Prev Arrow Stocks

NVR Inc. ($NVR) Stock Forecast: Down 7.0% Today

Morpher AI identified a bearish signal. The stock price may continue to fall based on the momentum of the negative news.

What is NVR Inc.?

NVR, Inc. ($NVR) is a home construction company known for its luxury homes and communities. The company has been navigating through fluctuations in the housing market.

Why is NVR Inc. going down?

NVR stock is down 7.0% on Feb 13, 2026 20:36

  • NVR experienced a strong bearish movement likely due to a combination of factors:
  • NVR's Q4 results showing significant declines in revenue, net income, and operating cash flow.
  • Insider sales by the CAO and a Director, raising potential concerns about the company's future performance.
  • Institutional investors reducing their stakes in NVR, such as one selling 63.4% of their shares and another reducing their stake by 56.1%.
  • Despite institutional confidence increasing its stake and a new $750 million share repurchase program, the mixed financial performance indicators likely contributed to the bearish movement.

NVR Price Chart

NVR Technical Analysis

NVR News

Toll Brothers to Report Q1 Earnings: Here's What Investors Must Expect

Toll Brothers (TOL) is set to report its fiscal first-quarter 2026 results on Feb. 17, with analysts expecting a 17.1% year-over-year EPS growth despite projected revenue decline due to housing market uncertainties. The company's luxury positioning, improved cycle times, and favorable pricing are expected to support its earnings, though affordability challenges and higher SG&A expenses could impact margins. The report will provide insights into how Toll Brothers navigates ongoing housing market fluctuations.

https://www.tradingview.com/news/zacks:c132f86a3094b:0-toll-brothers-to-report-q1-earnings-here-s-what-investors-must-expect/

0 News Article Image Toll Brothers to Report Q1 Earnings: Here's What Investors Must Expect

Illinois Municipal Retirement Fund Sells 39,880 Shares of PulteGroup, Inc. $PHM

The Illinois Municipal Retirement Fund reduced its stake in PulteGroup, Inc. (NYSE:PHM) by 35.7% during the third quarter, selling 39,880 shares and leaving them with 71,757 shares valued at $9.48 million. Other institutional investors have made minor alterations to their positions, while company insiders have recently sold over 144,000 shares. Despite the institutional selling and insider activity, analysts generally have a "Moderate Buy" rating on PulteGroup with a consensus price target of $140.15.

https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/filing-illinois-municipal-retirement-fund-sells-39880-shares-of-pultegroup-inc-phm-2026-02-13/

1 News Article Image Illinois Municipal Retirement Fund Sells 39,880 Shares of PulteGroup, Inc. $PHM

Candriam S.C.A. Sells 142 Shares of NVR, Inc. $NVR

Candriam S.C.A. reduced its stake in NVR, Inc. by 63.4% in the third quarter, selling 142 shares and retaining 82 shares valued at $659,000. This comes as NVR's Q4 results showed significant declines in revenue, net income, and operating cash flow, despite the company authorizing a $750 million share repurchase plan. Insider sales further highlight potential concerns, with the CAO and a Director selling shares worth millions.

https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/filing-candriam-sca-sells-142-shares-of-nvr-inc-nvr-2026-02-13/

2 News Article Image Candriam S.C.A. Sells 142 Shares of NVR, Inc. $NVR

Illinois Municipal Retirement Fund Has $19.81 Million Stock Holdings in NVR, Inc. $NVR

The Illinois Municipal Retirement Fund increased its stake in NVR, Inc. by 10.7% to 2,465 shares, now valued at $19.81 million. Despite this institutional confidence and a new $750 million share repurchase program, NVR experienced year-over-year declines in revenue, profit margins, and operating cash flow in Q4 2025, alongside significant insider selling, including CAO Matthew Kelpy reducing his holding by 70%. Wall Street analysts maintain a "Moderate Buy" consensus, though financial performance indicators are mixed.

https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/filing-illinois-municipal-retirement-fund-has-1981-million-stock-holdings-in-nvr-inc-nvr-2026-02-12/

3 News Article Image Illinois Municipal Retirement Fund Has $19.81 Million Stock Holdings in NVR, Inc. $NVR

Caisse Des Depots ET Consignations Has $2.19 Million Stock Holdings in NVR, Inc. $NVR

Caisse Des Depots ET Consignations significantly reduced its stake in NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR) by 56.1% in the third quarter, now holding 272 shares valued at approximately $2.19 million. This reduction comes amid mixed signals for NVR, including a board-authorized $750 million share repurchase program suggesting undervaluation, but also weakening Q4 fundamentals with declining revenue and earnings, and notable insider selling. Institutional investors still hold a substantial 83.67% of the company's stock.

https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/filing-caisse-des-depots-et-consignations-has-219-million-stock-holdings-in-nvr-inc-nvr-2026-02-12/

4 News Article Image Caisse Des Depots ET Consignations Has $2.19 Million Stock Holdings in NVR, Inc. $NVR

NVR Inc. Price History

07.00.2026 - NVR Stock was down 0.3%

  • A significant increase in stake by a major institutional investor indicates confidence in NVR, Inc.'s long-term prospects, although this did not prevent the bearish movement.
  • An analyst maintained a Hold rating on NVR Inc. but reduced the target price, potentially contributing to the downward pressure on the stock.
  • Despite outperforming competitors, NVR Inc. faced losses on the day, which could be influenced by broader market trends or sector-specific challenges.
  • Attention on another trending stock and its negative return over the past month may have diverted focus from NVR, impacting its performance negatively.

06.01.2026 - NVR Stock was down 2.8%

  • NVR, Inc. reported softer earnings and active buybacks, indicating a balancing act between returning capital to shareholders and managing a less robust profit environment.
  • The company's execution risk is highlighted as earnings are forecasted to decline, potentially contributing to the bearish movement in the stock.
  • The development of the "Trump Homes" initiative by competitors adds to the market dynamics, potentially impacting investor sentiment towards NVR.
  • The rebound in Century Communities' share price and Toll Brothers' announcement of a new luxury home community could also be diverting investor attention away from NVR, contributing to the bearish movement.

24.00.2024 - NVR Stock was down 6.5%

  • The bearish movement in NVR's stock today could be attributed to the following factors:
  • 1. Yousif Capital Management LLC reducing its holdings in NVR: The news of a major shareholder selling a portion of their holdings may have created a negative sentiment among investors, leading to a decline in the stock price.
  • 2. MDC's acquisition by Sekisui House: The announcement of a major acquisition in the construction industry, albeit not directly related to NVR, could have caused some investors to shift their focus and capital towards MDC, leading to a decrease in demand for NVR's stock.
  • 3. Overall market sentiment: While the construction industry has been relatively stable, broader market factors such as economic indicators or investor sentiment could have influenced the bearish movement in NVR's stock.

14.02.2024 - NVR Stock was down 2.3%

  • NVR stock experienced a bearish movement today despite its historical outperformance in the market over the past 15 years.
  • The increase in Toll Brothers' dividend and Arcosa's acquisition news may have diverted investor attention away from NVR, impacting its stock price negatively.
  • The focus on high-priced stocks and Warren Buffett's investments in the homebuilding sector, including Lennar, might have shifted investor sentiment away from NVR, contributing to its bearish movement.
  • Overall, the market dynamics and investor preferences towards dividend hikes and strategic acquisitions in the real estate industry could have influenced the downward trend in NVR's stock price today.

05.08.2023 - NVR Stock was down 5.0%

  • The bearish movement in NVR's stock today could be attributed to the following factors:
  • Overvaluation concerns: The article mentioning "homebuilder stocks to sell" may have raised concerns about NVR being overvalued, leading to a sell-off by investors.
  • Profit-taking: After a strong surge in NVR's stock this year, investors might have decided to take profits and sell their positions, causing the bearish movement.
  • Market correction: The overall market sentiment might have shifted, leading to a broader sell-off in the homebuilding sector, affecting NVR's stock negatively.
  • Please note that the provided articles contain mixed opinions about NVR's stock, with one article suggesting it is undervalued. However, the bearish movement today indicates a short-term market reaction.

16.06.2024 - NVR Stock was up 5.2%

  • The bullish movement in NVR's stock today might be linked to the positive sentiment in the housing market and the expectation of a possible stock split, which could broaden accessibility for retail investors. Stock splits are often viewed as a strategy to attract more investors and enhance market liquidity, resulting in a surge in stock price post-split. Investors may be positive about the company's future growth opportunities after a potential split, explaining the stock's upward movement today.

06.00.2026 - NVR Stock was down 4.2%

  • A significant downturn was observed in NVR's performance due to adverse earnings growth and a dim future outlook, resulting in a current P/E ratio of 14.4x.
  • Shareholders are exercising caution regarding the company's trajectory, given projections of a 13% decrease in EPS for the upcoming year, diverging sharply from the broader market's growth forecasts.
  • The prevailing market sentiment around NVR is impacted by recent negative earnings and the absence of anticipated positive developments, which are contributing to driving down the stock price.
  • Notwithstanding the bearish trend, NVR's steadfast commitment to quality construction and customer satisfaction could potentially underpin recovery prospects in the long run, contingent on the company's capacity to tackle its earnings hurdles.

22.06.2025 - NVR Stock was up 5.1%

  • Despite concerns about softer demand and higher expenses, NVR's strong bullish movement today could indicate that investors are optimistic about the company's ability to navigate these challenges.
  • The market may be pricing in potential positive surprises in NVR's Q2 earnings report, leading to increased buying pressure on the stock.
  • Investors might be focusing on NVR's long-term growth prospects and market position, overlooking short-term challenges.

13.01.2026 - NVR Stock was down 7.0%

  • NVR experienced a strong bearish movement likely due to a combination of factors:
  • NVR's Q4 results showing significant declines in revenue, net income, and operating cash flow.
  • Insider sales by the CAO and a Director, raising potential concerns about the company's future performance.
  • Institutional investors reducing their stakes in NVR, such as one selling 63.4% of their shares and another reducing their stake by 56.1%.
  • Despite institutional confidence increasing its stake and a new $750 million share repurchase program, the mixed financial performance indicators likely contributed to the bearish movement.

13.01.2026 - NVR Stock was down 5.2%

  • NVR, Inc. experienced a strong bearish movement driven by several factors.
  • In Q4, the company reported weakening financial performance with revenue and profit margin declines in various regions, notably the Mid Atlantic and Southeast.
  • The approval of a $750 million share repurchase program, signaling management's confidence in undervaluation, has not reassured investors regarding the company's ability to enhance its financial metrics.
  • Insider selling activities, involving the Chief Accounting Officer and a Director, have contributed to negative sentiment surrounding the stock, raising potential concerns about future prospects.
  • The combination of disappointing financial results, the ongoing share repurchase program, and insider selling likely influenced overall market sentiment towards NVR, Inc., resulting in the observed bearish movement.
i
Disclaimer
Morpher is not liable for the content of the AI investment insights. Like most GPT-powered tools, these summaries may contain AI hallucinations and inaccurate information. Morpher is not presenting you with any investment advice. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. These summaries do not constitute investment advice.