Silver ($XAG) Commodity Forecast: Up 5.1% Today

What is Silver?

Silver is a precious metal known for its industrial and investment uses. It is often considered a safe-haven asset in times of economic uncertainty.

Why is Silver going up?

XAG commodity is up 5.1% on Oct 29, 2025 9:05

• Silver experienced a bullish movement today, reaching around $47.5 per ounce, after a recent period of volatility and losses.
• The market movement can be attributed to several factors:
• Anticipation of a 25 basis point rate cut by the US Federal Reserve, with investors closely watching Chair Jerome Powell's comments for guidance on future easing.
• Ongoing US-China trade negotiations impacting demand for safe-haven assets like silver, with progress in talks leading to a decrease in silver prices earlier in the week.
• Previous concerns of overvaluation following a record-setting rally, leading to profit-taking and subsequent losses in the silver market.
• The upcoming Trump-Xi meeting in South Korea is expected to finalize a framework that could impact trade relations and potentially influence silver prices further.

XAG Price Chart

XAG Technical Analysis

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Silver Gains Ahead of Fed Decision

Silver rose to around $47.5 per ounce on Wednesday, moving away from one-month lows in a likely technical rebound, while investors looked ahead to the latest US Federal Reserve policy decision. he Fed is widely expected to deliver a 25 basis point rate cut later in the day, with markets watching Chair Jerome Powell’s comments for guidance on future easing. Meanwhile, the ongoing US government shutdown entered its fifth week, delaying key economic data releases critical for shaping monetary policy expectations. Traders also monitored trade developments ahead of Thursday’s Trump-Xi meeting in South Korea, where they are set to finalize a framework that could pause higher US tariffs and China’s rare earth export controls. Last week, silver slumped over 6% as profit-taking hit the market following a record-setting rally that raised concerns about overvaluation.

Silver Hits 4-week Low

Silver decreased to 45.85 USD/t.oz, the lowest since September 2025. Over the past 4 weeks, Silver lost 2.05%, and in the last 12 months, it increased 33.31%.

Silver Falls on US-China Trade Optimism

Silver fell toward $48 per ounce on Monday, extending losses from last week as progress in US-China trade negotiations dampened demand for safe-haven metals. Markets are hoping for a trade breakthrough in the Trump-Xi meeting on Thursday following productive talks between US and Chinese trade representatives over the weekend, where they reached consensus on several contentious issues. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that Trump’s threat of a 100% tariff was “off the table,” adding that Beijing agreed to pause for a year its planned expansion of rare earth export controls. Meanwhile, the US Federal Reserve is widely expected to deliver a rate cut this week following softer-than-expected inflation data on Friday. Last week, silver dropped more than 6% as profit-taking hit the market amid concerns of overvaluation after the metal surged to record highs.

Silver Cuts Losses as Traders Bet on Fed Rate Cuts

Silver pared losses but remained over 1% lower at $48.2 per ounce on Friday, as traders increased bets on two Fed rate cuts this year following weaker-than-expected US CPI data. The report showed headline inflation rising to 3% in September, the highest since January but below forecasts of 3.1%, while core inflation eased to 3% from 3.1%. Despite this, the metal is set for a 6% weekly loss as profit-taking hit the market amid concerns of overvaluation after recent record highs. The prior rally was fueled by safe-haven demand, optimism over industrial use in EVs, data centers, and solar energy, and tightening inventories in London and Shanghai vaults. Meanwhile, investors also monitored trade developments ahead of the Trump–Xi meeting next Thursday on the sidelines of the APEC summit.

Silver Set for Sharp Weekly Decline

Silver slipped to around $48.6 per ounce on Friday and was on track to lose over 6% for the week, as profit-taking swept through the market amid concerns that the metal may have entered overvalued territory. The recent surge was driven by strong safe-haven demand and optimism over silver’s long-term industrial use in electric vehicles, data centers, and solar power, alongside tightening inventories in London and Shanghai vaults. Meanwhile, investors monitored trade developments after the White House confirmed the Trump-Xi meeting next Thursday on the sidelines of the APEC summit. Markets also awaited a key US inflation report expected to show persistent price pressures, which is unlikely to stop the Federal Reserve from cutting rates next week but could influence its December decision if inflation surprises to the upside.

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Silver Price History

29.09.2025 - XAG Commodity was up 5.1%

• Silver experienced a bullish movement today, reaching around $47.5 per ounce, after a recent period of volatility and losses.
• The market movement can be attributed to several factors:
• Anticipation of a 25 basis point rate cut by the US Federal Reserve, with investors closely watching Chair Jerome Powell's comments for guidance on future easing.
• Ongoing US-China trade negotiations impacting demand for safe-haven assets like silver, with progress in talks leading to a decrease in silver prices earlier in the week.
• Previous concerns of overvaluation following a record-setting rally, leading to profit-taking and subsequent losses in the silver market.
• The upcoming Trump-Xi meeting in South Korea is expected to finalize a framework that could impact trade relations and potentially influence silver prices further.

02.09.2025 - XAG Commodity was down 3.0%

• Silver had been trading near 14-year highs due to safe-haven demand triggered by political and monetary policy uncertainty in the US.
• The bearish movement today could be attributed to profit-taking by investors after the metal's recent rally to record highs.
• Factors such as the US government shutdown, concerns about economic data delays, and expectations of further Federal Reserve rate cuts may have contributed to the downward pressure on silver prices.
• Additionally, the ongoing supply-demand imbalances and projected deficits in the silver market could have influenced the bearish movement as well.

09.09.2025 - XAG Commodity was down 1.3%

• Silver prices hit record highs recently, driven by strong safe-haven demand, tight supply, and concerns over US fiscal risks, lower interest rates, and global deficit levels.
• Despite the bullish trend in recent days, today's bearish movement could be attributed to profit-taking by investors after the significant price surge.
• The ongoing US government shutdown, geopolitical uncertainties, and expectations of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve may have also contributed to the market correction in silver prices.
• The long-term outlook for silver remains positive, with continued supply deficits projected in the coming years due to strong industrial demand and limited availability in the London market.

09.09.2025 - XAG Commodity was up 4.3%

• Silver surged above $50 per ounce, hitting record highs, driven by heightened political and economic uncertainties, safe-haven demand, and bets on US rate cuts.
• The prolonged US government shutdown, global uncertainties, and expectations of Fed rate cuts fueled the demand for safe-haven assets like silver.
• Strong industrial demand from sectors like solar and electronics, coupled with a global supply deficit projection, further supported the bullish movement in silver prices.
• Profit-taking and a firmer yield backdrop led to a slight retreat from the multi-year high, showcasing the influence of yield-sensitive capital and market dynamics on silver's price movements.

13.09.2025 - XAG Commodity was up 5.3%

• Silver soared to a new all-time high above $51 per ounce due to renewed US-China trade tensions, political instability, and expectations of further US rate cuts, which fueled demand for safe-haven assets.
• The metal's rally was further supported by ongoing geopolitical worries, including the US government shutdown, political turmoil in France, and leadership uncertainty in Japan, which added to the overall demand for silver as a hedge against market volatility.
• Additionally, supply constraints in the London market and expectations of silver demand outpacing supply for the fifth consecutive year in 2025 contributed to the bullish momentum in silver prices.
• The combination of these factors, alongside silver's role in both investment and industrial applications, such as in solar panels and wind turbines, propelled silver to hit record highs and maintain its upward trajectory, outperforming gold and signaling a positive outlook for the precious metal.

14.09.2025 - XAG Commodity was up 0.5%

• Silver soared to new record highs above $50 per ounce due to a historic short squeeze and liquidity concerns in London, driving traders to scramble for physical supply globally.
• Renewed US-China trade concerns, political instability, and expectations of further US rate cuts fueled demand for safe-haven assets like silver, pushing prices higher.
• Ongoing geopolitical worries, such as the US government shutdown, political turmoil in France, and leadership uncertainty in Japan, added to the metal's rally as investors sought refuge in precious metals.
• The combination of strong safe-haven demand, persistent supply constraints, and expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut further supported silver's upward trajectory, with the metal on track for its eighth consecutive weekly gain.

21.09.2025 - XAG Commodity was down 5.4%

• Prices of silver dropped by around 4-5% from recent peaks as investors opted to take profits after a rapid increase.
• The downward trend was influenced by a more positive risk outlook, shaped by indications of potential progress in US-China trade negotiations and optimism for a resolution.
• Anticipation of a forthcoming Federal Reserve rate reduction alongside robust corporate earnings played a role in the shifting market landscape, pushing investors towards equities.
• The tight liquidity situation in London's silver market and strong consumer demand in India weighed on the supply-demand balance, placing added pressure on silver prices in light of broader market trends.

02.05.2025 - XAG Commodity was up 5.1%

• Silver prices surged by 5% to $34.639 per ounce, driven by escalating trade tensions between the US and China, with President Trump's announcement of increased tariffs on steel and aluminum imports contributing to market uncertainty.
• The ongoing legal battles over trade policies, including court rulings on tariffs, have added to the volatility in silver prices, prompting investors to seek safe-haven assets.
• Despite a late pullback in May, silver managed to end the month with a 1.8% gain as investors monitored US trade policy developments and key economic data releases, highlighting the metal's role as a hedge against market fluctuations.
• The Federal Reserve's cautious stance on interest rates and concerns over inflation and unemployment risks, as indicated in meeting minutes, also influenced silver prices as investors sought stability in uncertain economic conditions.

17.09.2025 - XAG Commodity was down 5.4%

• Silver prices fell over 4% from a record high as risk appetite improved and investors shifted back into equities following attempts to ease US-China trade war fears.
• The pullback in silver prices was also influenced by turmoil in US regional banks disclosing loan fraud issues, raising concerns about financial stability and leading to a broader market sell-off.
• Despite the bearish movement, silver remains up more than 3% for the week, supported by geopolitical tensions, rising US debt, expectations of more Federal Reserve rate cuts, and a liquidity crunch in the London silver market.
• The overall market sentiment towards silver was impacted by a combination of factors including global supply crunch, safe-haven demand, geopolitical risks, and concerns over government spending and debt, contributing to the metal's recent volatility.

12.04.2025 - XAG Commodity was down 1.5%

• Silver prices took a hit as optimism surrounding US-China trade talks increased, leading to reduced demand for safe-haven assets like silver.
• The potential progress in trade negotiations and the announcement of a preliminary trade deal between the US and the UK shifted market sentiment towards risk-on assets, impacting the demand for silver negatively.
• Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates and the cautious stance adopted by Chair Jerome Powell further influenced the market, with investors turning away from safe-haven assets like silver.
• The overall market movement suggests that silver prices are highly sensitive to geopolitical developments and macroeconomic factors, with trade tensions and central bank policies playing a significant role in shaping investor sentiment towards the metal.

22.07.2025 - XAG Commodity was up 1.4%

• Silver held steady and climbed above $38 per ounce as investors awaited Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole symposium for clues on the interest rate outlook.
• The metal showed resilience despite a stronger dollar and diverged from gold's weakness, as markets weighed the Fed's rate outlook and potential for monetary easing.
• Divisions among Fed officials, with some advocating for rate cuts while others favored steady rates, added uncertainty to the market, with traders pricing in expectations for easing.
• Silver's bullish movement was further supported by easing geopolitical risks and fading concerns over a global trade war, contributing to a decline in safe-haven demand for precious metals.

22.09.2025 - XAG Commodity was down 5.7%

• Silver prices saw a sharp decline today, following a recent rally to record highs, as profit-taking sentiment gripped the market.
• The bearish movement was exacerbated by improving risk appetite, driven by easing US-China trade tensions and hopes for a resolution to the US government shutdown.
• President Trump's comments on a potential trade deal with China and the upcoming meeting with President Xi Jinping added to the market uncertainty, contributing to the downward pressure on silver prices.
• Traders are closely monitoring key US inflation data and the expected Federal Reserve rate cut next week, which are likely to influence silver's future price movements amidst ongoing geopolitical tensions and safe-haven demand.