Progressive Corporation (The) ($PGR) Stock Forecast: Down 5.2% Today

What is Progressive Corporation (The)?

Progressive Corporation (PGR) is a top player in the auto insurance sector, known for its innovative technology and data-driven services. The company has shown resilience and market strength despite challenges in the industry.

Why is Progressive Corporation (The) going down?

PGR stock is down 5.2% on Jan 13, 2026 20:16

• Today's downward trend in PGR stock may be linked to the company's recent earnings report, where it fell short of analyst expectations.
• The buying of shares by Tema Etfs LLC and the selling of shares by Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group Inc. could have influenced investor confidence, reflecting mixed sentiments towards the company.
• Despite Progressive's solid reputation and strategic moves, disappointing earnings and revenue figures in the last quarter may have raised investor concerns, leading to the current downward trend.
• The market's perception of Progressive Corp's future growth potential in the auto insurance industry, particularly with emerging technologies like telematics and autonomous vehicles, might also be impacting the stock's performance.

PGR Price Chart

PGR Technical Analysis

PGR News

Progressive Corp Is Quietly Rebuilding the Future of Auto Insurance

Progressive Corp is transforming the auto insurance industry by leveraging technology, data, and a platform-based approach. The company utilizes telematics, digital-first quoting, and integrated claims processing to offer a more transparent and efficient service. By treating insurance as a software and data product, Progressive Corp is gaining a competitive edge over rivals like GEICO and Allstate, positioning itself for future growth in connected and autonomous vehicle markets.

https://www.ad-hoc-news.de/boerse/news/ueberblick/progressive-corp-is-quietly-rebuilding-the-future-of-auto-insurance/68483404

9,111 Shares in The Progressive Corporation $PGR Acquired by Tema Etfs LLC

Tema Etfs LLC recently acquired 9,111 shares of The Progressive Corporation (NYSE:PGR) worth approximately $2.25 million in the third quarter. Other institutional investors have also adjusted their holdings, while company insiders have sold a total of 9,034 shares valued at over $2 million in the last quarter. Progressive reported mixed quarterly earnings, missing analyst estimates, and various analysts have offered "hold" or "buy" ratings with revised price targets.

https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/filing-9111-shares-in-the-progressive-corporation-pgr-acquired-by-tema-etfs-llc-2026-01-13/

CNA Financial (CNA) Valuation Check After Recent Mixed Share Price Performance

CNA Financial's stock (CNA) has seen mixed performance recently, closing at $46.38, prompting a valuation check. The company appears undervalued based on its Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 12.6x, which is below industry averages and an estimated fair P/E of 15.9x. A Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model further suggests an intrinsic value of $63.65 per share, indicating a potential mispricing.

https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/insurance/nyse-cna/cna-financial/news/cna-financial-cna-valuation-check-after-recent-mixed-share-p

Progressive Buoyed by a Strong Pricing Market and Smart Decisions

Progressive (PGR) is a strong franchise in the insurance industry, consistently achieving leading returns despite significant volatility in the auto insurance sector since the pandemic's onset. The company's recent success is attributed to a robust pricing market and strategic decisions. Morningstar maintains a positive outlook on Progressive, highlighting its strong market position and adaptability.

https://www.morningstar.com/company-reports/1417302-progressive-buoyed-by-a-strong-pricing-market-and-smart-decisions

Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group Inc. Sells 74,740 Shares of The Progressive Corporation $PGR

Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group Inc. reduced its stake in The Progressive Corporation by 4.2%, selling 74,740 shares, yet still maintaining 1,709,793 shares valued at approximately $422.2 million. Progressive reported lower-than-expected earnings and revenue in its most recent quarter, but still garners a "Hold" rating from MarketBeat with a target price of $260.74. Insider selling has also been noted, while the company pays a modest quarterly dividend.

https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/filing-sumitomo-mitsui-trust-group-inc-sells-74740-shares-of-the-progressive-corporation-pgr-2026-01-12/

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Progressive Corporation (The) Price History

06.11.2024 - PGR Stock was down 2.7%

• Despite the market downturn, Progressive (PGR) demonstrated strong performance compared to the overall market, highlighting its resilience in volatile market conditions.
• The uptick in Progressive's stock price could be attributed to its robust financial results and investor confidence in its business model.
• Investors seem to consider Progressive a safe investment choice amid market instability, leading to increased demand for the stock and boosting its price.

04.03.2025 - PGR Stock was down 5.9%

• The decline in PGR's performance today could be attributed to investors taking profits following a period of strong growth.
• Despite the optimistic forecast for surpassing earnings expectations, external factors or overall market sentiment might have played a role in the stock's drop.
• It is plausible that investors were anticipating superior outcomes, prompting a selloff in the stock.
• In summary, today's downturn in PGR may represent a momentary market adjustment rather than an indication of the company's future potential.

13.11.2024 - PGR Stock was up 5.1%

• Progressive Corporation posted an impressive earnings per share of $1.71 for November, a significant increase from the previous year, indicating strong financial growth.
• The company's net premiums written for the month rose to $5.563 billion, marking an 18% increase and highlighting a positive trend in revenue generation.
• The announcement of an annual common share dividend of $4.50 per share and a quarterly dividend of $0.10 per share likely appealed to investors, contributing to the further increase in the stock price.
• In conclusion, Progressive's solid financial performance and shareholder-friendly dividend policies were key factors in today's bullish market movement.

17.11.2025 - PGR Stock was down 5.4%

• American Financial Group (AFG) authorizing an increased equity buyback, concerns about underwriting profitability and volatile investments, impacting PGR's stock negatively.
• Thrivent Financial for Lutherans increasing their shares in PGR while company insiders selling shares could have influenced the market sentiment.
• Overbrook Management Corp reducing its stake, along with Progressive missing quarterly earnings estimates, likely contributing to the decline in PGR's stock.
• Mizuho initiating coverage on PGR with a Neutral rating and projecting EPS decline due to market normalization potentially affecting investor confidence and market movement.

25.08.2024 - PGR Stock was down 5.7%

• Despite operating in a resilient industry and having strong earnings estimates, Progressive (PGR) encountered a bearish trend.
• Observations of bullish trends and momentum investing in alternative stocks imply a shift in market sentiment away from Progressive on the day.
• It is conceivable that profit-taking or broader market forces impacted the decline in Progressive's stock price, notwithstanding its favorable growth projections.

19.02.2025 - PGR Stock was down 6.5%

• Despite being a top momentum pick and a standout performer in 2025, Progressive Corporation (PGR) saw a significant bearish movement today.
• The decline could be linked to investors taking profits following the stock's notable growth.
• Shifts in market sentiment, possibly triggered by broader economic uncertainties or industry-specific developments, may have influenced the insurance sector, affecting PGR.
• Investors could be reconsidering their positions in PGR in light of current market conditions and future prospects, contributing to the observed bearish movement.

08.11.2025 - PGR Stock was up 2.2%

• The bullish movement in PGR's stock price could be attributed to positive industry developments, specifically the validation of grid technology focus by the U.S. Department of Energy's Energy Dominance Financing Program. This validation likely boosted investor confidence in companies like PGR that are involved in cutting-edge technologies.
• While concerns initially arose from a decrease in institutional holdings and insider selling at PGR, the positive industry news seems to have overshadowed any apprehensions. Investors appear to be focusing more on the potential growth opportunities presented by advancements in grid technology.
• Despite a reduction in stake by California Public Employees Retirement System, the increased investments by other institutional investors such as Vanguard Group Inc. and Geode Capital Management LLC could signal ongoing market interest and support for PGR's future growth.
• The varied analyst ratings and a recent earnings miss by PGR may have been momentarily overshadowed by broader industry trends and the optimistic outlook following NextNRG's recent developments.

07.00.2026 - PGR Stock was up 0.3%

• Progressive Corporation's stock (PGR) experienced a strong bullish movement likely due to the positive sentiment surrounding the upcoming earnings announcement and the projected EPS growth.
• The increase in the price target to $252.00 with a potential upside of 17.75% also contributed to the bullish momentum.
• Despite recent insider selling, the overall positive outlook from analysts and the market's anticipation of a strong earnings report propelled PGR's stock upwards.
• The market seems to be responding favorably to Progressive's strategic moves and potential growth, overshadowing concerns about past underperformance.

08.03.2025 - PGR Stock was up 6.6%

• Cautious stance on Progressive due to a cyclical margin peak and concerns about tariffs and slowing EPS growth might have initially dampened investor confidence.
• Positive outlook on Progressive beating earnings estimates could have sparked renewed interest and confidence in the company's financial performance, leading to the strong bullish movement in the stock today.
• Market's focus on company-specific factors like earnings potential and growth outlook likely outweighed broader macroeconomic concerns, driving Progressive's stock price higher.

15.09.2025 - PGR Stock was down 6.9%

• Despite high expectations for strong Q3 earnings, Progressive Corp. (PGR) saw a decline in its stock price today.
• The market's reaction could be attributed to unforeseen expenses or slower growth in a specific business segment.
• Investors may have opted to take profits following a recent upward trend, resulting in a temporary decrease in the stock's value.
• It is possible that external factors, such as general market conditions or economic indicators, played a role in the stock's downward movement today.

10.03.2025 - PGR Stock was up 6.2%

• The surge in Progressive's stock price could be attributed to the positive options trends identified signaling increased investor interest and confidence in the company's future performance.
• The recommendation of targeting low-beta stocks as a volatility shield might have also influenced investors to consider Progressive, given its stable and less volatile nature compared to other high-beta stocks.
• Despite cautious outlook on Progressive due to concerns about a cyclical margin peak, tariff issues, and slowing EPS growth, investors might have focused more on the positive options activities and the potential stability offered by the stock during market uncertainties.

13.00.2026 - PGR Stock was down 5.2%

• Today's downward trend in PGR stock may be linked to the company's recent earnings report, where it fell short of analyst expectations.
• The buying of shares by Tema Etfs LLC and the selling of shares by Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group Inc. could have influenced investor confidence, reflecting mixed sentiments towards the company.
• Despite Progressive's solid reputation and strategic moves, disappointing earnings and revenue figures in the last quarter may have raised investor concerns, leading to the current downward trend.
• The market's perception of Progressive Corp's future growth potential in the auto insurance industry, particularly with emerging technologies like telematics and autonomous vehicles, might also be impacting the stock's performance.