Marathon Petroleum Corporation ($MPC) Stock Forecast: Down 5.2% Today

What is Marathon Petroleum Corporation?

Marathon Petroleum Corporation (NYSE: MPC) is a leading American petroleum refining, marketing, and transportation company. Despite recent positive earnings and a new 52-week high, the stock experienced a bearish movement today.

Why is Marathon Petroleum Corporation going down?

MPC stock is down 5.2% on Feb 12, 2026 20:56

• The stock may have experienced a bearish movement due to profit-taking by institutional investors like LSV Asset Management, who reduced their stake in MPC by 6.0%.
• The overall bearish outlook in the Oil and Gas Refining & Marketing industry, as highlighted by Zacks Industry Outlook, could have also contributed to the downward pressure on MPC's stock.
• Despite the bearish movement, the company's strong Q4 earnings and dividend declaration may still attract investor interest in the long term.

MPC Price Chart

MPC Technical Analysis

MPC News

Marathon Petroleum (NYSE:MPC) Hits New 1-Year High - Should You Buy?

Marathon Petroleum (NYSE:MPC) recently hit a new 52-week high of $209.40, following strong Q4 earnings where it beat EPS and revenue expectations. Analysts hold a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating with an average target price of $202.19, though some recent ratings have been mixed. The company also declared a quarterly dividend of $1.00, representing an annualized yield of 1.9%, and boasts approximately 76.8% institutional ownership.

https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/marathon-petroleum-nysempc-hits-new-1-year-high-should-you-buy-2026-02-12/

ING Groep NV Raises Stake in Marathon Petroleum Corporation $MPC

ING Groep NV significantly increased its holdings in Marathon Petroleum Corporation (NYSE:MPC) by 52.0% in the third quarter, bringing their total to 61,242 shares valued at $11.8 million. Other institutional investors also adjusted their positions in MPC, which currently has a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating from analysts with an average target price of $202.19. Marathon Petroleum recently announced a quarterly dividend of $1.00 per share, payable on March 10th, and reported strong quarterly earnings of $4.07 per share, surpassing analyst estimates.

https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/filing-ing-groep-nv-raises-stake-in-marathon-petroleum-corporation-mpc-2026-02-12/

LSV Asset Management Sells 85,570 Shares of Marathon Petroleum Corporation $MPC

LSV Asset Management reduced its stake in Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) by 6.0% in the third quarter, selling 85,570 shares and now owning 1,339,570 shares valued at $258.19 million. Other hedge funds also adjusted their holdings in MPC, with institutional investors collectively owning 76.77% of the company's stock. Marathon Petroleum recently announced a quarterly dividend of $1.00 per share and reported strong Q3 earnings, surpassing analyst estimates.

https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/filing-lsv-asset-management-sells-85570-shares-of-marathon-petroleum-corporation-mpc-2026-02-12/

Murphy USA Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates as Fuel Margins Rise

Murphy USA Inc. reported better-than-expected adjusted earnings per share of $7.53 in Q4 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.67, driven by strong merchandise results and increased fuel contribution. Despite a slight miss on operating revenues, total fuel contribution and retail gallons saw significant year-over-year increases. The company also provided a positive 2026 guidance, projecting continued unit growth and profitability.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/murphy-usa-q4-earnings-beat-131900456.html

Zacks Industry Outlook Highlights Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum and Valero Energy

The Zacks Oil and Gas - Refining & Marketing industry, despite inherent volatility and a bearish near-term outlook, has outperformed broader energy and the S&P 500 over the past year. Factors such as operational flexibility and export linkages offer resilience, though cost inflation and regulatory pressures remain challenges. The article highlights Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum, and Valero Energy as investment opportunities due to their strong fundamentals and growth prospects within this sector.

https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/markets/stocks/VLO-N/pressreleases/151108/zacks-industry-outlook-highlights-phillips-66-marathon-petroleum-and-valero-energy/

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Marathon Petroleum Corporation Price History

04.01.2026 - MPC Stock was up 8.4%

• MPC stock experienced a bullish movement due to exceeding Q4 2025 earnings estimates and reporting an adjusted EPS of $4.07, significantly above analyst projections.
• The increase in price targets by TD Cowen and Wells Fargo, along with a "buy" rating, further fueled investor confidence in MPC's growth potential.
• Despite facing challenges in the renewable diesel segment due to weak margins, MPC's strategic capital investments for 2026 and beyond, aimed at enhancing competitiveness and shareholder returns, have garnered positive market sentiment.
• The overall positive market response to MPC's strong earnings and strategic initiatives indicates investor optimism in the company's ability to capitalize on global demand for refined products and drive profitability.

04.01.2026 - MPC Stock was up 8.4%

• Raised Marathon Petroleum's price target to $198.00, indicating a potential upside of 5.86% from the previous close, reinforcing a positive outlook for the company.
• Reported robust Q4 2025 earnings, surpassing expectations with an EPS of $4.07, showcasing strong operational performance and strategic capital investments for future competitiveness.
• Also increased the price target for Marathon Petroleum to $217, following the company's impressive earnings report, highlighting the positive sentiment among analysts towards the stock.
• The focus on divesting non-core assets by Phillips 66 to boost refining margins amidst lower crude prices could have positively influenced the overall sentiment in the oil and gas sector, potentially contributing to Marathon Petroleum's bullish movement.

03.01.2026 - MPC Stock was up 4.6%

• Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC) is a leading American petroleum refining, marketing, and transportation company.
• The company saw a strong bullish movement today.
• The surge in MPC shares is linked to the company's impressive Q4 earnings beat, with revenue of $33.42 billion and adjusted EPS of $4.07, surpassing analyst expectations.
• Mention of the ability to process Venezuelan crude at a competitive price might have positively influenced MPC.
• Jones Financial Companies Lllp increasing its stake in MPC by 6.8% and the company's strong financial performance for the fourth quarter further supported the bullish sentiment surrounding Marathon Petroleum Corp.

05.00.2026 - MPC Stock was down 1.0%

• Valero Energy Corp (VLO) faced a decline in share price following a recent U.S. action in Venezuela, which disrupted the country's oil exports. This disruption impacted Valero and other refiners that rely on heavy crude oil.
• The ongoing export disruption could potentially impact Valero's profit margins and crack spreads, prompting concerns among investors and leading to a downward trend in the stock price.
• Geopolitical uncertainties and market reactions to headline news have further contributed to the negative outlook on Valero's stock. This emphasizes the importance of monitoring global events for energy companies.
• Despite Valero's focus on renewable energy and past positive performance, the recent downward movement in the stock highlights the exposure of energy companies to external disruptions and geopolitical tensions.

06.01.2026 - MPC Stock was up 5.0%

• Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) experienced a strong bullish movement today.
• The bullish movement can be attributed to the multiyear agreement with Baker Hughes, where Baker Hughes will be the preferred downstream chemicals supplier for MPC across North America. This partnership aims to enhance operational reliability, support environmental compliance, and improve efficiency for MPC's refineries and renewable fuel facilities.
• The collaboration with Baker Hughes is seen as a positive step towards optimizing operations and driving growth for Marathon Petroleum Corporation, leading to increased investor confidence and driving the stock price higher.
• The market's positive reaction to this strategic partnership indicates that investors view this as a beneficial move for MPC's long-term sustainability and profitability in the downstream energy sector.

06.01.2026 - MPC Stock was up 5.0%

• The stock of Marathon Petroleum soared to a yearly peak of $202.33 due to favorable market sentiment and solid financial results.
• Analysts' positive projections and heightened price objectives bolstered investor trust in MPC.
• The collaboration with Baker Hughes as the primary downstream chemicals provider is anticipated to improve efficiency, ensure regulatory adherence, and contribute to the stock's upward trajectory.
• Marathon Petroleum's bullish stock movement stood out, particularly in contrast to Plains All American Pipeline's recent earnings disappointment, underscoring MPC's resilience and strong market position.

12.01.2026 - MPC Stock was down 5.2%

• The stock may have experienced a bearish movement due to profit-taking by institutional investors like LSV Asset Management, who reduced their stake in MPC by 6.0%.
• The overall bearish outlook in the Oil and Gas Refining & Marketing industry, as highlighted by Zacks Industry Outlook, could have also contributed to the downward pressure on MPC's stock.
• Despite the bearish movement, the company's strong Q4 earnings and dividend declaration may still attract investor interest in the long term.

04.10.2025 - MPC Stock was down 6.2%

• Marathon Petroleum (MPC) stock fell after reporting mixed third-quarter fiscal 2025 results, with revenue slightly up but missing earnings estimates.
• The market reacted negatively to the earnings miss, causing a bearish movement in the stock price.
• Despite the recent downturn, Marathon Petroleum has historically outperformed the market over the past decade, showcasing its long-term growth potential.
• Investors should closely monitor future earnings reports and company performance to gauge the stock's trajectory in the volatile energy sector.

04.10.2025 - MPC Stock was down 9.1%

• Marathon Petroleum (MPC) stock experienced a bearish movement today.
• The company reported mixed third-quarter fiscal 2025 results, with revenue slightly exceeding analyst estimates.
• Despite being positioned to deliver upbeat Q3 earnings, the stock fell, possibly due to investors' reactions to the results not meeting expectations.
• The market movement could also be influenced by broader industry trends and investor sentiment towards energy stocks in general.

08.00.2026 - MPC Stock was up 5.1%

• MPC stock experienced a strong bullish movement today.
• The bullish trend can be attributed to the positive market sentiment surrounding the refining sector, particularly influenced by Valero Energy's strategic decisions and the speculation around Venezuelan oil imports.
• The announcement of Valero Energy's plan to idle the Benicia refinery while maintaining supply to Northern California via imports and inventories likely boosted investor confidence in the sector.
• Additionally, the increased oil shipments by Chevron from Venezuela, making it the sole Western exporter after the ouster of President Nicolas Maduro, could have contributed to the bullish momentum in the refining industry, including MPC.

03.01.2026 - MPC Stock was up 1.0%

• Marathon Petroleum Corp reported impressive Q4 2025 financial results, surpassing analyst expectations with $33.42 billion in revenue and adjusted EPS of $4.07. This strong performance was driven by a favorable refining margin environment and effective operations, leading to a notable surge in shares.
• The company's solid financial performance and exceeding profit of $1.54 billion in the fourth quarter, along with a dividend declaration of $1.00, likely contributed to investor confidence and drove the bullish movement in the stock.
• Institutional investor increasing its stake in Marathon Petroleum Corporation by 6.8% and the company's positive outlook with a "Moderate Buy" rating from analysts further added to the bullish sentiment surrounding the stock.
• Marathon Petroleum's focus on capital spending in refinery and midstream investments for 2026, as well as its strong full-year results, showcase the company's resilience and strategic growth initiatives, reinforcing investor optimism and driving the bullish market movement.

20.10.2025 - MPC Stock was down 1.0%

• The increase in short interest suggests a growing number of investors are anticipating a decrease in the stock's price, which is exerting downward pressure on MPC's share value.
• The uptick in short interest may stem from concerns about the company's financial performance, industry dynamics, or broader market conditions, fueling the bearish trend in the stock.
• Market participants seem to be responding to the pessimistic outlook surrounding MPC, possibly influenced by factors like weakening demand for petroleum products, regulatory hurdles, or general economic uncertainties, all contributing to the negative market sentiment.