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Dollar Tree Inc. ($DLTR) Stock Forecast: Down 6.4% Today

Morpher AI identified a bearish signal. The stock price may continue to fall based on the momentum of the negative news.

What is Dollar Tree Inc.?

Dollar Tree (DLTR) is a prominent American discount retailer with a large presence in the US and Canada. Today, the stock experienced a significant bearish movement.

Why is Dollar Tree Inc. going down?

DLTR stock is down 6.4% on Jan 21, 2026 14:40

  • A financial institution downgraded Dollar Tree from "Neutral" to "Underperform" and slashed its price target, contributing to the bearish sentiment.
  • The downgrade might have been influenced by a series of recent analyst adjustments for Dollar Tree, with varying outlooks on the company's performance.
  • While Dollar Tree faces challenges, other companies like Home Depot are receiving optimistic price target upgrades, indicating varying sentiments within the retail sector.
  • The bearish movement could also be a result of broader market concerns about consumer demand, as seen in 3M's weak profit forecast due to softening consumer demand impacting its business.

DLTR Price Chart

DLTR Technical Analysis

DLTR News

BNP Paribas Exane Downgrades Dollar Tree to Underperform From Neutral, Adjusts Price Target to $87 From $118

BNP Paribas Exane has downgraded Dollar Tree (DLTR) from "Neutral" to "Underperform" and significantly reduced its price target from $118 to $87. This comes amidst other recent analyst adjustments for Dollar Tree, with some maintaining buy ratings while others have also lowered their outlooks. Dollar Tree, a leading American discount retailer, operates a large network of stores across the US and Canada.

https://www.marketscreener.com/news/bnp-paribas-exane-downgrades-dollar-tree-to-underperform-from-neutral-adjusts-price-target-to-87-f-ce7e58d2d989f12c

0 News Article Image BNP Paribas Exane Downgrades Dollar Tree to Underperform From Neutral, Adjusts Price Target to $87 From $118

3 Dividend Stocks to Hold for the Next 10 Years

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https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/markets/stocks/CVX/pressreleases/37139259/3-dividend-stocks-to-hold-for-the-next-10-years/

1 News Article Image 3 Dividend Stocks to Hold for the Next 10 Years

Home Depot (NYSE:HD) Given New $450.00 Price Target at TD Cowen

TD Cowen has raised its price target for Home Depot (NYSE:HD) to $450.00 from $410.00, maintaining a "buy" rating, indicating a potential upside of nearly 20%. Despite this, Home Depot recently missed EPS estimates in its latest quarterly report, though revenue exceeded expectations. The stock currently holds a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating from analysts with an average price target of $404.50.

https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/home-depot-nysehd-given-new-45000-price-target-at-td-cowen-2026-01-20/

2 News Article Image Home Depot (NYSE:HD) Given New $450.00 Price Target at TD Cowen

3M Shares Fall After Company Issues Weak Profit Forecast Amid Softening Consumer Demand

3M stock dropped over 6% after forecasting 2026 earnings below Wall Street expectations, primarily due to weak consumer demand impacting its consumer segment. Despite beating fourth-quarter earnings and achieving margin expansion and strong free cash flow, investors remain cautious due to concerns about the consumer recovery. The company expects organic sales growth and margin expansion in 2026, driven by innovation, but faces a challenging economic environment.

https://www.tikr.com/blog/3m-nyse-mmm-stock-fall-company-issues-weak-profit-forecast-softening-consumer-demand

3 News Article Image 3M Shares Fall After Company Issues Weak Profit Forecast Amid Softening Consumer Demand

Providence First Trust Co Sells 2,777 Shares of The Home Depot, Inc. $HD

Providence First Trust Co significantly reduced its stake in The Home Depot (NYSE:HD) by 78.5% in Q3, selling 2,777 shares, though institutional investors collectively own 70.86% of the company. While analysts have a "Moderate Buy" rating with an average target of $403.17, insiders sold 4,963 shares recently. Home Depot's latest quarterly earnings missed estimates by $0.09 per share but revenue increased by 2.8%, and the company maintains a quarterly dividend of $2.30.

https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/filing-providence-first-trust-co-sells-2777-shares-of-the-home-depot-inc-hd-2026-01-20/

4 News Article Image Providence First Trust Co Sells 2,777 Shares of The Home Depot, Inc. $HD

Dollar Tree Inc. Price History

04.05.2025 - DLTR Stock was down 6.3%

  • Despite positive Q1 same-store sales growth and an increase in full-year EPS forecast, Dollar Tree (DLTR) saw a bearish market movement today.
  • Bullish options activity from deep-pocketed investors may have indicated a positive outlook for DLTR, but external factors like tariff pressures and transition costs might have had a negative impact on the stock.
  • The surge in shares of Dollar General and Dollar Tree in recent months could have heightened expectations for DLTR's earnings, resulting in a sell-off following the earnings announcement.
  • Investors could be exercising caution regarding Dollar Tree's Q1 earnings beyond revenue and EPS, potentially expecting challenges or uncertainties in other key metrics, playing a role in the bearish movement.

04.05.2025 - DLTR Stock was down 6.5%

  • Despite a 5.4% increase in Q1 same-store sales by Dollar Tree, the market reacted bearishly, potentially due to concerns about near-term profit declines related to tariff pressures and transition costs.
  • The warning about possible profit drops, combined with weak demand, inflation, and higher costs, may have overshadowed the positive sales growth, influencing the bearish movement in DLTR stock.
  • Investor caution regarding the company’s ability to sustain earnings growth in a challenging economic climate could be negatively impacting the stock price.
  • The rise in shares of Dollar General and Dollar Tree in recent months may also be prompting profit-taking actions, adding further downward pressure on DLTR stock.

29.07.2025 - DLTR Stock was down 1.8%

  • The bearish movement in DLTR today could be attributed to disappointing Q2 performance projections by analysts.
  • The lackluster outlook for key metrics may have raised concerns among investors about the company's growth potential.
  • Despite positive analyst forecasts for other companies like Autodesk, Inc., Dollar Tree's projections might have failed to meet market expectations, leading to the downward movement in its stock price.
  • Investors may be cautious about Dollar Tree's performance in the upcoming quarter, resulting in a sell-off of DLTR shares.

05.11.2025 - DLTR Stock was up 3.1%

  • Dollar General's bullish movement can be attributed to its impressive Q3 earnings report, which exceeded expectations and demonstrated robust financial performance.
  • The company's decision to raise its full-year outlook and expand its store presence indicates confidence in its future growth prospects and market positioning.
  • Dollar General's success in appealing to consumers amidst inflationary pressures and economic uncertainties highlights the resilience and adaptability of discount retailers in meeting changing consumer preferences.
  • Overall, Dollar General's strategic initiatives, strong financial results, and positive market sentiment have likely contributed to its bullish market movement today.

21.00.2026 - DLTR Stock was down 6.4%

  • A financial institution downgraded Dollar Tree from "Neutral" to "Underperform" and slashed its price target, contributing to the bearish sentiment.
  • The downgrade might have been influenced by a series of recent analyst adjustments for Dollar Tree, with varying outlooks on the company's performance.
  • While Dollar Tree faces challenges, other companies like Home Depot are receiving optimistic price target upgrades, indicating varying sentiments within the retail sector.
  • The bearish movement could also be a result of broader market concerns about consumer demand, as seen in 3M's weak profit forecast due to softening consumer demand impacting its business.

10.09.2025 - DLTR Stock was up 5.4%

  • The stock of Dollar Tree (DLTR) showed a significant uptrend today.
  • An analyst downgraded TrueCar, Inc. without offering any specific negative insights on Dollar Tree.
  • Despite prevalent negative sentiments among analysts, investors seem to have reacted favorably to Dollar Tree's recent financial performance and strategic moves.
  • The bullish movement might be influenced by general market optimism or particular industry trends that benefit discount retailers like Dollar Tree.

05.05.2025 - DLTR Stock was up 8.2%

  • Dollar Tree (DLTR) experienced a strong bullish movement today due to the following reasons:
  • The company reported better-than-expected Q1 earnings and sales, with a 5.4% increase in same-store sales and positive momentum from strategic initiatives.
  • Top Wall Street analysts turned bullish on DLTR, leading to a positive outlook and increased investor confidence.
  • Deep-pocketed investors showed a bullish approach towards Dollar Tree, indicating strong market sentiment and potential growth prospects.
  • Despite warning of near-term profit drops due to tariff pressures and transition costs, Dollar Tree's lifted full-year EPS forecast and strong Q1 performance fueled investor optimism and drove the stock price higher.

05.05.2025 - DLTR Stock was up 5.4%

  • Dollar Tree reported impressive Q1 earnings and sales that surpassed estimates, with a notable 5.4% increase in same-store sales.
  • Bullish options activity observed by deep-pocketed investors indicates a positive sentiment towards DLTR in the market.
  • Despite warning of near-term profit drops due to tariff pressures and transition costs, Dollar Tree's strategic initiatives and improved sales performance seem to have instilled confidence in investors.
  • The surge in Dollar Tree's stock price over the past few months, along with the anticipation of strong earnings, has contributed to the bullish momentum in the market today.

04.11.2025 - DLTR Stock was up 5.7%

  • Dollar Tree (DLTR) reached a 52-week high of $118.00 today, reflecting robust performance and investor confidence.
  • The positive market movement is linked to Dollar Tree's better-than-expected Q3 earnings report, with strong sales growth and surpassing earnings estimates, leading to an increase in fiscal 2025 adjusted earnings guidance.
  • Several analysts have raised their price targets for Dollar Tree's stock, indicating growing optimism in the company's future prospects.
  • The success of Dollar Tree and other dollar stores this week showcases the resilience of discount chains in appealing to consumers amidst inflationary pressures and their ability to thrive in challenging economic environments.

04.11.2025 - DLTR Stock was up 5.1%

  • Strong quarterly earnings and a raised fiscal-year outlook from Dollar General had a positive impact on the dollar store sector, including DLTR.
  • Dollar Tree, Inc. surpassed expectations with better-than-expected Q3 earnings and revenue, showcasing its ability to attract consumers with its multi-price strategy and drive profitability.
  • Despite one institutional investor reducing its stake in DLTR, others increased their positions and positive analyst ratings reflect confidence in the company's performance.
  • Dollar Tree's strategic focus on value, convenience, and customer experience, as well as the success of its initiatives, likely contributed to today's bullish movement in the stock.

11.11.2025 - DLTR Stock was up 6.0%

  • Today's positive movement in Dollar Tree's stock price is linked to recent strategic leadership changes within the discount retail sector, hinting at favorable growth opportunities.
  • Despite initial concerns triggered by the Chief Merchandising Officer's stock sale, overall analyst outlook, including Barclays' positive rating, likely reassured investors about Dollar Tree's performance.
  • Dollar Tree's impressive Q3 earnings report, exceeding expectations due to successful pricing strategies, has instilled confidence in the company's capacity to expand its customer base and drive sales growth.
  • The company's proactive measures to expand by opening new locations and renovating existing stores demonstrate a commitment to enhancing market presence, contributing to the optimistic trend in DLTR's stock performance today.

11.11.2025 - DLTR Stock was up 5.4%

  • The recent increase in DLTR's stock price is possibly linked to optimistic analyst revisions following the strong performance and results in Q3.
  • Concerns may have initially arisen due to the Chief Merchandising Officer selling shares, but market sentiment appears to be primarily focused on the company's growth potential and revenue prospects.
  • Analyst inquiries about Dollar Tree's comp acceleration, gross margin outlook, and expansion of its customer base into higher-income households likely bolstered investor confidence in the company's strategic vision and future expansion opportunities.
  • The dynamics of the holiday season, with Dollar Tree competing against Walmart for various consumer demographics, may have positively impacted investor sentiment, demonstrating Dollar Tree's ability to appeal to a wider customer base and adapt to evolving market trends.
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Disclaimer
Morpher is not liable for the content of the AI investment insights. Like most GPT-powered tools, these summaries may contain AI hallucinations and inaccurate information. Morpher is not presenting you with any investment advice. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. These summaries do not constitute investment advice.