Unum Group ($UNM) Stock Forecast: Down 5.1% Today

What is Unum Group?

Unum Group (UNM) operates as a financial protection company, offering a range of insurance products and services. The company is currently encountering difficulties in its underwriting and core operations due to higher claims and heightened competition leading to margin compression.

Why is Unum Group going down?

UNM stock is down 5.1% on Feb 6, 2026 17:17

• After revealing its Q4 2025 earnings, UNM witnessed a significant downward trend in its stock value. The earnings fell short of both earnings per share and revenue expectations, resulting in a 7.48% decrease in stock price.
• Despite the unsatisfactory earnings report, market analysis indicates that the stock is undervalued, with an estimated fair value of $95.62. This valuation suggests potential growth based on its future cash flow prospects and robust capital generation.
• The company's subpar earnings and revenue performance can be linked to ongoing challenges in underwriting, margin compression, and lower-than-anticipated benefit ratios, underscoring the obstacles facing its core operations.
• While UNM's solid capital position enables it to engage in share buybacks and dividends, it is imperative for the company to effectively manage benefit ratios and tackle underwriting issues to fully unlock its capabilities and enhance its stock performance.

UNM Price Chart

UNM Technical Analysis

UNM News

Unum: Underwriting Disappoints Again, But Valuation Is Low

Shares of Unum Group (UNM) are a 'buy' despite a Q4 earnings miss and ongoing underwriting weakness because its current valuation already reflects these downside risks. The company's core business faces margin compression from higher claims and increased competition, leading management to guide to lower-than-consensus EPS for 2024. However, a strong capital position supports continued buybacks and dividends, backing a 20% upside to a revised $85 fair value target.

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4866892-unum-underwriting-disappoints-again-but-valuation-is-low

Assessing Unum Group (UNM) Valuation After Recent Weak Momentum And Undervaluation Signals

Unum Group (UNM) is currently showing negative short-term momentum but strong long-term shareholder returns, leading to a recent share price of US$75.66. Despite recent declines, the company is considered undervalued with a fair value derived from its long-term cash flow potential estimated at US$95.62, implying significant upside. This valuation is supported by strong capital generation, excess liquidity, and anticipated shareholder returns, contingent on managing benefit ratios and the long-term care block.

https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/insurance/nyse-unm/unum-group/news/assessing-unum-group-unm-valuation-after-recent-weak-momentu

UNUM GROUP ($UNM) Releases Q4 2025 Earnings

UNUM GROUP ($UNM) reported its Q4 2025 earnings, missing analyst estimates for both earnings per share ($1.92 vs $2.13) and revenue ($3.234 billion vs $3.316 billion). Following the announcement, the stock price decreased by 7.48%. The article also details recent insider trading sales, institutional investor activity, congressional stock trading, and analyst ratings with price targets for $UNM.

https://www.quiverquant.com/news/UNUM+GROUP+%28%24UNM%29+Releases+Q4+2025+Earnings

Unum: Q4 Earnings Snapshot

Unum Group (UNM) reported fourth-quarter profit of $174.1 million, or $1.04 per share, with adjusted earnings of $1.92 per share. These results did not meet Wall Street expectations. The company's revenue of $3.24 billion also fell short of analyst forecasts.

https://www.kens5.com/article/syndication/associatedpress/unum-q4-earnings-snapshot/616-98162aeb-ab65-48a3-934a-c47e2828a5cc

Unum Group (NYSE:UNM) Announces Q4 CY2025 Earnings With Revenue Falling Short of Analyst Expectations, Shares Decline

Unum Group (NYSE: UNM) reported disappointing Q4 2025 earnings, with revenue unchanged year-over-year at $3.24 billion, missing analyst expectations. GAAP EPS was $1.04, nearly half of what was anticipated, leading to a 7.5% drop in stock price. Despite the shortfalls, the company's CEO highlighted the execution of its strategy, strengthening of its Closed Block, and significant capital return to shareholders in 2025.

https://www.bitget.com/amp/news/detail/12560605185572

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Unum Group Price History

30.03.2025 - UNM Stock was down 5.5%

• The bearish movement in UNM's stock price could be attributed to the company's Q1 earnings and revenue missing estimates by -6.85% and 1.05% respectively.
• Despite expectations of better performance at its operating segments in the first quarter, the actual results falling short of estimates may have disappointed investors, leading to the bearish market movement.
• Investors might be concerned about the company's future outlook and growth potential, given the earnings miss in a period where positive performance was anticipated.

06.10.2024 - UNM Stock was up 8.7%

• UNM stock has demonstrated market outperformance over the last 5 years, with an impressive average annual return of 16.68%.
• The stock's strong performance can be linked to its steady growth and capacity to provide value to investors.
• Investor confidence in UNM's market position and growth potential appears to be driving the stock's bullish trend today.

04.10.2025 - UNM Stock was up 5.8%

• UNM stock saw a rise today after surpassing revenue expectations in the third quarter, indicating a promising growth path.
• Expectations of UNM performing well in the insurance sector during the earnings season boosted investor confidence and drove the stock price up.
• The company's strong segment performance, increased premiums, and consistent investment income growth were significant factors in enhancing investor sentiment and causing the stock to surge.
• Despite falling slightly short of earnings estimates, the positive outlook for UNM's financial performance and its strategic market position overshadowed any short-term worries, driving the stock's upward trend.

04.10.2025 - UNM Stock was up 7.2%

• UNM stock experienced a bullish movement today despite missing Q3 earnings estimates.
• The rise in revenues year over year, solid performance at Colonial Life, and favorable persistency in the Unum U.K. segment likely contributed to the positive market sentiment.
• Investors may have been encouraged by the company's gains from higher premiums, solid segment performance, and steady investment income growth.
• Despite the earnings miss, the overall positive outlook for the insurance sector and expectations of outperforming estimates in the third quarter could have boosted investor confidence in UNM's future performance.

06.01.2026 - UNM Stock was down 5.1%

• After revealing its Q4 2025 earnings, UNM witnessed a significant downward trend in its stock value. The earnings fell short of both earnings per share and revenue expectations, resulting in a 7.48% decrease in stock price.
• Despite the unsatisfactory earnings report, market analysis indicates that the stock is undervalued, with an estimated fair value of $95.62. This valuation suggests potential growth based on its future cash flow prospects and robust capital generation.
• The company's subpar earnings and revenue performance can be linked to ongoing challenges in underwriting, margin compression, and lower-than-anticipated benefit ratios, underscoring the obstacles facing its core operations.
• While UNM's solid capital position enables it to engage in share buybacks and dividends, it is imperative for the company to effectively manage benefit ratios and tackle underwriting issues to fully unlock its capabilities and enhance its stock performance.

30.06.2025 - UNM Stock was down 11.6%

• The stock's bearish movement can be attributed to the company's Q2 earnings missing estimates by 7.17%, indicating potential challenges in its financial performance.
• Despite expectations of favorable persistency and improved sales in operating segments, the market may have reacted negatively to the actual earnings results, leading to the bearish trend.
• Investors might be concerned about the company's ability to sustain growth and profitability, given the earnings miss and the need for further clarity on future outlook.

05.01.2026 - UNM Stock was down 1.1%

• The current bearish movement in UNM stock could stem from the company missing recent quarterly EPS estimates, causing concern among investors regarding its financial performance.
• Despite analysts holding a "Moderate Buy" rating and setting a target price of $97.08, the selling of shares by Bank of New York Mellon Corp and overall institutional activity may have intensified selling pressure on the stock.
• The anticipation surrounding the earnings release on February 5, 2026, and the focus on Unum Group's 2026 outlook have likely heightened uncertainty and volatility in the stock, contributing to the bearish trend.
• An increase in stake by Allianz Asset Management GmbH may signify long-term confidence in UNM; however, short-term market reactions to missed EPS estimates and insider sales have overshadowed this positive development, further fueling the bearish trend.

08.00.2025 - UNM Stock was down 2.0%

• UNM stock, which had a recent rally of 46% in the past 6 months, experienced a bearish movement.
• The bearish trend could be related to overall market sentiment influenced by a negative outlook on Apple (AAPL) by a top analyst.
• Investors might be reacting to broader market conditions and analyst downgrades, leading to a sell-off in UNM shares.
• Despite positive performance indicators of UNM, external factors such as analyst sentiment on other companies like Apple could have overshadowed the stock's recent successes.

29.00.2025 - UNM Stock was up 1.7%

• UNM stock exhibited significant bullish momentum.
• High expectations are in place for earnings growth in UNM.
• The positive outlook for earnings may have motivated investors to purchase UNM shares, influencing the bullish market trend.
• Optimism among investors regarding UNM's future performance is bolstering the upward trajectory of the stock price.

30.06.2025 - UNM Stock was down 10.1%

• UNM stock experienced a bearish movement today due to the Q2 earnings missing estimates by 7.2%, coupled with a 4.2% decrease in income.
• Despite revenue rising on higher premiums and investments, the market reacted negatively to the earnings miss.
• Investors may have been disappointed by the earnings miss and are likely cautious about the company's future performance, as indicated by the negative surprises in earnings and revenue for the quarter.
• The market sentiment towards UNM could improve if the company can demonstrate stronger financial performance and provide optimistic guidance for future quarters.

16.00.2026 - UNM Stock was down 5.7%

• The bearish movement in UNM stock today could be attributed to profit-taking by investors after the recent announcement of a quarterly dividend of $0.46 per share.
• Despite the positive news of the dividend declaration and the company's strong financial health, some investors may have been expecting a higher dividend payout or were disappointed by the lack of other significant announcements.
• The market may also be reacting to broader economic factors or sector-specific trends impacting insurance and financial services companies, leading to a temporary downturn in UNM stock price.
• Overall, while the dividend declaration reflects Unum Group's commitment to rewarding shareholders, market sentiment and external factors likely influenced the bearish movement observed today.

04.02.2025 - UNM Stock was down 5.3%

• UNM made a strategic choice to reinsure its long-term care reserves and transfer some individual disability insurance business to Fortitude Re.
• This decision suggests UNM's aim to concentrate resources on more profitable core operations, which could result in short-term uncertainty and selling pressure on the stock.
• Investors are interpreting this strategy shift as a factor contributing to the bearish sentiment surrounding UNM, as they evaluate its potential impact on future earnings and growth prospects.