MSCI Inc ($MSCI) Stock Forecast: Down 3.7% Today

What is MSCI Inc?

MSCI, a global index provider renowned for indexes like the MSCI Emerging Markets Index and the MSCI All-Country World Index, saw a significant bearish trend in its stock today.

Why is MSCI Inc going down?

MSCI stock is down 3.7% on May 13, 2026 14:46

• The downturn in MSCI's stock may be linked to the exclusion of Indonesian stocks associated with the country's affluent individuals from MSCI indexes. This exclusion, aimed at enhancing market quality, led to declines in stock prices and notable foreign outflows from Indonesia's equity market, impacting MSCI's overall performance.
• The sell-off in Indonesian stocks post the MSCI review, potentially resulting in capital outflows, could have adversely influenced investor sentiment towards MSCI.
• While positive profit forecasts for Chinese companies were projected by Morgan Stanley, today's focus on the bearish trend in MSCI's stock seems more impacted by the Indonesian market developments and adjustments executed by MSCI in its indexes.

MSCI Price Chart

MSCI Technical Analysis

MSCI News

MSCI raises Taiwan's weighting in 3 indexes

Global index provider MSCI has increased Taiwan's weighting in three of its major indexes, including the MSCI Emerging Markets Index, the MSCI All-Country World Index, and the MSCI All-Country Asia ex-Japan Index. This adjustment reflects the strong performance of Taiwan's stock market, particularly its semiconductor sector, which has benefited from the global AI boom. The changes will take effect after the market closes on May 29.

https://focustaiwan.tw/business/202605130009

MSCI Removes Stocks Linked to Indonesia's Richest From Indexes

MSCI Inc. has removed several Indonesian stocks tied to the country's wealthiest billionaires from its indexes, following a warning about excluding companies with concentrated ownership. This move, affecting stocks like PT Barito Renewables Energy and PT Dian Swastatika Sentosa, has led to drops in their share prices and is estimated to cause significant foreign outflows from Indonesia's equity market. Despite potential short-term negative impacts, regulators view this as a step towards improving market quality by reducing exposure to tightly held stocks and encouraging higher free float.

https://financialpost.com/pmn/business-pmn/msci-removes-stocks-linked-to-indonesias-richest-from-indexes

China’s Profit Outlook to Improve Further, Morgan Stanley Says

Morgan Stanley predicts an improved profit outlook for Chinese companies in the second quarter, following better-than-expected first-quarter results. This optimism is driven by increasing exports and initial signs of reflation, which are expected to boost revenues for these firms. The firm noted a decrease in the percentage of companies missing consensus estimates in the first quarter compared to the previous quarter.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-13/china-s-profit-outlook-to-improve-further-morgan-stanley-says

MSCI Review Sparks Selloff in Indonesian Stocks

Indonesian shares fell sharply after Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) removed six local stocks from its Global Standard Index, leading to a potential capital outflow of IDR 29.5 trillion. The adjustment could reduce Indonesia’s weight in MSCI indexes, impacting most sectors of the IDX Composite. Major decliners included Amman Mineral Intl. and Petrindo Jaya Kreasi.

https://www.tradingview.com/news/te_news:550173:0-msci-review-sparks-selloff-in-indonesian-stocks/

The State of Private Markets 2026

The "State of Private Markets 2026" report from MSCI examines five key forces reshaping private markets, including stress in private credit, liquidity challenges, the impact of AI on private capital, and the rise of evergreen funds. It highlights the increasing precision with which investors can now analyze private markets due to better data and technology. The report also addresses the transparency test faced by asset owners in private markets and introduces the MSCI All Country Private Credit Index to provide daily performance views.

https://www.msci.com/research-and-insights/paper/the-state-of-private-markets-2026

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MSCI Inc Price History

21.03.2026 - MSCI Stock was up 5.4%

• A strong bullish movement was observed in MSCI's stock today, attributed to robust first-quarter results and improved profitability in its index segment.
• The company saw a surge in quarterly profit, surpassing expectations with adjusted earnings per share and witnessing a notable increase in revenue.
• Investor confidence in MSCI was evident through pre-market trading activity and positive market sentiment towards the company.
• MSCI's financial success was supported by the use of index products and risk analytics during market volatility, demonstrating its capability to address investor requirements in challenging scenarios.

21.03.2026 - MSCI Stock was up 5.5%

• A strong first quarter was reported by MSCI with record subscription sales, robust margins, and strategic acquisitions, leading to a 13.8% year-over-year rise in adjusted EPS. This performance showcases the company's successful growth strategy and market positioning.
• The rise in quarterly profit was primarily driven by the strength of MSCI's index products and analytics services, with asset-based fees from the index segment increasing significantly, indicating a growing demand for the company's offerings amidst market volatility.
• Despite delivering results that surpassed expectations and announcing a significant increase in bottom-line figures, MSCI's shares remained relatively unchanged in pre-market trading. This could be due to investors already pricing in the positive results or concerns about the company's future growth potential.
• MSCI's strong financial performance in Q1, exceeding both profit and revenue forecasts, reflects the company's ability to capitalize on market opportunities and deliver value to its shareholders. The consistent growth in earnings and revenue highlights MSCI's position as a key player in the investment decision support industry.

13.01.2026 - MSCI Stock was up 5.0%

• The inclusion of IREN Limited, a Bitcoin mining firm, in the MSCI USA Index, along with MicroStrategy, led to increased visibility and potential flows from passive funds.
• Squirrel Media's addition to the MSCI Global Micro Cap Index further solidified MSCI's position as an international benchmark for institutional managers and passive investment vehicles.
• Institutional activity around MSCI saw adjustments in holdings, with Rhumbline Advisers selling some shares while CEO Henry A. Fernandez acquired shares, reflecting a mix of profit-taking and confidence in the company's future prospects.
• MSCI's own initiatives, such as a stock repurchase program and dividend increase, along with positive analyst growth forecasts, contributed to the positive sentiment surrounding the stock.

03.01.2026 - MSCI Stock was down 6.4%

• MSCI's stock price experienced a significant bearish movement, dropping 5.91% on February 3rd.
• The stock's decline could be attributed to concerns surrounding Indonesia's economic policies and the potential impact of a MSCI downgrade due to issues such as budget deficit exceeding legal limits and lack of market transparency.
• Despite MSCI Inc's strong Q4 2025 earnings and positive investor sentiment, the market may be reacting to uncertainties related to geopolitical and regulatory challenges highlighted in Indonesia's Finance Minister's statements.
• Investors should closely monitor developments in Indonesia's economic landscape and MSCI's response to regulatory concerns to gauge the stock's future performance.

09.03.2026 - MSCI Stock was down 4.0%

• Despite receiving bullish sentiments from analysts and experiencing a rise in stock price over the past few days, MSCI underperformed the broader market today.
• The upcoming major change in MSCI's free float calculation methodology and the impact of new US tariffs on its healthcare and technology holdings might have contributed to the bearish movement.
• Investors seem to be cautious about the challenges MSCI is facing, leading to a sell-off in the stock despite the positive analyst ratings and recent gains.
• The market movement could also be influenced by profit-taking activities after the consecutive days of gains, as investors reassess the potential risks associated with MSCI's current market position.

11.01.2026 - MSCI Stock was down 6.7%

• The bearish movement in MSCI's stock today could be attributed to a combination of factors:
• Despite reporting strong Q4 results and announcing a dividend with significant share repurchases, the market may have reacted negatively to the news of AlphaQuest LLC reducing its stake in MSCI by 90% in Q3.
• The adjustment of Taiwan's weighting in MSCI indexes, with increases in some and decreases in others, might have caused uncertainty among investors, leading to selling pressure on MSCI shares.
• The inclusion of Pony AI Inc. in the MSCI China Index as the first Robotaxi constituent could have diverted investor attention and capital towards this new and innovative company, impacting MSCI's stock negatively.
• The focus on AI-enabled tools and capital returns by MSCI, while balancing innovation with shareholder value, might not have resonated well with investors today, potentially contributing to the bearish movement.

18.01.2026 - MSCI Stock was up 5.1%

• Today's positive movement of MSCI could be linked to the general optimistic outlook in the market and growing confidence among investors.
• The current bullish trend may also be driven by the anticipation surrounding the upcoming MSCI index reweighting, generating enthusiasm among market participants.
• With institutional investors playing a significant role in the market, MSCI stands to benefit from the increasing institutional interest in diversified investment portfolios, potentially leading to a rise in demand for MSCI's services and products.
• The maturation of the crypto market, as noted by WisdomTree, might indirectly be enhancing investor trust in other financial instruments such as MSCI, contributing to its upward momentum.

18.01.2026 - MSCI Stock was up 5.1%

• MSCI CEO's significant purchase of company shares worth $3.56 million reflects management's confidence in the company's future prospects, following strong Q4 2025 earnings and a "buy" rating from a major investment firm.
• A notable financial institution reinstated coverage on MSCI with a Buy rating and a $700 price target, indicating a positive outlook for the Information and Business Services sector, highlighting MSCI's robust revenue growth, profitability margins, and efficient return on equity.
• The launch of a gold-backed tokenized security by Streamex may have indirectly contributed to MSCI's bullish movement, as it reflects strong market demand and investor interest in innovative financial products.
• Overall, the combination of CEO insider buying, positive analyst ratings, and market demand for new financial products likely fueled MSCI's bullish movement today, signaling a favorable sentiment towards the company's growth potential and market positioning.

10.01.2026 - MSCI Stock was down 5.1%

• The bearish movement in MSCI Inc. today could be attributed to the overall equity pressure faced by Virtus Investment Partners, one of its key clients. The shift towards ETFs by Virtus and the struggle with traditional equity strategies might have impacted MSCI's stock negatively.
• Despite the Buy rating initiation by Argus Research, the market sentiment towards MSCI Inc. seems to have been overshadowed by broader industry challenges.
• The significant increase in stake by Candriam S.C.A. and Alps Advisors Inc. could indicate long-term confidence in MSCI's growth prospects. However, this positive news might not have been enough to offset the bearish trend in the market today.
• The strong earnings report by Trimble Inc. (TRMB), surpassing revenue estimates, could have potentially diverted investor attention away from MSCI Inc., contributing to the bearish movement observed.

13.04.2026 - MSCI Stock was down 3.7%

• The downturn in MSCI's stock may be linked to the exclusion of Indonesian stocks associated with the country's affluent individuals from MSCI indexes. This exclusion, aimed at enhancing market quality, led to declines in stock prices and notable foreign outflows from Indonesia's equity market, impacting MSCI's overall performance.
• The sell-off in Indonesian stocks post the MSCI review, potentially resulting in capital outflows, could have adversely influenced investor sentiment towards MSCI.
• While positive profit forecasts for Chinese companies were projected by Morgan Stanley, today's focus on the bearish trend in MSCI's stock seems more impacted by the Indonesian market developments and adjustments executed by MSCI in its indexes.

11.02.2026 - MSCI Stock was down 4.0%

• Significant reduction in stake by Capital Group Private Client Services Inc. by 74.8% potentially contributed to the bearish movement, hinting at wavering confidence in short-term stock performance.
• Strong quarterly earnings were reported by MSCI, surpassing expectations with an EPS of $4.66 and revenue of $822.5 million. Despite this positive performance, the massive sell-off by Capital Group overshadowed it.
• The iShares MSCI World ETF's strategic shift to decrease US equities allocation while increasing investments in AI infrastructure firms could have negatively impacted MSCI's stock, reflecting broader market trends and possible rebalancing concerns.
• Post-Q4 earnings analysis indicates that MSCI's stock might not be an attractive buying opportunity due to its negative average return on equity and relatively high forward P/E ratio, suggesting that investors might be exploring better prospects elsewhere.

05.04.2026 - MSCI Stock was down 2.0%

• MSCI Inc. experienced a bearish movement possibly due to the selling activity by Strs Ohio, reducing its stake in the company by 18.1% in Q4 2025. This move might have signaled a lack of confidence from institutional investors, impacting the stock price negatively.
• Despite MSCI's strong Q1 2026 earnings exceeding expectations, the selling of shares by insiders like Alvise J. Munari and the purchase by CEO Henry A. Fernandez could have added to the downward pressure on the stock.
• The presentation at the Barclays conference may not have provided the necessary positive catalysts to offset the selling pressure on MSCI shares, leading to the bearish market movement observed.
• The offering of Buffered PLUS securities linked to the MSCI Emerging Markets Index by Barclays might have also influenced the stock negatively, as investors could have shifted focus towards this alternative investment opportunity, impacting MSCI's stock performance.