S&P 500 Index ($SPX) Index Forecast: Down 1.1% Today

What is S&P 500 Index?

The S&P 500 (SPX) index is a benchmark index that tracks the performance of 500 large-cap U.S. stocks, representing the leading companies in various sectors of the economy.

Why is S&P 500 Index going down?

SPX index is down 1.1% on Sep 2, 2025 12:41

• The bearish movement in the SPX today could be attributed to the red flag raised by market breadth indicators, indicating potential economic risks and market concentration reminiscent of previous crashes.
• Despite a Risk-Love indicator hitting a 13-month high, signaling elevated investor risk appetite, the concerns over market breadth and concentration might have triggered profit-taking and selling pressure in the market.
• Warren Buffett's recommendation of investing in a low-cost S&P 500 index fund for long-term wealth creation contrasts with the current market sentiment, suggesting a cautious approach might be warranted amidst the heightened risk appetite.
• Senator Elizabeth Warren's criticism of President Trump's dismissal of a Federal Reserve Governor, raising concerns about political interference in the Fed's independence, could have added to the overall market uncertainty and contributed to the bearish movement in the SPX.

SPX Price Chart

SPX Technical Analysis

SPX News

BofA's Risk-Love Indicator Hits 13-Month High — 'Market Sentiment Is Through The Roof'

Bank of America's Global Equity Risk-Love indicator reached a 13-month high at 1.4, signaling elevated investor risk appetite. Analysts predict a potential extended bull market through 2035, driven by technological advancements and strong demographic trends.

https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/09/47441669/bofas-risk-love-indicator-hits-13-month-high-market-sentiment-is-through-the-roof

This Warren Buffett-Approved Investment Could Turn $300 Per Month Into $1 Million

Warren Buffett recommends investing in a low-cost S&P 500 index fund as a reliable long-term investment strategy, highlighting the potential to turn monthly $300 investments into a $1 million portfolio over 35 years.

https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/08/31/this-warren-buffett-approved-investment-could-turn/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Lottery or Investing: Which One Really Builds Wealth?

The article compares lottery ticket spending with stock market investing, highlighting that investing in index funds offers a more reliable path to wealth creation compared to the extremely low probability of winning the lottery.

https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/08/30/lottery-or-investing-which-one-really-builds-wealt/?source=iedfolrf0000001

The Red Flag That Presaged Dot-Com Crash And The Great Recession Is Back

Market breadth indicators suggest potential economic risks, with only 59% of S&P 500 stocks trading above their 200-day moving average and extreme market concentration reminiscent of previous market crashes.

https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/08/47342019/stock-market-analysis-sp500-signal-shows-crash-risk

Elizabeth Warren Blasts Trump's 'Authoritarian Power Grab' In Dismissal Of Fed's Lisa Cook, Says Court Will 'Overturn' It

Senator Elizabeth Warren criticized President Trump for dismissing Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, calling it an 'authoritarian power grab'. Warren claims the dismissal violates the Federal Reserve Act and will likely be overturned by courts. The move has raised concerns about political interference in the Federal Reserve's independence.

https://www.benzinga.com/news/politics/25/08/47330048/elizabeth-warren-blasts-trumps-authoritarian-power-grab-in-dismissal-of-feds-lisa-cook-says-court-w

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S&P 500 Index Price History

20.07.2025 - SPX Index was down 0.1%

• Despite housing market challenges, homebuilder stocks are surging, possibly drawing investor attention away from broader market indices like the SPX.
• Criticisms of Fed Chair Powell and concerns about the Fed's inflation target have introduced volatility, potentially impacting the recent downtrend in the SPX.
• Goldman Sachs' caution regarding the stock market response to Fed rate cuts may have tempered investor enthusiasm, influencing the index's downward movement.
• Technical analysis showing a slowdown in S&P 500 momentum, combined with the high valuation of the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF, likely encouraged profit-taking and a market pullback, including the SPX.

20.07.2025 - SPX Index was down 1.1%

• Criticism of Fed Chair Jerome Powell for being 'backward-looking' and the call for potential rate cuts may have sparked concerns about the economy, leading to a sell-off in the market.
• Warnings that rate cuts may not lead to the expected stock market boom could have dampened investor sentiment, contributing to the bearish movement in the SPX.
• The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF trading near all-time highs might have triggered profit-taking by investors, causing a downward pressure on the index.
• Signs of momentum slowdown in the S&P 500 E-mini market could have added to the bearish sentiment, as traders might be cautious about the potential for limited follow-through buying and a trading range.

15.06.2025 - SPX Index was up 1.0%

• Nvidia's dominance in the GPU and AI market, along with its record revenue growth, has contributed to Signal Advisors Wealth increasing its stake, boosting investor confidence in the company and driving up its stock price.
• President Trump's proposed tariffs on multiple countries have raised concerns about potential disruptions in global equity markets, leading investors to seek opportunities in companies like Nvidia that have strong market positions.
• The suggestion to consider international stocks after the S&P 500's record close indicates a shift in investor sentiment towards diversification, potentially benefiting companies like Nvidia with a global presence and strong performance.
• Speculation about future Fed leadership and changes in monetary policy following President Trump's comments could impact investor decisions, with stable and innovative companies like Nvidia being seen as attractive options in uncertain times.

29.06.2025 - SPX Index was down 0.4%

• The S&P 500's potential market exhaustion and signs of a slowdown in momentum after reaching new all-time highs may have contributed to today's bearish movement.
• The Federal Reserve's stance on maintaining high policy rates, despite pressure from President Trump to lower rates, could have added to the market's unease and uncertainty, impacting the bearish trend in the index.
• Investors may be cautious about the limited potential rate cuts by the Fed by year-end, leading to a shift in market sentiment towards a more bearish outlook for the S&P 500.

16.06.2025 - SPX Index was down 0.8%

• Investors are showing concerns about potential stock market correction as indicated by rising volatility, correlations, and credit spreads, leading to a bearish movement in the index.
• The focus on retirement investment strategies that mitigate stock market risks could be influencing investor sentiment, contributing to the bearish market movement.
• President Trump's proposed tariffs on multiple countries may be adding to the uncertainty in global equity markets, impacting the overall sentiment and contributing to the bearish trend in the index.
• The suggestion to consider international stocks over U.S. stocks due to lower valuations and potential for better performance could be diverting investment flows away from the S&P 500, further contributing to the bearish movement.

29.07.2025 - SPX Index was down 0.4%

• Market breadth figures reveal that only 59% of S&P 500 stocks are trading above their 200-day moving average, hinting at possible economic risks influencing the bearish movement.
• Criticism from Senator Elizabeth Warren towards President Trump for removing Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, along with concerns about political involvement in the Federal Reserve's autonomy, may have unsettled investors and contributed to the negative market sentiment.
• Notwithstanding today's decline, the Elliott Wave analysis suggests a continuation of bullish momentum and higher future targets, indicating long-term growth potential despite the ongoing downturn.

31.06.2025 - SPX Index was up 0.2%

• The S&P 500 may be losing momentum as indicated by bearish divergences and signs of potential market exhaustion.
• Technical indicators suggest a possible modest pullback or pause in the market, particularly in the 6100 range.
• Despite reaching new all-time highs and a decent earnings season performance, the index shows signs of potential stagnation and a slowdown in momentum.

02.08.2025 - SPX Index was down 1.1%

• The bearish movement in the SPX today could be attributed to the red flag raised by market breadth indicators, indicating potential economic risks and market concentration reminiscent of previous crashes.
• Despite a Risk-Love indicator hitting a 13-month high, signaling elevated investor risk appetite, the concerns over market breadth and concentration might have triggered profit-taking and selling pressure in the market.
• Warren Buffett's recommendation of investing in a low-cost S&P 500 index fund for long-term wealth creation contrasts with the current market sentiment, suggesting a cautious approach might be warranted amidst the heightened risk appetite.
• Senator Elizabeth Warren's criticism of President Trump's dismissal of a Federal Reserve Governor, raising concerns about political interference in the Fed's independence, could have added to the overall market uncertainty and contributed to the bearish movement in the SPX.

02.08.2025 - SPX Index was down 0.5%

• Warren Buffett's endorsement of investing in a low-cost S&P 500 index fund for long-term wealth creation contrasts with the current bearish market movement, indicating a potential short-term downturn.
• The comparison between lottery spending and stock market investing underscores the stability and growth potential of index funds, despite the market breadth indicators signaling economic risks and market concentration concerns.
• Senator Elizabeth Warren's criticism of President Trump's dismissal of Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook adds to the market uncertainty, as concerns about political interference in the Federal Reserve's independence may have contributed to the bearish sentiment in the market.
• The resurgence of red flags reminiscent of past market crashes, such as low market breadth indicators and extreme market concentration, could be fueling investor caution and leading to the bearish movement in the S&P 500 index.

19.07.2025 - SPX Index was down 0.4%

• The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF reaching all-time highs with an 8.5% year-to-date gain may have led to profit-taking by investors, contributing to the bearish movement.
• The slowing momentum in the S&P 500 E-mini market after a recent breakout suggests that traders are cautious about the index's future performance, potentially leading to a temporary dip in prices.
• Despite the bearish movement, the overall market sentiment remains bullish, indicating that the current dip may be a short-term correction rather than a reversal of the upward trend.

22.07.2025 - SPX Index was up 0.5%

• The hawkish stance on inflation revealed in recent Federal Reserve minutes has reassured investors and contributed to the bullish movement of the SPX.
• Calls for Powell's resignation and criticism of the Fed's inflation target may have caused some uncertainty in the market, but the impact on the SPX seems limited.
• A rally in homebuilder stocks, despite challenges in the housing market, could have also boosted investor confidence in the overall market, including the SPX.
• The introduction of an AI-powered algorithmic trading system for S&P options may have attracted more traders to the market, potentially influencing the positive movement of the SPX.

12.07.2025 - SPX Index was up 0.3%

• CloudAlpha Capital Management significantly increased its holdings in Tesla, indicating growing confidence in the electric vehicle market despite challenges. This positive sentiment towards Tesla likely contributed to the overall bullish movement in the market.
• Analysis of Interactive Brokers' stock performance over the past 5 years, showing substantial growth, might have attracted investors to the broader market, including the S&P 500.
• The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF's potential for long-term wealth generation could have attracted more investors to the index, boosting its performance.
• Despite concerns about potential market reversals, overbought conditions, and high valuations, investors' focus on strong individual stock performances like Tesla and Interactive Brokers may have overshadowed these worries, leading to the bullish movement in the market.