CME Group Inc. ($CME) Stock Forecast: Down 0.5% Today

What is CME Group Inc.?

CME Group Inc. (CME) is a leading derivatives marketplace offering a diverse range of futures and options products for risk management. Today, CME experienced a strong bearish movement in the stock market.

Why is CME Group Inc. going down?

CME stock is down 0.5% on Feb 2, 2026 15:41

• The sharp sell-off in gold and silver, triggered by increased margin requirements, contributed to the bearish movement in CME stock.
• The nomination of Kevin Warsh as the incoming Federal Reserve chair, known for his stance as a "balance sheet hawk," led to market concerns and further impacted precious metal prices, affecting CME's performance.
• The record plunge in silver prices following margin raise on Comex silver futures added to the negative sentiment surrounding precious metals, influencing CME's downward trajectory.
• While CME Group declared a quarterly dividend, the overall market sentiment driven by developments in the precious metals sector overshadowed this news, contributing to the bearish movement in CME stock.

CME Price Chart

CME Technical Analysis

CME News

Gold’s parabolic move could undermine Trump agenda, Morgan Stanley’s Wilson says

Morgan Stanley strategist Michael Wilson warns that the recent parabolic rise in gold, coupled with a weaker U.S. dollar, could politically undermine the Trump administration's agenda by raising concerns about inflation and affordability in a mid-term election year. Gold and silver experienced a sharp sell-off due to increased margin requirements from CME Group and the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the incoming Federal Reserve chair, seen as a "balance sheet hawk." Wilson suggests Warsh's appointment could stabilize markets and cool precious metal prices, giving the administration time for broader policy objectives.

https://www.investing.com/news/commodities-news/golds-parabolic-move-could-undermine-trump-agenda-morgan-stanleys-wilson-says-4478299

Gold’s parabolic move could undermine Trump agenda, Morgan Stanley’s Wilson says

Gold and silver experienced a sharp sell-off due to increased margin requirements by CME Group and the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the incoming Federal Reserve chair. Morgan Stanley strategist Michael Wilson suggested that Warsh's reputation as a "balance sheet hawk" is seen as a market-stabilizing event, cooling gold prices and supporting the dollar. Wilson warned that continued explosive gains in gold alongside a weaker dollar could become politically sensitive, potentially undermining the administration's focus on affordability in an election year.

https://in.investing.com/news/commodities-news/golds-parabolic-move-could-undermine-trump-agenda-morgan-stanleys-wilson-says-5215270

Does Record Derivatives Activity And Reddit Signals Launch Change The Bull Case For Intercontinental Exchange (ICE)?

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) recently reported record open interest in futures and options contracts and launched a Reddit Signals and Sentiment service using AI. While the record derivatives activity supports short-term earnings, the Reddit tool is seen as an incremental catalyst that enhances data offerings but doesn't resolve core risks like high debt or moderate growth forecasts. Investors hold diverse views on the company's valuation, indicating the need for further analysis beyond these developments.

https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nyse-ice/intercontinental-exchange/news/does-record-derivatives-activity-and-reddit-signals-launch-c

First Majestic Silver stock price slides 17% after silver’s record plunge — what traders watch next

First Majestic Silver (AG) stock plummeted 17.3% following a record plunge in silver prices, triggered by CME Group's announcement to raise margins on Comex silver futures, potentially curbing leveraged trades. Other silver miners also saw significant drops. Investors are now looking to upcoming U.S. factory data and the February 6 jobs report for further market direction.

https://ts2.tech/en/first-majestic-silver-stock-price-slides-17-after-silvers-record-plunge-what-traders-watch-next/

Truist Financial Corp Has $19.11 Million Position in CME Group Inc. $CME

Truist Financial Corp significantly increased its stake in CME Group Inc. in the third quarter of 2025, now holding 70,712 shares valued at approximately $19.11 million. This increase comes amidst insider trading activity, with CEO Terrence A. Duffy selling a portion of his shares while Director William R. Shepard acquired more. CME Group also declared a quarterly dividend of $1.25 per share, contributing to an annualized yield of about 1.7%.

https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/filing-truist-financial-corp-has-1911-million-position-in-cme-group-inc-cme-2026-01-31/

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CME Group Inc. Price History

05.11.2024 - CME Stock was up 0.1%

• Despite lagging behind the industry year-to-date, CME Group has a strong global presence and a compelling product portfolio.
• The focus on over-the-counter clearing services and a solid capital position are positioning CME Group for future growth.
• Investors should consider the long-term potential of CME Group given its strategic initiatives and market positioning.

24.06.2025 - CME Stock was down 1.6%

• Despite surpassing earnings and revenue estimates in Q2, CME experienced significant bearish movement.
• The market's negative reaction could be linked to profit-taking by investors following a period of robust performance.
• The outstanding trading volume and fee increases may not have fully counterbalanced broader market apprehensions or profit projections.
• Investors could be exercising caution regarding the sustainability of CME's growth trajectory amidst potential economic challenges or regulatory obstacles.

01.09.2024 - CME Stock was up 2.0%

• The decision to expand Nikkei futures offerings with the introduction of new Micro Nikkei futures might have contributed to the bullish movement.
• The expansion of Japanese equity derivatives reflects the company's focus on tapping into the Asian market, potentially attracting more investors and increasing trading volumes.
• The introduction of new futures offerings demonstrates CME's commitment to innovation and meeting market demands, likely fostering positive sentiment among investors and driving the bullish stock movement.

03.05.2025 - CME Stock was down 2.5%

• The decrease in CME Group's short percent of float could indicate a lack of bearish sentiment among traders, potentially contributing to the bullish movement.
• The relatively low percentage of shares sold short compared to the total available for trading suggests a level of confidence in the company's performance.
• This shift in market sentiment towards CME Group may have been a key factor in the stock's strong bearish movement today.

20.05.2025 - CME Stock was down 2.7%

• The bearish movement in CME stock today could be attributed to the overall negative sentiment in the market, possibly driven by profit-taking or concerns about economic uncertainties.
• Ongoing geopolitical tensions could have also contributed to the bearish movement in CME stock, as investors may be shifting their focus towards safer assets amid the uncertainty.
• The declaration of dividends by US Financial 15 Split Corp. may have attracted some investors away from CME stock, leading to selling pressure.
• The focus on Bitcoin-centric stocks like CME amid the cryptocurrency's resilience above $100K could have also played a role in diverting attention and funds away from traditional assets like CME, impacting its stock price negatively.

02.01.2026 - CME Stock was down 0.5%

• The sharp sell-off in gold and silver, triggered by increased margin requirements, contributed to the bearish movement in CME stock.
• The nomination of Kevin Warsh as the incoming Federal Reserve chair, known for his stance as a "balance sheet hawk," led to market concerns and further impacted precious metal prices, affecting CME's performance.
• The record plunge in silver prices following margin raise on Comex silver futures added to the negative sentiment surrounding precious metals, influencing CME's downward trajectory.
• While CME Group declared a quarterly dividend, the overall market sentiment driven by developments in the precious metals sector overshadowed this news, contributing to the bearish movement in CME stock.

04.03.2025 - CME Stock was down 5.1%

• The long-term performance of CME Group has been positive, but recent market movements may have triggered a bearish trend.
• A warning about potential stock declines in the financial sector, including CME, could have influenced investor sentiment and contributed to the bearish movement.
• Expectations of CME beating earnings estimates in the next report may have created a short-term positive outlook, but the overall market sentiment seems to have overshadowed this potential positive news.

08.06.2025 - CME Stock was down 0.5%

• The launch of CME's FX Tape+ to enhance transparency in the FX market may have initially sparked investor interest, but the overall market sentiment turned bearish for the stock.
• MarketAxess hitting $1 trillion in credit trades in Q2 with strong fixed-income volumes might have overshadowed CME's developments, leading to a sell-off.
• The focus on crypto-centric stocks like CME in anticipation of the next Bitcoin rally could have diverted attention away from traditional financial instruments, contributing to the bearish movement.
• The slip in fees per million for MarketAxess due to mix shifts may have raised concerns about revenue generation for financial market platforms, including CME, leading to a negative market reaction.

04.03.2025 - CME Stock was down 1.8%

• The bearish movement in CME Group's stock today could be attributed to:
• Concerns raised about financial stocks potentially facing a downturn in April, which might have influenced investor sentiment towards CME.
• The increase in CME Group's short percent of float, indicating a rise in bearish bets on the stock, potentially putting downward pressure on its price.
• Despite the positive outlook for beating earnings estimates, market participants may have reacted to broader market trends or specific company-related factors leading to the bearish movement.

22.07.2025 - CME Stock was down 1.5%

• A partnership between CME Group and FanDuel to develop an innovative event contracts platform could have sparked concerns among investors about potential risks and uncertainties associated with exploring a new market segment.
• Market reactions to this news may have been negative, signaling a perceived departure from CME Group's primary business focus and leading to a stock sell-off.
• Investor caution regarding the impact of the partnership on CME Group's financial performance and its alignment with the company's growth strategy could be contributing to a bearish sentiment in the market.

12.07.2025 - CME Stock was down 3.4%

• Short percent of float for CME Group has seen a 9.59% decrease since the previous update, suggesting a decline in bearish positions on the stock.
• Currently, 4.73 million shares have been sold short, accounting for 1.32% of all regular shares available for trading, indicating some short covering.
• The decrease in short interest may be attributed to positive developments within the company, resulting in bearish market activity as short sellers close their positions.
• Traders appear to be reevaluating their stances on CME Group, leading to a significant bearish movement in the stock today.

06.00.2026 - CME Stock was down 1.2%

• An increased price target and "outperform" rating set by Raymond James Financial did not prevent the bearish movement in CME Group, suggesting other influences on the stock's performance.
• Despite surpassing Q3 EPS estimates, a 3% revenue decline was observed in CME Group, potentially affecting the bearish market trend.
• The general negative market sentiment, potentially influenced by natural gas price decreases and upcoming market events like the U.S. EIA storage report, might have also played a role in CME Group's stock performance.
• Investors should analyze multiple factors such as market trends, regulatory changes, and industry-specific updates to evaluate the performance of stocks like CME Group amidst market shifts.