Groupon Inc. ($GRPN) Stock Forecast: Up 5.5% Today

What is Groupon Inc.?

Groupon (NASDAQ: GRPN) is an online marketplace that connects subscribers with local merchants for discounted goods and services. The stock had a strong bullish movement today.

Why is Groupon Inc. going up?

GRPN stock is up 5.5% on Feb 20, 2026 18:55

• The stock gapped down at the opening but quickly recovered and showed a bullish trend throughout the day, indicating resilience in the face of initial negative sentiment.
• Despite recent downgrades and mixed analyst ratings, the market responded positively, possibly due to investors seeing the company's quick action in severing ties with Adventure Play after the owner's felony charges as a responsible move.
• Groupon's decision to issue full refunds to customers affected by the scandal and the announcement of new safety policies by the new management may have reassured investors about the company's commitment to ethical practices and customer satisfaction, contributing to the bullish movement.
• The high institutional ownership of around 90% could also suggest confidence from larger investors in Groupon's ability to navigate through challenges and maintain its market position.

GRPN Price Chart

GRPN Technical Analysis

GRPN News

Groupon (NASDAQ:GRPN) Shares Gap Down - Here's What Happened

Groupon (NASDAQ:GRPN) shares gapped down on Friday, opening at $12.65 after closing at $13.49, and are currently trading at $13.26. The company faces mixed analyst ratings, with a consensus "Hold" but recent downgrades, and its fundamentals show high leverage and weak liquidity. Institutional ownership is around 90%, and the company operates an online marketplace connecting subscribers with local merchants for discounted goods and services.

https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/groupon-nasdaqgrpn-shares-gap-down-heres-what-happened-2026-02-20/

Groupon severs ties with Adventure Play after owner charged with felony sex crime involving a teen

Groupon has terminated its relationship with Adventure Play in Sandusky after the owner, Robert Stein, was charged with a felony sex crime involving a minor. The company is issuing full refunds to customers who purchased deals for the business, initially as "Groupon Bucks" but also honoring requests for refunds to original payment methods. Stein's sister has announced she is taking over the business and implementing strict new safety policies, including background checks for all employees, but some customers remain skeptical.

https://www.news5cleveland.com/news/local-news/we-follow-through/groupon-severs-ties-with-adventure-play-after-owner-charged-with-felony-sex-crime-involving-a-teen

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Groupon Inc. Price History

20.01.2026 - GRPN Stock was up 5.5%

• The stock gapped down at the opening but quickly recovered and showed a bullish trend throughout the day, indicating resilience in the face of initial negative sentiment.
• Despite recent downgrades and mixed analyst ratings, the market responded positively, possibly due to investors seeing the company's quick action in severing ties with Adventure Play after the owner's felony charges as a responsible move.
• Groupon's decision to issue full refunds to customers affected by the scandal and the announcement of new safety policies by the new management may have reassured investors about the company's commitment to ethical practices and customer satisfaction, contributing to the bullish movement.
• The high institutional ownership of around 90% could also suggest confidence from larger investors in Groupon's ability to navigate through challenges and maintain its market position.

09.11.2025 - GRPN Stock was down 5.8%

• An increased stake by Marshall Wace LLP and Continental General Insurance Co. potentially signals optimism towards Groupon, despite its financial struggles and negative profitability metrics.
• Divisadero Street Capital Management LP's reduction in its Groupon holdings may indicate doubts regarding the company's ability to overcome its financial difficulties.
• Groupon's unexpected quarterly loss and negative margins likely impacted the stock price negatively today.
• The varied analyst outlook, with an average "Hold" rating and recent downgrades, contributes to uncertainty around Groupon's future performance, potentially influencing the bearish market trend.

17.11.2025 - GRPN Stock was up 5.2%

• Despite a recent market cap loss and share price decrease, Groupon shareholders have experienced a notable 147% return over the past three years, indicating positive long-term performance.
• Updates on valuation and risk assumptions have shaped a new narrative around Groupon, resulting in a steady fair value estimate per share and reduced perceived risk, potentially bolstering investor confidence.
• The completion of a share repurchase program and the retirement of a significant portion of authorized shares could improve per-share metrics and contribute to the recent bullish movement in the stock.
• Investors appear to be more interested in the company's fundamental trends and future outlook rather than short-term market fluctuations, propelling the positive momentum in Groupon's stock price.

29.00.2026 - GRPN Stock was down 5.2%

• Y Intercept Hong Kong Ltd made a notable investment in Groupon, Inc. However, analysts have maintained a "Hold" rating on the stock due to the company's weak financial metrics, including negative quarterly EPS and high leverage.
• Groupon's stock price fell by 2.23% during a market upturn, with a decrease of 8.24% in the past month, reflecting an underperformance compared to the Retail-Wholesale sector.
• Although there is an expected rise in EPS for the upcoming earnings report, Groupon's current Zacks Rank of #4 (Sell) suggests a level of uncertainty among investors.
• Despite an increase in the FY2027 EPS estimate by Zacks Research, Groupon's recent earnings disappointment and prevailing market sentiment have contributed to the downward movement in the stock price.

11.01.2026 - GRPN Stock was down 8.1%

• Investor concerns over Groupon's reinvention strategy may have contributed to the bearish movement in the stock.
• There is market skepticism about whether Groupon's tech-focused and AI-driven initiatives can effectively address its real-world challenges.
• The Q4 2025 earnings report is anticipated to shed light on the resonance of Groupon's tech and hyperlocal shift with consumers.
• A viral TikTok video showcasing customer conflicts over deal limitations may have amplified doubts among investors about Groupon's ability to handle practical challenges while implementing its new strategy.

15.00.2026 - GRPN Stock was up 5.3%

• Today's upward movement in GRPN stock may be linked to analysts' positive profit forecasts for the company, anticipating a notable shift from losses to profitability in the near term.
• The projected profitability and robust growth expectations, estimated at an average annual growth rate of 92%, likely bolstered investor confidence and attracted stock buyers.
• Despite the favorable prospects, investors should exercise caution concerning Groupon's existing negative equity position. This aspect could introduce some risk and uncertainty regarding the company's financial status and future outlook.

28.00.2026 - GRPN Stock was up 5.2%

• Despite Groupon's recent stock price decline and underperformance in the Retail-Wholesale sector, today's bullish movement could be attributed to:
• Anticipation of the upcoming earnings report showing a significant expected EPS increase of 115.83% and revenue growth of 5.8% compared to the prior year.
• Market optimism or positive sentiment regarding Groupon's future performance.
• Potential investor confidence in the company's ability to bounce back from recent losses and deliver strong financial results.

27.00.2026 - GRPN Stock was down 6.3%

• Despite positive projections for earnings per share and revenue growth, Groupon (GRPN) experienced a notable bearish trend today.
• The stock's recent -10.6% return over the past month is believed to have influenced the bearish sentiment among investors.
• Positive analyst forecasts for earnings and revenue growth were overshadowed by a decline in estimate revisions, which likely raised concerns among investors and contributed to today's bearish movement.
• The stock's performance today could also be a response to broader economic conditions or challenges specific to Groupon's sector, which have impacted its performance.

18.01.2026 - GRPN Stock was up 5.3%

• The bullish movement in Groupon's stock price could be attributed to the company's swift and decisive action in severing ties with Adventure Play following the serious allegations against the owner.
• Groupon's commitment to issuing full refunds to affected customers, whether in the form of "Groupon Bucks" or original payment methods, demonstrates a customer-centric approach that aims to maintain trust and loyalty.
• The announcement of new safety policies, including mandatory background checks for employees, by the new management indicates a proactive stance towards ensuring the well-being of customers and rebuilding confidence in the brand.
• Despite initial skepticism among some customers, Groupon's transparent handling of the situation and efforts to address concerns may have resonated positively with investors, leading to the bullish market movement.

03.01.2026 - GRPN Stock was down 7.0%

• Groupon's return on capital employed (ROCE) trends are showing promise, indicating improved profitability and capital efficiency, despite the stock's significant decline over the last five years.
• Institutional investors, like Y Intercept Hong Kong Ltd, have taken a stake in Groupon, with the company reporting a Q3 loss and holding a "Hold" rating from analysts with a target price of $31.25.
• Analysts have given Groupon a consensus "Hold" rating, citing weak fundamentals such as negative quarterly EPS and high leverage, leading to recent downgrades from "buy" to "hold" or "sell."
• The stock's recent 2.23% drop, closing at $15.78, underperforming the market gains and the Retail-Wholesale sector, has investors awaiting the upcoming earnings report, expecting an increase in EPS and revenue growth compared to the prior year.

24.11.2025 - GRPN Stock was up 5.0%

• An investment firm significantly increased its stake in Groupon, Inc. by 66.5% during the third quarter, demonstrating confidence in the company's future prospects.
• Despite Groupon reporting a substantial quarterly EPS miss and showing fundamental weaknesses, the increased institutional buying activity likely signaled a belief in a potential turnaround or strategic shift within the company.
• The cautious analyst sentiment with a consensus "Hold" rating and a target price of $29.80 indicates a mixed outlook for Groupon, suggesting that while there are concerns, the recent institutional investment may have sparked optimism among investors, contributing to today's bullish market movement.

06.00.2026 - GRPN Stock was down 5.2%

• Groupon's Q3 earnings fell short, posting an EPS of ($2.92) versus the expected $0.01, contributing to the negative market activity.
• The resolution of extended tax disputes in Italy, requiring a settlement payment of €29 million, might have influenced investor sentiment negatively.
• Pacer Advisors Inc. made a notable investment of $2.97 million in Groupon in the third quarter, yet the company's weak financial indicators such as negative return on equity and net margin could have added to the downbeat mood.
• The combination of financial uncertainties, the tax settlement, and disappointing earnings likely drove the bearish movement observed in the stock market today.