Valero Energy Corporation ($VLO) Stock Forecast: Up 5.1% Today

What is Valero Energy Corporation?

Valero Energy Corp. (VLO) is a leading global manufacturer and marketer of transportation fuels and other petrochemical products. Today, the stock had a strong bullish movement, surging by 6.46% to reach an intraday high of USD 231.23.

Why is Valero Energy Corporation going up?

VLO stock is up 5.1% on Mar 12, 2026 15:50

• Valero Energy Corp. (VLO) experienced a significant surge in stock price, likely driven by positive market sentiment and strong financial health indicators.
• The surge in crude oil prices also contributed to the bullish movement of VLO, possibly influenced by external factors.
• Institutional investors increasing their stakes in energy companies could have further boosted investor confidence in the energy sector.
• The removal of Valero Energy (VLO) from a notable investment list may have initially raised concerns, but the stock's impressive performance today likely reassured investors about its growth potential.

VLO Price Chart

VLO Technical Analysis

VLO News

Valero Energy Corp. Hits Day High with 6.46% Surge in Stock Price

Valero Energy Corp. experienced a significant 6.46% surge in its stock price today, reaching an intraday high of USD 231.23, and has shown remarkable year-over-year growth of 87.8%. The company demonstrates strong financial health with high return on capital employed, a solid EBIT to interest ratio, a healthy dividend yield, and a low debt-to-equity ratio, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 across various periods.

https://www.marketsmojo.com/news/stocks-in-action/valero-energy-corp-hits-day-high-with-646-surge-in-stock-price-3887340

Marathon Petroleum Corporation $MPC Shares Acquired by Russell Investments Group Ltd.

Russell Investments Group Ltd. increased its stake in Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) by 14.9% in the third quarter, bringing its total holdings to 244,209 shares valued at $47.1 million. Other institutional investors like Vanguard Group, Geode Capital Management, and Norges Bank also significantly increased their positions, leading to institutional ownership of approximately 76.77%. Marathon Petroleum recently exceeded earnings expectations, reporting an EPS of $4.07 against an estimated $3.73, and maintains an average price target of $202.50 from analysts.

https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/filing-marathon-petroleum-corporation-mpc-shares-acquired-by-russell-investments-group-ltd-2026-03-12/

Marathon Petroleum (MPC): A Deep-Dive into the Refining Giant’s “Cash Flow Machine”

Marathon Petroleum (MPC) experienced a significant surge in stock price due to a spike in crude oil prices, highlighting its transformation into a disciplined cash-flow machine. The article details MPC's business model, stock performance, and financial strategy, emphasizing its capital return to shareholders and its growing renewable fuels footprint. Despite operating in a volatile market, MPC's strategic moves, like the sale of Speedway and expansion of MPLX, have solidified its position as a dominant player in the energy sector.

https://markets.financialcontent.com/stocks/article/finterra-2026-3-12-marathon-petroleum-mpc-a-deep-dive-into-the-refining-giants-cash-flow-machine

Robert Kiyosaki Says India's Reliance Could Be Key To Trump's Venezuela Oil Strategy: 'Not A Coincidence'

Robert Kiyosaki suggests India's Reliance Industries' involvement in a new $300 billion Texas oil refinery, hailed by Donald Trump, is a "calculated positioning" related to Venezuela's oil. He notes Reliance's existing expertise in processing heavy Venezuelan crude and its ability to fill a void after China lost access to the country's oil. The Texas refinery, designed for American light shale, aligns with efforts to boost domestic energy and expand access to Venezuela's heavy crude for U.S. oil majors, amid rising global oil prices.

https://www.benzinga.com/markets/commodities/26/03/51205674/robert-kiyosaki-says-indias-reliance-could-be-key-to-trumps-venezuela-oil-strategy-not-a-coincidence

COP, LOAR added to Goldman's US conviction list; HII, MSGE, VLO removed

Goldman Sachs has updated its US conviction list, adding ConocoPhillips (COP) and Loar Holdings (LOAR). Conversely, Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII), Madison Square Garden Entertainment (MSGE), and Valero Energy (VLO) have been removed from the list. This indicates a shift in Goldman's high-conviction investment recommendations.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/cop-loar-added-to-goldman-s-us-conviction-list-hii-msge-vlo-removed/ar-AA1XnWHd?ocid=finance-verthp-feeds

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Valero Energy Corporation Price History

30.00.2026 - VLO Stock was down 5.8%

• Despitesurpassing Q4 2025 earnings expectations and demonstrating strong operational performance, Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) experienced a bearish market movement.
• A reduction in stake by AE Wealth Management LLC and an increase in holdings by other institutional investors may have contributed to the downward pressure on VLO's stock.
• The announcement of Valero Energy purchasing Venezuelan crude from three sellers could have raised concerns among investors about the company's exposure to geopolitical risks and uncertainties associated with Venezuelan crude supply.
• Despite the positive financial performance and strategic progress highlighted in the earnings call, the decline in the renewable diesel segment's operating income might have also impacted investor sentiment, leading to the bearish movement in VLO's stock.

04.01.2026 - VLO Stock was up 7.0%

• Valero Energy (VLO) had a strong bullish movement today.
• The bullish movement could be attributed to positive sentiments from analysts, with a Buy rating on the company.
• Additionally, the success of another company in the energy sector in beating profit estimates and focusing on refining margins might have positively influenced Valero Energy's stock performance.
• The confirmation of another company's successful operation of its renewable diesel unit also reflects positively on the renewable energy sector, potentially boosting investor confidence in Valero Energy's biobased diesel operations.

04.01.2026 - VLO Stock was up 5.1%

• Valero Energy (VLO) received a Buy rating from analysts, reflecting positive sentiments towards the company's future performance and growth prospects.
• The bullish movement in VLO's stock price could be attributed to the overall positive sentiment in the energy sector, as evidenced by another company's strong quarterly profit results and focus on refining margins.
• The confirmation of a successful operation of its renewable diesel unit and the overall growth projections for the biofuels market could have also contributed to the bullish sentiment towards VLO, given its involvement in renewable diesel operations.
• Investors are likely optimistic about VLO's strategic positioning in the energy market, especially with a focus on sustainable practices and potential growth opportunities in the biofuels sector.

05.00.2026 - VLO Stock was down 2.0%

• Valero Energy Corp has a strong presence in the refined fuels sector, focusing on industrial-scale product ecosystems that include refineries, logistics, and low-carbon fuels. The company emphasizes efficiency, flexibility, and its position in the liquid fuels market.
• The recent decline in Valero Energy Corp's stock price is possibly influenced by the uptick in stock prices of major U.S. oil companies such as Chevron, Exxon, and ConocoPhillips, driven by recent political developments in Venezuela. This shift in investor attention may have diverted focus away from Valero.
• Concerns about Valero's competitive stance and market share in the evolving oil industry landscape may have arisen due to potential asset recoveries in Venezuela and heightened investment intentions by U.S. oil companies in the region.
• The market's perception of Valero's relatively muted approach to the energy transition compared to other oil companies, who are expected to benefit more directly from the Venezuela developments, could be contributing to the bearish sentiment surrounding VLO stock today.

06.01.2026 - VLO Stock was up 5.4%

• VLO shares fell by 2.77% amidst a bearish market.
• Market sentiment may have been influenced by potential strike preparations at a refinery and unsuccessful union negotiations.
• Despite an "hold" rating upgrade by Argus and positive quarterly earnings, overall industry uncertainties weighed on stock price.
• Concerns over labor disputes and market instability likely contributed to today's bearish trend in VLO stock performance.

29.00.2026 - VLO Stock was up 0.7%

• Valero Energy's decision to purchase Venezuelan crude from three sellers signals a strategic move to enhance its heavy crude supply, which is expected to positively impact its refining operations and profitability.
• The increased capacity to process Venezuelan crude exceeding 240,000 barrels per day aligns with Valero's focus on feedstock flexibility and operational efficiency, positioning the company for growth in the energy market.
• This bullish market movement for Valero Energy could be attributed to the company's strong financial performance in the fourth quarter of 2025, with a notable increase in net income and a 6 percent rise in quarterly cash dividend, reflecting its commitment to shareholder returns and operational excellence.

03.01.2026 - VLO Stock was up 5.0%

• Valero Energy Corporation reported better-than-expected Q4 2025 financial results, with an EPS of $3.82 and revenue of $30.37 billion, surpassing estimates. Despite this, the stock initially dipped by 1.41% in pre-market trading.
• The record-high ethanol production and profitable fourth quarter for its biobased diesel segment showcase Valero's success in renewable energy and biofuels, aligning with market trends towards sustainability.
• The bullish sentiment towards General Motors in the options market and Phillips 66's capacity to process Venezuelan crude may have positively influenced investor confidence in Valero, contributing to its strong bullish movement today.

05.02.2026 - VLO Stock was up 5.7%

• Valero Energy Corp (VLO) stock surged by 3.34% on March 4th, driven by several factors:
• Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East led to higher crude oil prices and wider crack spreads, benefiting VLO's refining operations.
• Strong global demand for refined products and the company's strategic position in low-carbon fuels contributed to the positive market sentiment.
• The recent dividend increase and overall positive analyst sentiment further supported the stock's bullish movement.
• VLO's consistent outperformance compared to the S&P 500 Index over the past year, with a 69.6% surge, is attributed to strong refining margins, geopolitical factors favoring U.S. refiners, and a track record of delivering shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks.
• The company's history of consistently beating earnings per share (EPS) and revenue estimates, with significant average beats, reflects strong operational performance and investor confidence in VLO's strategic advantages.

12.02.2026 - VLO Stock was up 5.1%

• Valero Energy Corp. (VLO) experienced a significant surge in stock price, likely driven by positive market sentiment and strong financial health indicators.
• The surge in crude oil prices also contributed to the bullish movement of VLO, possibly influenced by external factors.
• Institutional investors increasing their stakes in energy companies could have further boosted investor confidence in the energy sector.
• The removal of Valero Energy (VLO) from a notable investment list may have initially raised concerns, but the stock's impressive performance today likely reassured investors about its growth potential.

11.02.2026 - VLO Stock was up 5.4%

• Valero Energy (VLO) stock surged due to favorable oil prices and strong refining margins, driven by widened crack spreads and access to discounted Venezuelan heavy crude.
• Institutional investors increasing their stakes in VLO indicate confidence in the company's operational excellence and favorable market conditions.
• Despite challenges faced by other companies like SLB and FSLR, Valero Energy's bullish movement reflects the market's current preference for traditional energy over renewables.
• The company's strong financial performance in Q4 2025 and the absence of negative news in the 8-K SEC filing contributed to the positive sentiment surrounding VLO.

30.00.2026 - VLO Stock was down 5.4%

• Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) experienced a bearish market movement today, possibly influenced by the following factors:
• The potential shifts in Venezuelan crude flows to the Gulf Coast highlighted could impact refining economics, leading to pressure on refining margins and earnings for Valero.
• Despite surpassing expectations in its Q4 2025 earnings call with strong operational performance and increased dividends, the ongoing policy uncertainties for renewable diesel and ethanol might have raised concerns among investors.
• The reduction in stake by AE Wealth Management LLC and the decline in the renewable diesel segment's operating income could have contributed to the negative sentiment surrounding Valero's stock today.
• Overall, the combination of external market dynamics and internal strategic developments may have led to the bearish movement in Valero Energy Corporation's stock.

29.11.2025 - VLO Stock was up 0.8%

• Valero Energy (VLO) stock surged as the S&P 500 approached record highs, indicating positive market sentiment and investor confidence in the company's operations.
• Despite concerns over a global supply glut affecting crude oil prices, Valero's refining operations and focus on factors like crack spreads and demand for refined products have likely contributed to its bullish performance.
• Investors are advised to keep an eye on upcoming company milestones, broader market drivers, and factors influencing the demand for renewable fuels to gauge Valero's future performance in the market.