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Vaulta (prev.EOS) ($A) Crypto Forecast: Up 7.9% Today

Morpher AI identified a bullish signal. The crypto price may continue to rise based on the momentum of the good news.

What is Vaulta (prev.EOS)?

Cryptocurrency token A Market Cryptocurrency token A recorded significant bullish momentum today. The sentiment in the cryptocurrency market appears optimistic, with a notable interest from investors towards digital assets.

Why is Vaulta (prev.EOS) going up?

A crypto is up 7.9% on Mar 13, 2026 14:36

  • The bullish trend of cryptocurrency token A may be linked to the positive sentiment prevailing in the broader cryptocurrency market.
  • The market dynamics may have been influenced by increased investments in digital asset products, reflecting a rising enthusiasm for this asset class.
  • The rise in spot demand and improvement in spot market conditions likely played a role in cryptocurrency token A's bullish trajectory.
  • The transition from forced deleveraging to early market stabilization hints at a possible recovery, particularly if spot demand continues to strengthen, which could further boost the movement of cryptocurrency token A.

A Price Chart

A Technical Analysis

A News

Your Backtest Is Lying: Why You Must Use Point-in-Time Data

Let's build a simple, hypothetical trading strategy. The premise is straightforward and rooted in a widely discussed narrative: when coins leave exchanges, it tends to be bullish. The reasoning is intuitive: coins moving off exchanges typically signal that holders are withdrawing to self-custody, reducing the available supply for selling. Conversely, coins flowing onto exchanges may indicate that holders are preparing to sell.A single day of outflows, however, is just noise. To identify a genuine trend, we would apply a moving average crossover on the exchange balance. When the short-term average falls below the long-term average, it confirms that coins have been leaving exchanges consistently, as a sustained pattern, rather than isolated events.Using Glassnode's exchange balance for Binance, we define the following: Enter the market when the 5-day moving average of Binance's BTC balance falls below its 14-day moving average, signaling a sustained outflow trend. Exit the market when the 5-day average rises back above the 14-day average, signaling that the outflow trend has reversed and coins are returning to the exchange. We then benchmark this strategy against simply holding BTC over the same period, starting January 1, 2024 through March 9, 2026, with an initial capital of $1,000 and 0.1% trading fees applied to each trade. This is a simplified trading strategy, designed primarily for illustrative purposes. It is not investment advice, nor is it meant to suggest that exchange balances are a robust foundation for a trading system. Access live chart Here's how to read this chart:🟫 The brown line at the bottom is the binary trading signal, toggling between in the market (1) and out of the market (0). 🟦 The blue line tracks the strategy's portfolio value over time. 🟩 The green line is the buy-and-hold portfolio benchmark.We can observe that the exchange balance strategy performed reasonably well, although at times the buy-and-hold strategy outperformed it. In the final days of the research period, however, the exchange balance strategy caught up. While some investors may find the combination of reduced volatility and an ultimately comparable performance to buy-and-hold appealing, the final numbers are misleading – and here’s why. The Problem: Data Mutation and Look-Ahead Bias Metrics are not static. Many are retroactively revised as new information becomes available. This is particularly true for metrics that depend on address clustering or entity labeling, such as on-chain exchange balances. However, it is also the case for metrics such as trading volume or price, as individual exchanges can occasionally submit their data with slight delays.This means that a value you see today for, say, January 15, 2024, may not be the same value that was published on January 15, 2024. The data has been revised with hindsight. When you backtest a strategy on this revised data, you are implicitly using information that was not available at the time the trading decisions would have been made. This introduces a look-ahead bias. The Honest Backtest: Using Point-in-Time Data Let's therefore repeat the exact same backtest – same signal logic, same parameters, same dates, same fees – but this time using the point-in-time (PiT) variant of the Exchange Balance metric, available in Glassnode Studio. PiT metrics are strictly append-only and immutable. Each historical data point reflects only the information that was known at the time it was first computed. No retroactive revisions, no look-ahead bias.While we are using the same metric, the strategy now produces significantly different results, as illustrated by the purple line in the new chart below. The overall performance is notably worse. Although both strategies behave similarly for much of 2024, we observe that the PiT-based version fails to capture the strong upticks in November 2024 and March 2025 as effectively. As a result, the cumulative performance diverges meaningfully and ends up considerably lower. Access live chart Key Takeaway In this example, the purple strategy, which only has access to information as it was available at the time, performs noticeably worse. ā–ŗ Backtests will lie if fed with wrong or revised data. Only immutable, point-in-time metrics ensure you’re replaying history as it actually happened. PiT metric variants are available for all metrics with the Glassnode Professional plan via Studio and the API. The above backtests have been written using the backtesting function in Studio. Run your own backtests šŸ“˜ Suggested further reading: Refer to this article to explore the methodology behind Glassnode's point-in-time metrics. Follow us on X for timely market updates and analysis Join our Telegram channel for regular market insights For on-chain metrics, dashboards, and alerts, visit Glassnode Studio Disclaimer: This report is for informational and educational purposes only. The analysis represents a limited case study with significant constraints and should not be interpreted as investment advice or definitive trading signals. Past performance patterns do not guarantee future results. Always conduct thorough due diligence and consider multiple factors before making investment decisions.

https://insights.glassnode.com/why-use-point-in-time-data/

0 News Article Image Your Backtest Is Lying: Why You Must Use Point-in-Time Data

Resilient in the Face of War

Executive Summary Bitcoin has consolidated within a $62.8k–$72.6k range for over a month, with repeated failures above $70k and geopolitical uncertainty adding further downside risk to the mid-term outlook. Price remains bounded between the Realized Price ($54.4k) and True Market Mean ($78.4k), with negative return skew prevailing until a decisive hold above $70k is established. An accumulation cluster is forming near the range midpoint, but its intensity falls short of prior episodes that preceded meaningful expansions, limiting conviction in a sustained breakout. The 7D-EMA of STH-SOPR has remained below 1 since October 2025, now at 0.985, confirming that recent buyers are spending at a loss — a hallmark of a bear market regime. US Spot Bitcoin ETF flows have stabilised, with the 7-day moving average returning to positive territory after several weeks of sustained institutional outflows. Spot market demand is showing early signs of recovery, with cumulative volume delta rebounding as buyers begin absorbing sell-side liquidity across major exchanges. Perpetual futures funding has turned negative, indicating growing short positioning and increasing the potential for a short-squeeze dynamic should spot demand strengthen. Options markets reflect easing short-term uncertainty, with front-end implied volatility compressing as traders scale back aggressive short-dated hedging. Delta skew across options markets remains near neutral, suggesting limited directional conviction despite elevated macro and geopolitical uncertainty. Gamma positioning remains largely neutral, implying options dealer hedging flows are unlikely to meaningfully amplify price volatility in the near term. On-Chain Insights Trapped in the Range Bitcoin has spent more than a month consolidating within a $62.8k–$72.6k range, with multiple failed attempts to establish footing above $70k, each rejection accompanied by brief spikes in Net Realized Profit exceeding $5M per hour, indicative of opportunistic profit-taking rather than sustained demand. Zooming out, price is currently sandwiched between two structurally significant cost basis models: the Realized Price at $54.4k, representing the average acquisition cost of all circulating supply, and the True Market Mean at $78.4k, which tracks the cost basis of actively transacted coins.In the absence of broader macro headwinds, this range could plausibly support a bear market relief rally capped by the True Market Mean. However, the layering of geopolitical uncertainty onto an already fragile structure that has repeatedly failed to hold above $70k tilts the mid-term return distribution toward the downside, with the Realized Price serving as the primary support level to monitor. Live Chart Accumulation Without Conviction Building on the observed stability around the midpoint of the Realized Price to True Market Mean range, an on-chain accumulation cluster is beginning to take shape. Using the Cost-Basis Distribution Heatmap, accumulation clusters identify price levels where a significant volume of supply has changed hands recently, serving as a proxy for near-term investor conviction and potential support density.However, the intensity of the current cluster is relatively modest when compared to prior accumulation phases that preceded decisive price expansions. Those earlier episodes were characterized by heavier capital commitment, whereas the present cluster reflects a more tentative repositioning. Therefore, while the emerging accumulation lends some credence to the bear market rally thesis outlined above, its lack of intensity suggests the foundation for a sustained mid-term expansion remains thin. Live Chart New Investors Under Pressure Compounding the tepid accumulation signal, a key drag on market momentum is the sustained erosion of profitability among newer market participants. This dynamic is directly captured by the Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (STH-SOPR), which measures the ratio between the price at which short-term holders acquired their coins and the price at which they are spending them. A reading below 1 indicates that this cohort is, on aggregate, realizing losses.The 7D-EMA of STH-SOPR has traded continuously below 1 since October 2025, and currently sits at 0.985, confirming that recent buyers lack meaningful unrealized profit to deploy or defend positions with. This is a textbook characteristic of a bear market regime, one that historically requires an extended period of base-building before conditions normalize.Tactically, STH-SOPR also serves as a local top indicator. Spikes toward 1 during relief rallies tend to mark exhaustion points, as recent buyers seize the opportunity to exit near breakeven rather than hold for further upside. Live Chart Off-Chain Insights ETF Inflows Reappear US Spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced a sustained period of net outflows throughout the recent market correction, with the 7-day moving average remaining negative as prices declined toward the $65k region. This persistent redemption pressure reflected a broader institutional de-risking phase across regulated investment vehicles.Over the past week however, flows have shifted meaningfully, with a strong burst of inflows emerging and pushing the 7-day average firmly back into positive territory. This marks the most significant demand impulse since the correction began, suggesting institutional buyers may be stepping in as Bitcoin stabilises near recent lows.While it remains early to confirm a structural shift in demand, a continuation of positive ETF flows would signal improving institutional sentiment and could re-establish ETFs as an important source of spot-side support for the market. Live Chart Spot Demand Rebounds Spot market order flow shows early signs of recovery following an extended period of aggressive sell-side pressure. The cumulative volume delta across major exchanges fell sharply during the recent market decline, with Binance and broader market flows reflecting persistent market sell pressure as BTC dropped toward the $60k–$70k range.In recent sessions however, spot CVD has begun to reverse higher, indicating buyers are starting to absorb sell-side liquidity. The recovery is particularly visible across global exchange aggregates, suggesting a broad-based improvement in spot demand rather than isolated exchange activity.While this shift points to a potential stabilisation in spot market conditions, sustained buyer dominance will be required to confirm that demand is strong enough to support a durable recovery in price. Live Chart Funding Turns Negative as Short Positioning Builds Perpetual futures funding rates have shifted decisively negative in recent sessions, reflecting an increasing dominance of short-side positioning across derivatives markets. This shift comes as Bitcoin trades near the lower end of its recent range following the sharp drawdown toward the $60k–$70k region.Negative funding indicates that short sellers are now paying a premium to maintain their positions, suggesting a growing consensus around downside continuation. However, such crowded short positioning can also create asymmetric conditions, where a sharp upward move forces shorts to cover.Should spot demand continue to recover, the build-up of short exposure raises the potential for a short squeeze, which could amplify upside volatility if forced liquidations begin to cascade. Live Chart Implied Volatility: Front-End Premium Starts to Ease Bitcoin has remained surprisingly resilient following the recent geopolitical shock. That resilience is now reflected in the options market, where short-dated implied volatility has begun to ease.Over the last week, the decline has been most visible at the front of the curve, with near-term implied volatility falling back toward the mid-50 percent area. Implied volatility represents the price traders are willing to pay for optionality. When uncertainty spikes, protection becomes expensive. The recent move lower suggests that the market sees less immediate event risk than it did earlier in the week.The chart shows that front-end volatility, represented by the 1-week tenor, is compressing faster than longer maturities such as the 1-month, confirming that immediate event risk is fading. This shift does not mean volatility has fully normalized. Levels remain elevated compared with recent months, showing that the market is still pricing a degree of uncertainty.What has changed is the urgency. Traders appear less focused on immediate downside shocks and are gradually moving away from aggressive short-term hedging. Live Chart 25 Delta Skew: Defensive Positioning Begins to Ease With volatility cooling, skew offers insight into how traders are positioning for directional risk.Across maturities, 25 delta risk reversals remain negative, meaning put options continue to trade at higher implied volatility than comparable calls. This reflects the fact that demand for downside protection is still present across the market.However, the magnitude of that skew has started to compress. Over the past sessions, skew has tightened meaningfully, indicating that the intensity of defensive positioning is beginning to fade.Skew essentially measures the relative demand for protection versus participation. When traders aggressively hedge downside risk, puts become significantly more expensive than calls. As that imbalance narrows, it typically signals that the market is becoming more comfortable taking directional exposure again.As shown in the chart, the 1-week skew is now sitting around 10% put skew, down from the recent high of 31% reached on March 23. This shift suggests that while caution remains, the defensive tone that dominated during the shock is gradually easing. Live Chart Options Flow: Upside Exposure Gaining Traction The largest options transactions observed over the past 24 hours have been concentrated in call buying, accounting for 40.3% of total options activity. Over the past week, call buying was already the dominant flow, representing 27.8% of options activity. This trend has accelerated, with the share of call buying climbing to 40.3% over the last 24 hours.Calls provide exposure to upside moves while limiting downside risk, making them a common instrument for positioning during the early stages of a recovery.What makes the current setup particularly interesting is the contrast between flow and pricing. Skew remains negative, meaning downside protection is still relatively expensive, yet traders are increasingly accumulating upside exposure through calls.This pattern often appears when sentiment begins to improve but the broader market has not fully repriced risk. Participants start positioning for upside opportunities while still keeping some defensive structures in place.Rather than signaling an outright bullish shift, the flow suggests a gradual transition, with traders cautiously testing the upside while maintaining protection against potential downside risks. Gamma Exposure: $75K as the Key Upside Magnet With Bitcoin trading around $69.5K at the time of writing, spot currently sits in a mild short gamma corridor between roughly $67K and $71K. Around $400 million of positive gamma sits on each side of this range, creating nearby levels where dealer hedging can temporarily stabilize price.Gamma describes how dealer hedging flows react to price changes. When dealers hold positive gamma around a strike, they tend to sell rallies and buy dips to stay hedged, which can slow price movements and create short term support and resistance.However, it would not take significant volume to break through either side of this corridor. The more important level sits higher.Around the $75K strike, roughly $2 billion of negative gamma is concentrated. In a short gamma zone, dealer hedging flows reinforce the move. If price pushes into that region, hedging activity can accelerate the move higher toward the $80K area.Notably, around $1.8 billion of this positioning expires on March 27, the end of Q1 expiry, meaning the gamma landscape could shift meaningfully once these options roll off. Live Chart Conclusion Bitcoin remains under pressure, but several signals suggest the market may be entering a more stabilised phase. Illiquid supply continues to expand, pointing to ongoing conviction among long-term holders even as price trades below key on-chain cost basis levels.Across off-chain markets, conditions are beginning to improve. US Spot ETF flows have turned positive after a prolonged outflow regime, and spot CVD is starting to recover, indicating buyers are beginning to re-engage. At the same time, perpetual funding has moved negative, reflecting increasingly crowded short positioning that could amplify upside if demand continues to strengthen.Options markets add to this picture, with front-end implied volatility compressing as traders reduce short-term hedging demand. Delta skew remains relatively balanced, while dealer gamma positioning appears broadly neutral, suggesting options markets are no longer heavily skewed toward immediate downside protection.Taken together, the market appears to be shifting from forced deleveraging toward early stabilisation, with scope for recovery if spot demand continues to build. Disclaimer: This report does not provide any investment advice. All data is provided for informationalĀ and educational purposes only. No investment decision shall be based on the information provided here, and you are solely responsible for your own investment decisions.Exchange balances presented are derived from Glassnode’s comprehensive database of address labels, which are amassed through both officially published exchange information and proprietary clustering algorithms. While we strive to ensure the utmost accuracy in representing exchange balances, it is important to note that these figures might not always encapsulate the entirety of an exchange’s reserves, particularly when exchanges refrain from disclosing their official addresses. We urge users to exercise caution and discretion when utilizing these metrics. Glassnode shall not be held responsible for any discrepancies or potential inaccuracies.

https://insights.glassnode.com/the-week-onchain-week-10-2026/

1 News Article Image Resilient in the Face of War

Volume 276: Digital Asset Fund Flows Weekly Report

Digital Asset Flows Remain Resilient Amid Iran-Driven Market Volatility Digital asset investment products saw US$619m of inflows, with strong early-week demand offset by late-week outflows as oil prices rose despite weak payrollĀ data. The US drove nearly all positive sentiment, recording US$646m of inflows, while Europe, Asia and Canada collectively saw modest outflows. Bitcoin dominated flows with US$521m, while Ethereum and Solana attracted notable inflows; XRP was the only major asset to see meaningful outflows. Digital asset investment products recorded inflows of US$619m last week, highlighting that the initial market reaction to the Iran crisis has been supportive for the asset class. Early optimism was evident, with inflows of US$1.44bn during the first three days of the week. However, sentiment weakened later in the week, with outflows of US$829m on Thursday and Friday, despite payroll figures coming in significantly weaker than expected. Ultimately, the rise in oil prices offset any potential decline in inflation that might otherwise have resulted from the weak payroll data. Regardless, the overall flows data points to broadly positive sentiment toward the asset class during a period of geopolitical stress.Regionally, the US was almost the sole driver of positive sentiment, recording inflows of US$646m. In contrast, investors in Europe, Asia and Canada were more cautious, with outflows of US$23.8m, US$2.2m and US$3.6m respectively.Bitcoin, accounted for the majority of inflows, totalling US$521m, although investor views remain somewhat polarised, as reflected by inflows of US$11.4m into short-bitcoin investment products.A select group of altcoins also saw inflows, most notably Ethereum at US$88.5m and Solana at US$14.6m, alongside smaller inflows into Uniswap (US$1.4m) and Chainlink (US$1.4m). XRP, however, saw outflows totalling US$30.3m.To access all our research click here.To see the full detail report, click here. Volume 276: Digital Asset Fund Flows Weekly Report was originally published in CoinShares Research Blog on Medium, where people are continuing the conversation by highlighting and responding to this story.

https://researchblog.coinshares.com/volume-276-digital-asset-fund-flows-weekly-report-5815e24a7751?source=rss----e06f679d11d---4

2 Missing News Article Image Volume 276: Digital Asset Fund Flows Weekly Report

Vaulta (prev.EOS) Price History

16.00.2026 - A Crypto was down 19.3%

  • The bearish movement in cryptocurrency token A could be attributed to the overall market sentiment shifting towards risk aversion, as indicated by the focus on derivatives analytics and the emphasis on tracking risk dynamics in options trading.
  • The market movement might have been influenced by traders' reactions to the new derivatives metrics introduced, leading to increased caution and potentially triggering selling pressure on token A.
  • The expansion of options metrics, especially the Premium and Taker Flow categories, could have provided traders with insights that influenced their trading decisions, possibly contributing to the bearish movement in cryptocurrency token A.
  • The broader market trend towards off-chain derivatives trading and the focus on risk management highlighted by the product updates may have created a risk-off environment, impacting the price action of token A negatively.

29.00.2026 - A Crypto was down 5.0%

  • The decline in Cryptocurrency Token A's value can be linked to the overall weakness in the cryptocurrency market, especially as Bitcoin faces challenges at key support levels.
  • Resistance levels, fragile short-term holder conditions, and renewed selling pressure are all factors contributing to the decline in Cryptocurrency Token A.
  • The market's responsiveness to support levels and the proportion of tokens held at a loss highlight the risk of further declines.
  • Despite potential positive indicators like stable ETF flows and improving CVD bias, the market sentiment remains cautious, leading to expectations of continued consolidation and possible further declines in Cryptocurrency Token A.

20.00.2026 - A Crypto was down 5.1%

  • The bearish movement in Cosmos (ATOM) today could be attributed to the overall negative sentiment in the cryptocurrency market.
  • The rebound in on-chain and retail demand for ATOM might not have been sufficient to counter the broader market trend.
  • The uncertainty surrounding geopolitical tensions, tariff threats, and policy-related concerns could have contributed to the bearish movement in Cosmos.
  • The potential impact of the US raid on Maduro and the speculation around his regime's Bitcoin holdings could have added to the market volatility, affecting Cosmos negatively along with other cryptocurrencies.

03.02.2026 - A Crypto was down 5.6%

  • The decrease in value of cryptocurrency token A is likely due to the general market sentiment of weak accumulation and hesitance from major players, as indicated by the Accumulation Trend Score remaining below 0.5.
  • A large amount of circulating supply is at a loss, indicating widespread unrealized losses and suggesting the market may be approaching a potential stabilization period rather than a further decline.
  • The negative Spot CVD bias and continual ETF outflows reinforce the limited structural demand, contributing to the decline in value of cryptocurrency token A.
  • The shift to a surplus loss scenario, worsening liquidity conditions, and defensive options activity all illustrate the current challenging market conditions that led to the notable decrease in value of cryptocurrency token A today.

23.00.2026 - A Crypto was up 5.3%

  • The bullish movement in Cryptocurrency token A could be attributed to the increasing on-chain demand and retail activity, as indicated by a steady rise in capital deposited on the network and ATOM futures Open Interest.
  • The overall market sentiment seems to be positive, with digital asset investment products recording strong inflows despite late-week sentiment reversal due to geopolitical tensions and policy-related uncertainty.
  • The market for Cryptocurrency token A appears to be building a base for potential further growth, with investors cautiously optimistic and waiting for the next catalyst to drive broader engagement.
  • The selective accumulation by corporate treasuries and thin derivatives activity suggest a market environment where price movements are influenced more by limited participation rather than strong conviction, emphasizing the need for a significant increase in demand momentum for a sustained breakout.

05.01.2026 - A Crypto was down 5.2%

  • The bearish movement in Cryptocurrency Token A might be linked to the broader market sentiment, as evidenced by the downward trend in Bitcoin (BTC) prices.
  • On-chain profitability metrics for BTC have significantly worsened, signaling a notable reset in unrealized gains and increased sell pressure, potentially impacting other cryptocurrencies like Token A.
  • The market is facing a tough scenario with low spot volume and limited demand continuation, reflecting a challenging environment where selling pressure is not being counteracted by significant buying interest.
  • Forced deleveraging in BTC futures markets and reduced demand from key investors are also contributing to the negative outlook, highlighting the market's susceptibility to ongoing downward pressure.
  • In summary, the bearish movement in Cryptocurrency Token A today could be linked to the overall negative sentiment prevailing in the cryptocurrency market, influenced by deteriorating on-chain metrics, weak demand, and forced deleveraging in BTC futures markets.

16.00.2026 - A Crypto was down 15.7%

  • Bitcoin is currently experiencing low-volatility consolidation, showing signs of uncertainty in market direction.
  • The rejection at the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) has strengthened the bearish trend on Bitcoin, as seen through decreased institutional interest in ETFs and bearish futures data.
  • Long-term holders are slowing down their distribution, indicating a decrease in selling pressure.
  • The recent push towards $96K was driven by short liquidations, highlighting a market with low liquidity dependent on sustained volume for support.

13.02.2026 - A Crypto was up 7.9%

  • The bullish trend of cryptocurrency token A may be linked to the positive sentiment prevailing in the broader cryptocurrency market.
  • The market dynamics may have been influenced by increased investments in digital asset products, reflecting a rising enthusiasm for this asset class.
  • The rise in spot demand and improvement in spot market conditions likely played a role in cryptocurrency token A's bullish trajectory.
  • The transition from forced deleveraging to early market stabilization hints at a possible recovery, particularly if spot demand continues to strengthen, which could further boost the movement of cryptocurrency token A.

13.02.2026 - A Crypto was up 5.1%

  • Bitcoin's bullish movement today can be attributed to several factors:
  • Positive ETF flows and institutional interest, with US Spot Bitcoin ETFs experiencing a significant shift from outflows to inflows.
  • Recovery in spot market demand, indicating buyers absorbing sell-side liquidity and potential stabilisation in market conditions.
  • Negative funding rates in perpetual futures, signaling growing short-side positioning and the potential for a short squeeze.
  • The easing of short-dated implied volatility and defensive positioning in options markets suggest a gradual shift towards a more stable phase for Bitcoin.
  • Increased call buying activity despite negative skew indicates traders cautiously positioning for upside opportunities while maintaining downside protection.
  • The concentration of negative gamma around $75K suggests a key upside magnet, with potential for accelerated upward movement if price breaches this level and triggers hedging activity.

12.01.2026 - A Crypto was up 5.4%

  • Bitcoin's bullish movement today can be attributed to:
  • Sustained absorption within the $60k–$72k range, indicating emerging conviction among buyers willing to accumulate within this corridor.
  • Lackluster spot volume during the selloff, suggesting that current activity is driven by short-term repositioning rather than sustained demand.
  • Cooling perpetual futures positioning and reduced speculative activity, signaling a market transitioning into a lower-energy phase following the recent selloff.
  • Implied volatility and skew reflecting persistent downside hedging demand, highlighting caution and fear among traders despite recent price movements.
  • In conclusion, Bitcoin's bullish movement today seems to be a result of buyers defending key support levels and the market navigating a period of balance under stress, with volatility expected to remain driven by short-term positioning dynamics.

19.00.2026 - A Crypto was down 9.5%

  • The recent rejection at the 50-day EMA has strengthened the bearish influence on Cardano, indicating a lack of positive drive in the market.
  • The reduced Open Interest and funding rates imply waning investor enthusiasm and potential selling strain on ADA.
  • Today's bearish movement might signify a temporary shift in trends, with traders likely opting to secure profits or adjust their exposure to ADA given the present market environment.
  • Observing how ADA responds to crucial support levels and any upcoming developments that could influence its price trajectory will be key.

09.02.2026 - A Crypto was down 5.6%

  • Bitcoin, the primary cryptocurrency, has been unable to surpass the $70k mark since early February, indicating a decline in buying momentum.
  • The Percent of Supply in Profit for Bitcoin has dropped to around 57%, a level typically seen in the initial phases of bear markets, suggesting an increasing number of holders facing losses.
  • Though there is a possibility of temporary relief rallies, the concentration of short-term holders around the $70k price creates a notable zone of resistance, impeding significant upward movement in the short run.
  • Market flows indicate a slight recovery, as selling pressure is diminishing and ETF outflows are stabilizing, hinting at a potential rise in institutional demand.
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Disclaimer
Morpher is not liable for the content of the AI investment insights. Like most GPT-powered tools, these summaries may contain AI hallucinations and inaccurate information. Morpher is not presenting you with any investment advice. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. These summaries do not constitute investment advice.