Valero Energy Corporation ($VLO) Stock Forecast: Down 8.7% Today

What is Valero Energy Corporation?

Valero Energy Corp (VLO) is a leading global manufacturer and marketer of transportation fuels and other petrochemical products. Today, the stock experienced a significant bearish movement.

Why is Valero Energy Corporation going down?

VLO stock is down 8.7% on Apr 17, 2026 17:01

• Valero Energy's stock saw a strong bearish movement despite outperforming competitors and the broader market recently, indicating a potential shift in investor sentiment.
• The partial restart of the Port Arthur Refinery in Texas after an explosion incident may have raised concerns about operational disruptions and potential impact on production and earnings.
• The ongoing energy crisis and fluctuating oil prices, with some energy companies trading at significant discounts, could have added pressure on Valero Energy's stock as investors weigh the uncertainty in the sector.
• The insider selling activity by First Mid Bancshares' EVP and increased institutional holdings may have also influenced market sentiment towards Valero Energy, contributing to the bearish movement.

VLO Price Chart

VLO Technical Analysis

VLO News

First Mid Bancshares, Inc. (NASDAQ:FMBH) Given Consensus Rating of "Moderate Buy" by Brokerages

First Mid Bancshares, Inc. (NASDAQ:FMBH) has received a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating from six brokerages, with an average one-year price target of $43.75. The company's EVP, Bradley L. Beesley, recently sold 6,000 shares, reducing his stake by over 32%, while institutional investors increased their holdings, now owning 47.57% of the stock. First Mid Bancshares reported Q4 EPS of $1.06, matching estimates, and revenue of $90.14 million, exceeding consensus, and pays a quarterly dividend of $0.25 (2.3% yield).

https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/first-mid-bancshares-inc-nasdaqfmbh-given-consensus-rating-of-moderate-buy-by-brokerages-2026-04-17/

Report: Valero Energy Partially Restarts Port Arthur Refinery in Texas After Explosion Incident

Valero Energy has partially restarted its Port Arthur Refinery in Texas, with one crude distillation unit (AVU-147) now operational following an explosion incident on March 23. However, another larger unit (AVU-146) remains shut down for repairs after a damaged furnace tube was discovered during inspection. The company plans to fully restart the second unit once repairs are completed.

https://www.bitget.com/amp/news/detail/12560605370587

Exclusive: Valero partially restarts Port Arthur, Texas refinery after blast, sources say

Valero Energy Corp has partially restarted its Port Arthur, Texas refinery after a March 23 explosion and fire. While one crude distillation unit (AVU 147) is operational, the larger AVU-146 unit remains shut for repairs after a damaged heater tube was found during inspection. The AVU-146 unit accounts for a significant portion of the U.S. Gulf Coast's crude oil refining capacity.

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/valero-partially-restarts-port-arthur-texas-refinery-after-blast-sources-say-2026-04-16/

Valero Energy Corp. stock outperforms competitors on strong trading day

Valero Energy Corp. (VLO) saw its stock rise by 2.87% to $241.74 on Thursday, outperforming the broader market. This increase occurred during a favorable trading session where both the S&P 500 Index and the Dow Jones Industrial Average also posted gains. The stock's performance ended a two-day losing streak for Valero Energy.

https://www.marketwatch.com/data-news/valero-energy-corp-stock-outperforms-competitors-on-strong-trading-day-cf8d1d27-34444314eb8b

Hormuz Closed, Oil At $90 — These 7 Stocks Haven't Repriced - APA (NASDAQ:APA), Devon Energy (NYSE:DVN)

Despite oil prices exceeding $90 a barrel and ongoing energy crises, seven major energy producers and refiners, including APA Corp. and Devon Energy, are trading at significant discounts, with forward price-to-earnings multiples between 7x and 11x, half the S&P 500 average. This valuation gap presents a dilemma for investors: either a mispricing opportunity if the Hormuz disruption persists, potentially driving oil prices higher and boosting free cash flow, or a potential trap if a swift resolution to the crisis causes oil prices to collapse. The market's current valuation seems to implicitly factor in a potential fall in oil prices or an early peak in the earnings cycle, highlighting the ongoing uncertainty in the energy sector.

https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/26/04/51863051/hormuz-crisis-energy-stocks-cheap-valuation-buying-opportunity

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Valero Energy Corporation Price History

07.03.2026 - VLO Stock was up 5.0%

• Phillips 66 (PSX) has demonstrated notable performance with robust share price gains, reflecting positive sentiment within the energy sector.
• The hedging losses incurred by Phillips 66 from commodity price surges could have affected investor confidence in the energy industry, prompting a shift in attention towards other energy companies such as Valero Energy.
• Recent increases in price targets for Valero Energy by analysts, notably BMO Capital's substantial raise to $270, may have initiated a bullish trend as investors look ahead to the company's future growth and profitability.
• Concerns highlighted by JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon regarding the potential impact of the Iran war on the economy might have influenced investors to turn to companies like Valero Energy, recognized for its resilience amidst volatile market conditions.

10.03.2026 - VLO Stock was down 5.8%

• Valero Energy Corp. (VLO) stock underperformed compared to its competitors, falling 1.89% on a day when the broader market was positive, indicating company-specific challenges.
• The stock hit a day low at $231.93, experiencing a 4.71% drop, which could be attributed to factors such as market sentiment, industry-specific news, or internal company developments.
• Despite the intraday decline and recent losses, Valero Energy Corp. has shown significant long-term growth, suggesting that today's bearish movement may be a temporary setback rather than a long-term trend.
• News surrounding other energy companies making strategic investments and beating earnings expectations could have influenced market sentiment towards Valero Energy Corp., leading to its underperformance.

08.03.2026 - VLO Stock was down 5.7%

• Analysts raised their price targets for Valero Energy, suggesting a positive outlook. However, the stock price surpassed these new targets, leading to profit-taking.
• VLO's outperformance compared to the broader market and competitors attracted investors seeking to capitalize on recent gains but may have triggered a sell-off once profit targets were achieved.
• The surge in Phillips 66 (PSX) stock price and the company's hedging losses due to geopolitical tensions in energy markets could have impacted the energy sector, possibly creating uncertainty and bearish sentiment for Valero Energy.

08.03.2026 - VLO Stock was down 5.5%

• Despite recent positive performance, with three consecutive days of gains and outperforming competitors, Valero Energy Corp. saw a significant decline today.
• The company's price target was raised, but the market may have already factored in this news, potentially leading to overvaluation and subsequent bearish movement.
• Geopolitical tensions impacting energy markets, as reflected in another company's expected loss, could have influenced the industry, contributing to the bearish movement in Valero Energy Corp.'s stock.
• Investors might be reconsidering the company's position given market volatility and potential future challenges, resulting in profit-taking and the observed bearish movement.

02.03.2026 - VLO Stock was up 5.0%

• Despite a recent drop in stock price, technical analysis and stock price forecasts are indicating a "Buy" sentiment for VLO, with various indicators pointing towards a bullish trend.
• The appointment of a new CEO at a major energy company, with a focus on simplifying and strengthening the company, could have positively impacted the overall sentiment in the energy sector, benefiting companies like Valero Energy Corp.
• Higher oil prices due to geopolitical tensions have provided financial relief to oil companies, potentially boosting investor confidence in VLO and similar energy stocks.
• While there were warnings about historical valuations, the market seems to be focusing more on the positive technical indicators and industry trends, driving the bullish movement in Valero Energy Corp's stock today.

17.03.2026 - VLO Stock was down 8.7%

• Valero Energy's stock saw a strong bearish movement despite outperforming competitors and the broader market recently, indicating a potential shift in investor sentiment.
• The partial restart of the Port Arthur Refinery in Texas after an explosion incident may have raised concerns about operational disruptions and potential impact on production and earnings.
• The ongoing energy crisis and fluctuating oil prices, with some energy companies trading at significant discounts, could have added pressure on Valero Energy's stock as investors weigh the uncertainty in the sector.
• The insider selling activity by First Mid Bancshares' EVP and increased institutional holdings may have also influenced market sentiment towards Valero Energy, contributing to the bearish movement.

26.02.2026 - VLO Stock was up 5.0%

• The bullish movement in VLO's stock price can be attributed to the company preparing to restart its Port Arthur refinery after an explosion and fire incident, signaling progress towards resuming operations and meeting refining demands.
• Strong refining margins stemming from global supply disruptions are also likely a factor in the positive market sentiment towards Valero Energy Corp.
• The upgrade of Nucor (NUE) by UBS to a Buy rating and the positive outlook on the company's performance may have bolstered investor confidence in the broader energy and industrial sectors, indirectly benefiting VLO.
• Institutional investors increasing their stakes in Phillips 66 (PSX) and Chevron Corporation (CVX) reflect a growing interest in the energy sector, potentially benefiting companies like Valero Energy Corp.

01.03.2026 - VLO Stock was down 5.1%

• The bearish movement in VLO stock today could be attributed to concerns about potential new oil regulations in California, which may impact the energy infrastructure and lead to economic challenges for refineries like Valero Energy Corporation.
• Regulatory uncertainties in California might have triggered selling pressure on VLO shares, causing the bearish market movement.
• Investors might be cautious about the future prospects of oil companies like Valero Energy Corporation amidst ongoing debates around oil regulations and their potential impact on profitability.
• The overall market sentiment towards oil stocks could have been influenced by positive performances of cybersecurity and energy companies like Palo Alto Networks, Halliburton, and EOG Resources, diverting attention and investment away from traditional oil companies like VLO.

17.03.2026 - VLO Stock was down 7.2%

• Today, Valero Energy Corp. (VLO) saw strong bearish movement in the market, possibly due to the following factors:
• The partial restart of the Port Arthur Refinery in Texas following an explosion incident on March 23 may have raised concerns about operational disruptions and potential delays in production, negatively impacting investor sentiment.
• Ongoing repairs on the larger crude distillation unit (AVU-146) at the refinery, a significant part of the U.S. Gulf Coast's crude oil refining capacity, could have affected market confidence in Valero's short-term production capabilities.
• Despite outperforming competitors in a previous strong trading day, uncertainties in the broader energy sector, as shown by valuation gaps and shifts towards renewables by other companies, might have prompted investors to take a more cautious approach towards Valero's stock.
• In conclusion, today's bearish movement in Valero Energy Corp.'s stock may be linked to concerns over refinery operations, repair delays, and broader industry dynamics influencing investor sentiment towards the company's short-term performance.

05.02.2026 - VLO Stock was up 5.7%

• Valero Energy Corp (VLO) stock surged by 3.34% on March 4th, driven by several factors:
• Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East led to higher crude oil prices and wider crack spreads, benefiting VLO's refining operations.
• Strong global demand for refined products and the company's strategic position in low-carbon fuels contributed to the positive market sentiment.
• The recent dividend increase and overall positive analyst sentiment further supported the stock's bullish movement.
• VLO's consistent outperformance compared to the S&P 500 Index over the past year, with a 69.6% surge, is attributed to strong refining margins, geopolitical factors favoring U.S. refiners, and a track record of delivering shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks.
• The company's history of consistently beating earnings per share (EPS) and revenue estimates, with significant average beats, reflects strong operational performance and investor confidence in VLO's strategic advantages.

12.02.2026 - VLO Stock was up 5.1%

• Valero Energy Corp. (VLO) experienced a significant surge in stock price, likely driven by positive market sentiment and strong financial health indicators.
• The surge in crude oil prices also contributed to the bullish movement of VLO, possibly influenced by external factors.
• Institutional investors increasing their stakes in energy companies could have further boosted investor confidence in the energy sector.
• The removal of Valero Energy (VLO) from a notable investment list may have initially raised concerns, but the stock's impressive performance today likely reassured investors about its growth potential.

11.02.2026 - VLO Stock was up 5.4%

• Valero Energy (VLO) stock surged due to favorable oil prices and strong refining margins, driven by widened crack spreads and access to discounted Venezuelan heavy crude.
• Institutional investors increasing their stakes in VLO indicate confidence in the company's operational excellence and favorable market conditions.
• Despite challenges faced by other companies like SLB and FSLR, Valero Energy's bullish movement reflects the market's current preference for traditional energy over renewables.
• The company's strong financial performance in Q4 2025 and the absence of negative news in the 8-K SEC filing contributed to the positive sentiment surrounding VLO.