Valero Energy Corporation ($VLO) Stock Forecast: Down 5.4% Today

What is Valero Energy Corporation?

Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) is a leading global manufacturer and marketer of transportation fuels and other petrochemical products. The company operates through its Refining, Ethanol, and Renewable Diesel segments, with a focus on operational excellence and strategic growth in the energy sector.

Why is Valero Energy Corporation going down?

VLO stock is down 5.4% on Jan 30, 2026 19:35

• Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) experienced a bearish market movement today, possibly influenced by the following factors:
• The potential shifts in Venezuelan crude flows to the Gulf Coast highlighted could impact refining economics, leading to pressure on refining margins and earnings for Valero.
• Despite surpassing expectations in its Q4 2025 earnings call with strong operational performance and increased dividends, the ongoing policy uncertainties for renewable diesel and ethanol might have raised concerns among investors.
• The reduction in stake by AE Wealth Management LLC and the decline in the renewable diesel segment's operating income could have contributed to the negative sentiment surrounding Valero's stock today.
• Overall, the combination of external market dynamics and internal strategic developments may have led to the bearish movement in Valero Energy Corporation's stock.

VLO Price Chart

VLO Technical Analysis

VLO News

How Investors May Respond To Par Pacific Holdings (PARR) Facing Venezuela-Driven Shifts In Refining Economics

Par Pacific Holdings (PARR) is under increased scrutiny after Piper Sandler highlighted how potential shifts in Venezuelan crude flows to the Gulf Coast could impact refining economics. This could pressure refining margins and earnings for Par Pacific, influencing its investment narrative which relies on converting a complex refining footprint and high debt into cash generation. While the immediate impact is seen more as a sentiment issue, the company's future operating context will be shaped by these evolving crude supply patterns.

https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/energy/nyse-parr/par-pacific-holdings/news/how-investors-may-respond-to-par-pacific-holdings-parr-facin

Valero Energy Corporation (NYSE:VLO) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Valero Energy Corporation announced its Q4 2025 earnings, surpassing expectations with an EPS of $3.82. The company highlighted record refining throughput and ethanol production, emphasizing strong operational performance and a disciplined capital allocation framework including increased dividends and share repurchases. Discussion also covered market dynamics like West Coast refining, Venezuelan crude impacts, and the ongoing policy uncertainties for renewable diesel and ethanol, with Valero poised to benefit from favorable conditions.

https://www.insidermonkey.com/blog/valero-energy-corporation-nysevlo-q4-2025-earnings-call-transcript-1685235/

AE Wealth Management LLC Sells 17,485 Shares of Valero Energy Corporation $VLO

AE Wealth Management LLC reduced its stake in Valero Energy Corporation by 10.9% in the third quarter, selling 17,485 shares. Other institutional investors like DSG Capital Advisors LLC and Private Trust Co. NA increased their holdings. Valero Energy also announced a quarterly dividend increase to $1.20 per share, reflecting a 2.6% yield.

https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/filing-ae-wealth-management-llc-sells-17485-shares-of-valero-energy-corporation-vlo-2026-01-30/

Deckers Outdoor Corp (NYSE:DECK) Surges on Strong Q3 Earnings and Raised Guidance

Deckers Outdoor Corp (NYSE:DECK) reported strong Q3 2026 earnings, surpassing analyst expectations with net sales of $1.96 billion and diluted EPS of $3.33, driven by significant growth in its HOKA brand. The company also raised its full-year guidance for net sales to $5.40-$5.43 billion and diluted EPS to $6.80-$6.85, along with aggressive share repurchases. Investors reacted positively, with shares surging over 13% after the announcement.

https://www.chartmill.com/news/DECK/Chartmill-40718-Deckers-Outdoor-Corp-NYSEDECK-Surges-on-Strong-Q3-Earnings-and-Raised-Guidance

Valero Energy Corp (VLO) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Financial Performance Amid Strategic Progress

Valero Energy Corp (VLO) reported strong Q4 2025 financial results, including significant net income growth and strategic advancements in its refining and renewable segments, despite a decline in the renewable diesel segment's operating income. The company achieved record safety and environmental performance and maintained a strong balance sheet. Future outlook includes expectations for demand to outpace supply in light products and continued shareholder returns through share repurchases.

https://www.gurufocus.com/news/8564336/valero-energy-corp-vlo-q4-2025-earnings-call-highlights-strong-financial-performance-amid-strategic-progress

Trending Today

XRP ($XRP) Crypto Forecast: Down 5.1% Today

Datadog Inc. ($DDOG) Stock Forecast: Down 8.8% Today

Workday Inc. ($WDAY) Stock Forecast: Down 8.9% Today

Transdigm Group Incorporated Inc. ($TDG) Stock Forecast: Down 9.4% Today

Intercontinental Exchange Inc. ($ICE) Stock Forecast: Down 5.3% Today

Crowdstrike Holdings Inc. ($CRWD) Stock Forecast: Down 5.1% Today

Bitcoin ($BTC) Crypto Forecast: Down 5.1% Today

Chegg Inc. ($CHGG) Stock Forecast: Down 6.4% Today

ConAgra Brands Inc. ($CAG) Stock Forecast: Up 5.1% Today

Nasdaq Inc. ($NDAQ) Stock Forecast: Down 9.7% Today

Valero Energy Corporation Price History

30.00.2026 - VLO Stock was down 5.8%

• Despitesurpassing Q4 2025 earnings expectations and demonstrating strong operational performance, Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) experienced a bearish market movement.
• A reduction in stake by AE Wealth Management LLC and an increase in holdings by other institutional investors may have contributed to the downward pressure on VLO's stock.
• The announcement of Valero Energy purchasing Venezuelan crude from three sellers could have raised concerns among investors about the company's exposure to geopolitical risks and uncertainties associated with Venezuelan crude supply.
• Despite the positive financial performance and strategic progress highlighted in the earnings call, the decline in the renewable diesel segment's operating income might have also impacted investor sentiment, leading to the bearish movement in VLO's stock.

04.05.2025 - VLO Stock was down 3.3%

• Valero Energy (VLO) showed a bearish movement during the latest trading session, lagging behind the wider market trends.
• The slight decline in VLO's stock value may be linked to general market fluctuations or challenges specific to the energy industry.
• Investors appear to be responding to particular events or uncertainties affecting Valero Energy's business operations and future outlook.
• It is important for traders to vigilantly monitor any industry developments that could impact VLO's stock performance in the short term.

09.03.2025 - VLO Stock was down 5.0%

• Valero Energy (VLO) experienced a bearish movement of -1.4% in its stock price today.
• The options frenzy with investors taking a bearish position on VLO might have contributed to the downward pressure on the stock.
• The positive sentiment towards Phillips 66 (PSX) and its diversified business model in midstream, renewables, and chemicals could have diverted some investor interest away from Valero Energy.
• Despite the overall market rising, Valero Energy's stock slid by -0.09%, indicating specific company-related factors influencing its performance negatively.

05.00.2026 - VLO Stock was down 2.0%

• Valero Energy Corp has a strong presence in the refined fuels sector, focusing on industrial-scale product ecosystems that include refineries, logistics, and low-carbon fuels. The company emphasizes efficiency, flexibility, and its position in the liquid fuels market.
• The recent decline in Valero Energy Corp's stock price is possibly influenced by the uptick in stock prices of major U.S. oil companies such as Chevron, Exxon, and ConocoPhillips, driven by recent political developments in Venezuela. This shift in investor attention may have diverted focus away from Valero.
• Concerns about Valero's competitive stance and market share in the evolving oil industry landscape may have arisen due to potential asset recoveries in Venezuela and heightened investment intentions by U.S. oil companies in the region.
• The market's perception of Valero's relatively muted approach to the energy transition compared to other oil companies, who are expected to benefit more directly from the Venezuela developments, could be contributing to the bearish sentiment surrounding VLO stock today.

04.03.2025 - VLO Stock was down 8.7%

• The bearish movement in Valero Energy's stock today may be due to profit-taking by investors following a recent uptrend.
• Despite the overall market rise, Valero Energy's stock declined slightly, possibly influenced by profit concerns or shifts in market sentiment.
• The discussion of Phillips 66's stable business model indirectly shed light on potential weaknesses or challenges in Valero Energy's operations, impacting investor confidence.
• The long-term outperformance of Valero Energy might not have sufficiently countered short-term market pressures, contributing to today's bearish movement.

29.00.2026 - VLO Stock was up 0.7%

• Valero Energy's decision to purchase Venezuelan crude from three sellers signals a strategic move to enhance its heavy crude supply, which is expected to positively impact its refining operations and profitability.
• The increased capacity to process Venezuelan crude exceeding 240,000 barrels per day aligns with Valero's focus on feedstock flexibility and operational efficiency, positioning the company for growth in the energy market.
• This bullish market movement for Valero Energy could be attributed to the company's strong financial performance in the fourth quarter of 2025, with a notable increase in net income and a 6 percent rise in quarterly cash dividend, reflecting its commitment to shareholder returns and operational excellence.

23.09.2025 - VLO Stock was up 7.9%

• Valero Energy (VLO) reported strong Q3 earnings and revenue, exceeding expectations by a significant margin, prompting a positive stock movement.
• While revenue is projected to dip slightly, the notable rise in year-over-year earnings reflects robust operational efficiency and cost controls.
• The optimistic earnings forecast for Valero Energy (VLO) has garnered investor interest, driving increased buying activity and pushing up the stock price.
• Overall, there is a sense of optimism in the market regarding Valero Energy's future prospects, buoyed by its strong financial performance and growth opportunities in the energy sector.

22.07.2025 - VLO Stock was up 3.9%

• Valero Energy has consistently outperformed the market over the past 5 years, showcasing its strong financial performance and market position.
• The average annual return of 20.1% indicates a robust growth trajectory for the company, attracting investors looking for stable returns.
• With a market capitalization of $42.50 billion, Valero Energy's solid financial standing and strategic market positioning likely contributed to the bullish movement observed today.

30.00.2026 - VLO Stock was down 5.4%

• Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) experienced a bearish market movement today, possibly influenced by the following factors:
• The potential shifts in Venezuelan crude flows to the Gulf Coast highlighted could impact refining economics, leading to pressure on refining margins and earnings for Valero.
• Despite surpassing expectations in its Q4 2025 earnings call with strong operational performance and increased dividends, the ongoing policy uncertainties for renewable diesel and ethanol might have raised concerns among investors.
• The reduction in stake by AE Wealth Management LLC and the decline in the renewable diesel segment's operating income could have contributed to the negative sentiment surrounding Valero's stock today.
• Overall, the combination of external market dynamics and internal strategic developments may have led to the bearish movement in Valero Energy Corporation's stock.

07.03.2025 - VLO Stock was up 5.2%

• Despite a recent decrease in Valero Energy's stock price, the company has shown strong performance, consistently outperforming the market by 6.37% annually over the past 5 years.
• Short-term fluctuations in the stock price may have been influenced by high levels of options trading and bearish investor positions, but Valero Energy's stable business approach centered on midstream, renewables, and chemicals is attracting long-term investors.
• It is advisable for retail traders to stay vigilant and well-informed about market trends, particularly with significant funds involved in bearish strategies, as indicated by options data analysis.
• The recent minor decline in Valero Energy's stock price during a period of overall market growth could represent a temporary adjustment or profit-taking by investors, offering a potential buying opportunity for those looking to initiate or expand their holdings in the company.

24.06.2025 - VLO Stock was down 4.6%

• Valero Energy exceeded earnings and revenue estimates for Q2 but faced significant downward pressure on its stock.
• Factors like high refinery utilization, improved crack spreads, and reduced input costs bolstered margins but were insufficient to counter negative market sentiment.
• Investors may have anticipated even stronger performance from the company, prompting profit-taking and a decline in the stock price.
• While Valero Energy delivered positive financial results, external factors or broader market conditions likely contributed to the stock's downward trend.

29.11.2025 - VLO Stock was up 0.8%

• Valero Energy (VLO) stock surged as the S&P 500 approached record highs, indicating positive market sentiment and investor confidence in the company's operations.
• Despite concerns over a global supply glut affecting crude oil prices, Valero's refining operations and focus on factors like crack spreads and demand for refined products have likely contributed to its bullish performance.
• Investors are advised to keep an eye on upcoming company milestones, broader market drivers, and factors influencing the demand for renewable fuels to gauge Valero's future performance in the market.