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Groupon Inc. ($GRPN) Stock Forecast: Down 5.1% Today

Morpher AI identified a bearish signal. The stock price may continue to fall based on the momentum of the negative news.

What is Groupon Inc.?

Groupon Inc. (GRPN) is a local marketplace connecting consumers with services and experiences. The company is known for offering deals and discounts on various products and services, operating in a competitive e-commerce landscape.

Why is Groupon Inc. going down?

GRPN stock is down 5.1% on Mar 3, 2026 16:41

  • Groupon's shares experienced a significant drop as several Wall Street analysts lowered the company's rating due to concerns about its performance and future outlook, reflecting the competitive nature of the e-commerce sector.
  • The anticipation surrounding Groupon's upcoming fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 financial results likely contributed to investor uncertainty, prompting a sell-off of shares.
  • While Jason Harinstein, the senior vice-president of corporate development at Groupon, was highlighted in recent news, this did not appear to have a direct impact on the market's bearish movement.
  • The market's response indicates that investors are closely watching Groupon's financial performance and strategic decisions, seeking indications of sustainable growth and profitability amidst industry challenges.

GRPN Price Chart

GRPN Technical Analysis

GRPN News

Jason Harinstein, 36

This article identifies Jason Harinstein, 36, as the senior vice-president of corporate development at Groupon Inc., Chicago. It appears to list him as a recipient or winner within a 2011 context set by Crain's Chicago Business.

https://www.chicagobusiness.com/recognitions/40-under-40/2011/jason-harinstein/

0 News Article Image Jason Harinstein, 36

Groupon Shares Plunge After Market Open

Groupon's shares experienced a significant drop after several Wall Street analysts downgraded the company's rating due to concerns about its performance and future prospects. The stock opened at $12.65 and closed at $13.26, down over 6% from the previous close. This downturn highlights the ongoing challenges Groupon faces in a competitive e-commerce landscape, raising questions about its ability to achieve sustainable profitability.

https://nationaltoday.com/us/il/chicago/news/2026/03/01/groupon-shares-plunge-after-market-open/

1 News Article Image Groupon Shares Plunge After Market Open

Groupon Announces Date for Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results

Groupon, Inc. (NASDAQ: GRPN) announced it will release its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 financial results after market close on Tuesday, March 10, 2026. The company will also host a conference call at 8:00 AM ET on Wednesday, March 11, 2026, to discuss the results and answer questions from investors. Groupon is a local marketplace connecting consumers with services and experiences.

https://www.bitget.com/news/detail/12560605218949

2 Missing News Article Image Groupon Announces Date for Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results

Groupon Announces Date for Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results

Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) announced that it will release its fourth quarter and full-year 2025 financial results after the market closes on Tuesday, March 10, 2026. The company will also host a conference call on Wednesday, March 11, 2026, at 8:00 AM ET to discuss the results and answer investor questions. Investors can submit questions via email and access the webcast live at investor.groupon.com.

https://www.tradingview.com/news/reuters.com,2026-02-25:newsml_NFC5zPsxn:0-groupon-announces-date-for-fourth-quarter-and-full-year-2025-financial-results/

3 News Article Image Groupon Announces Date for Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results

Groupon Announces Date for Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results

Groupon, Inc. (NASDAQ: GRPN) announced it will release its fourth quarter and full year 2025 financial results after market close on Tuesday, March 10, 2026. The company will also host a conference call at 8:00 AM ET on Wednesday, March 11, 2026, to discuss the results. Investors can submit questions via email prior to the call.

https://www.bitget.com/amp/news/detail/12560605218949

4 Missing News Article Image Groupon Announces Date for Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results

Groupon Inc. Price History

20.01.2026 - GRPN Stock was up 5.5%

  • The stock gapped down at the opening but quickly recovered and showed a bullish trend throughout the day, indicating resilience in the face of initial negative sentiment.
  • Despite recent downgrades and mixed analyst ratings, the market responded positively, possibly due to investors seeing the company's quick action in severing ties with Adventure Play after the owner's felony charges as a responsible move.
  • Groupon's decision to issue full refunds to customers affected by the scandal and the announcement of new safety policies by the new management may have reassured investors about the company's commitment to ethical practices and customer satisfaction, contributing to the bullish movement.
  • The high institutional ownership of around 90% could also suggest confidence from larger investors in Groupon's ability to navigate through challenges and maintain its market position.

03.02.2026 - GRPN Stock was down 5.1%

  • Groupon's shares experienced a significant drop as several Wall Street analysts lowered the company's rating due to concerns about its performance and future outlook, reflecting the competitive nature of the e-commerce sector.
  • The anticipation surrounding Groupon's upcoming fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 financial results likely contributed to investor uncertainty, prompting a sell-off of shares.
  • While Jason Harinstein, the senior vice-president of corporate development at Groupon, was highlighted in recent news, this did not appear to have a direct impact on the market's bearish movement.
  • The market's response indicates that investors are closely watching Groupon's financial performance and strategic decisions, seeking indications of sustainable growth and profitability amidst industry challenges.

17.11.2025 - GRPN Stock was up 5.2%

  • Despite a recent market cap loss and share price decrease, Groupon shareholders have experienced a notable 147% return over the past three years, indicating positive long-term performance.
  • Updates on valuation and risk assumptions have shaped a new narrative around Groupon, resulting in a steady fair value estimate per share and reduced perceived risk, potentially bolstering investor confidence.
  • The completion of a share repurchase program and the retirement of a significant portion of authorized shares could improve per-share metrics and contribute to the recent bullish movement in the stock.
  • Investors appear to be more interested in the company's fundamental trends and future outlook rather than short-term market fluctuations, propelling the positive momentum in Groupon's stock price.

29.00.2026 - GRPN Stock was down 5.2%

  • Y Intercept Hong Kong Ltd made a notable investment in Groupon, Inc. However, analysts have maintained a "Hold" rating on the stock due to the company's weak financial metrics, including negative quarterly EPS and high leverage.
  • Groupon's stock price fell by 2.23% during a market upturn, with a decrease of 8.24% in the past month, reflecting an underperformance compared to the Retail-Wholesale sector.
  • Although there is an expected rise in EPS for the upcoming earnings report, Groupon's current Zacks Rank of #4 (Sell) suggests a level of uncertainty among investors.
  • Despite an increase in the FY2027 EPS estimate by Zacks Research, Groupon's recent earnings disappointment and prevailing market sentiment have contributed to the downward movement in the stock price.

11.01.2026 - GRPN Stock was down 8.1%

  • Investor concerns over Groupon's reinvention strategy may have contributed to the bearish movement in the stock.
  • There is market skepticism about whether Groupon's tech-focused and AI-driven initiatives can effectively address its real-world challenges.
  • The Q4 2025 earnings report is anticipated to shed light on the resonance of Groupon's tech and hyperlocal shift with consumers.
  • A viral TikTok video showcasing customer conflicts over deal limitations may have amplified doubts among investors about Groupon's ability to handle practical challenges while implementing its new strategy.

15.00.2026 - GRPN Stock was up 5.3%

  • Today's upward movement in GRPN stock may be linked to analysts' positive profit forecasts for the company, anticipating a notable shift from losses to profitability in the near term.
  • The projected profitability and robust growth expectations, estimated at an average annual growth rate of 92%, likely bolstered investor confidence and attracted stock buyers.
  • Despite the favorable prospects, investors should exercise caution concerning Groupon's existing negative equity position. This aspect could introduce some risk and uncertainty regarding the company's financial status and future outlook.

28.00.2026 - GRPN Stock was up 5.2%

  • Despite Groupon's recent stock price decline and underperformance in the Retail-Wholesale sector, today's bullish movement could be attributed to:
  • Anticipation of the upcoming earnings report showing a significant expected EPS increase of 115.83% and revenue growth of 5.8% compared to the prior year.
  • Market optimism or positive sentiment regarding Groupon's future performance.
  • Potential investor confidence in the company's ability to bounce back from recent losses and deliver strong financial results.

27.00.2026 - GRPN Stock was down 6.3%

  • Despite positive projections for earnings per share and revenue growth, Groupon (GRPN) experienced a notable bearish trend today.
  • The stock's recent -10.6% return over the past month is believed to have influenced the bearish sentiment among investors.
  • Positive analyst forecasts for earnings and revenue growth were overshadowed by a decline in estimate revisions, which likely raised concerns among investors and contributed to today's bearish movement.
  • The stock's performance today could also be a response to broader economic conditions or challenges specific to Groupon's sector, which have impacted its performance.

18.01.2026 - GRPN Stock was up 5.3%

  • The bullish movement in Groupon's stock price could be attributed to the company's swift and decisive action in severing ties with Adventure Play following the serious allegations against the owner.
  • Groupon's commitment to issuing full refunds to affected customers, whether in the form of "Groupon Bucks" or original payment methods, demonstrates a customer-centric approach that aims to maintain trust and loyalty.
  • The announcement of new safety policies, including mandatory background checks for employees, by the new management indicates a proactive stance towards ensuring the well-being of customers and rebuilding confidence in the brand.
  • Despite initial skepticism among some customers, Groupon's transparent handling of the situation and efforts to address concerns may have resonated positively with investors, leading to the bullish market movement.

03.01.2026 - GRPN Stock was down 7.0%

  • Groupon's return on capital employed (ROCE) trends are showing promise, indicating improved profitability and capital efficiency, despite the stock's significant decline over the last five years.
  • Institutional investors, like Y Intercept Hong Kong Ltd, have taken a stake in Groupon, with the company reporting a Q3 loss and holding a "Hold" rating from analysts with a target price of $31.25.
  • Analysts have given Groupon a consensus "Hold" rating, citing weak fundamentals such as negative quarterly EPS and high leverage, leading to recent downgrades from "buy" to "hold" or "sell."
  • The stock's recent 2.23% drop, closing at $15.78, underperforming the market gains and the Retail-Wholesale sector, has investors awaiting the upcoming earnings report, expecting an increase in EPS and revenue growth compared to the prior year.

24.11.2025 - GRPN Stock was up 5.0%

  • An investment firm significantly increased its stake in Groupon, Inc. by 66.5% during the third quarter, demonstrating confidence in the company's future prospects.
  • Despite Groupon reporting a substantial quarterly EPS miss and showing fundamental weaknesses, the increased institutional buying activity likely signaled a belief in a potential turnaround or strategic shift within the company.
  • The cautious analyst sentiment with a consensus "Hold" rating and a target price of $29.80 indicates a mixed outlook for Groupon, suggesting that while there are concerns, the recent institutional investment may have sparked optimism among investors, contributing to today's bullish market movement.

06.00.2026 - GRPN Stock was down 5.2%

  • Groupon's Q3 earnings fell short, posting an EPS of ($2.92) versus the expected $0.01, contributing to the negative market activity.
  • The resolution of extended tax disputes in Italy, requiring a settlement payment of €29 million, might have influenced investor sentiment negatively.
  • Pacer Advisors Inc. made a notable investment of $2.97 million in Groupon in the third quarter, yet the company's weak financial indicators such as negative return on equity and net margin could have added to the downbeat mood.
  • The combination of financial uncertainties, the tax settlement, and disappointing earnings likely drove the bearish movement observed in the stock market today.
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Disclaimer
Morpher is not liable for the content of the AI investment insights. Like most GPT-powered tools, these summaries may contain AI hallucinations and inaccurate information. Morpher is not presenting you with any investment advice. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. These summaries do not constitute investment advice.