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Paychex Inc. ($PAYX) Stock Forecast: Down 6.0% Today

Morpher AI identified a bearish signal. The stock price may continue to fall based on the momentum of the negative news.

What is Paychex Inc.?

Paychex Inc. (NASDAQ: PAYX) is a leading provider of payroll, human resource, and benefits outsourcing services for small to medium-sized businesses. The stock had a strong bearish movement today amidst market volatility.

Why is Paychex Inc. going down?

PAYX stock is down 6.0% on Sep 30, 2025 13:40

  • Paychex reported Q1 earnings slightly below analyst expectations, leading to a sell-off in the stock.
  • Despite a 16.6% year-over-year revenue increase fueled by strong segmental growth, investors may have been disappointed with other key metrics.
  • Wall Street's projections for Paychex's key metrics may have fallen short, causing a negative sentiment among investors.
  • The lack of the "right combination of two key ingredients" for a likely earnings beat may have contributed to the bearish movement in Paychex stock.

PAYX Price Chart

PAYX Technical Analysis

PAYX News

Paychex, Progress Software And 3 Stocks To Watch Heading Into Tuesday - Vail Resorts ( NYSE:MTN )

With U.S. stock futures trading mixed this morning on Tuesday, some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are as follows: Wall Street expects Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. ( NYSE:LW ) to report quarterly earnings at 55 cents per share on revenue of $1.62 billion before the opening bell, ...

https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/09/47934302/paychex-progress-software-and-3-stocks-to-watch-heading-into-tuesday

0 News Article Image Paychex, Progress Software And 3 Stocks To Watch Heading Into Tuesday - Vail Resorts  ( NYSE:MTN )

How To Earn $500 A Month From Paychex Stock Ahead Of Q1 Earnings - Paychex ( NASDAQ:PAYX )

Paychex, Inc. ( NASDAQ: PAYX ) will release earnings results for the first quarter before the opening bell on Tuesday, Sept. 30. Analysts expect the company to report quarterly earnings at $1.20 per share, up from $1.16 per share in the year-ago period.

https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/previews/25/09/47914087/how-to-earn-500-a-month-from-paychex-stock-ahead-of-q1-earnings

1 News Article Image How To Earn $500 A Month From Paychex Stock Ahead Of Q1 Earnings - Paychex  ( NASDAQ:PAYX )

Paychex Gears Up to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Offing?

PAYX prepares for first-quarter fiscal 2026 results with revenues expected to rise 16.6% y/y, fueled by strong segmental growth and contributions from Paycor.

https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2757962/paychex-gears-up-to-report-q1-earnings-whats-in-the-offing

2 Missing News Article Image Paychex Gears Up to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Offing?

Seeking Clues to Paychex ( PAYX ) Q1 Earnings? A Peek Into Wall Street Projections for Key Metrics

Looking beyond Wall Street's top-and-bottom-line estimate forecasts for Paychex (PAYX), delve into some of its key metrics to gain a deeper insight into the company's potential performance for the quarter ended August 2025.

https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2756898/seeking-clues-to-paychex-payx-q1-earnings-a-peek-into-wall-street-projections-for-key-metrics

3 Missing News Article Image Seeking Clues to Paychex  ( PAYX )  Q1 Earnings? A Peek Into Wall Street Projections for Key Metrics

Paychex ( PAYX ) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth

Paychex (PAYX) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.

https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2755712/paychex-payx-reports-next-week-wall-street-expects-earnings-growth

4 Missing News Article Image Paychex  ( PAYX )  Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth

Paychex Inc. Price History

26.05.2024 - PAYX Stock was down 5.3%

  • Mixed fiscal fourth-quarter results were reported by Paychex, with sales growth meeting analyst estimates but a lower revenue contribution from the Employee Retention Tax Credit Service compared to the previous year.
  • Despite exceeding earnings estimates for Q4, the stock declined due to inline guidance and challenges highlighted by the CEO for small and mid-size businesses.
  • The stock target was raised based on an earnings per share beat and effective cost control measures, indicating positive long-term prospects despite the current market movement.
  • The bearish movement could also be influenced by broader market trends and investor sentiment towards the payroll services sector.

25.05.2025 - PAYX Stock was down 6.2%

  • The bearish movement in PAYX stock today could be attributed to investors' cautious sentiment ahead of the company's upcoming earnings report.
  • Analysts' revised forecasts and expectations for Paychex's Q4 earnings may have created uncertainty among investors, leading to a sell-off in the stock.
  • The lack of confidence in Paychex's potential to beat earnings expectations, as indicated by the mixed projections from Wall Street analysts, might have contributed to the downward pressure on the stock.
  • Investors may be reacting to concerns about Paychex's revenue and earnings growth rates, despite the company's positive performance in terms of segment gains and margin strength.

25.05.2025 - PAYX Stock was down 7.2%

  • Paychex stock saw a significant decline as its Q4 revenue of $1.43B fell short of expectations, leading to a 9% drop in shares.
  • Increased expenses related to the Paycor deal caused a margin squeeze, overshadowing the company's positive EPS and revenue forecast for FY26.
  • Analysts had adjusted their predictions before the earnings call, anticipating quarterly earnings of $1.19 per share on revenue of $1.42 billion, potentially impacting market sentiment negatively.
  • Despite expectations of a 9.3% y/y increase in revenue and a 6.3% growth in earnings in Q4, the margin pressure and revenue miss likely drove the bearish movement in Paychex stock on that day.

01.09.2024 - PAYX Stock was up 4.3%

  • The bullish movement in PAYX today is potentially due to expectations of positive earnings results for the first quarter. Analysts updating their forecasts ahead of the earnings call suggest confidence in the company's performance.
  • Anticipated growth in Paychex's Professional Employer Organization (PEO) and insurance solutions, as well as increased interest on clients' funds, may be contributing to the positive outlook on the stock.
  • Investors are attracted to PAYX as they expect robust revenue figures for the first quarter of fiscal 2025, driving the bullish movement in the stock today.

01.09.2024 - PAYX Stock was up 5.2%

  • Paychex (PAYX) witnessed a notable rise in its stock price today, following its Q1 earnings results that exceeded expectations and demonstrated year-over-year growth.
  • The company's revenue increase was primarily fueled by the strong performance of its Professional Employer Organization (PEO) and Insurance Solutions units, underscoring robust performance in key business segments.
  • Favorable earnings surprises and positive analyst predictions leading up to the earnings call likely boosted investor confidence, contributing to the upward movement in the stock price.
  • In summary, Paychex's robust financial results and targeted focus on key revenue drivers have strengthened investor confidence and propelled the stock into positive territory.

19.11.2024 - PAYX Stock was down 1.1%

  • Paychex reported second-quarter results that beat expectations with a 5% year-over-year sales growth to $1.316 billion. Despite this positive news, the stock saw a bearish movement, indicating a possible sell-off by investors.
  • The anticipation of earnings and revenue growth in the second quarter of fiscal 2025 might not have met the market's high expectations, leading to a negative sentiment towards the stock.
  • The oversold nature of the stock in the industrials sector, as highlighted by the RSI indicator, could have triggered profit-taking by traders, contributing to the bearish movement.
  • Investors might have focused more on other potential concerns or external factors impacting the market sentiment, overshadowing the positive earnings beat by Paychex.

26.02.2025 - PAYX Stock was up 5.1%

  • Paychex (PAYX) experienced a strong bullish movement today following the release of its Q3 earnings report.
  • The company surpassed earnings and revenue estimates, with significant growth in its Management Solutions, PEO, and Insurance Solutions segments.
  • The positive earnings report and better-than-expected performance contributed to the stock's sharp rise during the trading session.
  • The impending completion of the Paycor acquisition and strong margins further fueled investor optimism in Paychex's future prospects, leading to the bullish market movement.

26.02.2025 - PAYX Stock was up 5.9%

  • Paychex (PAYX) experienced a strong bullish movement today following the release of its third-quarter financial results.
  • Analysts had high expectations for the company's earnings, with a forecasted increase from $1.38 per share in the year-ago period to $1.48 per share.
  • Anticipation of growth in Management Solutions, PEO, and insurance solutions contributed to the positive market sentiment surrounding Paychex.
  • The bullish movement can be attributed to the company potentially exceeding Wall Street's projections for key metrics, signaling a robust performance in the third quarter of fiscal 2025.

27.05.2024 - PAYX Stock was down 5.6%

  • Despite reporting better-than-expected results for Q4 2024, PAYX stock experienced a significant decline of over 6%.
  • The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth and strategic adjustments, but the market seemed to focus more on the revenue miss.
  • Investor sentiment might have been impacted by the revenue figure falling slightly below analyst estimates, leading to the bearish movement in PAYX stock.
  • The discussion between Paychex CEO John Gibson and Jim Cramer on the state of the labor market could have provided insights that influenced market perception and subsequent stock movement.

01.07.2025 - PAYX Stock was down 5.1%

  • The bearish movement in PAYX today could be attributed to profit-taking by investors after a recent strong uptrend.
  • The upcoming earnings report may have created uncertainty among investors, leading to a sell-off in the stock.
  • Investors might be reevaluating their positions in PAYX amidst concerns about the company's future growth prospects.
  • It's essential to monitor how PAYX performs in the coming days to determine if this bearish trend is a temporary correction or a more prolonged downturn.

04.03.2025 - PAYX Stock was down 5.4%

  • Despite the positive aspects of PAYX's business model and services, the stock experienced a bearish movement recently.
  • The resurgence in market volatility may have led investors to shift their focus away from relatively stable sectors like human capital management.
  • While PAYX's top line growth and strategic acquisitions are promising, broader market sentiment and external factors like tariffs could be influencing the stock's performance negatively.
  • Investors may be reevaluating their portfolios and seeking opportunities in other sectors amidst the current market conditions, impacting PAYX's stock price.

30.08.2025 - PAYX Stock was down 6.0%

  • Paychex reported Q1 earnings slightly below analyst expectations, leading to a sell-off in the stock.
  • Despite a 16.6% year-over-year revenue increase fueled by strong segmental growth, investors may have been disappointed with other key metrics.
  • Wall Street's projections for Paychex's key metrics may have fallen short, causing a negative sentiment among investors.
  • The lack of the "right combination of two key ingredients" for a likely earnings beat may have contributed to the bearish movement in Paychex stock.
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Disclaimer
Morpher is not liable for the content of the AI investment insights. Like most GPT-powered tools, these summaries may contain AI hallucinations and inaccurate information. Morpher is not presenting you with any investment advice. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. These summaries do not constitute investment advice.