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Solana ($SOL) Crypto Forecast: Up 5.0% Today

Morpher AI identified a bullish signal. The crypto price may continue to rise based on the momentum of the good news.

What is Solana?

Asset Solana (SOL) is a popular cryptocurrency token known for its high-speed transactions and scalability. It has gained significant attention in the crypto market due to its innovative technology and growing ecosystem.

Why is Solana going up?

SOL crypto is up 5.0% on Dec 12, 2025 2:55

  • SOL experienced a strong bullish movement today, likely driven by several factors:
  • Bullish potential on institutional and retail confidence, as indicated by persistent inflows into Solana Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), suggesting a growing trust in the token.
  • A rise in funding rate in derivatives data, signaling reduced incentive for traders to hold short positions, which may have contributed to increased buying pressure on SOL.
  • The broader market weakness following a recent regulatory event might have initially dampened market sentiment but was overshadowed by the positive factors supporting SOL's upward momentum.

SOL Price Chart

SOL Technical Analysis

SOL News

Measuring Market Asymmetry: The Glassnode Skew Index

When assessing options markets, one of the most powerful signals is skew: how the market prices risk on the upside versus the downside. The standard approach for traders is to look at the 25-delta skew: a simple comparison between the implied volatility of a 25-delta call and a 25-delta put. This method is effective, simple and familiar, but it samples only two points on the volatility curve. As a result, it often misses structure embedded in the rest of the surface.The Glassnode Skew Index addresses this by aggregating information across the full smile, producing a more robust signal of where risk is being priced. We explain the purpose of the new metric, how it is constructed, and how it can fit into the broader toolkit of options analysis. To access the new metrics visit Glassnode Studio. Available to Professional plan users. View metrics Introducing the Glassnode Skew Index Instead of focusing on two isolated strikes, the Glassnode Skew Index condenses the entire shape of the volatility smile into a single, intuitive measure of market asymmetry.We divide the curve into two regions: one representing downside risk, and one representing upside potential. Each region is transformed into a standardized volatility measure as we calculate how much volatility the market is pricing into that segment. DownVol represents the total implied volatility from out-of-the-money put options — protection against falling prices. When traders rush to buy puts, DownVol rises, signalling fear or a desire to hedge. UpVol captures the opposite: the total volatility priced into out-of-the-money call options. This reflects how much traders are willing to pay for upside exposure or potential short-squeeze gains. When call demand increases, UpVol rises, often alongside strong bullish sentiment. The difference between these two components gives us the skew index: Glassnode Skew Index = UpVol - DownVol Positive values indicate a market that’s paying more for upside volatility – typically driven by optimism, momentum, or speculative call buying. Negative values mean downside protection dominates, as investors prioritize safety and hedging over chasing upside. In practical terms, The Glassnode Skew Index shows whether option traders are more concerned about a crash down, or more excited about a breakout up – and by how much. View live Chart View live Chart How to Use the Skew Index The Skew Index can be applied in several ways to interpret options market positioning, identify sentiment regimes, and understand how traders are distributing risk across upside and downside scenarios. Map the Current Sentiment Regime The index can help contextualize prevailing market conditions: Deeply negative values indicate a market that is paying a premium for downside protection, consistent with defensive positioning. Strongly positive values indicate that investors are paying more for upside participation, often in the context of strong trends and speculative call activity. Monitoring these extremes helps identify when fear or euphoria dominates the options market. Use it as a Confirmation or Divergence Tool The index can complement movements in spot price: A rising Skew Index alongside a rising spot price suggests that the options market is reinforcing the move through increased demand for upside volatility. A rally in spot with a Skew Index that stays sharply negative points to a distrusted move, where traders remain hedged and cautious. A falling market with a heavily negative Skew Index confirms a classic risk-off environment with significant demand for protection. A falling market with a positive Skew Index can indicate that traders are already looking through the weakness and positioning for a recovery. This makes the index useful for evaluating whether options flows validate or contradict price action. Interpreting Tenor Combinations Different tenors can convey different layers of sentiment: A negative 1-week skew with neutral or positive 3- and 6-month values often indicates temporary stress overlaying a constructive medium- and long-term outlook. A very positive 1-week skew with subdued longer tenors suggests that traders are enthusiastic about the near-term, but reluctant to extend risk far into the future. When skew is consistently elevated or depressed across all tenors, it points to a stable, regime-like sentiment environment rather than a short-lived spike. For example, in June 2022, we saw a clear tenor divergence: the 1-week Skew Index (red) plunged into deeply negative territory, signalling aggressive demand for short-dated puts over calls. Meanwhile, the 3-month (yellow) and 6-month (green) skews moved higher, indicating that investors were still willing to pay relatively more for upside exposure further out the curve. In other words, the fear was mainly short-term, and longer-dated options continued to lean towards upside scenarios, implying that many participants expect better prices further out on the horizon. View live Chart How it Works Under the Hood We calculate the Glassnode Skew Index by aggregating option prices across many strikes on both sides of the distribution. These prices are transformed into standardized measures of upside and downside implied volatility, aligned to fixed maturities such as 1 week, 1 month, 3 months, and 6 months.We then combine data across major venues so traders can compare BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, or PAXG on consistent terms. This standardization removes the distortions that arise from strike irregularities, liquidity gaps, or exchange-specific conventions.The result is a cross-asset, cross-tenor gauge of options market sentiment that captures the full structure of the volatility smile rather than relying on a single-point skew measure.Available for: Resolutions: 10 minutes, hourly, daily Tenors: 1 week, 1 month, 3 months, 6 months Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, PAXG Exchanges: Deribit, OKX Options data is a major focus for Glassnode's product development. We are scaling our coverage with new metrics that extend the depth of our volatility tooling, broaden analytical use cases, and give professionals a more complete view of positioning and risk across the market. Follow us on X for timely market updates and analysis Join our Telegram channel for regular market insights For on-chain metrics, dashboards, and alerts, visit Glassnode Studio Disclaimer: This report is for informational and educational purposes only. The analysis represents a limited case study with significant constraints and should not be interpreted as investment advice or definitive trading signals. Past performance patterns do not guarantee future results. Always conduct thorough due diligence and consider multiple factors before making investment decisions.

https://insights.glassnode.com/glassnode-skew-index/

0 News Article Image Measuring Market Asymmetry: The Glassnode Skew Index

Solana Price Forecast: SOL dips as hawkish Fed cuts dampen market sentiment

Solana (SOL) price is trading below $130 at the time of writing on Thursday, after being rejected at the upper boundary of its falling wedge pattern. The broader market weakness following the Federal Reserve’s hawkish rate cut has added to downside momentum.

https://www.fxstreet.com/cryptocurrencies/news/solana-price-forecast-sol-dips-as-hawkish-fed-cuts-dampen-market-sentiment-202512110528

1 News Article Image Solana Price Forecast: SOL dips as hawkish Fed cuts dampen market sentiment

Solana Price Forecast: SOL flashes bullish potential on institutional, retail confidence

Solana (SOL) extends its upward trend for the third consecutive day, trading within a consolidation range of $121-$145. Persistent inflows into Solana Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) over the last four days suggest steady institutional confidence.

https://www.fxstreet.com/cryptocurrencies/news/solana-price-forecast-sol-flashes-bullish-potential-on-institutional-retail-confidence-202512100646

2 News Article Image Solana Price Forecast: SOL flashes bullish potential on institutional, retail confidence

Solana Price Forecast: SOL flashes breakout potential on steady derivatives, ETF demand

Solana (SOL) edges higher by almost 5% at press time on Monday after a Doji candle formation on Sunday. Derivatives data indicate a rise in funding rate, signaling reduced incentive for traders to hold short positions.

https://www.fxstreet.com/cryptocurrencies/news/solana-price-forecast-sol-flashes-breakout-potential-on-steady-derivatives-etf-demand-202512081009

3 News Article Image Solana Price Forecast: SOL flashes breakout potential on steady derivatives, ETF demand

Solana Price History

10.11.2025 - SOL Crypto was up 5.6%

  • SOL's bullish movement can be attributed to increasing institutional and retail confidence, as evidenced by steady inflows into Solana Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs).
  • The rise in SOL's price is further supported by a decrease in funding rates in derivatives, indicating a reduced incentive for traders to hold short positions, leading to a positive sentiment in the market.
  • The introduction of new Interpolated Implied Volatility metrics for SOL and other assets by a data analytics firm may have also contributed to a more comprehensive understanding of risk pricing in the market, potentially boosting investor confidence in SOL's long-term prospects.
  • Overall, the combination of growing institutional interest, reduced short positions, and enhanced risk analysis tools has likely fueled SOL's bullish momentum, signaling a positive outlook for the cryptocurrency in the near term.

26.10.2025 - SOL Crypto was up 5.0%

  • SOL saw a strong bullish movement, trading above $141 today.
  • The launch of the 21Shares Solana exchange-traded fund (ETF) with a $100 million AUM likely contributed to increased investor interest and buying pressure on SOL.
  • Despite recent bearish signals and outflows in digital asset investment products, steady ETF inflows and positive market sentiment towards SOL helped drive the price up.
  • The rapid recovery from $130 to over $141 demonstrates SOL's resilience amidst broader market uncertainty and high volatility.

05.11.2025 - SOL Crypto was down 5.0%

  • The bearish movement in SOL today may be linked to the intense selling pressure and consecutive bearish daily candles, suggesting a change in sentiment towards the token.
  • The previous surge in demand for SOL ETFs and derivatives likely provided an initial boost to the token's price, but a subsequent narrative shift in derivatives markets resulted in weakened strength and the bearish trend.
  • The discussion on a structured approach to implied volatility data emphasizes the significance of examining risk sentiment and pricing across specific deltas and maturities, influencing traders' SOL-related decisions.
  • The market movement of SOL today is shaped by evolving narratives in derivatives markets, investor sentiment, and the general volatility in the cryptocurrency market.

25.10.2025 - SOL Crypto was up 5.3%

  • SOL saw a strong bullish movement today, reaching above $140, following the launch of the 21Shares Solana exchange-traded fund (ETF) with a significant $100 million in assets under management.
  • The steady inflows into the new spot ETF contributed to boosting investor sentiment towards SOL, leading to a price stabilization around $140.
  • Despite some bearish signals and price fluctuations earlier in the week, the introduction of the ETF acted as a catalyst for SOL's upward momentum, demonstrating institutional interest and investment vehicles' impact on cryptocurrency prices.
  • The market's positive response to the ETF launch highlights the role of new financial products and investment opportunities in driving favorable price action for cryptocurrencies like SOL.

11.11.2025 - SOL Crypto was down 5.8%

  • Today's bearish movement in SOL is linked to the broader market weakness following the Federal Reserve's hawkish rate cut, impacting overall market sentiment.
  • Despite recent signs of bullish potential and breakout signals, factors such as rejection at the upper boundary of the falling wedge pattern and a rise in funding rate reducing short position incentives have likely contributed to the downward momentum in SOL.
  • The market appears sensitive to external factors like central bank policies and investor sentiment, leading to price fluctuations in SOL despite positive indicators such as institutional and retail confidence, as well as steady derivatives and ETF demand.
  • Traders need to monitor market developments and sentiment shifts closely to navigate the volatility in SOL and make informed trading decisions amidst ongoing market uncertainties.

03.11.2025 - SOL Crypto was up 12.5%

  • The bullish movement in SOL today can be attributed to the rising demand in SOL ETFs and derivatives, especially with a well-known investment company offering crypto ETFs that include Solana. This has boosted investor sentiment and led to a strong rebound in SOL's price.
  • On the other hand, the bearish movement in SOL in the past was influenced by a shift in derivatives markets, causing intense selling pressure and consecutive daily losses. This indicates a temporary loss of strength in SOL's market performance.
  • A security breach and subsequent $37 million loss at an exchange due to a compromised Solana wallet could have initially impacted SOL's price negatively, but the market seems to have recovered from this incident.
  • The launch of an exchange-traded product (ETP) tracking the price of the Solana memecoin Bonk on a European exchange in partnership with an investment firm might have also contributed to the positive momentum in SOL, showcasing growing interest and adoption in the Solana ecosystem.

01.11.2025 - SOL Crypto was down 6.4%

  • SOL traded at $126 under intense selling pressure, marking the fifth straight bearish daily candle, reflecting a bearish sentiment in the market.
  • The hack on Upbit's Solana wallet, resulting in a $37 million loss, could have contributed to negative sentiment and increased selling pressure on SOL.
  • Despite the launch of an exchange-traded product (ETP) for the memecoin Bonk on SIX Swiss Exchange, SOL's price remained under pressure, indicating that external factors like the hack overshadowed positive developments.
  • The outflows of $156 million from Solana in digital asset investment products also added to the downward pressure on SOL's price, as investors moved away from the token amidst the broader market uncertainty.

01.11.2025 - SOL Crypto was down 5.1%

  • A $37 million hack on Upbit's Solana wallet likely contributed to the bearish movement, causing concerns about security in the Solana ecosystem.
  • The launch of the memecoin Bonk's ETP on the European exchange may have diverted some attention and investment away from SOL, impacting its price negatively.
  • The overall risk-off sentiment in the broader cryptocurrency market, as indicated by Solana trading below $130 and showing high volatility, could have further exacerbated the bearish movement.
  • Significant outflows of $156 million from Solana in digital asset investment products, amidst the broader outflows in the market, also added selling pressure on SOL, reflecting a shift in investor sentiment away from the token.

08.11.2025 - SOL Crypto was up 5.2%

  • SOL prices surged over 10% in the last 24 hours, showing a strong bullish movement.
  • Rising demand in SOL Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and derivatives, particularly due to the availability of crypto ETFs including Solana by Vanguard, has supported this bullish rebound.
  • The increased interest in SOL ETFs and derivatives has boosted risk-on sentiment among investors, leading to further gains in the token's price.
  • Derivatives data reveal a rise in the funding rate, which is diminishing the incentive for traders to maintain short positions and is contributing to the upward momentum in SOL's price.

24.10.2025 - SOL Crypto was up 5.1%

  • SOL reached above $140 today due to a strong bullish movement.
  • The launch of the 21Shares Solana ETF with a $100 million AUM likely boosted investor sentiment, contributing to the positive price action.
  • Despite recent bearish signals and sell-off waves, steady inflows into the ETF and the overall market recovery supported SOL's stabilization and upward movement.
  • The market movement reflects the impact of new investment products and increasing interest in Solana, demonstrating its resilience amidst market volatility.

11.11.2025 - SOL Crypto was down 5.1%

  • The bearish movement in SOL today could be linked to the broader market weakness ensuing after the Federal Reserve's hawkish rate cut, which affected overall market sentiment.
  • Despite recent optimism from institutional and retail sectors, factors such as rejection at the upper boundary of the falling wedge pattern and decreased trader interest in holding short positions, as indicated by derivatives data, may have influenced the bearish movement.
  • The evolving sentiment in the options market, highlighted by the Glassnode Skew Index and Interpolated Implied Volatility metrics, might have contributed to the uncertainty and volatility surrounding SOL, thus impacting its bearish movement today.
  • In summary, a combination of macroeconomic conditions, technical patterns, and options market sentiment likely contributed to the bearish movement experienced by SOL on this day.

12.11.2025 - SOL Crypto was up 5.0%

  • SOL experienced a strong bullish movement today, likely driven by several factors:
  • Bullish potential on institutional and retail confidence, as indicated by persistent inflows into Solana Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), suggesting a growing trust in the token.
  • A rise in funding rate in derivatives data, signaling reduced incentive for traders to hold short positions, which may have contributed to increased buying pressure on SOL.
  • The broader market weakness following a recent regulatory event might have initially dampened market sentiment but was overshadowed by the positive factors supporting SOL's upward momentum.
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Disclaimer
Morpher is not liable for the content of the AI investment insights. Like most GPT-powered tools, these summaries may contain AI hallucinations and inaccurate information. Morpher is not presenting you with any investment advice. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. These summaries do not constitute investment advice.