Valero Energy Corporation ($VLO) Stock Forecast: Down 2.1% Today

What is Valero Energy Corporation?

Valero Energy Corporation (NYSE: VLO) is a leading global manufacturer and marketer of transportation fuels and other petrochemical products. The company operates through its various segments, including refining, ethanol, and renewable diesel ventures.

Why is Valero Energy Corporation going down?

VLO stock is down 2.1% on May 1, 2026 14:40

• Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) faced a decline in the market despite strong Q1 2026 earnings and surpassing analyst expectations.
• Investors engaged in profit-taking after the positive earnings news, resulting in a temporary decrease in the stock price.
• An analyst upgrading Phillips 66 (NYSE: PSX) to a "strong-buy" rating may have shifted some focus away from Valero and influenced its stock performance.
• An incident at Valero's Port Arthur refinery may have sparked investor concerns, impacting the stock's movement despite favorable financial outcomes.

VLO Price Chart

VLO Technical Analysis

VLO News

Valero Energy Corporation (NYSE:VLO) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Valero Energy Corporation (NYSE: VLO) reported strong Q1 2026 earnings, exceeding expectations with an EPS of $4.22. The company's refining system optimized well despite commodity market disruptions, particularly benefiting from wider crude differentials and strong demand for transportation fuels. Valero maintained a strong balance sheet, returned $938 million to shareholders, and continued progress on the FCC unit optimization project at its St. Charles refinery while also addressing the impact of an incident at its Port Arthur refinery.

https://www.insidermonkey.com/blog/valero-energy-corporation-nysevlo-q1-2026-earnings-call-transcript-1752181/

Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) Rating Increased to Strong-Buy at Tudor Pickering

Tudor Pickering upgraded Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) from a "hold" to a "strong-buy" rating, contributing to a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating with an average price target of $183.17. The company reported a surprise profit of $0.49 EPS against an expected ($0.54) in Q1, driven by strong refining margins, with its revenue up 6.9% year-over-year. Despite insider stock sales totaling $16.4 million and volatility from derivative losses, the company is targeting debt reduction to $17 billion by year-end 2027.

https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/phillips-66-nysepsx-rating-increased-to-strong-buy-at-tudor-pickering-2026-05-01/

Valero reports improved Q1 earnings for ethanol, DGD joint venture

Valero announced improved first-quarter earnings for its ethanol and Diamond Green Diesel (DGD) joint venture operations. This positive financial update for the company's Q1 performance in these sectors was reported by Erin Krueger on April 30, 2026. The article suggests a strong start to the year for Valero's biofuel ventures.

https://ethanolproducer.com/articles/valero-reports-improved-q1-earnings-for-ethanol-dgd-joint-venture

Valero Energy (NYSE:VLO) Releases Quarterly Earnings Results, Beats Estimates By $1.52 EPS

Valero Energy (NYSE:VLO) reported strong quarterly earnings, beating analyst estimates by $1.52 EPS with reported earnings of $4.22 per share against a consensus of $2.70. The company's revenue was $32.38 billion, surpassing expectations and increasing 7.0% year-over-year. This positive performance was attributed to higher refining and renewable diesel margins, a flexible Gulf Coast slate, and a strong financial position, leading to increased price targets from several brokerages.

https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/valero-energy-nysevlo-releases-quarterly-earnings-results-beats-estimates-by-152-eps-2026-04-30/

Valero reports improved Q1 earnings for ethanol, DGD joint venture

Valero announced improved first-quarter earnings for its ethanol segment and its Diamond Green Diesel (DGD) joint venture. This positive performance reflects growth in these key areas for the company.

https://biodieselmagazine.com/articles/valero-reports-improved-q1-earnings-for-ethanol-dgd-joint-venture

Trending Today

Twilio Inc. Class A ($TWLO) Stock Forecast: Up 5.1% Today

Circle Internet Group ($CRCL) Stock Forecast: Up 5.1% Today

Waters Corporation ($WAT) Stock Forecast: Up 11.4% Today

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ($ADM) Stock Forecast: Up 7.2% Today

Rockwell Automation Inc. ($ROK) Stock Forecast: Up 6.7% Today

PayPal Holdings Inc. ($PYPL) Stock Forecast: Down 12.0% Today

Cloudflare Inc. ($NET) Stock Forecast: Up 6.6% Today

Corning Incorporated ($GLW) Stock Forecast: Up 5.5% Today

Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA Sponsored ADR (Belgium) ($BUD) Stock Forecast: Up 7.4% Today

Eaton Corporation PLC ($ETN) Stock Forecast: Down 8.2% Today

Valero Energy Corporation Price History

07.03.2026 - VLO Stock was up 5.0%

• Phillips 66 (PSX) has demonstrated notable performance with robust share price gains, reflecting positive sentiment within the energy sector.
• The hedging losses incurred by Phillips 66 from commodity price surges could have affected investor confidence in the energy industry, prompting a shift in attention towards other energy companies such as Valero Energy.
• Recent increases in price targets for Valero Energy by analysts, notably BMO Capital's substantial raise to $270, may have initiated a bullish trend as investors look ahead to the company's future growth and profitability.
• Concerns highlighted by JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon regarding the potential impact of the Iran war on the economy might have influenced investors to turn to companies like Valero Energy, recognized for its resilience amidst volatile market conditions.

10.03.2026 - VLO Stock was down 5.8%

• Valero Energy Corp. (VLO) stock underperformed compared to its competitors, falling 1.89% on a day when the broader market was positive, indicating company-specific challenges.
• The stock hit a day low at $231.93, experiencing a 4.71% drop, which could be attributed to factors such as market sentiment, industry-specific news, or internal company developments.
• Despite the intraday decline and recent losses, Valero Energy Corp. has shown significant long-term growth, suggesting that today's bearish movement may be a temporary setback rather than a long-term trend.
• News surrounding other energy companies making strategic investments and beating earnings expectations could have influenced market sentiment towards Valero Energy Corp., leading to its underperformance.

08.03.2026 - VLO Stock was down 5.7%

• Analysts raised their price targets for Valero Energy, suggesting a positive outlook. However, the stock price surpassed these new targets, leading to profit-taking.
• VLO's outperformance compared to the broader market and competitors attracted investors seeking to capitalize on recent gains but may have triggered a sell-off once profit targets were achieved.
• The surge in Phillips 66 (PSX) stock price and the company's hedging losses due to geopolitical tensions in energy markets could have impacted the energy sector, possibly creating uncertainty and bearish sentiment for Valero Energy.

08.03.2026 - VLO Stock was down 5.5%

• Despite recent positive performance, with three consecutive days of gains and outperforming competitors, Valero Energy Corp. saw a significant decline today.
• The company's price target was raised, but the market may have already factored in this news, potentially leading to overvaluation and subsequent bearish movement.
• Geopolitical tensions impacting energy markets, as reflected in another company's expected loss, could have influenced the industry, contributing to the bearish movement in Valero Energy Corp.'s stock.
• Investors might be reconsidering the company's position given market volatility and potential future challenges, resulting in profit-taking and the observed bearish movement.

02.03.2026 - VLO Stock was up 5.0%

• Despite a recent drop in stock price, technical analysis and stock price forecasts are indicating a "Buy" sentiment for VLO, with various indicators pointing towards a bullish trend.
• The appointment of a new CEO at a major energy company, with a focus on simplifying and strengthening the company, could have positively impacted the overall sentiment in the energy sector, benefiting companies like Valero Energy Corp.
• Higher oil prices due to geopolitical tensions have provided financial relief to oil companies, potentially boosting investor confidence in VLO and similar energy stocks.
• While there were warnings about historical valuations, the market seems to be focusing more on the positive technical indicators and industry trends, driving the bullish movement in Valero Energy Corp's stock today.

01.04.2026 - VLO Stock was down 2.1%

• Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) faced a decline in the market despite strong Q1 2026 earnings and surpassing analyst expectations.
• Investors engaged in profit-taking after the positive earnings news, resulting in a temporary decrease in the stock price.
• An analyst upgrading Phillips 66 (NYSE: PSX) to a "strong-buy" rating may have shifted some focus away from Valero and influenced its stock performance.
• An incident at Valero's Port Arthur refinery may have sparked investor concerns, impacting the stock's movement despite favorable financial outcomes.

26.02.2026 - VLO Stock was up 5.0%

• The bullish movement in VLO's stock price can be attributed to the company preparing to restart its Port Arthur refinery after an explosion and fire incident, signaling progress towards resuming operations and meeting refining demands.
• Strong refining margins stemming from global supply disruptions are also likely a factor in the positive market sentiment towards Valero Energy Corp.
• The upgrade of Nucor (NUE) by UBS to a Buy rating and the positive outlook on the company's performance may have bolstered investor confidence in the broader energy and industrial sectors, indirectly benefiting VLO.
• Institutional investors increasing their stakes in Phillips 66 (PSX) and Chevron Corporation (CVX) reflect a growing interest in the energy sector, potentially benefiting companies like Valero Energy Corp.

01.03.2026 - VLO Stock was down 5.1%

• The bearish movement in VLO stock today could be attributed to concerns about potential new oil regulations in California, which may impact the energy infrastructure and lead to economic challenges for refineries like Valero Energy Corporation.
• Regulatory uncertainties in California might have triggered selling pressure on VLO shares, causing the bearish market movement.
• Investors might be cautious about the future prospects of oil companies like Valero Energy Corporation amidst ongoing debates around oil regulations and their potential impact on profitability.
• The overall market sentiment towards oil stocks could have been influenced by positive performances of cybersecurity and energy companies like Palo Alto Networks, Halliburton, and EOG Resources, diverting attention and investment away from traditional oil companies like VLO.

17.03.2026 - VLO Stock was down 8.7%

• Valero Energy's stock saw a strong bearish movement despite outperforming competitors and the broader market recently, indicating a potential shift in investor sentiment.
• The partial restart of the Port Arthur Refinery in Texas after an explosion incident may have raised concerns about operational disruptions and potential impact on production and earnings.
• The ongoing energy crisis and fluctuating oil prices, with some energy companies trading at significant discounts, could have added pressure on Valero Energy's stock as investors weigh the uncertainty in the sector.
• The insider selling activity by First Mid Bancshares' EVP and increased institutional holdings may have also influenced market sentiment towards Valero Energy, contributing to the bearish movement.

17.03.2026 - VLO Stock was down 7.2%

• Today, Valero Energy Corp. (VLO) saw strong bearish movement in the market, possibly due to the following factors:
• The partial restart of the Port Arthur Refinery in Texas following an explosion incident on March 23 may have raised concerns about operational disruptions and potential delays in production, negatively impacting investor sentiment.
• Ongoing repairs on the larger crude distillation unit (AVU-146) at the refinery, a significant part of the U.S. Gulf Coast's crude oil refining capacity, could have affected market confidence in Valero's short-term production capabilities.
• Despite outperforming competitors in a previous strong trading day, uncertainties in the broader energy sector, as shown by valuation gaps and shifts towards renewables by other companies, might have prompted investors to take a more cautious approach towards Valero's stock.
• In conclusion, today's bearish movement in Valero Energy Corp.'s stock may be linked to concerns over refinery operations, repair delays, and broader industry dynamics influencing investor sentiment towards the company's short-term performance.

12.02.2026 - VLO Stock was up 5.1%

• Valero Energy Corp. (VLO) experienced a significant surge in stock price, likely driven by positive market sentiment and strong financial health indicators.
• The surge in crude oil prices also contributed to the bullish movement of VLO, possibly influenced by external factors.
• Institutional investors increasing their stakes in energy companies could have further boosted investor confidence in the energy sector.
• The removal of Valero Energy (VLO) from a notable investment list may have initially raised concerns, but the stock's impressive performance today likely reassured investors about its growth potential.

29.03.2026 - VLO Stock was up 5.0%

• Valero Energy stock rose 3.8% as refining margins remained elevated, possibly due to Middle East supply disruptions and higher energy prices, boosting profitability.
• Traders are positioning themselves ahead of Valero's upcoming quarterly earnings report, showing confidence in the company's ability to manage operational disruptions, such as a recent refinery incident.
• The positive performance of peer company Phillips 66, which reported a surprise profit driven by strong refining margins, also likely contributed to the bullish sentiment surrounding Valero.
• Despite a reduction in stake by the State of Michigan Retirement System, institutional ownership remains high, and Wall Street analysts maintain a positive outlook on the stock, with a consensus target price close to its recent trading level, indicating continued investor confidence in the company's future prospects.