Marathon Petroleum Corporation ($MPC) Stock Forecast: Up 5.1% Today

What is Marathon Petroleum Corporation?

MPC (Marathon Petroleum Corp.) Marathon Petroleum Corp. (MPC) is a leading, integrated, downstream energy company headquartered in Findlay, Ohio. It operates the nation's largest refining system with more than 3 million barrels per day of crude oil capacity across 16 refineries.

Why is Marathon Petroleum Corporation going up?

MPC stock is up 5.1% on Jan 8, 2026 18:10

• MPC stock experienced a strong bullish movement today.
• The bullish trend can be attributed to the positive market sentiment surrounding the refining sector, particularly influenced by Valero Energy's strategic decisions and the speculation around Venezuelan oil imports.
• The announcement of Valero Energy's plan to idle the Benicia refinery while maintaining supply to Northern California via imports and inventories likely boosted investor confidence in the sector.
• Additionally, the increased oil shipments by Chevron from Venezuela, making it the sole Western exporter after the ouster of President Nicolas Maduro, could have contributed to the bullish momentum in the refining industry, including MPC.

MPC Price Chart

MPC Technical Analysis

MPC News

Valero Energy stock jumps 4% as California imports plan and Venezuela oil headlines hit refiners

Valero Energy (VLO) stock rose 4.4% following its plan to idle the Benicia refinery while continuing to supply Northern California via imports and inventories. The broader refining sector was also influenced by speculation around Venezuelan oil imports and a significant build in U.S. fuel inventories. Investors are closely monitoring Washington's stance on Venezuelan crude and upcoming earnings reports from Valero for further market direction.

https://ts2.tech/en/valero-energy-stock-jumps-4-as-california-imports-plan-and-venezuela-oil-headlines-hit-refiners/

Public can give views on El Paso refinery air permit at TCEQ meeting

The Texas Commission on Environmental Quality (TCEQ) is holding a public meeting to gather additional public comments on Marathon Petroleum Corp.'s application for a 10-year renewal of its major air-pollution permit for its El Paso oil refinery. The meeting is scheduled for Thursday, January 8, at 7 p.m. at Riverside High School. The permit renewal is crucial for the 97-year-old refinery to continue operating, and many public comments have called for tougher requirements or for the renewal to be denied.

https://www.elpasotimes.com/story/money/business/2026/01/07/tceq-meeting-to-get-public-views-on-marathon-petroleum-el-paso-oil-refinery-air-permit-renewal/88046345007/

Oil stocks, USO ETF slide in premarket as Trump Venezuela crude plan stirs supply fears

Oil-linked stocks and ETFs, including Exxon, Chevron, USO, and XOP, saw premarket declines following President Donald Trump's announcement of a deal to import Venezuelan crude. This agreement, potentially worth $2 billion, has stirred fears of increased supply, contributing to falling crude prices. Investors are closely watching upcoming U.S. inventory data and a planned White House meeting with oil executives for further market direction.

https://ts2.tech/en/oil-stocks-uso-etf-slide-in-premarket-as-trump-venezuela-crude-plan-stirs-supply-fears/

Chevron Lines Up 11 Ships as Venezuela’s Dark Fleet Vanishes

Chevron is increasing its oil shipments from Venezuela, with 11 ships lined up for January, making it the sole Western exporter of Venezuelan crude following the ouster of President Nicolas Maduro. This surge in legitimate exports occurs as the "dark fleet" of vessels previously involved in illicit oil trade has largely dispersed due to increased U.S. military presence and sanctions enforcement. The oil is bound for U.S. refineries, as the U.S. aims to revive Venezuela's production through corporate investment.

https://www.supplychainbrain.com/articles/43087-chevron-lines-up-11-ships-as-venezuelas-dark-fleet-vanishes

Chevron lines up 11 ships as Venezuela’s dark fleet vanishes

Chevron is set to significantly increase its Venezuelan oil exports, with 11 ships scheduled to arrive, making it the sole exporter after the ouster of President Nicolas Maduro by US forces. This move comes as the US aims to gain "total access" to Venezuela's oil reserves, with Chevron operating under a special license amid American sanctions. The increased exports will help alleviate a domestic oil glut in Venezuela caused by export backlogs and a naval blockade, and it places Chevron in a key position as the US seeks new investments to revive Venezuela's oil production.

http://www.theedgemarkets.com/node/788331

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Marathon Petroleum Corporation Price History

22.09.2025 - MPC Stock was up 2.9%

• The bullish movement in Marathon Petroleum's stock today could be attributed to the positive sentiment surrounding the company's dividend prospects.
• Investors may have been encouraged by the potential for consistent returns through dividends, leading to increased buying activity and driving the stock price higher.
• The market's reaction suggests that investors view Marathon Petroleum as a strong dividend stock, indicating confidence in the company's financial stability and future growth prospects.
• Overall, the bullish movement in MPC's stock today could be a reflection of investors' optimism regarding the company's dividend yield and its potential as an attractive investment opportunity in the current market environment.

08.04.2025 - MPC Stock was up 5.2%

• Despite the Q1 loss, Marathon Petroleum's stock showed a bullish trend, potentially influenced by surpassing revenue expectations.
• The strong performance of Marathon Petroleum stock in the last 5 years, averaging a 34.41% annual return, likely bolstered investor confidence and interest.
• Investor attention may be on Marathon Petroleum's strategic choices like increasing share buybacks and sustaining dividends, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder value amidst tough refining margins.
• Positive earnings and revenue surprises in Q1 may have boosted investor optimism regarding Marathon Petroleum's future prospects, fueling the positive market momentum.

05.00.2026 - MPC Stock was down 1.0%

• Valero Energy Corp (VLO) faced a decline in share price following a recent U.S. action in Venezuela, which disrupted the country's oil exports. This disruption impacted Valero and other refiners that rely on heavy crude oil.
• The ongoing export disruption could potentially impact Valero's profit margins and crack spreads, prompting concerns among investors and leading to a downward trend in the stock price.
• Geopolitical uncertainties and market reactions to headline news have further contributed to the negative outlook on Valero's stock. This emphasizes the importance of monitoring global events for energy companies.
• Despite Valero's focus on renewable energy and past positive performance, the recent downward movement in the stock highlights the exposure of energy companies to external disruptions and geopolitical tensions.

04.10.2025 - MPC Stock was down 6.2%

• Marathon Petroleum (MPC) stock fell after reporting mixed third-quarter fiscal 2025 results, with revenue slightly up but missing earnings estimates.
• The market reacted negatively to the earnings miss, causing a bearish movement in the stock price.
• Despite the recent downturn, Marathon Petroleum has historically outperformed the market over the past decade, showcasing its long-term growth potential.
• Investors should closely monitor future earnings reports and company performance to gauge the stock's trajectory in the volatile energy sector.

04.10.2025 - MPC Stock was down 9.1%

• Marathon Petroleum (MPC) stock experienced a bearish movement today.
• The company reported mixed third-quarter fiscal 2025 results, with revenue slightly exceeding analyst estimates.
• Despite being positioned to deliver upbeat Q3 earnings, the stock fell, possibly due to investors' reactions to the results not meeting expectations.
• The market movement could also be influenced by broader industry trends and investor sentiment towards energy stocks in general.

08.00.2026 - MPC Stock was up 5.1%

• MPC stock experienced a strong bullish movement today.
• The bullish trend can be attributed to the positive market sentiment surrounding the refining sector, particularly influenced by Valero Energy's strategic decisions and the speculation around Venezuelan oil imports.
• The announcement of Valero Energy's plan to idle the Benicia refinery while maintaining supply to Northern California via imports and inventories likely boosted investor confidence in the sector.
• Additionally, the increased oil shipments by Chevron from Venezuela, making it the sole Western exporter after the ouster of President Nicolas Maduro, could have contributed to the bullish momentum in the refining industry, including MPC.

01.04.2025 - MPC Stock was up 5.2%

• MPC stock had a bullish movement, closing at $138.31 with a +0.53% increase.
• The upcoming Q1 earnings for Marathon Petroleum are expected to decline, indicating a potential negative outlook for the company.
• The stock's bullish movement today could be attributed to factors such as positive industry news, potential market speculation, or investor sentiment outweighing the upcoming earnings decline expectations.
• Investors may be focusing on other positive aspects of Marathon Petroleum's business or industry trends, leading to the stock's bullish performance despite the anticipated earnings decrease.

16.06.2025 - MPC Stock was down 2.7%

• Marathon Petroleum's stock (MPC) dropped by -2.35%.
• The broader market was rising during this time, contrasting with MPC's decline.
• The negative movement in MPC's stock price could be due to factors specific to the company, such as disappointing earnings, operational challenges, or concerns about future growth prospects.
• Investors seemed to react to internal issues within Marathon Petroleum, resulting in a sell-off despite positive market sentiment.

22.07.2025 - MPC Stock was up 3.4%

• Marathon Petroleum has exceeded the market performance in the last ten years, with an average annual return of 14.15%.
• The company presently has a market capitalization of $49.97 billion.
• The strong bullish movement in MPC's stock today may be linked to its consistent robust performance and the optimistic market sentiment towards the energy sector.

20.10.2025 - MPC Stock was down 1.0%

• The increase in short interest suggests a growing number of investors are anticipating a decrease in the stock's price, which is exerting downward pressure on MPC's share value.
• The uptick in short interest may stem from concerns about the company's financial performance, industry dynamics, or broader market conditions, fueling the bearish trend in the stock.
• Market participants seem to be responding to the pessimistic outlook surrounding MPC, possibly influenced by factors like weakening demand for petroleum products, regulatory hurdles, or general economic uncertainties, all contributing to the negative market sentiment.

04.03.2025 - MPC Stock was down 8.0%

• MPC stock had a strong bearish movement today.
• The positive performance of a competitor in the midstream, renewables, and chemicals sectors might have diverted investor attention away from MPC.
• Despite surpassing market returns recently, MPC's stock faced a downturn possibly due to profit-taking or concerns about its specific industry challenges.
• The contrasting fortunes of a specific competitor and MPC could have influenced traders to shift their investments, leading to the bearish movement in MPC's stock.

05.07.2025 - MPC Stock was down 1.2%

• MPC stock saw a significant decline of -2.65% in a single trading day.
• The second-quarter earnings of MPC are expected to have been impacted by refinery costs and weak product prices, potentially offsetting gains from midstream operations and exports.
• Investors appeared to react to an underwhelming performance outlook for MPC in Q2, which resulted in a notable drop in the stock price.
• The market's response indicates that worries about MPC's financial performance and industry obstacles influenced investor sentiment, contributing to the bearish movement in the stock price.