Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. ($ASO) Stock Forecast: Down 8.4% Today

What is Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.?

Academy Sports + Outdoors (ASO) is a retail company specializing in sports and outdoor equipment. The company revealed $6.05 billion in net sales for fiscal 2025 and announced intentions to open 20-25 new stores in fiscal 2026.

Why is Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. going down?

ASO stock is down 8.4% on Mar 17, 2026 13:45

• Several factors could explain the bearish movement in ASO's stock today, including:
• Despite announcing modest sales growth and a 15% increase in dividend, the drop in net income and pressures on its core customer base may have caused investor concerns.
• Anticipated macroeconomic challenges for consumers and the necessity for Academy Sports to reverse the declining trend in comparable store sales might have added to the negative sentiment.
• Questions could arise regarding the company's ability to maintain momentum and achieve steady sales growth in the future due to its ambitious plan to open 20-25 new stores in 2026.
• The recent surge in institutional investment in ASO, with a significant stake acquired by Junto Capital Management LP, could impact market sentiment, reflecting confidence and potential future expectations.

ASO Price Chart

ASO Technical Analysis

ASO News

Academy Sports lifts dividend 15%, plans up to 25 new stores in 2026

Academy Sports + Outdoors (ASO) reported fiscal 2025 net sales of $6.05 billion and Q4 sales of $1.72 billion, with GAAP diluted EPS at $5.54 for the year and $1.98 for the quarter. The company announced a 15% increase in its quarterly dividend to $0.15 per share and plans to open 20-25 new stores in fiscal 2026. Fiscal 2026 guidance projects sales growth of 2%-5% and GAAP EPS between $5.65 and $6.15, despite anticipated ongoing macroeconomic pressures for consumers.

https://www.stocktitan.net/news/ASO/academy-sports-outdoors-reports-fourth-quarter-and-fiscal-2025-p5mjuzj89yqm.html

Academy Sports (Nasdaq: ASO) posts 2025 results and sets 2026 guidance

Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO) announced its financial results for fiscal year 2025, reporting modest growth in sales but a decline in net income, alongside its guidance for fiscal year 2026. The company plans to continue its expansion with 20-25 new store openings in 2026, building on the 24 stores opened in 2025, and increased its quarterly dividend by 15%. This strategy aims for continued market share gains and a return to consistent comparable sales growth despite anticipated macroeconomic pressures.

https://www.stocktitan.net/sec-filings/ASO/8-k-academy-sports-outdoors-inc-reports-material-event-b05d6c4a2cf5.html

Academy Sports earnings on deck: Can retailer reverse comp slide?

Academy Sports & Outdoors Inc. is set to report fiscal fourth-quarter results, with analysts expecting $2.04 EPS on $1.76 billion revenue. Investors will be focused on whether the retailer can reverse its trend of negative comparable store sales, particularly given pressure on its core customer base. The company's operating margin trajectory and ability to sustain momentum beyond the holiday quarter, alongside an ambitious expansion plan, will also be key areas of interest.

https://m.investing.com/news/earnings/academy-sports-earnings-on-deck-can-retailer-reverse-comp-slide-93CH-4563039?ampMode=1

Junto Capital Management LP Takes $36.57 Million Position in Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. $ASO

Junto Capital Management LP has acquired a new position in Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. (NASDAQ:ASO), purchasing 731,044 shares worth approximately $36.57 million, representing about 1.10% of the company. Academy Sports and Outdoors recently increased its quarterly dividend to $0.15 per share, resulting in an annualized dividend of $0.60 and a yield of 1.1%. The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 10.3 and has received a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" from analysts.

https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/filing-junto-capital-management-lp-takes-3657-million-position-in-academy-sports-and-outdoors-inc-aso-2026-03-16/

How To Earn $500 A Month From Academy Sports And Outdoors Stock Ahead Of Q4 Earnings

Ahead of its Q4 earnings report, Academy Sports and Outdoors (NASDAQ: ASO) is analyzed for its dividend potential. The article calculates the investment needed to earn $500 or $100 per month from ASO's current annual dividend yield of 1.06% (15 cents quarterly per share). Analysts expect the company to report increased Q4 earnings and revenue, while a UBS analyst recently raised the price target for the stock.

https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/dividends/26/03/51264976/how-to-earn-500-a-month-from-academy-sports-and-outdoors-stock-ahead-of-q4-earnings

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Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. Price History

20.01.2026 - ASO Stock was up 0.2%

• Heartland Advisors Inc. significantly increased its stake in ASO by 71.9% in Q3, reflecting strong institutional confidence in the company.
• Despite one director selling 3,500 shares, the overall sentiment remains positive with analysts maintaining a "Moderate Buy" rating and an average target price of $59.89.
• The bullish movement in ASO's stock price can be attributed to the robust Q3 earnings report, exceeding analyst estimates, and the continued institutional buying interest from investors like the Public Sector Pension Investment Board.

03.01.2026 - ASO Stock was up 5.3%

• Despite revenue falling below expectations, ASO reported quarterly EPS that surpassed estimates, indicating strong bottom-line performance.
• The consensus "Moderate Buy" rating from analysts and the positive one-year price target suggest a favorable outlook for the company.
• The bullish movement could be attributed to investors focusing on the company's impressive earnings performance rather than the revenue miss, showing confidence in its future growth potential.
• The cautionary view highlighting warning signs in small-cap stocks does not seem to have significantly impacted ASO's stock performance today, as investors may be more focused on the company-specific positive earnings results.

11.11.2025 - ASO Stock was up 5.7%

• ASO stock experienced a bullish movement today following positive developments:
• An increase in the price target to $58.00 by Bank of America, suggesting potential upside with a "neutral" rating.
• Better-than-expected quarterly earnings were reported by the company, with exceeding EPS estimates and highlighting strong performance in new store openings and e-commerce growth.
• UBS also raised its price target to $54.00, demonstrating confidence in ASO's strategic growth initiatives and financial performance.
• The market reacted positively to these developments, indicating investor optimism in ASO's potential to boost sales, expand its market presence, and capitalize on partnerships with renowned brands like Nike and Jordan.

24.01.2026 - ASO Stock was up 5.2%

• The bullish movement in ASO stock can be attributed to the company's strong financial performance and investor confidence, as evidenced by hitting a 52-week high.
• The opening of new retail locations, such as the store in the Peoria area, signals growth and expansion in Academy's physical presence, which likely contributed to positive market sentiment.
• The company's strategic initiatives, including plans for further store openings and exclusive product lines, have likely bolstered investor optimism and contributed to the stock's upward momentum.
• Despite mixed analyst sentiment, the overall market response to ASO's recent developments and performance has been overwhelmingly positive, driving the stock to new highs.

05.01.2026 - ASO Stock was down 5.1%

• Despite hitting a 52-week high recently, ASO experienced a bearish market movement, possibly due to:
• Concerns about declining revenues and weak cash flow margins, signaling potential financial challenges.
• The discrepancy between exceeding EPS estimates but falling short on revenue expectations, leading to uncertainty among investors.
• Cautionary advice given to investors regarding small-cap stocks like ASO, which may have influenced selling pressure on the stock.
• The bullish run leading to the 52-week high might have attracted profit-taking activities, contributing to the bearish movement today.

10.11.2025 - ASO Stock was up 5.4%

• ASO stock experienced a strong bullish movement of 7.5% following the release of its Q3 10-Q report, which showcased a 3.0% increase in net sales and an 8.8% rise in net income.
• The company's better-than-expected quarterly earnings, beating EPS estimates and declaring a quarterly dividend, contributed to investor optimism and drove the stock price up.
• ASO's strategic moves, such as opening new stores, appointing new board members, and maintaining a strong financial position, have instilled confidence in investors and positioned the company for continued growth in a competitive market.
• The significant increase in stake by institutional investors like Hood River Capital Management LLC also signals positive sentiment and broad accumulation of ASO shares, further boosting the stock price.

06.00.2026 - ASO Stock was up 5.0%

• Insider selling of ASO stock worth $1.3 million may have initially signaled caution, but the subsequent price target raise to $65.00 suggests a positive outlook for the company.
• Anticipated sales growth for ASO due to the 2026 World Cup and increased youth soccer participation bode well for the company's future prospects.
• Positive analyst rating changes and a raised price target bolstered investor confidence, evident in the stock's bullish movement.
• The optimistic analyst projections, potential sales momentum from forthcoming events, and investor sentiment post-insider selling contributed to today's positive market performance for ASO.

17.02.2026 - ASO Stock was down 8.4%

• Several factors could explain the bearish movement in ASO's stock today, including:
• Despite announcing modest sales growth and a 15% increase in dividend, the drop in net income and pressures on its core customer base may have caused investor concerns.
• Anticipated macroeconomic challenges for consumers and the necessity for Academy Sports to reverse the declining trend in comparable store sales might have added to the negative sentiment.
• Questions could arise regarding the company's ability to maintain momentum and achieve steady sales growth in the future due to its ambitious plan to open 20-25 new stores in 2026.
• The recent surge in institutional investment in ASO, with a significant stake acquired by Junto Capital Management LP, could impact market sentiment, reflecting confidence and potential future expectations.

12.02.2026 - ASO Stock was down 5.0%

• Today's decline in ASO's stock price could be linked to investors selling off shares to realize profits after a period of positive performance.
• Despite recent upbeat developments such as increased support for St. Jude and endorsements from analysts, market concerns about the company's valuation and below-average P/E ratio seem to be impacting the stock.
• While the ongoing campaign for work boots and robust e-commerce growth show promise, they may not be sufficient to counter broader market sentiment or valuation apprehensions, contributing to the negative trend in ASO's stock today.

02.00.2026 - ASO Stock was up 5.0%

• A price target increase to $65 for ASO by an analyst reinforced faith in the company's future prospects.
• This upbeat perspective from a respected analyst could have influenced the positive momentum in ASO's stock price.
• Investors might view this price target raise as an indication of ASO's promising growth opportunities and profitability, sparking increased interest in purchasing and driving up the stock price.

09.00.2026 - ASO Stock was down 5.0%

• The stock recently hit a 52-week high of $59.14, displaying positive momentum despite a modest one-year change.
• Analyst opinions on ASO vary, with some increasing price targets based on growth initiatives and potential future events like the 2026 World Cup.
• Insiders at ASO have sold a significant amount of stock, amounting to US$1.3 million, with the largest sale made by an Independent Director. This insider selling could have influenced the bearish movement in the stock today.
• The combination of insider selling and the stock hitting a 52-week high might have caused uncertainty among investors, contributing to the bearish market movement.

10.02.2026 - ASO Stock was up 5.6%

• An analyst raised the price target to $60 ahead of Q4 earnings, reflecting confidence in the company's performance, potentially driving investor optimism and pushing the stock price higher.
• The opening of new stores in Ohio and Oklahoma, along with community initiatives, showcases the company's expansion strategy and positive community engagement, likely boosting investor sentiment.
• Anticipation of strong Q4 earnings with projected EPS and revenue figures, coupled with a dividend increase, may have attracted more investors to the stock, contributing to its bullish movement.
• The announcement of a new store in Marshall, Texas, as part of a significant economic development project, highlights the company's continued growth and positive impact on local communities, further enhancing its market appeal.