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Solana ($SOL) Crypto Forecast: Up 6.6% Today

Morpher AI identified a bullish signal. The crypto price may continue to rise based on the momentum of the good news.

What is Solana?

Solana (SOL) is a popular cryptocurrency token known for its high-performance blockchain platform that aims to provide fast and scalable decentralized applications. The market for cryptocurrencies has been volatile, with investors closely monitoring various factors such as adoption, technological developments, and market trends.

Why is Solana going up?

SOL crypto is up 6.6% on Dec 19, 2025 19:36

  • Solana (SOL) experienced a strong bullish movement today, potentially influenced by positive market sentiment and developments within the cryptocurrency space.
  • The announcement by Anthony Scaramucci, CEO of SkyBridge Capital, regarding the potential cost-saving benefits of Solana-powered asset tokenization could have contributed to increased investor interest and buying pressure on SOL.
  • Despite facing bearish pressure in recent days, SOL's resilience and stability during a DDoS attack on its blockchain may have instilled confidence in investors, leading to renewed buying activity.
  • The upcoming integration of Ondo Finance with Solana to expand its tokenized stocks and ETFs platform could have also generated excitement around SOL, driving its price higher as investors anticipate increased utility and adoption of the cryptocurrency.

SOL Price Chart

SOL Technical Analysis

SOL News

Introducing: Taker-Flow-Based Gamma Exposure

In options markets, dealer hedging flows play a central role in shaping short-term price behavior. Gamma Exposure (GEX) is used to identify where those hedging flows are likely to stabilize price action and where they may amplify moves. While GEX is well established in equity and index options, applying it directly to crypto markets is problematic.Crypto options markets differ materially in participant behavior and in how dealer positioning can be inferred from market data. To account for this, we reconstruct a flow-based Gama exposure measure tailored to crypto options markets, designed to recover how dealer positioning evolves across strikes and maturities. We show how this framework can be used to interpret volatility regimes and identify price zones where dealer hedging may meaningfully influence market dynamics. To start using the new metric, visit Glassnode Studio. Available to Professional plan users. Visit metric What is Gamma Exposure and Why it Matters Gamma Exposure (GEX) measures how options market-makers’ hedging flows react to movements in the underlying asset.Market makers, who typically maintain delta-neutral positions, must continuously hedge their gamma exposure by buying or selling futures or spot to offset the delta of the options they’ve sold or bought. When price moves, option deltas change (that is gamma), forcing dealers to rebalance. These rebalancing flows create structural feedback loops in the market and are a source of some of the most significant mechanically driven flows observed in the equity markets.At the core of this dynamic, the taker is the end user — a trader or investor buying or selling options, while the dealer (or market-maker) is the counterparty providing liquidity. Their positions are mirror images of each other: when the taker buys a call, the dealer sells it. Why is GEX useful? At price levels with high positive gamma, dealers hedge in a way that tends to absorb price shocks. They typically buy on dips and sell on rallies, which dampens volatility and can keep price pinned near certain strikes: a phenomenon often described “gamma gravity” or “pinning”. At price levels with high negative gamma, dealer hedging flows work in the opposite direction and amplify price moves. Dealers sell as prices fall and buy as prices rise, often increasing short-term volatility. In short, GEX highlights where dealer hedging is likely to stabilize or destabilize the market, turning the options surface into a map of potential volatility regimes rather than a passive snapshot of positioning. TradFi Origins: Gamma Exposure Calculation in Traditional Finance Gamma exposure metrics originated in equity and index options markets (for example, SPX). The classic construction is: Where: OI is open interest at that strike Γ is option gamma S is the underlying spot price sign_dealer is the assumed sign of the dealer position (long or short) Because traditional equity datasets do not label who is the taker on a trade, this framework relies on a simple heuristic about who typically holds which side of the options market: Call options are sold by investors and bought by dealers Put options are bought by investors and sold by dealers In the classic equity context, investors typically write calls for yield enhancement and use puts as downside insurance. Why the Equity Heuristic Fails in Crypto In crypto options, the equity-style assumptions break down. A large share of participants actively buy calls to speculate on upside, rather than systematically selling them for yield. Meanwhile, puts are frequently traded tactically rather than used purely as hedges for long-only portfolios. If we continue to assume “calls = investor short, dealer long” and “puts = investor long, dealer short,” we construct a dealer profile that does not reflect actual positioning.There is a second, more subtle issue. The classical approach treats open interest at each strike as a single block position with one sign. In practice, a strike’s OI is built from both buying and selling flows. A simple case where 50% of OI came from takers buying (dealers short) and 50% from takers selling (dealers long), the net dealer exposure is close to zero — yet the heuristic would still report a large exposure. Instead, what we actually want is: A realistic sign of dealer positioning (long vs short); A realistic net size of that position after netting out opposing flows. A Flow-First Approach to Gamma Exposure (GEX) in Crypto Unlike traditional equity markets, crypto options venues expose who is the taker on each trade. For every transaction, we can observe whether the taker bought or sold a call or a put. We then make a clear modeling assumption: the maker on the other side of the trade is a dealer providing liquidity.This allows us to treat the taker as the end user and infer dealer positioning as the mirror image of cumulative taker flow, strike by strike and maturity by maturity. Over time, this builds a realistic picture of how dealers are positioned across the volatility surface.On this foundation, we build a methodology that tracks dealer inventory through time and translate that inventory into gamma exposure using option greeks and spot price. The result is a structural GEX measure anchored in actual trading flow, rather than static heuristics. A full description of this process is provided in the Appendix at the end.The chart below shows BTC options gamma exposure across strike prices on Deribit. Each bar represents the net gamma exposure (in USD) concentrated at that strike: green indicates positive exposure, red indicates negative exposure. The distribution shows a dominant positive gamma cluster around ~$86k–$87k, with smaller pockets of negative exposure around ~$83k and ~$101k. View live chart Metric Interpretation Gamma exposure helps map where hedging flows may impact price action. Large positive GEX near ~$85k–$86k suggests a zone where dealer hedging is likely to be mean-reverting (buying dips and selling rallies), contributing to pinning or slower price movement around those strikes. By contrast, negative GEX pockets mark areas where hedging becomes momentum-reinforcing (selling into weakness / buying into strength), increasing the likelihood of faster, more directional moves if spot trades into them.Available for: Resolution: 10-minute Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, PAXG Exchanges: Deribit Trading Use-Cases: How to Use GEX in Practice From a trading perspective, GEX turns the options surface into a map of where dealer flows are likely to amplify or dampen price moves. Identifying “sticky” vs “slippery” price zones High positive GEX near spot: When GEX is strongly positive around a band of strikes near spot, dealers are long gamma in that zone. As the market trades inside this band, their hedging flows tend to buy on dips and sell into rallies, which creates a pinning effect: moves fade, breakouts struggle, and realized volatility often comes in below implied. This is typically a mean-reverting, “sticky” regime, where short-gamma carry trades can work if volatility indeed remains contained. High negative GEX near or below spot: When GEX is strongly negative around or just below spot, the opposite holds: dealers are short gamma, so as spot trades into that region, hedging flows sell into weakness and buy into strength. Instead of dampening moves, they amplify them. Price action becomes more “slippery”: intraday swings can expand, order books can feel thinner, and liquidations or squeezes become more likely. In that environment, traders often respond with lower leverage, wider stops, and more respect for momentum. Watching for gamma flips A particularly important dynamic is the gamma flip, when net GEX around spot changes sign. For example, if price exits a positive-gamma zone and moves into a pocket of negative gamma below, the market can transition from a pinned, mean-reverting regime to one where moves begin to reinforce themselves. Appendix – Our Methodology: Taker-Flow-Based GEX We construct Gamma Exposure on a 10-minute grid per asset, exchange, strike K, maturity M. The key idea is to reconstruct the dealer inventory over time from taker flows, and then translate that inventory into gamma exposure using option greeks.We define the net taker flow in contracts over each 10-minute interval: Under the assumption that dealers are primarily on the passive side, the dealer flow is simply the mirror image of taker flow: We then cumulate these flows over time to obtain a dealer inventory in number of contracts. For calls, this is: and analogously for puts: Here Δt is the 10-minute step. Positive inventory values correspond to dealers being net long contracts at that strike and maturity; negative values correspond to net short.To translate this inventory into gamma exposure, we combine it with option greeks and the underlying price. Let 𝑚 denote the contract multiplier (e.g. BTC per contract), and 𝑆 the spot price at time 𝑡. For each bucket we define the notional exposure:Using the option gammas Γcall(K,M,t) and Γput(K,M,t) from our options chain, the gamma exposure of each leg is: Γcall(K,M,t) is the gamma of the call option at that strike and maturity. This tells you how quickly the option’s delta changes when the underlying price moves.And then total gamma exposure at that strike/maturity is just: Options data is a major focus for Glassnode's product development. We are scaling our coverage with new metrics that extend the depth of our volatility tooling, broaden analytical use cases, and give professionals a more complete view of positioning and risk across the market. Check out the rest of our options releases in 2025. Follow us on X for timely market updates and analysis Join our Telegram channel for regular market insights For on-chain metrics, dashboards, and alerts, visit Glassnode Studio Disclaimer: This report is for informational and educational purposes only. The analysis represents a limited case study with significant constraints and should not be interpreted as investment advice or definitive trading signals. Past performance patterns do not guarantee future results. Always conduct thorough due diligence and consider multiple factors before making investment decisions.

https://insights.glassnode.com/gamma-exposure/

0 News Article Image Introducing: Taker-Flow-Based Gamma Exposure

Anthony Scaramucci Says The World Spends $4 Trillion A Year Verifying Transactions And Solana Could Slash That Cost By 75%

Anthony Scaramucci, CEO of investment firm SkyBridge Capital, said at a recent event that Solana ( CRYPTO: SOL ) -powered asset tokenization has the potential to reduce transaction verification costs by up to 75% annually.

https://www.benzinga.com/crypto/cryptocurrency/25/12/49439741/anthony-scaramucci-says-the-world-spends-4-trillion-a-year-verifying-transactions-and-solan

1 News Article Image Anthony Scaramucci Says The World Spends $4 Trillion A Year Verifying Transactions And Solana Could Slash That Cost By 75%

Solana Price Forecast: SOL declines amid bearish signals, blockchain remains stable under DDoS attack

Solana (SOL) remains under bearish pressure, extending its decline for the third consecutive day with over 1% loss at press time on Tuesday.

https://www.fxstreet.com/cryptocurrencies/news/solana-price-forecast-sol-declines-amid-bearish-signals-blockchain-remains-stable-under-ddos-attack-202512161126

2 News Article Image Solana Price Forecast: SOL declines amid bearish signals, blockchain remains stable under DDoS attack

Ondo Price Forecast: ONDO extends correction below $0.40 despite upcoming Solana integration

Ondo (ONDO) price continues to correct, trading below $0.40 at the time of writing on Tuesday after dropping 6% the previous day.  Ondo Finance announced on Monday that it plans to integrate with Solana (SOL) in early 2026 to expand its tokenized stocks and Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) platform, und

https://www.fxstreet.com/cryptocurrencies/news/ondo-price-forecast-ondo-extends-correction-below-040-despite-upcoming-solana-integration-202512160646

3 News Article Image Ondo Price Forecast: ONDO extends correction below $0.40 despite upcoming Solana integration

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.

https://www.fxstreet.com/cryptocurrencies/news/solana-price-forecast-sol-consolidates-as-spot-etf-inflows-near-1-billion-signal-institutional-dip-buying-202512150534

4 News Article Image Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana Price History

10.11.2025 - SOL Crypto was up 5.6%

  • SOL's bullish movement can be attributed to increasing institutional and retail confidence, as evidenced by steady inflows into Solana Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs).
  • The rise in SOL's price is further supported by a decrease in funding rates in derivatives, indicating a reduced incentive for traders to hold short positions, leading to a positive sentiment in the market.
  • The introduction of new Interpolated Implied Volatility metrics for SOL and other assets by a data analytics firm may have also contributed to a more comprehensive understanding of risk pricing in the market, potentially boosting investor confidence in SOL's long-term prospects.
  • Overall, the combination of growing institutional interest, reduced short positions, and enhanced risk analysis tools has likely fueled SOL's bullish momentum, signaling a positive outlook for the cryptocurrency in the near term.

05.11.2025 - SOL Crypto was down 5.0%

  • The bearish movement in SOL today may be linked to the intense selling pressure and consecutive bearish daily candles, suggesting a change in sentiment towards the token.
  • The previous surge in demand for SOL ETFs and derivatives likely provided an initial boost to the token's price, but a subsequent narrative shift in derivatives markets resulted in weakened strength and the bearish trend.
  • The discussion on a structured approach to implied volatility data emphasizes the significance of examining risk sentiment and pricing across specific deltas and maturities, influencing traders' SOL-related decisions.
  • The market movement of SOL today is shaped by evolving narratives in derivatives markets, investor sentiment, and the general volatility in the cryptocurrency market.

19.11.2025 - SOL Crypto was up 6.6%

  • Solana (SOL) experienced a strong bullish movement today, potentially influenced by positive market sentiment and developments within the cryptocurrency space.
  • The announcement by Anthony Scaramucci, CEO of SkyBridge Capital, regarding the potential cost-saving benefits of Solana-powered asset tokenization could have contributed to increased investor interest and buying pressure on SOL.
  • Despite facing bearish pressure in recent days, SOL's resilience and stability during a DDoS attack on its blockchain may have instilled confidence in investors, leading to renewed buying activity.
  • The upcoming integration of Ondo Finance with Solana to expand its tokenized stocks and ETFs platform could have also generated excitement around SOL, driving its price higher as investors anticipate increased utility and adoption of the cryptocurrency.

11.11.2025 - SOL Crypto was down 5.8%

  • Today's bearish movement in SOL is linked to the broader market weakness following the Federal Reserve's hawkish rate cut, impacting overall market sentiment.
  • Despite recent signs of bullish potential and breakout signals, factors such as rejection at the upper boundary of the falling wedge pattern and a rise in funding rate reducing short position incentives have likely contributed to the downward momentum in SOL.
  • The market appears sensitive to external factors like central bank policies and investor sentiment, leading to price fluctuations in SOL despite positive indicators such as institutional and retail confidence, as well as steady derivatives and ETF demand.
  • Traders need to monitor market developments and sentiment shifts closely to navigate the volatility in SOL and make informed trading decisions amidst ongoing market uncertainties.

18.11.2025 - SOL Crypto was down 5.4%

  • Despite positive developments about potential cost reductions in transaction verification, Solana experienced a bearish movement today.
  • The bearish pressure on Solana could be attributed to the overall market sentiment affecting cryptocurrencies, leading to a decline for the third consecutive day.
  • The consolidation of Solana's price near the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, coupled with institutional dip-buying signals, indicates a potential upcoming breakout, which investors might be anticipating.
  • The integration of Ondo Finance with Solana in the future could bring more attention to the tokenized stocks and ETFs platform, potentially impacting Solana's price positively in the long term.

03.11.2025 - SOL Crypto was up 12.5%

  • The bullish movement in SOL today can be attributed to the rising demand in SOL ETFs and derivatives, especially with a well-known investment company offering crypto ETFs that include Solana. This has boosted investor sentiment and led to a strong rebound in SOL's price.
  • On the other hand, the bearish movement in SOL in the past was influenced by a shift in derivatives markets, causing intense selling pressure and consecutive daily losses. This indicates a temporary loss of strength in SOL's market performance.
  • A security breach and subsequent $37 million loss at an exchange due to a compromised Solana wallet could have initially impacted SOL's price negatively, but the market seems to have recovered from this incident.
  • The launch of an exchange-traded product (ETP) tracking the price of the Solana memecoin Bonk on a European exchange in partnership with an investment firm might have also contributed to the positive momentum in SOL, showcasing growing interest and adoption in the Solana ecosystem.

01.11.2025 - SOL Crypto was down 6.4%

  • SOL traded at $126 under intense selling pressure, marking the fifth straight bearish daily candle, reflecting a bearish sentiment in the market.
  • The hack on Upbit's Solana wallet, resulting in a $37 million loss, could have contributed to negative sentiment and increased selling pressure on SOL.
  • Despite the launch of an exchange-traded product (ETP) for the memecoin Bonk on SIX Swiss Exchange, SOL's price remained under pressure, indicating that external factors like the hack overshadowed positive developments.
  • The outflows of $156 million from Solana in digital asset investment products also added to the downward pressure on SOL's price, as investors moved away from the token amidst the broader market uncertainty.

17.11.2025 - SOL Crypto was down 5.0%

  • The bearish movement in SOL could be attributed to the overall negative sentiment in the cryptocurrency market, as investors may be taking profits or shifting their positions.
  • The news about Solana potentially reducing transaction verification costs by 75% could have initially sparked optimism but was overshadowed by broader market trends leading to the bearish movement.
  • The DDoS attack on the Solana blockchain might have raised concerns about the network's security and stability, contributing to the downward pressure on SOL's price.
  • The integration of Ondo Finance with Solana in the future could be a positive development for the ecosystem, but it seems that the market sentiment today was influenced more by external factors driving the bearish movement.

16.11.2025 - SOL Crypto was down 5.0%

  • SOL had a strong bearish movement today, trading below $130 after being rejected at the upper boundary of its falling wedge pattern.
  • The broader market weakness following recent economic developments has added to the downside momentum for SOL.
  • Despite institutional and retail confidence in SOL, the latest market sentiment seems to have outweighed the positive inflows into Solana Exchange Traded Funds.
  • The market asymmetry highlighted by the Glassnode Skew Index shows a preference for downside protection over chasing upside, potentially contributing to the bearish movement in SOL.

08.11.2025 - SOL Crypto was up 5.2%

  • SOL prices surged over 10% in the last 24 hours, showing a strong bullish movement.
  • Rising demand in SOL Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and derivatives, particularly due to the availability of crypto ETFs including Solana by Vanguard, has supported this bullish rebound.
  • The increased interest in SOL ETFs and derivatives has boosted risk-on sentiment among investors, leading to further gains in the token's price.
  • Derivatives data reveal a rise in the funding rate, which is diminishing the incentive for traders to maintain short positions and is contributing to the upward momentum in SOL's price.

11.11.2025 - SOL Crypto was down 5.1%

  • The bearish movement in SOL today could be linked to the broader market weakness ensuing after the Federal Reserve's hawkish rate cut, which affected overall market sentiment.
  • Despite recent optimism from institutional and retail sectors, factors such as rejection at the upper boundary of the falling wedge pattern and decreased trader interest in holding short positions, as indicated by derivatives data, may have influenced the bearish movement.
  • The evolving sentiment in the options market, highlighted by the Glassnode Skew Index and Interpolated Implied Volatility metrics, might have contributed to the uncertainty and volatility surrounding SOL, thus impacting its bearish movement today.
  • In summary, a combination of macroeconomic conditions, technical patterns, and options market sentiment likely contributed to the bearish movement experienced by SOL on this day.

12.11.2025 - SOL Crypto was up 5.0%

  • SOL experienced a strong bullish movement today, likely driven by several factors:
  • Bullish potential on institutional and retail confidence, as indicated by persistent inflows into Solana Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), suggesting a growing trust in the token.
  • A rise in funding rate in derivatives data, signaling reduced incentive for traders to hold short positions, which may have contributed to increased buying pressure on SOL.
  • The broader market weakness following a recent regulatory event might have initially dampened market sentiment but was overshadowed by the positive factors supporting SOL's upward momentum.
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Disclaimer
Morpher is not liable for the content of the AI investment insights. Like most GPT-powered tools, these summaries may contain AI hallucinations and inaccurate information. Morpher is not presenting you with any investment advice. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. These summaries do not constitute investment advice.