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Alibaba Group Holding Limited ($BABA) Stock Forecast: Down 7.3% Today

Morpher AI identified a bearish signal. The stock price may continue to fall based on the momentum of the negative news.

What is Alibaba Group Holding Limited?

Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) is a Chinese multinational conglomerate specializing in e-commerce, retail, internet, and technology. The company is one of the largest e-commerce platforms in the world.

Why is Alibaba Group Holding Limited going down?

BABA stock is down 7.3% on May 15, 2025 16:41

  • Following its Q4 earnings report, Alibaba's stock showed a significant bearish trend.
  • The revenue miss of $32.58 billion in Q4, along with substantial cloud investments impacting free cash flow, influenced the negative market sentiment.
  • Despite surpassing earnings estimates at $1.73 per ADS, overall disappointment in revenue and profit numbers resulted in a stock drop exceeding 5%.
  • The market's response emphasizes investors' keen attention to performance metrics, particularly revenue and free cash flow, highlighting the importance of meeting or surpassing expectations to sustain positive momentum.

BABA Price Chart

BABA Technical Analysis

BABA News

JD.com Shares Are Trading Lower Thursday: What's Going On? - JD.com ( NASDAQ:JD )

The stock is falling after Alibaba Group reported mixed Q4 results. Get our list of 10 overlooked stocks-including one paying a 9% dividend-before Wall Street catches on.

https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/05/45438952/jd-com-shares-are-trading-lower-thursday-whats-going-on

0 News Article Image JD.com Shares Are Trading Lower Thursday: What's Going On? - JD.com  ( NASDAQ:JD )

Alibaba Stock Slides 5% After Revenue Miss, Cloud Spend Hits Free Cash Flow - Alibaba Gr Hldgs ( NYSE:BABA )

Alibaba Q4 revenue missed estimates at $32.58B, but earnings beat with $1.73 per ADS; stock fell over 5%. Cloud and international commerce drove growth; cash flow strong but free cash flow dropped due to cloud investments.

https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/25/05/45437447/alibaba-stock-slides-5-after-revenue-miss-cloud-spend-hits-free-cash-flow

1 News Article Image Alibaba Stock Slides 5% After Revenue Miss, Cloud Spend Hits Free Cash Flow - Alibaba Gr Hldgs  ( NYSE:BABA )

Alibaba shares drop 4% in premarket trading after big profit miss

Alibaba shares fell on Thursday after the Chinese e-commerce giant missed earnings expectations for its fiscal fourth quarter on both the top and bottom line.

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/05/15/alibaba-earnings-report-fiscal-q4-2025.html

2 Missing News Article Image Alibaba shares drop 4% in premarket trading after big profit miss

Walmart, Cisco And 3 Stocks To Watch Heading Into Thursday - Alibaba Gr Hldgs ( NYSE:BABA ) , Boot Barn Holdings ( NYSE:BOOT )

With U.S. stock futures trading lower this morning on Thursday, some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are as follows: Wall Street expects Alibaba Group Holding Limited BABA to report quarterly earnings at $1.37 per share on revenue of $33.21 billion before the opening bell, ...

https://www.benzinga.com/25/05/45429744/walmart-cisco-systems-and-3-stocks-to-watch-heading-into-thursday

3 News Article Image Walmart, Cisco And 3 Stocks To Watch Heading Into Thursday - Alibaba Gr Hldgs  ( NYSE:BABA ) , Boot Barn Holdings  ( NYSE:BOOT )

Alibaba Q4 Earnings: 55% Rally Gets Goldman Sach's $1B Boost - Alibaba Gr Hldgs ( NYSE:BABA ) , Alibaba Gr Hldgs ( OTC:BABAF )

Alibaba reports Q4 earnings Thursday with EPS of $1.37, revenue of $33.21 billion expected. Stock up 55% YTD as AI push, Goldman's $1B buy fuel bullish momentum ahead of results. Get Matt Maley's top trade setups for a tariff-driven market, live this Wednesday at 6 PM ET. Reserve your free spot ...

https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/technicals/25/05/45405917/alibabas-55-rally-gets-goldmans-1-billion-boost-will-q4-earnings-justify-the-bet

4 News Article Image Alibaba Q4 Earnings: 55% Rally Gets Goldman Sach's $1B Boost - Alibaba Gr Hldgs  ( NYSE:BABA ) , Alibaba Gr Hldgs  ( OTC:BABAF )

Alibaba Group Holding Limited Price History

09.03.2025 - BABA Stock was up 5.0%

  • The bullish movement in Alibaba's stock could be linked to its recent upgrades in global AI tools, enhancing its market competitiveness.
  • Optimism from the executives about the anticipated growth in AI applications by 2025 may have contributed to increasing investor confidence in the stock.
  • Despite previous concerns about US-China trade tensions affecting Alibaba's stock, today's positive movement indicates that investors are focusing more on the company's technological progress and growth prospects rather than external geopolitical factors.

23.03.2025 - BABA Stock was up 8.0%

  • Alibaba's bullish movement today can be attributed to several factors:
  • Updates to AI agents and visual applications by Alibaba, Baidu, ByteDance, and Tencent have showcased continuous innovation and technological advancements in the Chinese AI sector, boosting investor confidence in Alibaba's tech capabilities.
  • The potential 'de-escalation' of China trade tensions, as hinted by U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, has alleviated concerns among investors, leading to a positive sentiment towards Chinese stocks like Alibaba.
  • The FDA breakthrough status granted to Alibaba's AI-powered cancer detection tool, Damo Panda, highlights the company's success in healthcare technology, potentially opening new revenue streams and enhancing Alibaba's reputation in the medical field.
  • Despite a market dip, Alibaba's resilience and positive news flow have driven the stock's upward trajectory, outperforming the broader market and attracting bullish sentiment from financial giants and traders.

04.03.2025 - BABA Stock was down 8.5%

  • The stock's decline today could be linked to investors taking profits following a notable year-to-date increase of 56%.
  • Concerns may have arisen due to the announcement of the upcoming launch of the advanced AI model Qwen 3, leading to worries about heightened competition and potential investment requirements.
  • Information regarding significant orders of Nvidia's H20 chips by Chinese tech giants for AI models could imply possible challenges or increased costs for Alibaba in the AI field.
  • Market sentiment might have been impacted by large traders' pessimistic views on Alibaba, reflected in the options trading history, playing a role in the stock's decrease.

09.03.2025 - BABA Stock was down 5.8%

  • The bearish movement in Alibaba's stock today can be attributed to the escalating trade tensions between the U.S. and China.
  • Despite positive news about 'explosive growth' in AI applications and Alibaba's transformation into a catalyst for China's AI boom, the overarching concern about trade conflicts seems to have overshadowed these developments.
  • The market's reaction to the ongoing tariff threats and fears of a prolonged trade conflict might have led to investors selling off Alibaba shares, resulting in the significant drop in stock price.
  • While Alibaba continues to make strides in AI technology and innovation, external factors such as geopolitical tensions can heavily influence market sentiment and stock performance in the short term.

15.04.2025 - BABA Stock was down 7.3%

  • Following its Q4 earnings report, Alibaba's stock showed a significant bearish trend.
  • The revenue miss of $32.58 billion in Q4, along with substantial cloud investments impacting free cash flow, influenced the negative market sentiment.
  • Despite surpassing earnings estimates at $1.73 per ADS, overall disappointment in revenue and profit numbers resulted in a stock drop exceeding 5%.
  • The market's response emphasizes investors' keen attention to performance metrics, particularly revenue and free cash flow, highlighting the importance of meeting or surpassing expectations to sustain positive momentum.

15.04.2025 - BABA Stock was down 6.6%

  • Alibaba shares experienced a strong bearish movement today, dropping 4% in premarket trading.
  • The company missed earnings expectations for its fiscal fourth quarter on both the top and bottom line, leading to investor disappointment.
  • Despite a 55% rally year-to-date fueled by AI initiatives and positive analyst sentiment, the earnings miss likely triggered profit-taking and a sell-off.
  • Investors may have reacted negatively to the missed earnings, questioning the growth prospects and valuation of the stock in the near term.

22.03.2025 - BABA Stock was up 6.8%

  • Alibaba's stock (BABA) closed at $110.15, up by +1.18% from the previous trading day.
  • The positive movement in Alibaba's stock price is linked to its AI-powered cancer detection tool, Damo Panda, receiving FDA breakthrough status, demonstrating the company's innovation in the healthcare technology field.
  • Financial giants have shown confidence in Alibaba's future performance, as indicated by their bullish moves on the stock.
  • Despite concerns raised by Chamath Palihapitiya about another company, Alibaba's positive news relating to AI technology and FDA approval likely overshadowed any potential negative market sentiment.

22.03.2025 - BABA Stock was up 5.1%

  • Alibaba's AI-Powered Cancer Detection Tool, Damo Panda, receiving FDA breakthrough status for its effectiveness in detecting pancreatic cancer likely boosted investor confidence in the company's innovative capabilities.
  • Concerns raised by an individual about Nvidia not acting in the best interest of the U.S. may have indirectly highlighted Alibaba's positive standing in the market, leading to increased interest and investment in the stock.
  • Jack Ma's previous willingness to navigate global trade tensions positively and his insights on broader economic issues could have resonated with investors, showcasing Alibaba's adaptability and long-term vision, contributing to the bullish market movement.
  • Overall, Alibaba's advancements in AI technology, coupled with positive sentiments towards its leadership's strategic thinking, likely propelled the stock's upward trajectory today.

08.03.2025 - BABA Stock was down 6.7%

  • Alibaba shares experienced a significant bearish movement, dropping over 5% amid escalating US-China tariff tensions and investor concerns about a prolonged trade conflict.
  • Treasury Secretary Bessent's remarks labeling China's tariff threats as a strategic mistake added to market fears of limited negotiation room, further impacting Alibaba's stock negatively.
  • Despite Alibaba's advancements in AI technology, including the launch of the Qwen 3 AI model, the overarching market sentiment driven by trade tensions overshadowed these developments, leading to the bearish movement in the stock price.
  • The uncertainty surrounding the US-China trade relations and the potential implications on Alibaba's business operations and revenue streams likely contributed to the downward pressure on the stock.

16.03.2025 - BABA Stock was down 5.1%

  • The bearish movement in Alibaba's stock today could be attributed to a combination of factors:
  • The potential impact of US restrictions on Nvidia's China business, leading to a shift towards domestic AI chip suppliers by tech giants like ByteDance and Tencent, which may affect Alibaba's tech ecosystem.
  • Despite optimistic recommendations on Alibaba being a good investment, the uncertainty surrounding the effectiveness of such metrics might have caused some investors to hesitate.
  • The exemption of consumer electronics from reciprocal tariffs on Chinese goods by the government could have created market uncertainty about Alibaba's future revenue and growth prospects.
  • The news of Alibaba's Quark AI app surpassing ByteDance's Doubao with 150 million monthly users might not have been enough to offset broader market concerns and sentiment impacting Alibaba's stock price.

07.03.2025 - BABA Stock was down 3.0%

  • The bearish movement in Alibaba's stock today could be attributed to profit-taking after a significant rise in stock price recently.
  • Despite Alibaba's advancements in AI technology, including the launch of Qwen 3 and competing with other tech giants like Microsoft and OpenAI, investors might be cautious about the sustainability of these innovations.
  • The surge in demand for Nvidia's H20 chips by Chinese tech giants, including Alibaba, could indicate increased competition in the AI sector, potentially leading to concerns about market saturation and pricing pressures.
  • Alibaba's transformation into a catalyst for China's AI boom might be viewed positively in the long term, but short-term market dynamics could have influenced today's bearish movement.

11.03.2025 - BABA Stock was up 6.0%

  • The stock of Alibaba (BABA) showed strong upward movement today, indicating resilience in the market.
  • Jack Ma's return and the company's emphasis on ethical AI development that benefits society may have contributed to enhancing investor confidence in Alibaba's futuristic strategy and creativity.
  • Allocating $52 billion to AI and cloud technologies, in addition to introducing new AI solutions, highlights Alibaba's deliberate focus on advancing technology and competing globally.
  • Despite recent stock price fluctuations, Alibaba's continuous growth and investments in innovative technologies such as AI put it in a promising position for sustained success in the market.
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Disclaimer
Morpher is not liable for the content of the AI investment insights. Like most GPT-powered tools, these summaries may contain AI hallucinations and inaccurate information. Morpher is not presenting you with any investment advice. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. These summaries do not constitute investment advice.