Silver ($XAG) Commodity Forecast: Up 5.3% Today

What is Silver?

Silver, a precious metal known for its dual role as an investment asset and an industrial commodity, experienced a strong bullish movement today amidst global economic uncertainties and heightened safe-haven demand.

Why is Silver going up?

XAG commodity is up 5.3% on Oct 13, 2025 23:41

• Silver soared to a new all-time high above $51 per ounce due to renewed US-China trade tensions, political instability, and expectations of further US rate cuts, which fueled demand for safe-haven assets.
• The metal's rally was further supported by ongoing geopolitical worries, including the US government shutdown, political turmoil in France, and leadership uncertainty in Japan, which added to the overall demand for silver as a hedge against market volatility.
• Additionally, supply constraints in the London market and expectations of silver demand outpacing supply for the fifth consecutive year in 2025 contributed to the bullish momentum in silver prices.
• The combination of these factors, alongside silver's role in both investment and industrial applications, such as in solar panels and wind turbines, propelled silver to hit record highs and maintain its upward trajectory, outperforming gold and signaling a positive outlook for the precious metal.

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Silver Hits New All-Time High

Silver jumped more than 2% to above $51 per ounce on Monday, marking a new all-time high as renewed US-China trade concerns, political instability, and expectations of further US rate cuts fueled demand for safe-haven assets. On Friday, US President Donald Trump threatened to impose an additional 100% tariff on Chinese goods starting November 1 in response to Beijing’s new export controls on rare earth minerals. However, Trump later signaled openness to negotiate ahead of a possible meeting with President Xi Jinping later this month, saying that trade relations with China “will all be fine.” Broader geopolitical worries also supported prices, with the ongoing US government shutdown, political turmoil in France, and leadership uncertainty in Japan weighing on sentiment. Meanwhile, expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points this month and again in December, alongside a tightening physical silver supply in London, continued to bolster the metal’s rally.

Silver Nears $50 on Safe-Haven Demand and Supply Constraints

Silver traded at $50 per ounce, close to Thursday’s record high of $51.30, and was on track for its eighth consecutive weekly gain, supported by strong safe-haven demand and persistent supply constraints. Prices extended their rally on Friday after US President Trump said there was no reason to meet with China’s Xi Jinping in two weeks in South Korea and signaled plans to raise tariffs on Chinese imports. The metal has surged more than 70% this year, as investors respond to rising US fiscal risks, expectations of lower interest rates, concerns over Federal Reserve independence, and mounting global debt pressures. Political uncertainty—including the US government shutdown, unrest in France, and leadership changes in Japan—has further boosted demand. A shortage of readily available silver in the London market has added upward pressure on prices. With consumption spanning both investment and industrial uses silver demand is expected to exceed supply for a fifth consecutive year in 2025.

Silver Set for Eighth Straight Weekly Gain

Silver edged down to around $49 per ounce on Friday but remained on track for its eighth consecutive weekly advance, supported by strong safe-haven demand and persistent supply tightness. The metal has surged more than 70% this year, outpacing gold, as investors respond to US fiscal risks, prospects of lower interest rates, concerns over Federal Reserve independence, and mounting global debt pressures. Ongoing political uncertainty from the US government shutdown, turmoil in France, and leadership changes in Japan also added to demand. Meanwhile, a shortage of freely available silver in the London market has further buoyed prices. With uses spanning investment and industry, including solar panels and wind turbines, silver demand is expected to outstrip supply for a fifth straight year in 2025.

Silver Hits Record High

Spot silver surged over 4% to an all-time high of $51 an ounce, surpassing its previous peak recorded during the Hunt brothers’ squeeze in 1980, as strong safe-haven demand met tight supply. The precious metal has risen over 70% this year, outperforming gold, driven by concerns over US fiscal risks, the potential for lower interest rates, questions around Federal Reserve independence, and unsustainable global deficit and debt levels. A shortage of freely available silver in the London market has further supported prices. With applications ranging from investment to industrial uses—such as solar panels and wind turbines—silver demand is projected to exceed supply for the fifth consecutive year in 2025.

Silver traded above 50 USD/t.oz

Silver rose above 50, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD).

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Silver Price History

02.09.2025 - XAG Commodity was down 3.0%

• Silver had been trading near 14-year highs due to safe-haven demand triggered by political and monetary policy uncertainty in the US.
• The bearish movement today could be attributed to profit-taking by investors after the metal's recent rally to record highs.
• Factors such as the US government shutdown, concerns about economic data delays, and expectations of further Federal Reserve rate cuts may have contributed to the downward pressure on silver prices.
• Additionally, the ongoing supply-demand imbalances and projected deficits in the silver market could have influenced the bearish movement as well.

10.03.2025 - XAG Commodity was up 5.2%

• Silver prices surged over 3% to trade above $30.50 per ounce as investors sought refuge in safe-haven assets due to growing uncertainties surrounding global growth and inflation, particularly driven by the sharp escalation in U.S.-China trade tensions.
• The announcement of a 90-day tariff pause by President Trump, along with reduced rates for most countries except China, contributed to the bullish movement in silver prices, as investors reacted positively to the potential easing of global trade tensions.
• The rebound in silver prices from a two-month low was fueled by heightened safe-haven demand amid concerns over a prolonged standoff between the U.S. and China, with both countries increasing tariffs on each other's goods, leading to fears of a tariff-induced global recession.
• Despite remaining volatile and facing pressure from market uncertainties, including fears of stagflation and potential further Federal Reserve rate cuts, silver managed to stabilize above $30 per ounce as investors continued to navigate shifting global trade dynamics and their impact on economic and inflation expectations.

07.03.2025 - XAG Commodity was up 5.1%

• The spike in silver's market performance today is believed to be influenced by investors turning to safe-haven assets like precious metals, with silver being a favored choice, amidst escalating global trade tensions and growing fears of a recession.
• Recent price volatility and fluctuations below the $30 per ounce mark are thought to be a result of the ramifications of trade policies initiated by US President Donald Trump, particularly with China responding with tariffs and the likelihood of other major economies following suit.
• Despite the overall market decline and apprehensions regarding global consumption, silver and other precious metals are expected to maintain their value as traders speculate on potential Federal Reserve rate adjustments in light of ongoing economic difficulties.
• Silver's ability to withstand market turbulence underscores its reputation as a traditional safe-haven asset during uncertain economic times, attracting investors seeking a secure option amidst unstable market environments.

09.09.2025 - XAG Commodity was down 1.3%

• Silver prices hit record highs recently, driven by strong safe-haven demand, tight supply, and concerns over US fiscal risks, lower interest rates, and global deficit levels.
• Despite the bullish trend in recent days, today's bearish movement could be attributed to profit-taking by investors after the significant price surge.
• The ongoing US government shutdown, geopolitical uncertainties, and expectations of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve may have also contributed to the market correction in silver prices.
• The long-term outlook for silver remains positive, with continued supply deficits projected in the coming years due to strong industrial demand and limited availability in the London market.

09.09.2025 - XAG Commodity was up 4.3%

• Silver surged above $50 per ounce, hitting record highs, driven by heightened political and economic uncertainties, safe-haven demand, and bets on US rate cuts.
• The prolonged US government shutdown, global uncertainties, and expectations of Fed rate cuts fueled the demand for safe-haven assets like silver.
• Strong industrial demand from sectors like solar and electronics, coupled with a global supply deficit projection, further supported the bullish movement in silver prices.
• Profit-taking and a firmer yield backdrop led to a slight retreat from the multi-year high, showcasing the influence of yield-sensitive capital and market dynamics on silver's price movements.

04.03.2025 - XAG Commodity was down 5.2%

• Silver experienced a strong bearish movement due to escalating trade tensions and concerns over global demand and recession risks.
• The announcement of tariffs by President Trump on major economies like China, the EU, Japan, and India led to a selloff in equities and commodities, including silver.
• Despite the broader market slump, silver and other precious metals may see support as recession fears intensify, with traders anticipating potential Federal Reserve rate cuts in the future.
• The market movement of silver reflects the impact of geopolitical events and trade policies on commodity prices, highlighting the interconnected nature of global markets.

02.05.2025 - XAG Commodity was up 5.1%

• Silver prices surged by 5% to $34.639 per ounce, driven by escalating trade tensions between the US and China, with President Trump's announcement of increased tariffs on steel and aluminum imports contributing to market uncertainty.
• The ongoing legal battles over trade policies, including court rulings on tariffs, have added to the volatility in silver prices, prompting investors to seek safe-haven assets.
• Despite a late pullback in May, silver managed to end the month with a 1.8% gain as investors monitored US trade policy developments and key economic data releases, highlighting the metal's role as a hedge against market fluctuations.
• The Federal Reserve's cautious stance on interest rates and concerns over inflation and unemployment risks, as indicated in meeting minutes, also influenced silver prices as investors sought stability in uncertain economic conditions.

23.03.2025 - XAG Commodity was up 2.3%

• Silver demonstrated significant positive momentum today, surging to $33 per ounce, supported by a general upswing in commodity prices and indications of reduced trade tensions between the US and China.
• The metal's unique characteristics as both a precious and industrial metal played a key role in its robust performance, surpassing gold which saw a decline after hitting record highs due to lower demand for safe havens.
• Investor confidence was bolstered by statements from President Trump regarding upcoming tariffs and reassurances from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, easing worries about the independence and trajectory of monetary policies.
• The depreciation of the US dollar and escalating trade disputes further boosted silver's value, underscoring its attractiveness as a safe-haven asset in the face of global economic and geopolitical instabilities.

12.04.2025 - XAG Commodity was down 1.5%

• Silver prices took a hit as optimism surrounding US-China trade talks increased, leading to reduced demand for safe-haven assets like silver.
• The potential progress in trade negotiations and the announcement of a preliminary trade deal between the US and the UK shifted market sentiment towards risk-on assets, impacting the demand for silver negatively.
• Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates and the cautious stance adopted by Chair Jerome Powell further influenced the market, with investors turning away from safe-haven assets like silver.
• The overall market movement suggests that silver prices are highly sensitive to geopolitical developments and macroeconomic factors, with trade tensions and central bank policies playing a significant role in shaping investor sentiment towards the metal.

13.09.2025 - XAG Commodity was up 5.3%

• Silver soared to a new all-time high above $51 per ounce due to renewed US-China trade tensions, political instability, and expectations of further US rate cuts, which fueled demand for safe-haven assets.
• The metal's rally was further supported by ongoing geopolitical worries, including the US government shutdown, political turmoil in France, and leadership uncertainty in Japan, which added to the overall demand for silver as a hedge against market volatility.
• Additionally, supply constraints in the London market and expectations of silver demand outpacing supply for the fifth consecutive year in 2025 contributed to the bullish momentum in silver prices.
• The combination of these factors, alongside silver's role in both investment and industrial applications, such as in solar panels and wind turbines, propelled silver to hit record highs and maintain its upward trajectory, outperforming gold and signaling a positive outlook for the precious metal.

22.07.2025 - XAG Commodity was up 1.4%

• Silver held steady and climbed above $38 per ounce as investors awaited Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole symposium for clues on the interest rate outlook.
• The metal showed resilience despite a stronger dollar and diverged from gold's weakness, as markets weighed the Fed's rate outlook and potential for monetary easing.
• Divisions among Fed officials, with some advocating for rate cuts while others favored steady rates, added uncertainty to the market, with traders pricing in expectations for easing.
• Silver's bullish movement was further supported by easing geopolitical risks and fading concerns over a global trade war, contributing to a decline in safe-haven demand for precious metals.

04.03.2025 - XAG Commodity was down 7.0%

• Silver prices plummeted below $30 per ounce due to escalating trade tensions and concerns over global demand, marking a weekly loss of over 9%.
• The announcement of tariffs by US President Donald Trump, targeting major economies like China, the EU, Japan, and India, sparked fears of a tariff-driven global economic slowdown, leading to a widespread selloff in equities and commodities.
• Despite the market turmoil, safe-haven assets like government bonds saw increased interest, while silver and other precious metals may see support as recession fears rise and traders anticipate potential Federal Reserve rate cuts in the near future.