Valero Energy Corporation ($VLO) Stock Forecast: Up 5.1% Today

What is Valero Energy Corporation?

Valero Energy (VLO) is a leading global manufacturer and marketer of transportation fuels and other petrochemical products. The company operates through its Refining, Ethanol, and Renewable Diesel segments, with a focus on sustainable and environmentally friendly practices. Today, VLO experienced a strong bullish movement in the market.

Why is Valero Energy Corporation going up?

VLO stock is up 5.1% on Feb 4, 2026 18:56

• Valero Energy (VLO) received a Buy rating from analysts, reflecting positive sentiments towards the company's future performance and growth prospects.
• The bullish movement in VLO's stock price could be attributed to the overall positive sentiment in the energy sector, as evidenced by another company's strong quarterly profit results and focus on refining margins.
• The confirmation of a successful operation of its renewable diesel unit and the overall growth projections for the biofuels market could have also contributed to the bullish sentiment towards VLO, given its involvement in renewable diesel operations.
• Investors are likely optimistic about VLO's strategic positioning in the energy market, especially with a focus on sustainable practices and potential growth opportunities in the biofuels sector.

VLO Price Chart

VLO Technical Analysis

VLO News

Analysts Have Conflicting Sentiments on These Energy Companies: Plains GP Holdings (PAGP), Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. (KGS) and Valero Energy (VLO)

J.P. Morgan analysts have issued varying ratings on three energy companies: Plains GP Holdings (PAGP), Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. (KGS), and Valero Energy (VLO). Plains GP Holdings received a Hold rating, Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. a Buy, and Valero Energy also a Buy. These ratings reflect the analysts' current sentiments and price targets for each company.

https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/markets/stocks/VLO-N/pressreleases/17960/analysts-have-conflicting-sentiments-on-these-energy-companies-plains-gp-holdings-pagp-kodiak-gas-services-inc-kgs-and-valero-energy-vlo/

Refiner Phillips 66 beats quarterly profit estimates as margins rebound

Phillips 66 (PSX.N) exceeded Wall Street's profit forecasts for the fourth quarter, driven by a significant rebound in U.S. refining margins after a challenging 2024. The company's realized margin more than doubled to $12.48 per barrel, swinging its refining segment to a profit of $542 million. This performance was also supported by high crude capacity utilization and a reduction of $2.0 billion in debt.

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/refiner-phillips-66-beats-quarterly-profit-estimates-margins-rebound-2026-02-04/

Biofuels Global Markets Report 2025: Revenue Data for 2024, Estimates for 2025, 2029 Forecasts, and CAGRs Projection Through 2030 Featuring Key Players - ADM, Cargill, Chevron, Green Plains, Neste

The global biofuels market is projected to grow from $150.9 billion in 2025 to $194.7 billion by 2030, driven by global decarbonization efforts in transportation, aviation, and marine industries. The report highlights the dominance of ethanol and renewable diesel and analyzes market dynamics, emerging technologies, and ESG factors. Despite challenges like supply chain complexities and feedstock availability, the sector shows significant growth potential.

https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/02/04/3231807/0/en/Biofuels-Global-Markets-Report-2025-Revenue-Data-for-2024-Estimates-for-2025-2029-Forecasts-and-CAGRs-Projection-Through-2030-Featuring-Key-Players-ADM-Cargill-Chevron-Green-Plains.html

Imperial Oil confirms renewable diesel unit ‘running well’

Imperial Oil announced on February 4, 2026, that its renewable diesel unit is operating successfully. This news comes amidst other developments in the sustainable fuels sector, including new IRS regulations for clean fuel tax credits, FedEx's use of sustainable aviation fuel, and strong financial results from Valero's biobased diesel operations.

https://biomassmagazine.com/articles/imperial-oil-confirms-renewable-diesel-unit-running-well

Phillips 66 Refocuses Portfolio As Lower Crude Supports Refining Margins

Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) is divesting non-core assets to free up capital for strategic reinvestments and shareholder returns, leveraging lower crude prices to boost refining margins. This move aims to enhance the company's financial discipline and integrate its diverse operations across refining, midstream, chemicals, and renewables. Investors should monitor how effectively Phillips 66 reallocates capital from these divestments and sustains profitability amid changing market conditions.

https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/energy/nyse-psx/phillips-66/news/phillips-66-refocuses-portfolio-as-lower-crude-supports-refi/amp

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Valero Energy Corporation Price History

30.00.2026 - VLO Stock was down 5.8%

• Despitesurpassing Q4 2025 earnings expectations and demonstrating strong operational performance, Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) experienced a bearish market movement.
• A reduction in stake by AE Wealth Management LLC and an increase in holdings by other institutional investors may have contributed to the downward pressure on VLO's stock.
• The announcement of Valero Energy purchasing Venezuelan crude from three sellers could have raised concerns among investors about the company's exposure to geopolitical risks and uncertainties associated with Venezuelan crude supply.
• Despite the positive financial performance and strategic progress highlighted in the earnings call, the decline in the renewable diesel segment's operating income might have also impacted investor sentiment, leading to the bearish movement in VLO's stock.

04.01.2026 - VLO Stock was up 7.0%

• Valero Energy (VLO) had a strong bullish movement today.
• The bullish movement could be attributed to positive sentiments from analysts, with a Buy rating on the company.
• Additionally, the success of another company in the energy sector in beating profit estimates and focusing on refining margins might have positively influenced Valero Energy's stock performance.
• The confirmation of another company's successful operation of its renewable diesel unit also reflects positively on the renewable energy sector, potentially boosting investor confidence in Valero Energy's biobased diesel operations.

04.05.2025 - VLO Stock was down 3.3%

• Valero Energy (VLO) showed a bearish movement during the latest trading session, lagging behind the wider market trends.
• The slight decline in VLO's stock value may be linked to general market fluctuations or challenges specific to the energy industry.
• Investors appear to be responding to particular events or uncertainties affecting Valero Energy's business operations and future outlook.
• It is important for traders to vigilantly monitor any industry developments that could impact VLO's stock performance in the short term.

05.00.2026 - VLO Stock was down 2.0%

• Valero Energy Corp has a strong presence in the refined fuels sector, focusing on industrial-scale product ecosystems that include refineries, logistics, and low-carbon fuels. The company emphasizes efficiency, flexibility, and its position in the liquid fuels market.
• The recent decline in Valero Energy Corp's stock price is possibly influenced by the uptick in stock prices of major U.S. oil companies such as Chevron, Exxon, and ConocoPhillips, driven by recent political developments in Venezuela. This shift in investor attention may have diverted focus away from Valero.
• Concerns about Valero's competitive stance and market share in the evolving oil industry landscape may have arisen due to potential asset recoveries in Venezuela and heightened investment intentions by U.S. oil companies in the region.
• The market's perception of Valero's relatively muted approach to the energy transition compared to other oil companies, who are expected to benefit more directly from the Venezuela developments, could be contributing to the bearish sentiment surrounding VLO stock today.

04.01.2026 - VLO Stock was up 5.1%

• Valero Energy (VLO) received a Buy rating from analysts, reflecting positive sentiments towards the company's future performance and growth prospects.
• The bullish movement in VLO's stock price could be attributed to the overall positive sentiment in the energy sector, as evidenced by another company's strong quarterly profit results and focus on refining margins.
• The confirmation of a successful operation of its renewable diesel unit and the overall growth projections for the biofuels market could have also contributed to the bullish sentiment towards VLO, given its involvement in renewable diesel operations.
• Investors are likely optimistic about VLO's strategic positioning in the energy market, especially with a focus on sustainable practices and potential growth opportunities in the biofuels sector.

29.00.2026 - VLO Stock was up 0.7%

• Valero Energy's decision to purchase Venezuelan crude from three sellers signals a strategic move to enhance its heavy crude supply, which is expected to positively impact its refining operations and profitability.
• The increased capacity to process Venezuelan crude exceeding 240,000 barrels per day aligns with Valero's focus on feedstock flexibility and operational efficiency, positioning the company for growth in the energy market.
• This bullish market movement for Valero Energy could be attributed to the company's strong financial performance in the fourth quarter of 2025, with a notable increase in net income and a 6 percent rise in quarterly cash dividend, reflecting its commitment to shareholder returns and operational excellence.

23.09.2025 - VLO Stock was up 7.9%

• Valero Energy (VLO) reported strong Q3 earnings and revenue, exceeding expectations by a significant margin, prompting a positive stock movement.
• While revenue is projected to dip slightly, the notable rise in year-over-year earnings reflects robust operational efficiency and cost controls.
• The optimistic earnings forecast for Valero Energy (VLO) has garnered investor interest, driving increased buying activity and pushing up the stock price.
• Overall, there is a sense of optimism in the market regarding Valero Energy's future prospects, buoyed by its strong financial performance and growth opportunities in the energy sector.

03.01.2026 - VLO Stock was up 5.0%

• Valero Energy Corporation reported better-than-expected Q4 2025 financial results, with an EPS of $3.82 and revenue of $30.37 billion, surpassing estimates. Despite this, the stock initially dipped by 1.41% in pre-market trading.
• The record-high ethanol production and profitable fourth quarter for its biobased diesel segment showcase Valero's success in renewable energy and biofuels, aligning with market trends towards sustainability.
• The bullish sentiment towards General Motors in the options market and Phillips 66's capacity to process Venezuelan crude may have positively influenced investor confidence in Valero, contributing to its strong bullish movement today.

22.07.2025 - VLO Stock was up 3.9%

• Valero Energy has consistently outperformed the market over the past 5 years, showcasing its strong financial performance and market position.
• The average annual return of 20.1% indicates a robust growth trajectory for the company, attracting investors looking for stable returns.
• With a market capitalization of $42.50 billion, Valero Energy's solid financial standing and strategic market positioning likely contributed to the bullish movement observed today.

30.00.2026 - VLO Stock was down 5.4%

• Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) experienced a bearish market movement today, possibly influenced by the following factors:
• The potential shifts in Venezuelan crude flows to the Gulf Coast highlighted could impact refining economics, leading to pressure on refining margins and earnings for Valero.
• Despite surpassing expectations in its Q4 2025 earnings call with strong operational performance and increased dividends, the ongoing policy uncertainties for renewable diesel and ethanol might have raised concerns among investors.
• The reduction in stake by AE Wealth Management LLC and the decline in the renewable diesel segment's operating income could have contributed to the negative sentiment surrounding Valero's stock today.
• Overall, the combination of external market dynamics and internal strategic developments may have led to the bearish movement in Valero Energy Corporation's stock.

24.06.2025 - VLO Stock was down 4.6%

• Valero Energy exceeded earnings and revenue estimates for Q2 but faced significant downward pressure on its stock.
• Factors like high refinery utilization, improved crack spreads, and reduced input costs bolstered margins but were insufficient to counter negative market sentiment.
• Investors may have anticipated even stronger performance from the company, prompting profit-taking and a decline in the stock price.
• While Valero Energy delivered positive financial results, external factors or broader market conditions likely contributed to the stock's downward trend.

29.11.2025 - VLO Stock was up 0.8%

• Valero Energy (VLO) stock surged as the S&P 500 approached record highs, indicating positive market sentiment and investor confidence in the company's operations.
• Despite concerns over a global supply glut affecting crude oil prices, Valero's refining operations and focus on factors like crack spreads and demand for refined products have likely contributed to its bullish performance.
• Investors are advised to keep an eye on upcoming company milestones, broader market drivers, and factors influencing the demand for renewable fuels to gauge Valero's future performance in the market.