International Business Machines Corporation ($IBM) Stock Forecast: Down 12.4% Today

What is International Business Machines Corporation?

IBM, International Business Machines Corporation, is a multinational technology company known for its hardware, software, and cloud computing services. Today, the stock experienced a significant bearish movement in the market.

Why is International Business Machines Corporation going down?

IBM stock is down 12.4% on Feb 23, 2026 20:36

• IBM stock plummeted over 11% following the announcement of Anthropic's new AI COBOL capabilities, posing a threat to IBM's critical area of expertise in COBOL programming used in banking and administrative systems.
• Differing views of institutional investors on IBM stock, with some increasing holdings and others scaling back, contributed to mixed sentiment and potential sell-off pressure on the stock.
• Concerns about IBM's long-term cloud and AI transformation versus short-term momentum may have intensified the bearish movement in the stock.
• Overall, negative market sentiment towards IBM today could be attributed to the perceived threat from Anthropic's AI COBOL capabilities and uncertainty surrounding institutional investor sentiment and their differing views on the company's future prospects.

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IBM Stock Plummets On Anthropic’s New AI COBOL Threat

Shares of IBM plummeted over 11% after AI company Anthropic announced new COBOL capabilities for its Claude AI tool. Anthropic stated that Claude Code can automate COBOL modernization by analyzing code, documenting workflows, and identifying risks faster than human analysts, potentially shortening modernization efforts from years to quarters. COBOL, an English-like programming language, is a critical area for IBM, frequently used in banking and administrative systems.

https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/ibm-stock-plummets-on-anthropic-new-ai-cobol-threat/cZRMG8IR4yy

Institutional Investors Show Diverging Views on IBM Stock

Institutional investors are showing mixed signals regarding IBM stock, with some aggressively increasing their holdings while others are scaling back, even as the company reports strong Q4 earnings and advances in AI. Despite the varying investor sentiment, analysts largely maintain a "Moderate Buy" rating for IBM, projecting an average price target that implies a significant upside. The divergence is attributed to different investment horizons concerning IBM's long-term cloud and AI transformation versus short-term momentum.

https://www.ad-hoc-news.de/boerse/news/ueberblick/institutional-investors-show-diverging-views-on-ibm-stock/68605431

Corteva Is Up 13% Year to Date. Here’s How Much the Stock Could Rise in 2026

Corteva stock has risen 13% year-to-date, fueled by strong 2025 earnings, reaffirmed 2026 guidance, and a $610 million Bayer agreement indicating significant growth. Despite some institutional trimming, major holders like Vanguard maintain substantial positions, collectively owning 81.54% of the company. A valuation model projects a target price of $93, suggesting a 22% upside, driven by margin expansion, accelerated licensing, and robust free cash flow.

https://www.tikr.com/blog/corteva-is-up-13-year-to-date-heres-how-much-the-stock-could-rise-in-2026?

Here's Why Oracle Stock Slumped Today

Oracle's stock declined by 5.8% due to concerns surrounding its exposure to OpenAI and the difficulties OpenAI is experiencing in its funding rounds. The market is stressing Oracle's ability to fund its AI-related spending commitments, especially given its reliance on the loss-making OpenAI for future revenue. Recent reports about the stalled "Stargate" project, a joint venture involving Oracle and OpenAI, and a previous $300 billion deal adding pressure, further fueled investor uncertainty.

https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/markets/stocks/NVDA-Q/pressreleases/369044/here-s-why-oracle-stock-slumped-today/

National Security Quantum Demand Could Reshape IonQ Outlook

IonQ (IONQ) is seen as a major beneficiary of increased national security-led quantum adoption, shifting its market perception from a single-product company to one with broad applications across computing, networking, sensing, and security. Despite strong narrative potential, the company currently holds a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) due to weak style scores and high valuation expectations. The report emphasizes the importance of hardware readiness, supply chain control, and partnership expansion for IonQ to meet projected 2026 sales of $199 million and convert its platform breadth into commercial traction.

https://www.tradingview.com/news/zacks:3ad0ab57c094b:0-national-security-quantum-demand-could-reshape-ionq-outlook/

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International Business Machines Corporation Price History

11.01.2026 - IBM Stock was down 5.5%

• IBM stock faced a bearish movement despite reporting strong quarterly earnings and beating analyst estimates. This could be due to several institutional investors adjusting their positions, with some reducing their stakes in the company.
• The negative sentiment towards IBM might have been influenced by concerns around its former spinoff, mixed market reactions to its new FlashSystem portfolio with AI capabilities.
• While IBM continues to make advancements in AI-driven storage and cybersecurity, the market movement today could be a result of profit-taking by investors who had previously seen gains in the stock.
• The overall market trend towards digital sustainability solutions and ESG investments may have also played a role in shaping investor sentiment towards IBM, as companies increasingly focus on long-term sustainability and efficiency.

12.01.2026 - IBM Stock was down 7.3%

• IBM experienced a bearish movement likely due to profit-taking and market sentiment.
• Mitchell Capital Management Co. selling shares of United Rentals and Cibc World Market Inc. reducing their stake in Arista Networks may have signaled a broader trend of institutional investors adjusting their portfolios, impacting market confidence.
• The positive news surrounding Centuri Holdings securing new utility awards may have diverted investor attention away from IBM, leading to a shift in capital flow towards other opportunities.
• Overall, the bearish movement in IBM could be a result of a combination of profit-taking, institutional investor actions in related sectors, and shifting market focus towards more promising developments in other companies.

12.01.2026 - IBM Stock was down 7.2%

• IBM's decline may be linked to its recent announcement of acquiring Confluent for $11 billion. The acquisition is intended to boost IBM's AI capabilities, but investors seem wary of the high cost and the integration process.
• Market sentiment towards the tech sector appears to be influencing IBM's performance, with Globant SA also experiencing a 52-week low. Concerns among investors in the tech industry could be impacting IBM's stock.
• Furthermore, reports of institutional investors like Krilogy Financial LLC favoring investments in Arista Networks over IBM could be adding to the negative pressure on IBM's stock, suggesting a shift in investor confidence toward other tech firms.

12.01.2026 - IBM Stock was down 5.0%

• Datavault AI's "Death Cross" technical signal and IBM's collaboration news may have contributed to the bearish movement, creating uncertainty among investors.
• IBM's strategic acquisition of Confluent for $11 billion in cash could have raised concerns about the company's financial health and future growth prospects, leading to the bearish trend.
• The overall negative sentiment in the tech sector, as seen with Globant SA hitting a 52-week low, might have added to the downward pressure on IBM's stock price.
• The partnership between Nixxy and PayToMe.co, while not directly related to IBM, could have diverted investor attention and capital away from IBM, impacting its stock performance negatively.

29.00.2026 - IBM Stock was up 8.1%

• IBM's strong bullish movement can be attributed to its impressive Q4 2025 earnings report, where it surpassed analyst expectations with an EPS of $4.52 and reported a revenue of $19.69 billion, primarily driven by its generative AI business exceeding $12.5 billion.
• The reduction in stake by the New York State Common Retirement Fund may have initially raised concerns, but the overall positive sentiment was reinforced by the company's declaration of a quarterly dividend of $1.68 per share and the maintenance of a "Moderate Buy" rating by analysts with a consensus target price of $306.86.
• Institutional investors' confidence in IBM was further bolstered by its strategic positioning as a software-led hybrid cloud and AI platform company, leading to a 9.5% increase in the stock price today.
• While other companies like ON Semiconductor and Quanta Services saw mixed investor activity, IBM's robust financial performance and growth outlook showcased in the earnings call transcript contributed significantly to its bullish market movement.

29.00.2026 - IBM Stock was up 6.5%

• Moody's maintained IBM's A3 rating and changed its outlook to stable. This decision was influenced by strong operating performance and growth projections, fostering investor confidence.
• IBM, along with other major stocks such as Royal Caribbean Cruises, Lockheed Martin, and AT&T, performed well during a market decline due to surpassing quarterly expectations and offering optimistic future guidance.
• Bank of America reiterated a buy rating for IBM after an earnings beat, dividend declaration, and robust growth across segments, potentially enhancing the stock's upward trend.
• The general positive market sentiment, characterized by the S&P 500 trading higher amidst mixed corporate earnings, likely contributed to IBM's bullish movement today.

03.01.2026 - IBM Stock was down 7.8%

• Despite positive updates from Bernstein and Stifel regarding the company's Q4 results, IBM saw a significant bearish trend in its stock.
• The increased adoption of AI among Registered Investment Advisers (RIAs) may have led investors to focus on more technologically advanced firms, possibly impacting IBM negatively.
• Representative David Taylor's sizeable acquisition of Amazon.com shares could have drawn attention away from IBM, contributing to the bearish movement.
• Market sentiment towards tech stocks like IBM may have been influenced by Corning's steady performance and JPMorgan's optimistic forecast, prompting a shift in investor preferences.

03.01.2026 - IBM Stock was down 5.2%

• Despite positive Q4 results and multiple price target upgrades, IBM's stock experienced a bearish movement, indicating potential profit-taking or market uncertainty.
• Analysts' optimistic outlook on IBM's AI exposure, hybrid cloud momentum, and strong financial performance may have already been priced in, leading to a sell-off.
• The mention of other AI stocks offering greater upside potential could have diverted investor attention away from IBM, contributing to the bearish market movement.
• The insider sale disclosed may have also influenced market sentiment, indirectly impacting IBM's stock performance as part of broader market dynamics.

03.01.2026 - IBM Stock was down 7.8%

• IBM experienced a bearish movement likely due to concerns about a slowdown in the IT services and consulting sector, as seen in the significant drop in shares of related companies like Xerox, Accenture, and Equifax.
• The market may be reacting to broader fears about industry growth and the potential impact of AI, as highlighted in discussions about AMD's advancements in the AI market and the increased adoption of AI tools among Registered Investment Advisers.
• The negative sentiment towards IBM could also be influenced by the overall market trend and specific company updates, such as the disappointing fourth-quarter results in the Consulting segment as reported by a major research firm, impacting investor confidence in the tech sector.
• While individual stock purchases by representatives like David Taylor in companies like Amazon may draw attention, they are unlikely to have a direct impact on IBM's market movement unless tied to broader market sentiment or industry trends.

04.01.2026 - IBM Stock was down 6.6%

• IBM experienced a bearish movement today despite positive developments related to its global request for proposals using artificial intelligence for education and workforce development.
• Market response might be linked to concerns around IBM's upcoming earnings report on April 22, despite analysts endorsing a "Buy" rating for the stock.
• Investor caution seems to stem from IBM's higher valuation compared to industry peers, as indicated by its value rank.
• The downward movement in IBM's stock could also be influenced by broader market conditions or sector-specific factors affecting technology companies.

23.01.2026 - IBM Stock was down 5.8%

• IBM's decline in the market today may be linked to concerns over how AI could impact entry-level hiring practices and the transformation of early career roles. Despite IBM's initiative to triple its entry-level hires in the US, investors seem apprehensive about the future effects of AI on job opportunities.
• The announcement of IBM's expanded entry-level recruitment efforts, coupled with the broader market’s unease about AI's influence on job roles, likely contributed to the decrease in IBM's stock value.
• In the current climate of technological advancements and employment shifts, IBM's strategic choices regarding hiring strategies and AI incorporation could play a crucial role in shaping investor confidence and stock performance moving forward.

23.01.2026 - IBM Stock was down 12.4%

• IBM stock plummeted over 11% following the announcement of Anthropic's new AI COBOL capabilities, posing a threat to IBM's critical area of expertise in COBOL programming used in banking and administrative systems.
• Differing views of institutional investors on IBM stock, with some increasing holdings and others scaling back, contributed to mixed sentiment and potential sell-off pressure on the stock.
• Concerns about IBM's long-term cloud and AI transformation versus short-term momentum may have intensified the bearish movement in the stock.
• Overall, negative market sentiment towards IBM today could be attributed to the perceived threat from Anthropic's AI COBOL capabilities and uncertainty surrounding institutional investor sentiment and their differing views on the company's future prospects.