beating earnings expectations, while Expedia dropped 4.97% despite beating estimates due to muted 2026 margin guidance. Markets are pricing a 92.1% likelihood of unchanged Fed rates in March.

https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/26/02/50603863/stock-market-today-dow-jones-futures-fall-nasdaq-gains-ahead-of-january-cpi-print-tri-pointe-hom?utm_source=benzinga_taxonomy&utm_medium=rss_feed_free&utm_content=taxonomy_rss&utm_campaign=channel

Stock Market Today: Dow Jones, S&P 500 Futures Gain After Strong Job Report—Micron, Novocure, Fastly In Focus

U.S. stock futures rose on Thursday following a strong January jobs report showing 130,000 jobs added, exceeding expectations. The report reduced expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, with markets pricing in only a 6% chance of a March cut. Key movers include Micron (up 3.3%), Novocure (up 33% on FDA approval), and Fastly (up 43% on strong earnings), while AppLovin fell 4.95% despite beating expectations.

https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/26/02/50569460/stock-market-today-dow-jones-sp-500-futures-gain-after-strong-job-report-micron-novocure-fastly-?utm_source=benzinga_taxonomy&utm_medium=rss_feed_free&utm_content=taxonomy_rss&utm_campaign=channel

Nasdaq 100 Seasonality Indicates an Important March Peak

Analysis of Nasdaq 100 seasonality patterns in mid-term election years suggests the index bottomed on February 6 and is staging a rally toward a March 18 peak, after which a significant decline is expected through October. Using Elliott Wave Principle combined with seasonal trends, the analyst projects an upside target around $26,608 in the near term, followed by a multi-month correction.

https://www.investing.com/analysis/nasdaq-100-seasonality-indicates-an-important-march-peak-200674880

Why Leveraged ETFs Are Considered Among the Market's Most Speculative Products

Leveraged ETFs that aim to double or triple daily gains of stocks or indexes are highly speculative and risky investment products. While they can amplify gains during bull markets, they reset daily and can compound losses during market downturns. These funds charge high fees and are better suited for short-term traders rather than long-term investors.

https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/02/11/why-leveraged-etfs-are-considered-among-the-market/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Trending Today

Bausch + Lomb ($BLCO) Stock Forecast: Up 5.0% Today

Campbell Soup Company ($CPB) Stock Forecast: Down 6.3% Today

Fiverr International Ltd. ($FVRR) Stock Forecast: Down 5.2% Today

Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. ($LW) Stock Forecast: Down 5.6% Today

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. ($NCLH) Stock Forecast: Up 5.0% Today

Crocs Inc. ($CROX) Stock Forecast: Up 5.1% Today

Credo Technology Group ($CRDO) Stock Forecast: Up 5.1% Today

Leidos Holdings Inc. ($LDOS) Stock Forecast: Down 6.3% Today

Chegg Inc. ($CHGG) Stock Forecast: Down 5.5% Today

H&R Block Inc. ($HRB) Stock Forecast: Down 5.1% Today

NASDAQ-100 Price History

14.00.2026 - NDX Index was down 1.5%

• The bearish movement in the NDX today can be attributed to:
• Investors' concerns over a potential Supreme Court ruling on Trump's tariff authority, leading to uncertainty and market volatility.
• Rising inflation, as indicated by the Consumer Price Index, which may prompt fears of interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
• Tech stocks, particularly those in the NDX, experiencing a valuation reset as investors rotate towards defensive value investments amid uncertainty about future rate cuts.
• Criticism and concerns raised by economists and former Fed Chairs regarding threats to the independence of the Federal Reserve, creating additional uncertainty in the market.

13.00.2026 - NDX Index was down 0.3%

• Today's bearish movement in the NDX can be explained by:
• Declining U.S. stock futures prior to the release of December CPI data, signaling market uncertainty and caution.
• A cautionary note from Moody's Chief Economist concerning President Trump's housing stimulus plan potentially causing price spikes, leading to worries about inflation and economic stability.
• Growing tensions between the DOJ and Federal Reserve regarding Chair Powell's congressional testimony, creating market uncertainty and negative sentiment.
• The bearish trend in the Nasdaq 100 index today is likely a result of a combination of economic data releases, housing market concerns, and institutional conflicts.

29.00.2026 - NDX Index was down 1.1%

• The bearish movement in the NDX index today could be attributed to a combination of factors:
• Investors awaiting the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and Jerome Powell's speech may have caused uncertainty and led to profit-taking in the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100.
• The overall market sentiment, with mixed performance in stock futures and concerns about geopolitical tensions and tariff announcements, could have contributed to the bearish movement.
• Profit-taking concerns or skepticism about valuations in the biotech sector, as seen with a firm liquidating its stake in the iShares Biotechnology ETF, may have spilled over to other tech-related stocks in the Nasdaq 100.
• The focus on mega-cap earnings and the anticipation of market volatility despite a resilient economy could have also influenced the bearish sentiment in the Nasdaq 100.

03.01.2026 - NDX Index was down 0.2%

• The bearish movement in the NDX today can be attributed to:
• The potential AI bubble warning signs, indicating concerns about the sustainability of the current market rally driven by AI enthusiasm.
• The decline in gold and silver prices, which could signal a shift in investor sentiment away from commodities towards tech and equity markets, impacting tech-heavy indices like the NDX.
• The negative market reaction to Kevin Warsh's Fed Chair nomination, which may have introduced uncertainty and volatility into the market, leading to the bearish movement in the NDX.
• Overall, the market movement today reflects a cautious approach by investors amidst concerns about market bubbles, Fed policy changes, and shifting capital allocations.

21.00.2026 - NDX Index was down 0.1%

• The NDX witnessed a notable bearish movement today, aligning with the general market trend of a sharp selloff spurred by extreme positioning and unwinding of crowded trades.
• President Trump's strong tariff threats towards Europe and the Greenland dispute have unsettled global markets, adding to the prevailing negative sentiment.
• While individual stocks such as GameStop saw an increase following CEO Cohen's stock purchase and United Airlines surged on a positive forecast, the overall market sentiment remains bearish, necessitating the reclaiming of key support levels for a potential relief rebound.
• The attention on Trump's Davos address and the expectation of a Federal Reserve policy shift indicate that market participants are closely monitoring geopolitical and macroeconomic developments for probable market effects.

12.00.2026 - NDX Index was up 0.1%

• Today's upward movement in the NDX can be attributed to various factors:
• Strong performances from notable components like Alibaba and Tempus AI, propelled by important milestones and robust financial results respectively.
• Positive market outlook on investments related to artificial intelligence, exemplified by the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) presenting a profitable avenue to capitalize on AI through semiconductor firms.
• Expectations for the forthcoming Q4 earnings season, with a predicted uptick in the tech sector, especially fueled by the demand for AI.
• Overall market sentiment lifted by gains in U.S. stock futures, with investors looking forward to pivotal economic data like the December jobs report and the Supreme Court's decision on Trump's tariffs.

05.01.2026 - NDX Index was down 2.2%

• The bearish movement in the NDX today could be due to a tech sector rotation following a significant market selloff.
• Recent comments by Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook on persistent inflation exceeding Fed targets and concerns about a 'K-shaped' economy may have increased investor uncertainty, leading to tech stock sell-offs.
• Investor focus on alternate sectors and the approaching earnings report from Amazon might have prompted portfolio adjustments, contributing to the NDX's bearish trend.
• The market's mixed sentiment, with Dow Jones futures and Nasdaq declining, signifies investor caution amidst economic uncertainties and potential Fed policy adjustments.

22.00.2026 - NDX Index was up 0.8%

• The NDX index experienced a bullish surge as a result of President Trump's decision to reduce EU tariff threats, causing a broader market rally.
• Positive updates from companies including Moderna, Micron Technology, and Intel played a role in the index's gains, with advancements in cancer therapy trials, AI-driven chip demand, and upcoming earnings contributing to the positive momentum.
• The 'TACO Trade' strategy, which speculates on Trump abandoning tariff threats, was supported by the market's positive reaction to the removal of tariffs on European allies.
• In essence, the movement in the market indicates that investor confidence was bolstered by the reduction of trade tensions and favorable advancements in critical tech sectors, propelling the NDX index upwards.

23.00.2026 - NDX Index was up 0.5%

• Today's upward movement in the NDX was influenced by President Trump's decision to retract tariffs against the EU, reducing trade uncertainties and bolstering investor confidence.
• Positive Q3 GDP numbers at 4.4% also played a role in the market's positive trajectory, indicating robust economic growth.
• Despite Intel's cautious outlook and CSX falling short of expectations, both companies contributed to the index's rise, underscoring the resilience of the technology and transportation sectors.
• The sharp increase in Revelation Biosciences following FDA approval progress for its drug Gemini further boosted market sentiment, emphasizing the significance of regulatory green lights in the healthcare industry.

16.00.2026 - NDX Index was down 0.9%

• The bearish movement in the Nasdaq 100 index could be attributed to the overall market sentiment as investors may be taking profits after recent gains.
• Positive earnings reports from chip stocks like Taiwan Semiconductor and strong performances from financial companies like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley might have led to sector rotation, causing a sell-off in tech stocks.
• The uncertainty surrounding tariff policies and Supreme Court rulings on trade issues could have added to the bearish pressure on the index.
• The focus on hyper-growth stocks and space industry plays may have diverted attention away from traditional tech stocks, contributing to the downward trend in the Nasdaq 100 index.

02.01.2026 - NDX Index was up 0.8%

• The bullish movement in the Nasdaq 100 index today can be attributed to:
• Market optimism about the potential shift of capital from commodities like gold and silver to the tech and equity markets post a significant drop in precious metals.
• Positive sentiment towards the tech sector, particularly AI-related companies, given the perceived benefits of the metals decline seen as a necessary adjustment rather than a signal of economic fragility.
• The attention on AI sectors benefiting from the adjustment in capital flows, with industry analysts indicating a shift in investments towards tech stocks that are in line with the index's technology-heavy composition.

17.01.2026 - NDX Index was down 0.8%

• The Nasdaq 100 experienced a strong bearish movement today, potentially aligning with seasonality patterns signaling a forthcoming decline post a March peak.
• Variability in the performance of individual stocks like Roku and Expedia Group, despite surpassing earnings expectations, could have contributed to the prevailing negative market sentiment.
• Examination of leveraged ETFs as speculative instruments underscores heightened risks and market volatility, potentially amplifying the bearish movement in the Nasdaq 100 today.
• Speculations around unchanged Fed rates in March and the probable influence of the upcoming CPI data may have also played a role in the market's bearish trend.