Moody's Corporation ($MCO) Stock Forecast: Down 5.0% Today

What is Moody's Corporation?

Moody's Corporation (MCO) operates in the financial services sector, offering credit ratings, research, and analytical tools for the capital markets. Recently, MCO's stock showed significant bearish movement.

Why is Moody's Corporation going down?

MCO stock is down 5.0% on May 13, 2026 15:21

• Despite significant investor attention and participation in a Barclays conference, Moody's (MCO) stock encountered a bearish trend.
• The pessimistic outlook issued by Moody's on Everforth Inc., highlighting deteriorating credit metrics and profitability challenges, likely influenced the negative sentiment surrounding MCO.
• Conversely, the favorable outlook upgrade on Albemarle Corporation by Moody's, supported by enhanced credit metrics and cost-saving initiatives, did not seem to boost MCO's performance.
• The overall market sentiment towards MCO might have been impacted by concerns raised about S&P Global's (SPGI) share price vulnerability and potential overvaluation, contributing to the bearish pressure on Moody's stock.

MCO Price Chart

MCO Technical Analysis

MCO News

A Look At Moody's (MCO) Valuation As Macro Credit Signals Draw Fresh Investor Interest

Moody's (MCO) is attracting investor interest due to macro credit signals and AI-driven trading signals, especially with CFO Noemie Clemence Heuland presenting at a Barclays conference. Despite a strong three-year return, recent sentiment is weaker, with the stock down year-to-date and over the last year. Analysts' average price target suggests potential upside, but a widely followed narrative by Esteban suggests the stock is significantly overvalued at its current price of US$451.75, with a fair value of US$159, though this assessment is debated given Moody's strong market position and recurring revenue software business.

https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nyse-mco/moodys/news/a-look-at-moodys-mco-valuation-as-macro-credit-signals-draw

Everforth outlook cut to negative by Moody’s on weak metrics

Moody's Ratings changed Everforth Inc.'s outlook to negative from stable while affirming its Ba2 corporate family rating. This change reflects expectations that Everforth's credit metrics, particularly debt-to-EBITDA, will remain weakly positioned through 2026 due to declining revenue and debt-funded acquisitions. Profitability is also anticipated to remain pressured, with Moody's outlining conditions for both potential upgrades to stable and further downgrades.

https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/everforth-outlook-cut-to-negative-by-moodys-on-weak-metrics-93CH-4682855

Moody’s changes Albemarle outlook to stable on improved metrics By Investing.com

Moody's Ratings has upgraded Albemarle Corporation's outlook to stable from negative, while affirming its Baa3 senior unsecured rating and Prime-3 commercial paper rating. This positive change reflects significant improvements in Albemarle's credit metrics, driven by internal cost-cutting, capital expenditure reductions, asset sales, and a rebound in lithium prices. The company's adjusted leverage decreased substantially, and it boasts strong liquidity, expecting Moody's adjusted EBITDA to reach around $1.4 billion for 2026.

https://ng.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/moodys-changes-albemarle-outlook-to-stable-on-improved-metrics-93CH-2504187

Is It Time To Reassess S&P Global (SPGI) After Its Recent Share Price Weakness

This article analyzes S&P Global's (SPGI) current share price following recent weakness, using two valuation approaches. The Excess Returns model suggests the stock is slightly expensive, valuing it at approximately $388.09 per share compared to its recent price of $421.00. The Price vs Earnings approach indicates the stock is overvalued, trading at a P/E of 26.09x against Simply Wall St's "Fair Ratio" of 17.94x.

https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nyse-spgi/sp-global/news/is-it-time-to-reassess-sp-global-spgi-after-its-recent-share

Moody's Affirms Bigbank's Ratings and Assessments

Moody's Ratings has affirmed all ratings and assessments of Bigbank AS, including its Long-term and short-term deposit ratings, Baseline Credit Assessment, and Counterparty Risk Ratings, while maintaining a negative outlook on the long-term deposit ratings. Bigbank, an Estonian-owned commercial bank, operates in nine countries, serves over 196,000 customers, and reported total assets of 3.4 billion euros as of March 31, 2026.

https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/05/12/3293135/0/en/moody-s-affirms-bigbank-s-ratings-and-assessments.html

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Moody's Corporation Price History

12.02.2026 - MCO Stock was down 5.9%

• An investment of $5.60 million was made in Moody's Corporation by Kepler Cheuvreux Suisse SA during the third quarter. However, company insiders, including the CEO and SVP, sold a total of 6,755 shares, possibly indicating a lack of confidence in the stock.
• Despite Moody's positive outlook on NagaCorp's Naga3 expansion in Phnom Penh, concerns were raised among investors due to the downsizing of the project's budget and scope, potentially impacting the company's future growth prospects.
• Moody's upgraded rating of Coca-Cola Europacific Partners and Fitch's positive assessment of the company's market position and profitability may have shifted investor focus away from Moody's Corporation, resulting in the bearish movement in MCO stock.
• Following a recent decline in Brink's (BCO) stock and the historical median return of 25% in the 12 months after significant declines, investors may have been drawn away from Moody's Corporation, contributing to the bearish market movement of MCO.

13.01.2026 - MCO Stock was up 5.0%

• Moody's (MCO) stock showed significant upward movement today.
• The market's positive outlook on Moody's can be linked to the company's strong expectations for Q4 performance and the confirmation of its credit ratings.
• The reaffirmation of Moody's ratings and the steady outlook demonstrate confidence in the company's financial stability and performance across its divisions.
• Analysts' favorable predictions for Moody's Q4 earnings and revenue growth, alongside the endorsement of its credit ratings, likely bolstered the positive momentum in MCO stock.

05.01.2026 - MCO Stock was down 4.7%

• Moody's stock (MCO) saw a decline in value, potentially linked to the recent stock sales by CEO Robert Fauber, indicating a decrease in confidence regarding the company's short-term performance.
• Despite Thrivent Financial for Lutherans increasing its stake in Moody's, this positive development was not enough to counteract the prevailing pessimism, with investors expressing uncertainties about the company's future trajectory.
• The general bearish trend in the market could be associated with broader apprehensions within the financial sector, exemplified by S&P Global's stock depreciation driven by concerns over AI disruption and the scheduled spin-off of its Mobility unit.
• The challenges and uncertainties faced by Moody's rival, S&P Global, might have also contributed to the negative sentiment surrounding Moody's stock today.

18.01.2026 - MCO Stock was up 5.4%

• Strong Q4 earnings were reported by Moody's, surpassing analyst expectations with revenue of $1.89 billion and adjusted EPS of $3.64, displaying robust performance across its segments.
• Analysts are optimistic about Moody's future growth potential, with BofA initiating coverage with a Buy rating and a $550 price target, leading to bullish movement in the stock.
• The company's positive 2026 profit forecast, driven by high demand for credit ratings, particularly from tech firms investing in AI, bolstered investor confidence and contributed to the upward market trend.
• Moody's focus on utilizing contextual intelligence and AI to improve decision-making processes highlights its dedication to innovation and competitiveness, resonating positively with investors.

18.01.2026 - MCO Stock was up 6.5%

• Moody's stock experienced a strong bullish movement today, rising by 5.5%.
• The bullish trend can be attributed to Moody's reporting better-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings and providing a positive outlook for 2026.
• Key factors contributing to the stock's rise include revenue growth of 13% year-over-year, strong performance in various segments, plans for share repurchases and dividends, and optimistic analyst outlooks.
• The market's positive reaction indicates investor confidence in Moody's future growth potential and financial performance.

18.01.2026 - MCO Stock was up 5.0%

• Moody's Corporation (MCO) experienced a strong bullish movement today, likely driven by a combination of factors:
• The company reported strong earnings, surpassing market expectations, and provided optimistic guidance for future growth, instilling confidence in investors.
• Institutional investors, including Cibc World Market Inc., Vanguard Group Inc., and TCI Fund Management Ltd., significantly increased their stakes in MCO, signaling positive sentiment towards the stock.
• The analysis highlighting Moody's Corp as a fundamental investment choice due to its fee-based recurring revenue model and essential role in global finance may have attracted more investors to the stock.
• The overall positive sentiment towards data-driven businesses like Moody's in the current market environment could have further boosted MCO's stock price.

10.01.2026 - MCO Stock was down 6.8%

• Moody's stock experienced a bearish movement likely due to concerns surrounding Stellantis NV's credit rating downgrade by Moody's itself, which raised questions about the carmaker's profitability and cash flow.
• The weaker-than-expected earnings outlook of S&P Global, a competitor of Moody's, also impacted the financial data and analytics industry and contributed to the negative sentiment around Moody's stock price.
• Investor worries regarding the influence of artificial intelligence on financial data providers added to the downward pressure on Moody's stock value, reflecting challenges seen across the industry.
• Despite maintaining its stable outlook, market reaction hints at investors taking a careful approach towards Moody's future performance given evolving market dynamics and competitive landscape.

10.01.2026 - MCO Stock was down 8.0%

• Moody's stock (MCO) experienced a strong bearish movement following S&P Global's weaker-than-expected earnings outlook, which missed analyst estimates for earnings per share and revenue growth.
• The negative market reaction to S&P Global's guidance also impacted other companies in the financial data and analytics industry, such as FactSet Research and MSCI Inc., signaling broader concerns among investors about potential headwinds in the sector.
• Moody's own upcoming earnings report will be closely monitored to gauge if it will face similar challenges as S&P Global, highlighting the interconnectedness and sensitivity of the financial data providers to industry trends and forecasts.
• Despite Moody's strong market capitalization, positive revenue growth, and favorable analyst evaluations, the bearish movement today underscores the significant influence of external factors, such as industry outlooks and competitor performances, on stock prices.

13.04.2026 - MCO Stock was down 5.0%

• Despite significant investor attention and participation in a Barclays conference, Moody's (MCO) stock encountered a bearish trend.
• The pessimistic outlook issued by Moody's on Everforth Inc., highlighting deteriorating credit metrics and profitability challenges, likely influenced the negative sentiment surrounding MCO.
• Conversely, the favorable outlook upgrade on Albemarle Corporation by Moody's, supported by enhanced credit metrics and cost-saving initiatives, did not seem to boost MCO's performance.
• The overall market sentiment towards MCO might have been impacted by concerns raised about S&P Global's (SPGI) share price vulnerability and potential overvaluation, contributing to the bearish pressure on Moody's stock.

23.03.2026 - MCO Stock was down 5.2%

• Despite a solid performance in the first quarter and optimistic views from analysts, the stock of Moody's faced a downward trend, potentially linked to a reduction in price target by Stifel.
• Concerns raised by Stifel regarding geopolitical issues, specifically relating to the Iran war, might have unsettled investors, prompting them to sell Moody's shares.
• Although Wolfe Research increased its price target due to the stability seen in Moody's Analytics, uncertainties on a larger global scale seem to have outweighed the company's positive performance aspects.
• Moody's enduring presence in the credit ratings sector and its consistent financial results could serve as a safeguard against short-term market swings. Still, external elements like geopolitical tensions can impact investor confidence and stock behavior.

11.02.2026 - MCO Stock was down 5.4%

• A significant investment in Moody's Corporation by Kepler Cheuvreux Suisse SA during the third quarter did not have a positive impact on the stock as it moved bearishly.
• Despite Moody's positive outlook on NagaCorp's Naga3 expansion project, news of a material downsizing in spend and scope may have worried investors, contributing to the bearish trend in Moody's stock.
• The occurrence of a Death Cross for Moody's Corp., suggesting a potential bearish trend, likely influenced the downward movement in the stock.
• The market sentiment towards Moody's Corporation was possibly affected by overall market performance and the company's underperformance compared to the S&P 500, prompting investors to reassess their positions and potentially leading to the observed bearish movement.

05.04.2026 - MCO Stock was up 0.1%

• An executive at Moody's selling shares through a planned arrangement may have raised some initial concerns, but it appears to have been a scheduled transaction rather than a sign of negative sentiment towards the company.
• Despite Moody's lagging behind its competitors and the broader market decline in recent days, positive news like Varma Mutual Pension Insurance Co increasing its ownership stake and surpassing earnings per share (EPS) expectations could have uplifted investor confidence.
• Moody's decision to upgrade Vietnam's outlook to positive might have also contributed to the bullish movement, showcasing the company's role in evaluating and acknowledging favorable economic changes in emerging economies.
• The surge in Moody's stock price today is likely fueled by a combination of favorable internal developments, including surpassing earnings forecasts and increased institutional investment, along with external factors such as the optimistic credit outlook for Vietnam.