KeyCorp ($KEY) Stock Forecast: Down 5.1% Today

What is KeyCorp?

KeyCorp (NYSE: KEY) operates as a bank holding company offering various financial services. The stock displayed significant downward movement in the market recently.

Why is KeyCorp going down?

KEY stock is down 5.1% on Feb 12, 2026 17:02

• There was a reduction in KeyCorp's price target for Paycom Software which likely affected investor sentiment and contributed to the downward trend.
• The bank's agreement with HoldCo Asset Management to prioritize buybacks and governance may have raised concerns about its growth prospects, adding to the negative market performance.
• KeyBank's strategic decision to expand its services targeting ultra-wealthy families and private equity investors may not have yielded immediate financial benefits, potentially disappointing investors and influencing the downward trend.
• The combination of reduced price targets, refocused priorities, and the absence of immediate financial drivers likely played a role in the stock's recent bearish movement.

KEY Price Chart

KEY Technical Analysis

KEY News

Paycom Software (NYSE:PAYC) Given New $195.00 Price Target at KeyCorp

KeyCorp reduced its price target for Paycom Software (NYSE:PAYC) to $195.00 from $250.00 but maintained an "overweight" rating, suggesting a significant upside. This follows several other analysts lowering their price targets after Paycom's Q4 earnings, which slightly beat EPS estimates but missed revenue expectations and provided weak guidance for FY2026. Despite the target cuts, the company reported positive Q4 EPS growth and declared a quarterly dividend, while institutional investors have adjusted their positions.

https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/paycom-software-nysepayc-given-new-19500-price-target-at-keycorp-2026-02-12/

KeyBank scores major win with 5 family office pros

KeyBank has strategically expanded its services by adding a five-person family office and private capital team, led by Ward Nixon, to target ultra-wealthy families and private equity investors. This move aims to capture the growing family office market, which requires specialized banking services beyond traditional wealth management. While unlikely to dramatically alter near-term financial catalysts for KeyCorp (NYSE: KEY), this expansion is part of the bank's broader strategy to enhance its middle-market franchise and differentiate itself in a competitive market.

https://rollingout.com/2026/02/12/keybank-scores-win-5-family-office-pros/

KeyCorp Refocuses On Buybacks And Governance After HoldCo Agreement

KeyCorp and HoldCo Asset Management have agreed to halt acquisitions, initiate a US$300 million stock buyback, and appoint a new independent director, averting a potential proxy fight. This agreement shifts KeyCorp's focus towards capital return and internal execution, prompting investors to monitor how the bank balances buybacks with growth in middle market and fee income businesses. The changes signal a reset in KeyCorp's priorities, with implications for its capital plan, governance, and management decisions.

https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/banks/nyse-key/keycorp/news/keycorp-refocuses-on-buybacks-and-governance-after-holdco-ag

Citizens Financial Group, Inc. $CFG Shares Sold by LSV Asset Management

LSV Asset Management decreased its stake in Citizens Financial Group (NYSE:CFG) by 2.9% in the 3rd quarter, selling 187,531 shares. Despite this, other institutional investors have increased their positions. Citizens Financial Group recently reported strong Q4 earnings, surpassing EPS estimates, and analysts have a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating with an average target price of $68.77.

https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/filing-citizens-financial-group-inc-cfg-shares-sold-by-lsv-asset-management-2026-02-12/

Stratos Wealth Partners LTD. Has $7.07 Million Stock Holdings in Southern Company (The) $SO

Stratos Wealth Partners LTD. significantly increased its stake in Southern Company (NYSE:SO) by 32.2% in the third quarter, bringing its total holdings to 74,589 shares valued at approximately $7.07 million. Institutional investors now collectively own about 64.1% of Southern's stock. The company recently declared a quarterly dividend of $0.74 per share, resulting in an annualized dividend of $2.96 and a yield of 3.3%.

https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/filing-stratos-wealth-partners-ltd-has-707-million-stock-holdings-in-southern-company-the-so-2026-02-12/

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KeyCorp Price History

09.11.2025 - KEY Stock was up 5.0%

• A major shareholder decreasing its stake in KeyCorp by 36.5% initially raised concerns but market sentiment remains positive.
• KeyCorp's strong quarterly earnings, record cash flow, and an exclusive partnership with a national cable giant likely boosted investor confidence.
• An investor presentation at a prominent conference highlighted expectations for a record revenue year and share repurchases, bolstering optimism in the company's growth potential.
• Despite conflicting valuation indicators, such as undervaluation metrics and a high Price-to-Earnings ratio, positive operational updates and strategic alliances have driven the stock price upward.

04.09.2024 - KEY Stock was up 5.6%

• KEY exhibited a strong bullish movement when Binance expanded its monitoring tag to include KEY and other cryptocurrencies.
• Despite the news about certain altcoins potentially facing delisting on Binance, KEY remained unaffected, demonstrating strong market confidence in the asset.
• The bullish movement of KEY was likely boosted by the positive sentiment prevailing in the crypto market, particularly evident through Binance's decisions.
• In contrast to Wells Fargo whose stock price soared significantly, KEY's price movement was more influenced by developments within the crypto industry rather than traditional market factors.

12.01.2026 - KEY Stock was down 3.7%

• The bearish movement in KEY stock could be attributed to the lack of significant near-term financial catalysts following the expansion of KeyBank's services targeting ultra-wealthy families and private equity investors.
• While KeyBank's strategic move to capture the family office market is part of a broader strategy to enhance its middle-market franchise, investors may be cautious about the immediate impact on the company's financial performance.
• The market may be reacting to the overall competitive landscape in the banking sector, where differentiation and growth strategies are closely monitored for their effectiveness in driving shareholder value.
• Investors might be awaiting more concrete developments or financial results to validate the long-term benefits of KeyBank's expansion efforts, leading to a temporary downturn in the stock price.

12.01.2026 - KEY Stock was down 5.1%

• There was a reduction in KeyCorp's price target for Paycom Software which likely affected investor sentiment and contributed to the downward trend.
• The bank's agreement with HoldCo Asset Management to prioritize buybacks and governance may have raised concerns about its growth prospects, adding to the negative market performance.
• KeyBank's strategic decision to expand its services targeting ultra-wealthy families and private equity investors may not have yielded immediate financial benefits, potentially disappointing investors and influencing the downward trend.
• The combination of reduced price targets, refocused priorities, and the absence of immediate financial drivers likely played a role in the stock's recent bearish movement.

23.03.2025 - KEY Stock was up 5.2%

• KEY stock experienced a bullish movement.
• KeyCorp exceeded earnings and revenue estimates for Q1 2025, likely influencing the positive market sentiment.
• Deutsche Bank and Standard Chartered are reportedly looking into expanding into the US crypto market, potentially boosting investor confidence in the financial sector.
• The strong financial performance and the potential growth in the crypto market could have contributed to the increase in KEY stock today.

06.10.2024 - KEY Stock was up 13.8%

• KeyCorp saw a strong bullish movement today, possibly influenced by unique options activity involving financial giants making bullish moves on the stock.
• Analysis of KeyCorp's options history indicated a high number of traders displaying bullish tendencies, potentially contributing to the stock's upward momentum.
• Positive trader sentiment and the unusual options activity likely generated a bullish outlook for KeyCorp, leading to the significant increase in its stock price.

20.00.2026 - KEY Stock was up 2.0%

• KeyCorp's stock experienced a pre-market dip despite reporting mixed Q4 results, indicating investor caution.
• The strong bullish movement during the trading day could be attributed to the company surpassing profit estimates for the fourth quarter, driven by higher interest income and investment banking fees.
• The announcement of board changes, strong quarterly results, and the focus on increased capital returns might have instilled confidence in investors, leading to the bullish market movement.
• Despite concerns about a potential normalization of growth for 2026, KeyCorp's positive financial performance and strategic decisions seem to have outweighed any lingering doubts, driving the stock higher.

10.09.2025 - KEY Stock was down 5.2%

• The market may have reacted negatively to KeyCorp's earnings report, despite expectations of growth.
• Investors might have been disappointed with the actual earnings results compared to the optimistic forecasts.
• The discrepancy between the anticipated earnings beat and the actual performance could have led to the bearish movement in KEY stock today.

15.00.2025 - KEY Stock was up 5.3%

• KEY stock had a strong bullish movement today.
• The upcoming earnings report for KeyCorp is anticipated to demonstrate earnings growth, likely influencing the positive market sentiment.
• Investors are hopeful about KeyCorp's ability to surpass expectations in the upcoming report, prompting the bullish movement in the stock.
• Positive expectations for earnings are boosting investor confidence in KeyCorp's financial performance, contributing to the bullish market movement.

10.03.2025 - KEY Stock was down 5.4%

• KeyCorp's stock demonstrated bearish movement, possibly linked to subdued expectations for its upcoming earnings.
• BankUnited's stock surge could have overshadowed KeyCorp, prompting selling pressure.
• Market reaction to uncertainty regarding KeyCorp's earnings potential contributed to the stock decline.
• Investor caution about the company's growth compared to peers in the financial sector influenced the bearish movement in KeyCorp's stock.

15.07.2024 - KEY Stock was up 5.0%

• KeyBank's donations and partnerships with organizations like Rainier Scholars and Urban Arts showcase its commitment to social responsibility and community development, which could have boosted investor confidence in the company.
• The announcement of a Canadian bank acquiring a minority stake in KeyBank indicates potential growth opportunities and strategic partnerships for KeyBank, which could have contributed to the bullish movement in its stock price.
• By investing in education and digital gaming programs, KeyBank is not only making a positive impact on society but also potentially enhancing its brand reputation and attracting socially conscious investors, leading to a bullish market movement for the stock.

16.09.2025 - KEY Stock was down 5.2%

• KeyCorp (KEY) reported Q3 earnings and revenues that surpassed estimates, indicating strong financial performance.
• Despite the positive earnings report, the stock experienced a bearish movement, possibly due to profit-taking by investors after a period of growth leading up to the earnings release.
• The market may have reacted negatively to some key metrics beyond revenue and EPS, prompting investors to reevaluate the company's potential performance in the future.
• Overall, the bearish movement in KeyCorp's stock today could be a result of a combination of profit-taking, market sentiment, and investor reaction to specific metrics beyond earnings and revenue.