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Solana ($SOL) Crypto Forecast: Down 5.0% Today

Morpher AI identified a bearish signal. The crypto price may continue to fall based on the momentum of the negative news.

What is Solana?

Solana (SOL) is a popular cryptocurrency token known for its high-speed transactions and scalability. The overall cryptocurrency market has been volatile recently, with investors closely monitoring various tokens for trading opportunities.

Why is Solana going down?

SOL crypto is down 5.0% on Dec 5, 2025 9:40

  • The bearish movement in SOL today may be linked to the intense selling pressure and consecutive bearish daily candles, suggesting a change in sentiment towards the token.
  • The previous surge in demand for SOL ETFs and derivatives likely provided an initial boost to the token's price, but a subsequent narrative shift in derivatives markets resulted in weakened strength and the bearish trend.
  • The discussion on a structured approach to implied volatility data emphasizes the significance of examining risk sentiment and pricing across specific deltas and maturities, influencing traders' SOL-related decisions.
  • The market movement of SOL today is shaped by evolving narratives in derivatives markets, investor sentiment, and the general volatility in the cryptocurrency market.

SOL Price Chart

SOL Technical Analysis

SOL News

Beyond the Skew: A Structured Approach to Implied Volatility Data

Options markets encode a substantial amount of information about expected volatility and tail risk. Within the industry, 25-delta skew remains the go-to metric for viewing the digital asset options market. Skew is a powerful signal – it indicates how much more investors are willing to pay for downside protection relative to upside exposure. However, it is ultimately just one slice of a much richer volatility surface.To move beyond this single-point view and make the full surface analytically usable, we are introducing a new suite of Interpolated Implied Volatility metrics that map IV across deltas and maturities. Users can now work with a continuous, model-driven representation that preserves structure, reduces noise, and supports cross-asset and cross-tenor comparison.Options data is a major focus for Glassnode's product development. We are scaling our coverage with new metrics that extend the depth of our volatility tooling, broaden analytical use cases, and give professionals a more complete view of positioning and risk across the market. New Interpolated IV Metrics We have converted the raw, noisy volatility surface into a clean, standardized grid, allowing you to isolate specific risks with precision: Deltas: 5D, 10D, 15D, 20D, 25D, 50D Tenors: 1 week, 1 month, 3 months, 6 months Option types: Calls and Puts Assets: BTC, ETH, and now SOL, BNB, XRP and PAXG Resolutions: 10m, hourly, daily Each time series represents the model-interpolated IV at a target delta and tenor, for a specific asset, exchange and quote currency. For example, “BTC: Put IV Delta 10 (All)” is the 10-delta put implied volatility curve across tenors, cleaned and interpolated from the live surface. Access live chart Access Live Chart Why Do We Need Interpolation? Options data in the real world is irregular. Exchanges list many strikes and expiries, but liquidity is uneven and can shift throughout the day. As a result, the raw volatility surface contains structural gaps: certain deltas rarely trade, some maturities are thin, and the specific points analysts care about (e.g., a 10-delta Put at exactly 1 month) often do not appear in the quoted market at all.Instead of relying on whichever contracts happened to trade at a given moment —which can introduce noise and instability — we use neighboring quotes to infer a consistent value for each target delta and tenor. The procedure, in simplified form, is: Identify the two quoted options bracketing the target delta (one slightly below, one slightly above). Infer the implied volatility at the target delta using these neighboring quotes. Apply the same logic across maturities to obtain standardized IV values at 1w, 1m, 3m, and 6m. This produces a smooth, time-consistent volatility surface that avoids gaps, filters out abrupt jumps, and does not depend on illiquid or irregular strikes. Analysts can therefore reference the same points on the surface at every timestamp, independent of market microstructure effects. A Move from Broad Indicators to Granular Analysis This update moves the focus away from broad measures to a structured, point-by-point set of IV metrics to examine how the market prices risk across specific deltas, maturities, and option types.Go beyond 25D skew: Separate call and put legs at 5D–50D and see exactly where the market is paying for downside protection or bidding for upside exposure. This allows you to evaluate risk sentiment more precisely than skew, which compresses all this information into one value.Compare risk across assets: These metrics make it possible to assess whether the market is pricing more crash risk into BTC or ETH. By overlaying their 10-delta Put IV time series, you can directly observe which asset carries the higher downside premium at any point in time, without being affected by differences in strike listings or liquidity conditions.Identify cross-asset opportunities: Standardized delta buckets also help reveal shifts in relative demand. For example, if SOL 25D Call IV is rising while BTC 25D Call IV remains stable, the interpolated series makes that divergence easy to detect and quantify, which may signal rotation toward higher-beta assets or a change in market expectations for altcoin volatility.Monitor term structure: The normalized tenors (1-week to 6-months) let you observe how the market is pricing short-term stress versus longer-term repricing. A widening spread between front-end IV and longer-dated IV can indicate immediate uncertainty, while a flattening or inversion may reflect broader shifts in macro or structural expectations.Build systematic strategies: Because the metrics are interpolated, each time series is cleaned, stable, and normalized to standard tenors. This removes noise introduced by irregular strikes and uneven trading activity, making the data suitable for direct integration into systematic strategies, backtests, and execution models without requiring additional preprocessing.This new suite is the foundation for the next wave of options analytics at Glassnode and a more precise way for you to see how the market is really pricing risk. Follow us on X for timely market updates and analysis Join our Telegram channel for regular market insights For on-chain metrics, dashboards, and alerts, visit Glassnode Studio Disclaimer: This report is for informational and educational purposes only. The analysis represents a limited case study with significant constraints and should not be interpreted as investment advice or definitive trading signals. Past performance patterns do not guarantee future results. Always conduct thorough due diligence and consider multiple factors before making investment decisions.

https://insights.glassnode.com/new-implied-volatility-metrics/

0 News Article Image Beyond the Skew: A Structured Approach to Implied Volatility Data

Solana Price Forecast: Rising demand in SOL ETFs and derivatives boosts bullish rebound

Solana (SOL) trades above $140 by press time on Wednesday, up over 10% in the last 24 hours as Vanguard offers crypto Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), including Solana ETFs. The sudden recovery boosts risk-on sentiment in Solana derivatives as investors anticipate further gains.

https://www.fxstreet.com/cryptocurrencies/news/solana-price-forecast-rising-demand-in-sol-etfs-and-derivatives-boosts-bullish-rebound-202512030603

1 News Article Image Solana Price Forecast: Rising demand in SOL ETFs and derivatives boosts bullish rebound

Solana Price Forecast: SOL loses strength as narrative shifts in derivatives markets

Solana (SOL) trades at $126 under intense selling pressure, recording a 5% intraday loss by press time on Monday, marking the fifth straight bearish daily candle.

https://www.fxstreet.com/cryptocurrencies/news/solana-price-forecast-sol-loses-strength-as-narrative-shifts-in-derivatives-markets-202512010751

2 News Article Image Solana Price Forecast: SOL loses strength as narrative shifts in derivatives markets

Solana Price History

17.10.2025 - SOL Crypto was down 5.2%

  • SOL underwent a bearish trend, reaching a five-month low, marking the third consecutive week of decline with a loss exceeding 13% for this week.
  • The diminished sentiment and reduced institutional interest in SOL, illustrated by minimal net inflows in Solana spot ETFs, played a role in pushing the token's value down.
  • Despite the positive overall market sentiment, SOL struggled to register growth, diverging from the recovery observed in alternative cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin Cash.
  • A falling wedge pattern has materialized, suggesting a potential 22% upturn for SOL, which could serve as a hopeful sign for traders seeking a reversal from the token's downward trajectory.

26.10.2025 - SOL Crypto was up 5.0%

  • SOL saw a strong bullish movement, trading above $141 today.
  • The launch of the 21Shares Solana exchange-traded fund (ETF) with a $100 million AUM likely contributed to increased investor interest and buying pressure on SOL.
  • Despite recent bearish signals and outflows in digital asset investment products, steady ETF inflows and positive market sentiment towards SOL helped drive the price up.
  • The rapid recovery from $130 to over $141 demonstrates SOL's resilience amidst broader market uncertainty and high volatility.

05.11.2025 - SOL Crypto was down 5.0%

  • The bearish movement in SOL today may be linked to the intense selling pressure and consecutive bearish daily candles, suggesting a change in sentiment towards the token.
  • The previous surge in demand for SOL ETFs and derivatives likely provided an initial boost to the token's price, but a subsequent narrative shift in derivatives markets resulted in weakened strength and the bearish trend.
  • The discussion on a structured approach to implied volatility data emphasizes the significance of examining risk sentiment and pricing across specific deltas and maturities, influencing traders' SOL-related decisions.
  • The market movement of SOL today is shaped by evolving narratives in derivatives markets, investor sentiment, and the general volatility in the cryptocurrency market.

25.10.2025 - SOL Crypto was up 5.3%

  • SOL saw a strong bullish movement today, reaching above $140, following the launch of the 21Shares Solana exchange-traded fund (ETF) with a significant $100 million in assets under management.
  • The steady inflows into the new spot ETF contributed to boosting investor sentiment towards SOL, leading to a price stabilization around $140.
  • Despite some bearish signals and price fluctuations earlier in the week, the introduction of the ETF acted as a catalyst for SOL's upward momentum, demonstrating institutional interest and investment vehicles' impact on cryptocurrency prices.
  • The market's positive response to the ETF launch highlights the role of new financial products and investment opportunities in driving favorable price action for cryptocurrencies like SOL.

19.10.2025 - SOL Crypto was down 6.4%

  • The launch of the 21Shares Solana exchange-traded fund (ETF) on CBOE with $100 million AUM could have initially boosted sentiment around SOL.
  • However, despite the favorable development, SOL struggled to maintain its price and hit a key support level as selling pressure intensified.
  • The softer institutional demand for Solana spot ETFs in the US, combined with the overall bearish sentiment in the cryptocurrency market, likely contributed to SOL tumbling to a five-month low.
  • While other cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin Cash (BCH) showed signs of recovery, SOL faced challenges in regaining bullish momentum, leading to its third consecutive week of losses.

19.10.2025 - SOL Crypto was down 5.3%

  • SOL experienced a strong bearish movement, dropping to a five-month low, with a decrease of over 13% for the week.
  • The launch of new spot ETFs for SOL did not have the intended positive impact, as institutional demand softened, leading to weaker sentiment.
  • Despite hints of recovery in the broader market, SOL struggled to post gains, indicating a lack of bullish momentum.
  • The heightened selling pressure and key support levels being tested suggest that investors may be cautious about the future performance of SOL in the current market conditions.

03.11.2025 - SOL Crypto was up 12.5%

  • The bullish movement in SOL today can be attributed to the rising demand in SOL ETFs and derivatives, especially with a well-known investment company offering crypto ETFs that include Solana. This has boosted investor sentiment and led to a strong rebound in SOL's price.
  • On the other hand, the bearish movement in SOL in the past was influenced by a shift in derivatives markets, causing intense selling pressure and consecutive daily losses. This indicates a temporary loss of strength in SOL's market performance.
  • A security breach and subsequent $37 million loss at an exchange due to a compromised Solana wallet could have initially impacted SOL's price negatively, but the market seems to have recovered from this incident.
  • The launch of an exchange-traded product (ETP) tracking the price of the Solana memecoin Bonk on a European exchange in partnership with an investment firm might have also contributed to the positive momentum in SOL, showcasing growing interest and adoption in the Solana ecosystem.

18.10.2025 - SOL Crypto was up 5.8%

  • SOL surged by 2% today, holding above the $130 mark, indicating renewed investor interest and buying pressure.
  • Despite recent losses and weakened sentiment, SOL managed to bounce back, possibly fueled by positive market sentiment and renewed confidence in the cryptocurrency.
  • The recovery in SOL's price could also be attributed to the overall positive momentum in the cryptocurrency market, with Bitcoin Cash (BCH) also showing signs of recovery, hinting at a broader market uptrend.
  • The bearish sentiment from the previous weeks due to softer institutional demand seems to have subsided, allowing SOL to find support and push higher.

01.11.2025 - SOL Crypto was down 6.4%

  • SOL traded at $126 under intense selling pressure, marking the fifth straight bearish daily candle, reflecting a bearish sentiment in the market.
  • The hack on Upbit's Solana wallet, resulting in a $37 million loss, could have contributed to negative sentiment and increased selling pressure on SOL.
  • Despite the launch of an exchange-traded product (ETP) for the memecoin Bonk on SIX Swiss Exchange, SOL's price remained under pressure, indicating that external factors like the hack overshadowed positive developments.
  • The outflows of $156 million from Solana in digital asset investment products also added to the downward pressure on SOL's price, as investors moved away from the token amidst the broader market uncertainty.

01.11.2025 - SOL Crypto was down 5.1%

  • A $37 million hack on Upbit's Solana wallet likely contributed to the bearish movement, causing concerns about security in the Solana ecosystem.
  • The launch of the memecoin Bonk's ETP on the European exchange may have diverted some attention and investment away from SOL, impacting its price negatively.
  • The overall risk-off sentiment in the broader cryptocurrency market, as indicated by Solana trading below $130 and showing high volatility, could have further exacerbated the bearish movement.
  • Significant outflows of $156 million from Solana in digital asset investment products, amidst the broader outflows in the market, also added selling pressure on SOL, reflecting a shift in investor sentiment away from the token.

24.10.2025 - SOL Crypto was up 5.1%

  • SOL reached above $140 today due to a strong bullish movement.
  • The launch of the 21Shares Solana ETF with a $100 million AUM likely boosted investor sentiment, contributing to the positive price action.
  • Despite recent bearish signals and sell-off waves, steady inflows into the ETF and the overall market recovery supported SOL's stabilization and upward movement.
  • The market movement reflects the impact of new investment products and increasing interest in Solana, demonstrating its resilience amidst market volatility.

21.10.2025 - SOL Crypto was down 5.6%

  • The launch of the 21Shares Solana ETF with a substantial $100 million AUM could have initially boosted sentiment and led to a short-term price increase.
  • Despite the positive news, the overall bearish market sentiment and sell-off wave in the cryptocurrency market likely contributed to SOL hitting key support levels and experiencing a strong bearish movement.
  • The recovery muscle shown by SOL after the ETF launch was not enough to sustain bullish momentum in the face of broader market trends, as evidenced by the struggles of other top altcoins like Ethereum and BNB.
  • The knee-jerk recovery from the previous day's low could indicate short-term price volatility and uncertainty among investors, reflecting the ongoing turbulence in the cryptocurrency market.
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Disclaimer
Morpher is not liable for the content of the AI investment insights. Like most GPT-powered tools, these summaries may contain AI hallucinations and inaccurate information. Morpher is not presenting you with any investment advice. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. These summaries do not constitute investment advice.