AutoZone Inc. ($AZO) Stock Forecast: Down 5.8% Today

What is AutoZone Inc.?

AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE: AZO) recently disclosed its Q1 2026 earnings and recorded a notable 8.2% increase in total sales, albeit amidst a bearish market movement.

Why is AutoZone Inc. going down?

AZO stock is down 5.8% on Dec 10, 2025 14:50

• In the recent earnings call, AutoZone reported a 4.6% decline in EPS, falling short of analyst projections, which likely influenced the negative market sentiment.
• A marginal decline in DIY sales, partly ascribed to weather-related factors, may have sparked concerns among stakeholders regarding the company's growth prospects.
• The auto parts retail sector saw heightened competition as O'Reilly Automotive's stock experienced a 4.2% decrease subsequent to AutoZone's earnings release, indicating wider repercussions across the industry.
• Despite AutoZone's positive expectations concerning market share expansion and growth trajectory, investor apprehension regarding the company's future performance appears evident following the earnings miss.

AZO Price Chart

AZO Technical Analysis

AZO News

AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE:AZO) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE:AZO) reported its Q1 2026 earnings, detailing an 8.2% total sales growth and a 4.6% decrease in EPS, though EPS would have been up 8.9% excluding a non-cash LIFO charge. The company accelerated new store openings, especially mega hubs, to drive future growth in both its DIY and commercial businesses, and highlighted significant investments in infrastructure and technology. Despite a slight slowdown in DIY sales partly due to weather comparisons, AutoZone remains optimistic about its market share gains and ongoing growth trajectory, particularly in international markets and its commercial segment.

https://www.insidermonkey.com/blog/autozone-inc-nyseazo-q1-2026-earnings-call-transcript-1657788/

AutoZone: Fiscal Q1 Earnings Snapshot

AutoZone Inc. reported fiscal first-quarter profit of $530.8 million, or $31.04 per share, falling short of Wall Street expectations of $32.24 per share. The auto parts retailer posted revenue of $4.63 billion, also missing analysts' forecasts. Despite the earnings miss, AutoZone shares have seen an 18% increase year-to-date and 14% over the last 12 months.

https://www.nhregister.com/business/article/autozone-fiscal-q1-earnings-snapshot-21232138.php

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP): A Bull Case Theory

This article summarizes a bullish thesis on Advance Auto Parts (AAP), highlighting the company's turnaround efforts under new CEO Shane O’Kelly and the impact of activist investors. It emphasizes AAP's potential for significant recovery and valuation expansion, with shares possibly doubling within three years. The company's fundamental strength in non-discretionary auto parts retail and strategic operational improvements form the core of this optimistic outlook.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/advance-auto-parts-inc-aap-201201256.html

Why O'Reilly (ORLY) Stock Is Trading Lower Today

Shares of O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) fell by 4.2% after competitor AutoZone reported Q1 earnings that showed a decrease in gross profit margin and increased operating expenses, despite same-store sales growth. This news negatively impacted the broader auto parts retail sector, causing O'Reilly's stock to drop. Despite today's decline, O'Reilly had a strong Q2 2025 performance, raising its full-year outlook, and its stock is up 19.3% year-to-date.

https://finviz.com/news/249878/why-oreilly-orly-stock-is-trading-lower-today

Memphis-based company plans $1.6B capital investment

AutoZone, a Memphis-based company, is set to make a significant capital investment of $1.6 billion. This investment will primarily focus on expanding its store count and tripling the number of its large-scale "megahub" locations. The company is currently opening new stores at a near-record pace.

https://www.bizjournals.com/memphis/news/2025/12/09/autozone-invests-capex-store-count-megahubs.html

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AutoZone Inc. Price History

27.02.2025 - AZO Stock was up 3.2%

• AutoZone's stock price saw a significant increase despite the overall market dipping, showcasing its resilience and investor confidence in the company's performance.
• The bearish options activity towards AZO by deep-pocketed investors could be a strategic move or a hedging strategy, but it did not deter the overall positive momentum of the stock.
• Analyst upgrades, such as the one from Morgan Stanley, might have contributed to the bullish sentiment around AutoZone, indicating a positive outlook for the company's future performance.
• Overall, despite some bearish signals in options activity, AutoZone's stock managed to defy the odds and close the day with a notable bullish movement, possibly driven by strong fundamentals and positive analyst sentiment.

04.02.2025 - AZO Stock was up 0.2%

• AutoZone experienced a slight revenue growth of 2.4% and missed earnings estimates, yet the stock showed strong bullish movement.
• The market responded favorably to the 9.5% growth in same-store sales internationally on a constant currency basis, indicating positive results in the company's international business segment.
• Total company same-store sales increased by 2.9% and domestic same-store sales by 1.9%, reflecting a solid performance in the core markets.
• Analysts revising price expectations prior to the earnings report may have boosted investor confidence in AutoZone's future prospects despite the revenue miss.

23.09.2025 - AZO Stock was down 5.3%

• AutoZone's stock closed at $3 with a -1.53% change from the previous day.
• Despite being viewed favorably by Wall Street analysts, AutoZone's stock experienced a decline, possibly due to profit-taking or market sentiment.
• The stock's drop occurred even amidst an overall market uptick, suggesting company-specific factors at play.
• Investors are reassessing their positions in AutoZone in light of market volatility and changing consumer trends impacting the automotive retail sector.

23.08.2025 - AZO Stock was down 3.3%

• AutoZone (AZO) witnessed a downward trend in its stock performance today.
• The prevailing bearish sentiment towards AutoZone was reflected in the options market, where a significant number of investors took a negative outlook.
• Following the announcement of fourth-quarter earnings and sales falling below the expectations of financial analysts, the stock initially saw a decline, contributing to the bearish movement.
• Despite the initial drop, AutoZone's stock was able to recover some of its losses, suggesting a degree of resilience in investor confidence towards the company.

24.08.2024 - AZO Stock was down 0.3%

• AutoZone (AZO) experienced a bearish movement today, with the stock declining by -0.73%.
• The bearish movement could be attributed to:
• Investor sentiment turning bearish as indicated by unusual options activity, suggesting a negative outlook on the stock.
• Market expectations for AutoZone's quarterly earnings report may not have been met, leading to a sell-off of the stock.
• The broader market conditions might have influenced the decline in AutoZone's stock price, despite a mixed trading day for U.S. stock futures.

06.10.2024 - AZO Stock was up 5.4%

• AutoZone (AZO) displayed a bullish trend today, surpassing its previous close and sustaining its upward movement.
• The stock has maintained a consistent outperformance over the past 15 years, with an impressive annualized return of 22.43%, potentially boosting investor confidence and engagement.
• The power inflow alert witnessed by AutoZone Inc. today could have further bolstered positive sentiments and buying interest, pointing towards strong engagement from institutional or smart money investors.
• Overall, AutoZone's robust performance, along with favorable market signals and long-term growth prospects, likely contributed to the bullish movement observed today.

09.11.2025 - AZO Stock was down 7.9%

• AutoZone's shares plummeted by 6.3% after the company reported fourth-quarter earnings and sales that missed expectations. This decline was primarily driven by lower-than-expected earnings per share and net sales, coupled with weakening gross and operating margins.
• The company faced challenges such as increased operational investments and potential headwinds from tariffs, which contributed to the disappointing financial results and subsequent market reaction.
• Despite the downturn, AutoZone has seen a 9% increase year-to-date, indicating that investors may have had high expectations leading up to this earnings report.
• CEO Phil Daniele's emphasis on aggressively expanding store count globally to gain market share could be a positive long-term strategy, but the immediate financial performance fell short of market expectations, leading to the bearish movement in the stock price.

09.11.2025 - AZO Stock was down 7.3%

• The bearish movement in AutoZone's stock today can be attributed to several factors:
• Despite reporting an 8.2% increase in revenue and a 5.5% growth in comparable sales, the company's profit fell due to higher costs stemming from tariffs, leading to a decrease in EPS.
• The missed Wall Street expectations for earnings and sales, along with a reduced gross margin, may have disappointed investors and contributed to the stock decline.
• The aggressive expansion strategy to open new stores globally, while aiming to gain market share, could be viewed as a long-term investment that might not have an immediate positive impact on the stock price.
• The market may have reacted negatively to the decrease in gross profit and diluted earnings per share, despite the positive growth in sales and store openings, reflecting concerns about the company's profitability in the short term.

09.11.2025 - AZO Stock was down 5.8%

• The bearish movement in AutoZone's stock could be linked to the first-quarter earnings falling short of analyst expectations. This shortfall impacted profitability as a result of investments in growth initiatives and a drop in gross profit margin.
• Although there was a 5.5% growth in comparable sales and a 4.7% increase in total company same-store sales, the decline in gross profit and diluted earnings per share played a role in the market's negative response.
• The market's unfavorable reaction may have been driven by the earnings miss and below-par financial performance, despite AutoZone's ongoing commitment to growth strategies like store expansion and share repurchase programs.
• Concerns among investors may stem from the company's ability to sustain profitability amid growth investments and their effects on financial indicators such as earnings per share and gross profit margin.

27.04.2025 - AZO Stock was down 3.3%

• AutoZone (AZO) reported mixed results in its Q3 earnings, with EPS coming in below estimates at $35.36 but sales exceeding expectations at $4.46 billion. This margin pressure on profit might have contributed to the bearish movement in the stock.
• Despite the positive sales growth, the market may have reacted negatively to the lower-than-expected earnings, indicating investor concerns about the company's profitability and future outlook.
• The overly optimistic recommendations from market analysts might have set high expectations for the stock, leading to disappointment when the earnings fell short.
• The overall market sentiment towards AutoZone (AZO) could have been influenced by the broader economic conditions and investor sentiment towards the retail and automotive sectors.

02.11.2025 - AZO Stock was down 3.9%

• AutoZone's stock experienced a bearish movement today, possibly influenced by recent insider selling by the CEO and VP, totaling over $23 million worth of shares. This significant selling activity could have raised concerns among investors about the company's future performance.
• Despite the recent bearish movement, Wall Street analysts still maintain a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating for AutoZone, with a mean price target of $4,547.56. This suggests that analysts see long-term potential in the company despite the short-term selling pressure.
• The recent investment of $267,000 in AutoZone by Trustmark Bank Trust Department during the second quarter could indicate confidence from institutional investors in the company's growth prospects, potentially providing some support to the stock in the future.
• Overall, while the insider selling may have contributed to the bearish movement in AutoZone's stock today, the long-term outlook for the company, as indicated by analysts and institutional investors, remains positive.

10.11.2025 - AZO Stock was down 5.8%

• In the recent earnings call, AutoZone reported a 4.6% decline in EPS, falling short of analyst projections, which likely influenced the negative market sentiment.
• A marginal decline in DIY sales, partly ascribed to weather-related factors, may have sparked concerns among stakeholders regarding the company's growth prospects.
• The auto parts retail sector saw heightened competition as O'Reilly Automotive's stock experienced a 4.2% decrease subsequent to AutoZone's earnings release, indicating wider repercussions across the industry.
• Despite AutoZone's positive expectations concerning market share expansion and growth trajectory, investor apprehension regarding the company's future performance appears evident following the earnings miss.