Alcoa Corporation ($AA) Stock Forecast: Down 5.4% Today

What is Alcoa Corporation?

Alcoa Corporation (NYSE: AA) is a leading producer of aluminum, alumina, and bauxite, operating in various segments including Bauxite, Alumina, Aluminum, and Cast Products. The stock witnessed a significant downward movement in the market today.

Why is Alcoa Corporation going down?

AA stock is down 5.4% on Oct 24, 2025 13:50

• Alcoa's stock declined following the disclosure of a third-quarter earnings shortfall, reporting losses of two cents per share compared to analyst projections of one cent per share, indicating weaker financial performance.
• The company's unfavorable earnings announcement coupled with a reduced full-year outlook influenced negative market sentiment, resulting in a sharp drop in the stock price.
• Analysts had adjusted their forecasts prior to the earnings release, expecting a quarterly loss of 5 cents per share, reflecting concerns about Alcoa's financial well-being.
• Even with anticipated growth in revenues, Alcoa encountered obstacles such as Aluminum gains being counteracted by Alumina and currency challenges, impacting its profitability and investor confidence.

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Booz Allen Hamilton Posts Downbeat Earnings, Joins Deckers Outdoor And Other Big Stocks Moving Lower In Friday's Pre-Market Session - Alcoa ( NYSE:AA ) , Booz Allen Hamilton ( NYSE:BAH )

U.S. stock futures were higher this morning, with the Nasdaq futures gaining around 100 points on Friday. Shares of Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation ( NYSE:BAH ) fell sharply in pre-market trading after the company posted downbeat second-quarter earnings and lowered FY26 outlook.

https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/movers/25/10/48401926/booz-allen-hamilton-posts-downbeat-earnings-joins-deckers-outdoor-and-other-big-stocks-movin

Alcoa Stock Slides After Q3 Earnings Miss: What To Know - Alcoa ( NYSE:AA )

Alcoa Corp. ( NASDAQ:AA ) released its third-quarter earnings report after Wednesday's closing bell. Here's a look at the key figures from the quarter. The Details: Alcoa reported quarterly losses of two cents per share, which missed the analyst estimate for earnings of one cent.

https://www.benzinga.com/markets/earnings/25/10/48367868/alcoa-stock-slides-after-q3-earnings-miss-what-to-know

Alcoa Earnings Are Imminent; These Most Accurate Analysts Revise Forecasts Ahead Of Earnings Call - Alcoa ( NYSE:AA )

Alcoa Corporation ( NYSE:AA ) will release earnings results for the third quarter, after the closing bell on Wednesday, Oct. 22. Analysts expect the Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania-based company to report quarterly loss at 5 cents per share, versus a year-ago profit of 57 cents per share.

https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-stock-ratings/price-target/25/10/48355035/alcoa-earnings-are-imminent-these-most-accurate-analysts-revise-forecasts-ahea

Alcoa Gears Up to Post Q3 Earnings: What Lies Ahead for the Stock?

AA's Q3 results are set to reveal higher revenues but weaker earnings, as Aluminum gains face Alumina and currency headwinds.

https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2773442/alcoa-gears-up-to-post-q3-earnings-what-lies-ahead-for-the-stock

Top 2 Materials Stocks That Are Ticking Portfolio Bombs - Alcoa ( NYSE:AA ) , Crown Holdings ( NYSE:CCK )

As of Oct. 21, 2025, two stocks in the materials sector could be flashing a real warning to investors who value momentum as a key criteria in their trading decisions. The RSI is a momentum indicator, which compares a stock's strength on days when prices go up to its strength on days when prices ...

https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/short-ideas/25/10/48325304/top-2-materials-stocks-that-are-ticking-portfolio-bombs-4

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Alcoa Corporation Price History

20.09.2025 - AA Stock was up 5.2%

• Alcoa (AA) exceeded projections for key metrics in Q3, indicating strong performance and potential growth prospects for the company.
• The spike in Alcoa's quality score, positioning it in the top 10th percentile of its peers, suggests increasing investor confidence and positive sentiment towards the stock.
• The bullish movement in Alcoa's stock price today could be attributed to the favorable Q3 results and the company's improved quality ranking, signaling a promising outlook for the aluminum supplier.

17.03.2025 - AA Stock was down 5.4%

• Alcoa's stock (AA) displayed a significant downward trend today.
• The company disclosed lower-than-expected revenue in the first quarter, failing to meet analyst projections.
• Alcoa cautioned that tariffs might result in annual costs of $425 million, affecting its financial situation.
• The uncertainty regarding the tariff impact and the varying quarterly results likely influenced the negative market behavior of Alcoa's stock.

21.09.2025 - AA Stock was down 5.2%

• Alcoa (AA) witnessed a considerable bearish movement recently.
• The upcoming Q3 earnings are expected to reveal higher revenues but weaker earnings due to challenges like Aluminum gains offset by Alumina and currency headwinds.
• Despite an increase in quality score and optimistic projections for key metrics, concerns regarding earnings performance and market conditions might put pressure on the stock.
• Investors in the materials sector, including Alcoa (AA), may exercise caution as momentum indicators suggest potential risks, potentially contributing to the downward movement in the stock.

30.04.2025 - AA Stock was down 5.1%

• The recent strong bearish movement in AA could be attributed to the cautionary outlook stemming from falling earnings estimates and cost pressures.
• The announcement from Eimskip regarding Alcoa suspending a case against them might have added uncertainty to the market, potentially contributing to the bearish movement in AA.
• Investors might be reacting to the combination of negative factors, choosing to sell off their positions in AA until there is more clarity on the company's financial outlook.

24.09.2025 - AA Stock was down 5.4%

• Alcoa's stock declined following the disclosure of a third-quarter earnings shortfall, reporting losses of two cents per share compared to analyst projections of one cent per share, indicating weaker financial performance.
• The company's unfavorable earnings announcement coupled with a reduced full-year outlook influenced negative market sentiment, resulting in a sharp drop in the stock price.
• Analysts had adjusted their forecasts prior to the earnings release, expecting a quarterly loss of 5 cents per share, reflecting concerns about Alcoa's financial well-being.
• Even with anticipated growth in revenues, Alcoa encountered obstacles such as Aluminum gains being counteracted by Alumina and currency challenges, impacting its profitability and investor confidence.

28.02.2025 - AA Stock was down 5.0%

• The current downward trend in AA stock value may be linked to the uncertainty surrounding tariffs, leading to investor apprehension.
• Despite advancements in key markets, the stock appears to be impacted by broader worries regarding trade policies.
• It is advisable for investors to stay vigilant about tariff-related developments and industry trends when evaluating Alcoa stock.

11.03.2025 - AA Stock was up 5.3%

• Despite analyst downgrades in other sectors, Alcoa's Q1 earnings preview seems to have exceeded Wall Street's expectations, leading to increased investor confidence.
• The deeper insight into Alcoa's key metrics beyond just top-and-bottom-line estimates likely revealed positive performance indicators, driving the bullish movement.
• The market's positive reaction to Alcoa's potential strong performance in the first quarter of 2025 could be attributed to increased demand for aluminum and optimistic growth prospects in the industry.

23.09.2025 - AA Stock was up 5.7%

• Quarterly losses of two cents per share were reported, falling short of expectations by analysts. This may have led to a temporary stock decline.
• Investors may have responded positively to the prospect of increased revenues in the next quarter, offsetting weaker earnings impacted by challenges in Aluminum gains.
• Speculation surrounding the earnings and updated forecasts from analysts likely sparked optimism among investors, driving the stock's bullish movement.
• Despite the initial earnings disappointment, the prevailing market sentiment towards Alcoa appears upbeat, with attention shifting towards the potential revenue growth in the near term.

08.03.2025 - AA Stock was down 6.8%

• Top Wall Street analysts may have downgraded Alcoa, influencing the bearish movement in the company's stock.
• The change in outlook by analysts could have sparked concerns among investors, leading to a sell-off of AA shares.
• This downgrade, along with potentially negative sentiment surrounding the broader market or industry-specific factors, likely contributed to the bearish trend in Alcoa's stock price today.

22.04.2025 - AA Stock was down 5.6%

• A comparison between Alcoa (AA) and Constellium (CSTM) likely pointed out struggles or obstacles for Alcoa, resulting in reduced investor trust.
• Global aluminum demand or price variations may have influenced the decline in Alcoa's stock value.
• Specific internal matters or company news possibly triggered investor sell-off in Alcoa.

17.06.2025 - AA Stock was up 5.1%

• Alcoa is expected to release its second-quarter earnings, with analysts predicting a significant increase in earnings per share compared to the previous year.
• The company's Q2 results are anticipated to benefit from rising demand and prices in the aluminum market, although there may be pressure on the Alumina segment due to challenges in China's bauxite market.
• The bullish movement in Alcoa's stock could be attributed to the positive sentiment surrounding the upcoming earnings release and the potential growth in the aluminum sector.
• Investors and analysts are closely monitoring key metrics to gain insights into Alcoa's performance in the second quarter, which could be influencing the bullish trend in the stock price.

01.09.2025 - AA Stock was up 5.5%

• Unusual bullish options activity hints at optimism from investors with significant capital regarding Alcoa's future.
• This surge in bullish sentiment may reflect positive earnings or strategic developments anticipated within the company.
• The observed unusual activity could result in heightened buying pressure on Alcoa's stock, potentially fueling the bullish market movement seen today.