Alcoa Corporation ($AA) Stock Forecast: Up 5.0% Today

What is Alcoa Corporation?

Alcoa Corporation (NYSE: AA) is a leading producer of aluminum, with a focus on technology and sustainability in its operations. The overall market sentiment for AA today was bullish.

Why is Alcoa Corporation going up?

AA stock is up 5.0% on Nov 12, 2025 17:56

• The bullish movement in Alcoa's stock today could be attributed to the increased bullish stance taken by investors in the options market, with a significant majority opening trades with bullish expectations.
• The options activity indicates that whales, investors with substantial capital, are optimistic about Alcoa's future performance, potentially driving up the stock price.
• This surge in bullish sentiment could be fueled by positive developments within the company, such as strong financial performance or strategic initiatives, leading investors to have confidence in Alcoa's growth prospects.

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Decoding Alcoa's Options Activity: What's the Big Picture? - Alcoa ( NYSE:AA )

Whales with a lot of money to spend have taken a noticeably bullish stance on Alcoa. Looking at options history for Alcoa ( NYSE:AA ) we detected 8 trades. If we consider the specifics of each trade, it is accurate to state that 75% of the investors opened trades with bullish expectations ...

https://www.benzinga.com/insights/options/25/11/48760824/decoding-alcoas-options-activity-whats-the-big-picture

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Alcoa Corporation Price History

20.09.2025 - AA Stock was up 5.2%

• Alcoa (AA) exceeded projections for key metrics in Q3, indicating strong performance and potential growth prospects for the company.
• The spike in Alcoa's quality score, positioning it in the top 10th percentile of its peers, suggests increasing investor confidence and positive sentiment towards the stock.
• The bullish movement in Alcoa's stock price today could be attributed to the favorable Q3 results and the company's improved quality ranking, signaling a promising outlook for the aluminum supplier.

17.03.2025 - AA Stock was down 5.4%

• Alcoa's stock (AA) displayed a significant downward trend today.
• The company disclosed lower-than-expected revenue in the first quarter, failing to meet analyst projections.
• Alcoa cautioned that tariffs might result in annual costs of $425 million, affecting its financial situation.
• The uncertainty regarding the tariff impact and the varying quarterly results likely influenced the negative market behavior of Alcoa's stock.

21.09.2025 - AA Stock was down 5.2%

• Alcoa (AA) witnessed a considerable bearish movement recently.
• The upcoming Q3 earnings are expected to reveal higher revenues but weaker earnings due to challenges like Aluminum gains offset by Alumina and currency headwinds.
• Despite an increase in quality score and optimistic projections for key metrics, concerns regarding earnings performance and market conditions might put pressure on the stock.
• Investors in the materials sector, including Alcoa (AA), may exercise caution as momentum indicators suggest potential risks, potentially contributing to the downward movement in the stock.

04.10.2025 - AA Stock was down 5.2%

• Whales taking a bullish stance on Alcoa could be seen as a contrarian indicator, suggesting that retail investors might have taken the opposite side of the trade, leading to the bearish movement.
• The presence of significant institutional or wealthy individual trades could have influenced market sentiment, causing a shift in the stock's direction.
• It's possible that the market interpreted the whale activity as a signal of potential overvaluation or upcoming challenges for Alcoa, triggering a sell-off among investors.

30.04.2025 - AA Stock was down 5.1%

• The recent strong bearish movement in AA could be attributed to the cautionary outlook stemming from falling earnings estimates and cost pressures.
• The announcement from Eimskip regarding Alcoa suspending a case against them might have added uncertainty to the market, potentially contributing to the bearish movement in AA.
• Investors might be reacting to the combination of negative factors, choosing to sell off their positions in AA until there is more clarity on the company's financial outlook.

24.09.2025 - AA Stock was down 5.4%

• Alcoa's stock declined following the disclosure of a third-quarter earnings shortfall, reporting losses of two cents per share compared to analyst projections of one cent per share, indicating weaker financial performance.
• The company's unfavorable earnings announcement coupled with a reduced full-year outlook influenced negative market sentiment, resulting in a sharp drop in the stock price.
• Analysts had adjusted their forecasts prior to the earnings release, expecting a quarterly loss of 5 cents per share, reflecting concerns about Alcoa's financial well-being.
• Even with anticipated growth in revenues, Alcoa encountered obstacles such as Aluminum gains being counteracted by Alumina and currency challenges, impacting its profitability and investor confidence.

11.03.2025 - AA Stock was up 5.3%

• Despite analyst downgrades in other sectors, Alcoa's Q1 earnings preview seems to have exceeded Wall Street's expectations, leading to increased investor confidence.
• The deeper insight into Alcoa's key metrics beyond just top-and-bottom-line estimates likely revealed positive performance indicators, driving the bullish movement.
• The market's positive reaction to Alcoa's potential strong performance in the first quarter of 2025 could be attributed to increased demand for aluminum and optimistic growth prospects in the industry.

23.09.2025 - AA Stock was up 5.7%

• Quarterly losses of two cents per share were reported, falling short of expectations by analysts. This may have led to a temporary stock decline.
• Investors may have responded positively to the prospect of increased revenues in the next quarter, offsetting weaker earnings impacted by challenges in Aluminum gains.
• Speculation surrounding the earnings and updated forecasts from analysts likely sparked optimism among investors, driving the stock's bullish movement.
• Despite the initial earnings disappointment, the prevailing market sentiment towards Alcoa appears upbeat, with attention shifting towards the potential revenue growth in the near term.

22.04.2025 - AA Stock was down 5.6%

• A comparison between Alcoa (AA) and Constellium (CSTM) likely pointed out struggles or obstacles for Alcoa, resulting in reduced investor trust.
• Global aluminum demand or price variations may have influenced the decline in Alcoa's stock value.
• Specific internal matters or company news possibly triggered investor sell-off in Alcoa.

12.10.2025 - AA Stock was up 5.0%

• The bullish movement in Alcoa's stock today could be attributed to the increased bullish stance taken by investors in the options market, with a significant majority opening trades with bullish expectations.
• The options activity indicates that whales, investors with substantial capital, are optimistic about Alcoa's future performance, potentially driving up the stock price.
• This surge in bullish sentiment could be fueled by positive developments within the company, such as strong financial performance or strategic initiatives, leading investors to have confidence in Alcoa's growth prospects.

17.06.2025 - AA Stock was up 5.1%

• Alcoa is expected to release its second-quarter earnings, with analysts predicting a significant increase in earnings per share compared to the previous year.
• The company's Q2 results are anticipated to benefit from rising demand and prices in the aluminum market, although there may be pressure on the Alumina segment due to challenges in China's bauxite market.
• The bullish movement in Alcoa's stock could be attributed to the positive sentiment surrounding the upcoming earnings release and the potential growth in the aluminum sector.
• Investors and analysts are closely monitoring key metrics to gain insights into Alcoa's performance in the second quarter, which could be influencing the bullish trend in the stock price.

01.09.2025 - AA Stock was up 5.5%

• Unusual bullish options activity hints at optimism from investors with significant capital regarding Alcoa's future.
• This surge in bullish sentiment may reflect positive earnings or strategic developments anticipated within the company.
• The observed unusual activity could result in heightened buying pressure on Alcoa's stock, potentially fueling the bullish market movement seen today.